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31441339 No.31441339 [Reply] [Original]

>Last stream 70 days ago

>> No.31441449

>>31441339
ayame is going to stream on the 25th.
why? because it's the day we return of our honeymoon.
also we ran out of cash.

>> No.31441766

>>31441449
I just found a $50 coin in my back pocket. How about that?

>> No.31443134

https://ayame.canaria.cc/

>> No.31443184

Fuck I missed day 69. How epic was the thread?

>> No.31443268

Nobody gives a shit about her at this point

>> No.31443286 [DELETED] 

>>31443184
Moderately, they celebrated on her comment section though

>> No.31443431

>>31441339
Why she didn't stream?
She ruined funny number...

>> No.31443814

Can we go for 100?

>> No.31443904

How do we solve the ayame problem ?

>> No.31443958

>>31443904
We don't.

>> No.31444022

>>31443814
yes

>> No.31444093

Does ayame have mods or something?
Some comments got deleted in her last stream

>> No.31444182
File: 110 KB, 1280x720, 1638747641663.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
31444182

>>31443431
See you on 420 bro.

>> No.31447202

.

>> No.31448747

>>31441339
Look. She is just too busy with Hololive project called Hololive after dark. She work VERY ahrd there.

>> No.31448805

81 days

>> No.31448832

>>31448747
I expect her to be personally making a brand new stage for the 3d concerts with her doing everything down to nailing the floorboards at this point.

>> No.31448848

>>31443814
Her 'birthday' is the 27th. She wont miss that.

>> No.31448875 [DELETED] 

>>31441339
someone post the video from the last thread, I'm to lazy to go and get it.

>> No.31450319

>>31448848
No, her birthday is December 13 and her debut date is September 3

>> No.31450445

>>31441339
Not nice.

>> No.31450663
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31450663

they deleted even more comments, it was 575 last time I checked now it's 552

>> No.31454191

.

>> No.31455465
File: 179 KB, 1487x1022, AyameStatsV2.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
31455465

>>31441339

I've update Ayame's Activity stats. I have added a yearly breakdown to her total activity as well as some fun percentage stats. I had to chance the graph style as the previous did some funky things. In short, it looked like she had somehow gone into negative activity. I don't even know what that would imply.

At a glance stats:
-In the 4th year of Ayame, the current year, she has streamed so little that the average activity per month is only 2.4 things.
-Overall, her streaming schedule has become more consistent over time. The standard deviation has gone down, which typically indicates that your measurement has become more stable (those who know why that's not true can just shut up, we're not getting into it). This is because later years have had more months with 0 activity.
-Only the 1st year of Ayame, 2018-2019, had a positive prediction for the trendline. Ever since then it has been on the decline. This year the trendline has started to flatten out. This is because she’s steadily approaching no activity at all.

Percentage Explanation:
%mnths > LD is accounting for all months within that year that are greater than or equal to the (“Avg act/mnth” – “stdev”) which is called the lowest deviation. Consequentially, %mnths > HD is accounting for all months within that year that are greater than or equal to the highest deviation, (“Avg act/mnth” +“stdev”). %mnths > avg act is simple accounting for months within that year that are greater than or equal to the Avg act/ mnth.

>> No.31455555

Even Reddit hates her now.

>> No.31456854

>>31455555
Nice quints. I don't know how I feel about her at this point. I never had strong opinions about her one way or the other, she was just there. I'm more interested in her now as a case study than as a vtuber.

>> No.31457229
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31457229

>>31455465

>> No.31458998

>>31455555
I checked, this:
https://www.reddit.com/r/Hololive/comments/wsowsw/whats_going_on_with_ayame/
seems to be the most relevant thread. They just seem to be saying its a dead grandmother so she's allowed at least 2-3 as long as a dead dog.

>> No.31459211

Don't bully my wife. She just had my kid and has to look after it while I cheat on her with Subaru.

>> No.31459372

>>31458998
Seeing people defend her on reddit makes me seethe.
If she wasn't in Hololive, she would be a 2 view with her behavior.

>> No.31459466

>>31458998
>On May 5th, she tweeted that she has some family problems/health
Anon, I hate to be the schizo retard here but the stats >>31455465 show she's been on the decline since honestly January.

Sorry, January 2021. I have to specify that since you might think it's 2022. I'm not saying her grandmother didn't die. But that's like saying "the dog was shot to death after it ate 10 pounds of chocolate". Something is clearly the root cause.

>> No.31459544

>>31459372
Once again. I don't hate Ayame. I just see her as a case study. But I DO hate retards defending this. She wouldn't even be a 2view at this point, she'd be better off starting a new chuuba.

>> No.31459560

Roa...

>> No.31461765

>>31459466
That post was disputing the statement that Reddit now hates her, it was not stating that Reddit's excuses for her are correct.

>> No.31466920

>>31455465
too much text i'm sorry i don't care

>> No.31473786
File: 113 KB, 256x256, 172344221574.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
31473786

DAY 70
GIVE IT UP FOR DAY 70

>> No.31478892

>>31441766
now you're making me curious, do coins above a dollar exist?
as in nominal, not value

>> No.31479993

>>31459372
She joined hololive when it was 3view and made it popular with Aqua and Shion
Graduating means leaving the company, get real, she's not graduating until she's ready to be some part of Cover management retarded seabrownies
She doesn't care about streaming anymore and is liked by everyone, she's not leaving anytime soon
Stop wasting everyone's time with this, it will never effect her decisions

>> No.31480193

>>31479993
I'm sure this entire thread was made to get Ayame's attention and have her change. That's definitely the main reason why.

>> No.31480485

>>31478892
Technically, but they aren't in circulation.

>> No.31480608

>>31480193
I meab they want her to feel like shit and leave, why else would you post things like this? It's stroking your ego by dogpiling on a scapegoat
If she an heroed they'd be making memes and jokes about it the same hour

>> No.31481107

>>31480608
Ayame can't speak English, as far as I know, and even if she did there's 0 chance of her ever coming to /here/. We're making fun of her for her clearly being lazy for literal years at this point, shit's insane. It's not even a scapegoat thing, this has become a general at this point.

And of course there'd be jokes, you kidding me? It'd be the first thing she's done in years!

>> No.31481806

inflation will get her, cash will eventually run out
WIXRH

>> No.31481950

>>31481806
She still collects memberfees even if she doesn't stream. That's also ignoring any merch sales as well. It's not infinite, but she's not paid per hour.

>> No.31482177

>>31455465
>(those who know why that's not true can just shut up, we're not getting into it)
hey, I see you

>> No.31482323

>>31441339
GO GO GO GO GO GO GO GO!

>> No.31483579

>>31458998
aa 中let ka , well he’s good guy but probably overprotective this time

>> No.31483710

>>31450663
oh wow they actually were deleting comments
>they know

>> No.31483745

>>31443904
'Ayame' streams with a Australian accent playing pokemon

>> No.31484195

>>31482177
I'll take that as you asking for me to explain my cute Anonchama.

I lied. Standard Deviation has nothing to do with "stability" of your sample data. In reality SD is just telling how far the dataset is from the mean value. Take A={1, 1, 9} and B={3, 4, 4}, both of these sets have a mean value of 11/3. However the first set, A, has a SD of 4.6 whereas the second set, B, has a SD of 0.5. You can think of SD as "how tight of a group" your data set is, with lower values meaning a tight grouping.

The issue with the Ayame dataset is that we really don't want a tight grouping, we want a SD with a larger value. That is due to the limitations of "testing", in this case it is due to the fact we're talking about a person doing something. As said before, the only way we can have a tight grouping is if the values are near each other. That means Ayame would need to have a consistent work schedule, however burnout is a real thing and as such she would need to work less hours overall in order to maintain such a continuous process. Instead of writing a whole lot of nonsense, instead look at the difference between her first year and this current year; her SD was much larger, but she was overall more active.

In my previous post I combined the idea of Precision and Accuracy into Stability as a way of skirting around this blogposting issue. Precision is the tightness of the group, Accuracy is how close to the "expected value" we are. From here we get into a more philosophical issue, what is the "expected value" for Ayame? How many things per month is considered a good value? Is it 5 things? or 15 things? Does duration and quality need to be factored in? I Occam’s Razor that shit and decided the expected value is at minimum 3 things per week, or 12 things per month. Why? Cause fuck it, why not. Things work best in 3s.

>> No.31488339

We're still having sex and she's not yet tired, pls andastand

>> No.31490369

>>31441339
10 weeks
I'm so proud of her.

>> No.31490502

so why doesnt she just retire :U

>> No.31490519

>>31490369
It's impressive in a way. Most chuubas take a whole month to graduate, she's taken almost three without even announcing it!

>> No.31492070

>>31490502
she still makes loads of money and with the upcoming figures she's about to make so much more

>> No.31493008

>>31443184
someone posted a catbox video cooming to Ayame's face

>> No.31493045

>>31493008
Based

>> No.31493281

What's the point of being Vtuber, when you doesn't stream?

>> No.31496442

>>31493281
Selling merchs
Getting money from ATMs

>> No.31497213

>>31493281
getting money from membership and even getting more money sucking dicks offline. And when she returns, those retards will pour down the scs like the time ayame squirts hard, one time big time.

>> No.31497583

>>31441339
at this point Ayame is becoming an actual anime character, the person behind no longer matter. That's why she's famous, people love the character not the person, something many vtubers (especially EN vtubers) failed to realize.

>> No.31497672

>>31493008
link

>> No.31498560

>>31443904
What problem?

>> No.31499550

>>31496442
>Getting money from ATMs
yeah, me

>> No.31502316

>>31497672
Here you go anon
https://files.catbox.moe/dw4y9j.mp4

>> No.31504343

>>31481950
She is also still featured in product collabs and ads..

>> No.31509077

>>31497672
gay
spoken like a true nakirigumi

>> No.31509094

>>31441339
based

>> No.31510841

>>31496442
holy pekkers

>> No.31510846

>>31441339
Somehow her subs are still increasing
It just ticked up another 10k today
https://holo.poi.cat/vtuber/ayame

>> No.31511044

>>31459560
Would heaven and earth be split apart if suddenly a Roa/Ayame collab happened?

>> No.31511744

>>31510846
Peak example of model buff.

>> No.31511810

>>31510846
>Somehow
Still delusional?

>> No.31512103
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31512103

Hope she's okay and not going through an Asuka bathtub arc right now

>> No.31514582

>>31455465
>those who know why that's not true can just shut up, we're not getting into it
Not Ayame related but I like stats, can you explain why?

>> No.31514902

>>31441339
BASED BASED BASED
LET'S GO FOR 100

>> No.31515542

>>31514582
>>31484195

>> No.31517255

>>31484195
Your understanding of statistics and English is lacking and it really shows.
>The issue with the Ayame dataset is that we really don't want a tight grouping, we want a SD with a larger value.
You shouldn't "want" anything, it's just a calculated value based on your observation.
>I combined the idea of Precision and Accuracy into Stability as a way of skirting around this blogposting issue.
The word you are likely looking for is predictability not stability, your ESLness is confusing anons.
>Accuracy is how close to the "expected value" we are.
Accuracy is how close to the TRUE value.
>From here we get into a more philosophical issue, what is the "expected value" for Ayame?
"Expected value" is already well defined, based on your prediction model. (In your case, a simple LR) The philosophical issue for statisticians is usually how well a prediction model can produce an expected value that corresponds to the true value (and how would you know if it did or not)? In this case, the question would be what's a better prediction model that could be used to obtain an expected value that corresponds to the true value. (i.e. the future no. of streams/month)

>> No.31517533

>>31512103
this only happens when she has to stream

>> No.31518528

This and the schizo thread are my favourite recurring threads on this board

>> No.31518877

>>31443814
>>31514902
Her anniversary is on the 3rd so it's gonna top out at 81. Unless she's gotten to the point where she won't even bother showing up to collect money on her anniversary.

>> No.31522673

>>31493008
NICE

>> No.31523414

>>31441339
I'm starting to believe Ayame never existed in the first place.

>> No.31523601

>>31523414
Stop bumping this thread ffs
Let me create the today's record (71 days)

>>
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