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2023-11: Warosu is now out of extended maintenance.

/vt/ - Virtual Youtubers


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File: 7 KB, 200x60, Logo_-_hololive_English.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
49221138 No.49221138 [Reply] [Original]

From 0 to 100 percent chance.

Mori:
Kiara:
Ina:
Gura:
Ame:
IRyS:
Kronii:
Fauna:
Mumei:
Bae:

>> No.49221220

>>49221138
1%

>> No.49221245
File: 29 KB, 600x706, ROMAU.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
49221245

2.434% for all of them

>> No.49221262

>>49221138
0, brown girl was a retard, there is no reason to graduate

>> No.49221327

>>49221245
>>49221220
fucking kek

>> No.49221358

0
0
1
10
5
0
3
0
1
0

>> No.49221391

0% for all of them, except maybe Gura, who should be around ε%.

>> No.49221413

>>49221138
>Mori: 0%
>Kiara: 0%
>Ina: 1%
>Gura: 5%
>Ame: 10%
>IRyS: 0%
>Kronii: 0%
>Fauna: 0%
>Mumei: 0%
>Bae: 0%

>> No.49221655
File: 553 KB, 782x790, 1653771470400255.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
49221655

>>49221220
>>49221245
/thread

>> No.49221800

>>49221220
kek

>> No.49221873
File: 1 KB, 180x22, 1655076687531588.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
49221873

>>49221138
okay this is shareblue tier shiling
put in more effort, nijinigger

>> No.49221956

>>49221138
Mori: 0%
Kiara: 0%
Ina: 0%
Gura: -1%
Ame: 3.50%
IRyS: 0%
Kronii: 6000000%
Fauna: 5%
Mumei: 0%
Bae: 0%

>> No.49222035

>>49221138
NijiEN: 98% just like how much Anycolor steals from their livers

>> No.49222061

>>49221220
>>49221245
put me in the screencap

>> No.49222192

>>49221391
you didn't specify a delta, argument is invalid

>> No.49222216

Mori: 10%
Kiara: 0%
Ina: 5%
Gura: 20%
Ame: 20%
IRyS: 0%
Kronii: 30%
Fauna: 10%
Mumei: 5%
Bae: 0%

Actually ignore those percentages, most of them are one menhera attack away from graduating.

>> No.49222261

>>49221220
>>49221245
kek

>> No.49222267

>>49222216
>Mori: 10%
Mori is the most locked-in of them all

>> No.49222377

Mori 0%
Kiara 0%
Ina 2%
Gura 0%
Ame 0%
IRyS 0%
Kronii 5%
Fauna 0%
Mumei 1%
Bae 0 %

>> No.49222417

The only realistic one is Ina. She could just have other shit going on like a dream gig and decide she doesn't feel right half assing being a vtuber aidoru while she's busy a second time.

>> No.49222473

>>49222267
True, but she's had menhera episodes in the past and her roommate is not doing bad.

>> No.49222529

>>49221138
Mori: 2%
Kiara: 1%
Ina: 1%
Gura: 2%
Ame: 2%
IRyS: 1%
Kronii: 1%
Fauna: 2%
Mumei: 2%
Bae: 2%

>> No.49222625

Ame has been prepping lots of assets for her "non holo" side and being way too active too. You don't spend that kind of money and time for just a hobby. She's even sacrificed Holo time to do stuff for her other thing.

>> No.49222680

>>49222377
>>49222216
>>49221956
>Kronii the highest
Right now she's doing the best she has been since her big yab last year if she didn't graduate over that she won't do it any time soon

>> No.49222756

>>49222625
Ame sounds really burnt out on her holo persona I think she's the most likely candidate as well

>> No.49222836

>>49222680
shes a mentally ill korean
they are very prone to outbursts

>> No.49222874

>>49221138
Mori: 1%
Kiara: 1%
Ina: 1%
Gura: 1%
Ame: 1%
IRyS: 1%
Kronii: 1%
Fauna: 1%
Mumei: 1%
Bae: 1%

>> No.49222882

>>49221220
Fucking Kek

>> No.49222965

>>49222625
Ame would be a 2view Twitch thot instantly if she graduated. She's the least idol-like out of everyone in EN.

>> No.49224353

0 for all of them
I wish it was 100 for all of them with the shutdown of EN branch.

>> No.49224426

>>49221138
Why would they graduate if they don't need to stream anyways? Free money

>> No.49224900

>>49224426
>Why would they graduate if they don't need to stream anyways?
Ame and Ina are both on burn out and sound like they can't be fucked with the whole vtuber thing anymore

>> No.49226924

>>49224900
Basically. Ame became disillusioned after en got 1 special thing going for them in the past year. Like I think it's fine and dandy to shit on anycolor but I don't think enough people acknowledge that myth only got official 3d debuts after the other company did it first
Myth also only got to participate in fes this year after nearly three.
Nobody worked on getting them work visas or anything for home 3d for forever and the rabid vocal minority of fans from /here/ who sit there flooding comment sections of videos so they can post their comments to the catalog and pretend like they are the majority.

I'd probably be done too honestly. Sure, the money is good and the merch sales are great but if vsj is still around in a year or mythic, either company might offer you better

>> No.49227127

>>49222965
You would think she knows that but apparently not if you see what she's been doing lately. Or maybe she hit big on crypto and wants to drop Cover lol, anyway she's clearly setting stuff up for independent work. She's even talked about renting out her studio to indies.

>> No.49229000

>>49224426
Pressured to travel and do live idol shit, conventions, panels, dancing, singing lessons, there is probably tons of shit and responsibilities behind the scene if you want to be in Hololive now.

>> No.49229321

>>49224900
Ina stuck around long enough to see AI start stealing the gacha artist jobs, I think she's more likely to stick around now because Hololive is a safety net for her
Sana might be regretting graduating right now for the same reason

>> No.49230803

>>49229321
Just wait until it gets even better. If they don't put a stop to sampling copyrighted works, Japan will fully take advantage of it and use it to replace jobs. I've already seen artists in Japan stop posting fully drawn works and start using ai and maybe touching up the hands

>> No.49231057

>>49222625
>>49222756
>>49224900

Ame literally said like two weeks ago she's in for the long haul, and the side account(s) is for posting pictures ofn her desk and cute things
And shes streaming regularly again
Sorry to burst your bubble

>> No.49231104

>>49229321
I work in the western art industry and most pros are too scared to use the AI because of "copyright" laws. I asked one of my colleagues what would happen if I drew a completely original scribble and used AI to modify it slightly and he said "we just don't know if the AI could be stealing copyright to do it".
If this goes on like that we're gonna end up with a whole new set of companies and artists in 5-10 years.

>> No.49231148

>>49222625
Ame isn't even doing well while coasting on the holo brand name. She ould crash and burn so hard she'd make Kson and Rushia's new personas look like breakout successes.

>> No.49231444

>>49231148
Ame is outright terrible now, Kronii doing a superchat reading is more entertainment than anything this washed up streamer can concoct.

>> No.49232047

>>49230803
>If they don't put a stop to sampling copyrighted works
That would effectively kill digital art in all its forms so good luck with that

>> No.49232713

>>49229321
Has that happened yet?

>> No.49232729

>>49231104
Most gachas are made in China, and they don't give a fuck about copyright

>> No.49232869

>>49222680
>doing the best she ever has right now.
If you ignore merch sales, the only thing making holo the golden ticket over being a 3view indie that they are.
Not that I believe any of them are going anywhere soon. I could see ame burning out so completely the money doesn't matter any more next year but the rest are in it indefinitely, especially now gura has shown you can literally not turn up for the job months at a time and roll in cash. So glad I quit the holobox recently and have actual content to enjoy again.

>> No.49235244

>>49221138
Don't think we will get any better Myth anniversary this year, but Gura > Ina >> Ame >>>> all others >>>> Kiara

>> No.49237181

>>49221245
Those are good odds

>> No.49237236

>>49221220
You murder him anon based

>> No.49237397

Realistically, it's the people who have a life outside of hololive that are more likely to graduate.
You say Gura is most likely, but she has no skills and would pretty much just be a typical shut-in loser woman working a dead beat job.
People like Ina and Mori are far more likely.

>> No.49237443
File: 51 KB, 200x196, mundus[sound=https%3A%2F%2Ffiles.catbox.moe%2F6vwrjh.mp4].png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
49237443

>>49221220

>> No.49237551

Mori: 10%
Kiara: 10%
Ina: 80%
Gura: 65%
Ame: 50%
IRyS: 0%
Kronii: 75%
Fauna: 25%
Mumei: 10%
Bae: 10%

I put Ina high because of her other career, hope she stays even if she doesnt stream regularly
Gura feels like she'll leave after she get a concert, she's just holding on to get what she wants out of it
Kronii just wants enough money to not have to work, I dont see her having any career goals, once she got her own home she largely stopped caring. Her previous goal of wanting to do voice acting seems completely forgotten and abandoned, she only ever did that one voice acting short.

>> No.49237606

>>49221220
fpbp

>> No.49237640
File: 79 KB, 276x174, 1644448092443.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
49237640

>>49237397
when gura graduates that will be to open up a bakery and finally marry the love of her life (Me, not You)

>> No.49237789

>>49221262
Wrong. There’s one.
>ina, you told me I could make as much money with this side job as my real job, what the hell?
>it’s because you fucked off for a month after your dog died, and now you’re the shitter
>so what now?
>if you bust your ass really hard next year, you can get over it. Look at Towa
>you mean I’d have to work MORE than the rest of council? Fuck that, I could produce twice as many drawings and make way more money
Opportunity cost and all that.

>> No.49237823

>>49237551
Those are some pretty high percentages anon
You think 3 holos are more likely to graduate than stay this year? With Ame being a fourth that could go either way?

>> No.49237930

>>49221138
I've put in the numbers and the math comes out to OP being 100% a faggot

>> No.49237980

>>49237823
2 of the 3 barely even stream as is, so yes? Refute my reasoning at least

>> No.49238727

>>49237980
Ina is somewhat agreeable but the percentage seems too high. I think she's only staying for the easy paycheck but even if it's only that, money is still a really good motivator to remain.
The amount of work and effort she has to put in are tiny compared to what any real job would require of her and she knows it.
If nothing else Ina is a smart girl and knows she's blessed to be in the position she's in.

Gura has already stopped working as a streamer and is effectively a corporate mascot, Cover will offer her any amount of money to stay with them and work twice a month to please the fans.
She's in a similar position to Ina except with double the popularity and half the work so I'd proportionally lower her percentage.

Kronii has literally no reason to quit, she's a 0% for me. She's doing better with stream frequency than Ina and Gura, she might hate her fans but she doesn't seem to resent her job at large. And she has retardedly dedicated fans that will guarantee her a better monthly income than any other job she worked. I agree with your assessment that she cares less about voice acting than she used to but that only makes it more likely she stays Kronii rather than going back to her VA persona (which is still active anyway to milk patreon money anyway).

Lastly Ame. She's the one I would rate the highest for leaving. Similar to Ina she's only in it for the money but unlike Ina she does really poorly with her low effort content and her fanbase largely abandoned her which will relate to more of her income drying up as well.

>> No.49239046

Calli will not quit anytime soon, she is tied to Hololive because her contract with Universal Music Japan under Calli identity, the lawsuit she faced will be quite messy for her if she decide to quit hololive before her contract with Universal Music end

>> No.49240209

>>49222625
sure no holomember have their second account and it's got banned by cover lol

>> No.49240412

>>49240209
what is this bait even supposed to be?

>> No.49242475

>>49232047
There's a difference between referencing art and drawing using references while still making it an original work of your own and using copyrighted artworks and images to train an AI.
You and I both know it's only a limited amount of time before a corporation like Disney discovers AI trained on their products and kills it

>> No.49242638

>>49221220
>>49221245
rent free

>> No.49242755

>>49221220
Kek

>> No.49242981

>>49221138
The remaining member of HoloEN Gen 0 (HoloMeth): 50%

>> No.49243237

>>49221138
My rat is that Fauna is actually wanting to graduate(in solidarity with Gura, and because she hates Tempus and feels betrayed by cover), and that Kronii's heart to heart visit with her was to talk her out of it. That would really flip the narratives here, that's for sure.

>> No.49243500

>>49242475
They're going to have a very hard time coming up with an AI killing legal theory that overcomes fair use, at least in the US and most of the West.

Saying "it looked at our art" while producing something that's entirely original is a tough legal sell.

>> No.49243666

>>49237789
>look at towa
QRD for someone who doesn't watch her?

>> No.49243834

>>49243666
she used to have low views and a yab that almost graduated her early on but she worked her ass off to become one of the strongest holomem

>> No.49244126

>>49221220
fpbp

>> No.49245457

>>49221138
Honestly I don't think any of the ENs are graduating anytime soon, but here goes.
Mori: 0
She literally has everything she's ever wanted as a musician while still having the freedom to do whatever she wants outside of Holo. As long as she has that record contract she's here to stay, and even if she lost it I think she'd still stick around.
Kiara: 0
She's never preforming to an empty crowd again.
Ina: 25
She honestly the EN that I think is most likely to graduate, she has a successful career outside of Hololive that she's prioritized over her streamer career in the past, but Cover's so lacks they'll be happy to keep accommodating her.
Gura: 15
The only thing that I could see leading her to graduate would be health problems.
Ame: 5
She likes streaming, the only possibility I could see that would lead her to dropping Holo is if they made her put out an album against her will, but Holo is fine with streamers not focusing on the idol part of their job.
IRyS: 20
Her manager keeps ghosting her for weeks at a time and she has very little creative control on her own original songs, if could see her leaving if these problems get worse.
Kronii: 10
I mean, she's comfortable where she is, and even with her jaw surgery she made an effort to be there for her fans and coworkers, even when nobody would have faulted her for taking time off.
Fauna: 0
Got to be honest I don't know anything about her really except I don't like her singing voice but I love her taste in music.
Mumei: 0
I don't know enough to give an informed comment. But she seems to like streaming.
Bae: 0
She's getting way too much out of it even as the runt of the litter, she's working on her first EP now, and she has a dedicated fanbase that's probably going to keep growing.
Hololive is just a golden ticket for any streamer, I really can't see why anyone would quit, especially with a schedule that's so flexible.

>> No.49245642

>>49221220
kek

>> No.49245729

>>49221220
>>49221245
LMAO

>> No.49246489

0 percent this year.
Next year I can see Ina and Gura but even then it's under 25%. The beeg space baby only graduated because her other gig was a better fit for her.

>> No.49246645

>>49221220
Well done my friend, nothing more needs to be said.

>> No.49246652

>>49221138
100% of me fucking your whore mother

>> No.49247944

>>49221220
LMFAO

>> No.49248056
File: 335 KB, 844x2471, 1668425372137678.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
49248056

>>49221138

>> No.49248795

>>49221220
kek

>> No.49249208

>>49229321
>Sana might be regretting graduating right now for the same reason
anon she is one of the most notable artists at a certain gacha game right now and is clearly enjoying her gig, her job is pretty much safe at the moment
if there was a regret it's not because AI stealing jobs but because she couldn't handle being both an artist and holo at the same time. When even Ina struggled, imagine her who's even bigger and busier

>> No.49249940

>>49221220
fpbp, kek

>> No.49253182

>>49221220
kek

>> No.49253957

>>49221138
1%

>> No.49255369

>>49221138
Can someone explain the 1%? I don't follow niji so I don't get it.

>> No.49255508
File: 97 KB, 851x483, mori vt.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
49255508

Mori: 15%
Kiara: 0%
Ina: 70%
Gura: 90%
Ame: 50%
IRyS: 10%
Kronii: 80%
Fauna: 20%
Mumei: 60%
Bae: 5%

>> No.49255543

>>49249208
she quit to work on a shit indie game though

>> No.49255565

>>49255508
>pic
what the fuck is that real?

>> No.49255655

>>49255369
All niji livers, as in every single talent from ever single branch, earns like 1 or 2% commission on merch. Despite them being the ones to shill it.

>> No.49255866

>>49222417
Ina won't throw away her express pass to her JP senpais

>> No.49255985

>>49248056
>Mori
>leader of HoloEN Myth
Even ChatGPT is a deadbeat

>> No.49256087

>>49255655
Greedy as fuck. Good thing I don't support that company. They're too much of a bunch of tryhards by the leaks I've seen. Literally graph/chart and numberfagging from their management.

>> No.49256934

>>49255565
Obviously not, but damn it brings back memories time just flies by.

>> No.49257546

>>49222625
There is another EN Holo other than Ame that has been active a lot on Roommate stuff recently while taking a few day break from Holo activities. Their PL has recently respawned and is actively creating content again

>> No.49257653

>>49257546
Aren't all of them active on their roommate accounts?
I think Gura is the only one that that stopped hers

>> No.49260788

>>49221245
based

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