/vt/ - Virtual Youtubers

>>28399913
Your data isn’t even labeled, retard

>>28399913
None of the above.
The shark slayer has yet to be discovered.

>>28399968
Do you even need labels for terrible extrapolations?

>>28400042
why do you think so?

>>28399968
everyone here already knows what im talking about, retard

lol, this is the dumbest chart I've ever seen.

>>28400196
Your plot goes on a straight line retard. Try again.

>>28400137
what is bad about that linear extrapolation - its not like there is a better model when given no prior knowledge

This looks like you just got a ruler and drew a line.

>>28400231
what makes it dumb?

this OP reeks of amerimutt math

>OP expects shork to be overtaken in March 2022

>>28400808
ok, give a better prediction then. also, it is given as an interval

>>28399913
I'd bet March, just to be on the safe side.

>>28400298
that you used a linear projection for what is clearly a log curve

I like how December 2022 is followed by January 2022.

>>28399913
you can get rid of the dark blue line because that will never even reach 4mil

>>28401097
a log curve has an assumption built into it. by log logic, kobo should have tapered off like the rest of ID3, but here we are
>>28401185
ok, I messed up on that one, was in a hurry

>>28399913
What garbage chart is this?
I am don't even know what the lines are. I can assume it's sub counts and one is Gura based on your thread title but wtf else is going on here?

>>28401371
you see that uptick close to each million in Gura's chart?
yeah
there's never been a chuuba with linear growth, the assumption is that Kobo will behave, on the long term, like every other YT channel in history

>>28401559
tourist detected
>>28401602
finally, an actual argument. I concede to that. but how do you explain her current growth trend?

/biz/ here, seen a lot of retarded charts in my time, but this one takes the cake.

>>28401834
OP is either an actual child or just trolling.

>>28399913

>>28399913
Yes it will keep growing like that to infinity, Kobo will have 20 billion subs by 2030. That is exactly how projections work.

>>28402421
I know this is a joke, but for the time being, a linear trend really is the most accurate

>>28399913
huh, what the fuck is this, am i too sleepy for this shit what am i looking at, who is who? if you're talking about kobo and gura then what's the point of having more than two lines?

>>28401695
she's growing so fast because she combined the holo audience and the relatively untapped indo general punlic, much like Gura is fairly popular with american normies even outside the vtuber sphere
you can see the initial trend which is not dissimilar to the rest of ID3: those are the Hololive fans who discovered her on debut
then the second uptick, those are the normies
then the third uptick, from getting close to 1M, doing multiple celebratory streams and streams with the subcounter on screen
i have no idea how big the indo market is and how much she will grow beyond this, but i can bet you my house the curve will eventually level off

>>28409669
thank you for a logical and consistent breakdown of the trend
true, the curve will level off, but where do you think the top is? I am willing to bet that it will level out after surpassing gura. It may not be in the times I have layed out, but it is speculation on my part
en fans are scattered between too many chuubas, while id fans have only her as the likeliest candidate to reach that level
I think surpassing gura is definitely doable, given the current growth rate and the fact that noone knows where the top is

>>28402508
Not really. If anything you should base it off of Gura's own growth, since they're growing at similar rates, with Gura reaching 1M about 2 weeks before Kobo

>>28410055
As Indonesian I don’t really know how far Kobo will go. Streaming it self is still pretty new for most Indonesian. The current bigest streamer is probably Windah Basudara, I don’t really followe Indonesia streamer scene, with almost 8M subs.
Knowing that their target demographic is almost the same at the very least 40% of that might be possible.

>>28410816
they are not growing at similar rates, gura is slower and was never as fast as kobo

>>28411495
so it is actually doable, and my assessment is not totally invalid

>>28413865
Gura was growing faster than Kobo right after debut. Like I said, she got to 1M about 2 weeks ahead of Kobo

>>28414031
ok, so maybe kobo will not surpass gura, but can be a gura 2

>>28402011
Nenechi...

>>28399913
If Pippa jumper off her current wagon for Holo, and had a Blue w' White hair Kusogaki model, she'd slay Gura.

other than that no, Gura is peak Vtuber and a lot of bugs and wojaks are very very mad at that fact.

Nothing makes me happier than seeing retards try to use math and science to fit an outcome they’ve already decided on.