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>> No.74494637 [View]
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>>74480199
Birthday Watch anon here, it's time for a special edition!

Since it's a special day for me and Q4 only has one day left, this post will cover Anycolor stock for today and the week overall and then we'll go into it's Q4 performance. You'll see Cover and any other noteworthy news in the next post (that may be delayed depending on how tired I am.)

ANYCOLOR STOCK REVIEW FOR THE DAY/WEEK
Anycolor manages to hold on to a profit today, closing out at 2185¥ (16), a slight loss after lunch but you take any victory you get. Getting into the details of the day, their beginning was quite turbulent to put it in kind words, as within the first hour they were within striking distance of 2110¥, followed by a immediate rise that stabilized for the most part for the rest of the day. Odd behavior but overall this doesn't give us any indication on what will happen next week. And speaking of next week....
Overall this week Anycolor gave witness to a 101¥ loss as they close out the last full week of April. This is also the 5th of week of consecutive overall losses for them, further solidifying their downhill trend. I actually expect this streak to end next week, factoring in we're getting close to the "event horizon" of the stock, and 4 days of trading rather than 5, however that could mean less time to recover as well.
Looking at the weekend coming up, we could see them gain some momentum depending on the reception of the Virtual Rhapsody and Enna 3D debut for the EN Side (I lack info on JP, sorry.) Though if we consider the equivalents of such events (ARlive, Millie 3D.) It's more like that this may have negligible impact, if any at all.

ANYCOLOR Q4 OVERALL REVIEW (someone save me)
Want just a quick review? They've lost over 40% of their stock value from February 1st to now.
We'll dive mostly into EN, as my info on JP is limited, but i'll try and include them when I can.

FEBRUARY

The first thing notable event was Kyo's graduation on the 1st. While he wasn't a headliner talent compared to past/future departures, Kyo is one of their bigger talents after Lux/Noc if forced to say anything notable. If you want you can say Kyo was worth 5 since that was the amount they lost the day after his graduation announcement.
Then there's the Selen situation on the 5th.
The topic has been talked about extensively already, so let's just cut straight to the financial ramifications by making a list of what can be attributed to this "negligible" impact.
>Losing your most popular female talent and her fan base that had potential connections to other talents.
>Losing collaborations with companies/organizers like HYTE and Offkai
>Multiple talents cutting back on streams/content to avoid fallout, missing notable days like Valentines.
>A complete free fall in Youtube metrics across the board.
>Any branch events delayed like the MK tournament.
>Having lost between 400-700¥ over the days before the Q3 Financial reports dropped.
>A reputation so tarnished that Riku Tazumi had to apologize to investors (while his message would be undermined before it even got out.)
You get the point, NijiEN basically died and the ramifications are still being felt even today. The only other notable events business wise was a announcement of a Google collab and the Virtual Rhapsody concert.

MARCH
March starts off rather positive for the most part. The most notable things being Petra and Rosemi's 3D announcement, the new JP wave 3SKM, and Moira of the JP 1st gen going on a year break. Also during this, Anycolor would announce the stock to now be a loan margin trading issue, essentially giving it more liquidity to bump the stock up before the Q3 reports which we'll discuss now.
we now also have to talk about the Q3 financial reports. In short, EN was stagnant and declining, JP is losing steam as the market saturates. And most notably they were behind their financial forecasts, and didn't adjust them for Q4 despite this, meaning they'd need to make 10 billion yen minimum, which is not only unrealistic but also would have to be the highest grossing quarter.
This prompts a massive stock free that they hit the limit of how much they can fall. Becoming the 1st company to do so since the pandemic. Over the rest of the month the stock would recover slightly, however the last week of March would begin a trend of overall losses every week. The severe losses being so terrible, that a margin selling ban/limit had to be put in place, that has yet to be removed.
To close out the month, Anycolor would announce events for NijiEN's anniversary and events like the delayed MK Tournament and the revival of the canceled ARLive. As well as Obsydia getting their 3D models.
Overall, this month saw them lose 20% of their stock's value from Feb 29th to March 29th.

(CONTINUES IN NEXT POST)

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