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/sci/ - Science & Math


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9576339 No.9576339 [Reply] [Original]

>> No.9576357

The price of going into low Earth orbit is probably going to go down.
Maybe someone will even build a moon base.

Still pessimistic about going further -- not with chemical rockets, anyway. That's always going to be marginal, an "Over Niagara Falls in a Barrel" stunt.

>> No.9576379

Super pessimistic like it's a Sci-Fi tease that is forever dangled in front of your face because it keeps the profits rolling in

Space travel is less exciting and way more dangerous than exploring the bottom of the ocean.

And not only does space travel take forever, it only takes one crazy or complacent person to fuck something up and you left counting down the time until you die.

Space is best left to robots and wallpapers. Sorry buddo

>> No.9576382

Space travel gets boring as fuck one you realize it's full of empty/broken promises and timescales that are longer than for how long you will live.

>> No.9576390

>>9576339
Right now? Pessimistic. Because we can't do a good job under the pressure of all of our stupid political decisions. Right now it's really only being held up by Space x alone. I don't think it's as impossible as everyone in the thread would have you believe, but in any case to do it right we first need to take a long look at ourselves and decide it's more important than feeding the third world or something else equally as retarded.

>> No.9576398

>>9576390
SpaceX hasn't done a single bit of space travel in their entire history.

>> No.9576491
File: 52 KB, 600x316, Agents-Shield-Season-2-Episode-8-Clip.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
9576491

>>9576339
>Still pessimistic about going further -- not with chemical rockets, ..

I am going to let you in on a little secret and because this is an anon board nobody will believe it: we already have FTL propulsion technology. Developed at least 50 years ago. ;)

>> No.9576504

>>9576339
I can't reconcile the reflection of the flight path in the water. Why doe the reflection go right, but the path go left?

>> No.9576523

spacex business is cgi and media products not actual space travel?

>> No.9576589

You'll never get anywhere with rockets.

>> No.9576591

>>9576339
optimistic that we will go to mars
... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ...
... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ...
next century.

>> No.9576600
File: 184 KB, 962x642, Rusting Space Shuttles.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
9576600

>>9576339
>Should I feel optimistic or pessimistic about Space?
Optimistic about SpaceX
Pessimistic about NASA

>> No.9576609

>>9576600
One in the same.

>> No.9577096

>>9576600
That's Buran, the Shuttleski
The Shuttles are well-cared for tourist attractions. Still useless, though.

>> No.9577151
File: 461 KB, 1275x986, Screenshot_20180204-100908.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
9577151

Pessimistic

Interstellar travel isn't realistic. We will have nuked ourselves into oblivion before we can reach that level of technology.

Of course we'll reach mars, but how will that help us in any way? Space dust?

>> No.9577156

>>9576339
Pessimistic. Even if spacex is serious there will be huge backlash against what they plan to do because they are walking into big money turf with decades of entrenchment.
The cancelled martian capsule and the moon tourist flyby are good examples of backing away from conflict.

>> No.9577165

>>9576357

chemical rockets are sufficient for inner solar system travel, including Mars, Venus, near-Earth asteroids and maybe Ceres

further than that and you need nuclear or fusion tough

>> No.9577166

>>9576339
Pessimistic, humanity will never visit more than 0.00000000001% of the universe because everything is going away from us constantly.

It may be stupid but honestly it made me stop being sad I wasn't born at the right time, to late for earth exploration and too early for space exploration. Now I'm just glad I'm here at a time where we have enough knowledge to make good Sci-Fi books/movies/video games and dream about what could be out there.

>> No.9577168

>>9577151
Interstellar travel is unrealistic but, a Mars base would make a decent staging point for missions further out into the solar system. You could take the BFR into Mars orbit and refuel it with the tankers, then head out towards the Jovian moons.

>> No.9577171

>>9577151
Too many wealthy people who like the planet the way it is m8.

Mostly poor people die.

>> No.9577181

>>9576357
This. Without unlocking the secrets of anti-gravity it is pointless to even try.

>> No.9577185

>>9576379
The only post in this thread that actually makes sense.

>> No.9577189

>>9576491
> FTL
> havent used it yet
weak bait

>> No.9577190

>>9576339
Why do rockets launch at a curve? Is it because it's more efficient/easy to launch with the curvature/rotation of the planet?

>> No.9577201

>>9577190
>Is it because it's more efficient/easy to launch with the curvature/rotation of the planet?
Yep. As some wiseguy once said: getting up there is easy, staying up there is hard. Our atmosphere isnt that large, most fuel is spend on achieving terminal velocity.

>> No.9577410

>>9576379
Fuck off, faggot. I can go to space if I want.

>> No.9577469

time traveling will be possible in like 1000 to 1000000 years

>> No.9577483
File: 1.57 MB, 417x307, cgi.gif [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
9577483

>>9577190
Because they don't actually go into space.

>> No.9577492

>>9577190

to go to space you need to go mostly sideways

>> No.9577496

>>9576339

Pessimistic as fuck. Literally the most exciting things happening in the space is the James Webb telescope which will be launching soon, and the potential Breakthrough Starshot program which I hope actually happens. But both of these things are unmanned. We might send a man to Mars but who the fuck cares that's lame.

>> No.9577505

>>9576504
If a mirror is lying flat on the floor and somebody is standing on the opposite side of the mirror, at an angle from you, their reflection will reflect at that angle for you, and your reflection will reflect at whatever angle you are at for them.

>> No.9577834

>>9577190
The first priority is to get out of the thick atmosphere, reducing air resistance. Thus a vertical launch. However, the final orbit is horizontal. As you go up and encounter less resistance and gain speed, you start pointing horizontally: the priority gradually shifts from leaving an atmosphere to entering an orbit. Eventually, all your acceleration/velocity is horizontal.

The direction of the horizontal component is usually W to E to take advantage of the Earth's rotation. It's also why launches are best made from as close to the equator as (politically) possible, where the rotational speed is greatest. But polar orbits (or close enough for the missions) are also launched.

>> No.9577857

>>9577496
>James Webb telescope which will be launching soon

nah, probably add a year+, not because of Ariane - but Northrop Grumman

>> No.9577859

Optimistic.
The real dark age was post-apollo. It's like the world ended as far as spaceflight went.
But thanks to certain recent additions aerospace industry we are close to seeing that mistake undone.

>> No.9577863
File: 802 KB, 1087x499, Reflections.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
9577863

>>9577505
Geez.. do I have spell it out?

>> No.9577868

>>9576339
Space travel is such an irrelevant thing to even be discussing until we solve the energy crisis. I'm 100% serious.

>> No.9577877

>>9577868
It's not as if we can't do both, you know.

>> No.9577878

>>9577863
Lmao.

>> No.9577893

>>9577877
I'm imagining a fully committed space program that would actually be reaching other planets and eating up ridiculous, unanticipated amounts of earth resources. Renewable needs to be the #1 source of common energy for home and transportation, and fusion needs to power our industries and cities before we start doing it for real.

>> No.9577904

>>9577496
>He's not excited about TESS

>> No.9577914
File: 44 KB, 512x768, bdbDUs1qRsHDa29F6h1Y1bYL6J1yIPhQkbLIQ3g5Kfw[1].jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
9577914

>>9577863
It should look like this.

>> No.9577988

>>9577893
And that is *exactly* why the Apollo program came to a halt. People complained resources should go to the poor.
So science pretty much ground to a halt.
Everyone has their own agenda.
And they're all the most important.
Get in the queue.

>> No.9577990 [DELETED] 

>>9577914
Exactly! That makes sense.

>> No.9577994

>>9577914
Ummm... rocket-wise, yes.
Now where's the Moon's reflection in the water?

>> No.9578005

>>9576339
As long as you understand we'll never ever leave our solar system

>> No.9578039

>>9577988
>resources should go to the poor
XD lmao upboat +1 totally what I said

>> No.9578146

>>9576339
nope, Mars is a meme planet, we need to concentrate on the belt and the Jupiter/Saturn Systems. Trillions will be spent on the Mars boondoggle and nothing will come from it, and then it's only a matter of time till Kessler Syndrome occurs, and we're trapped here forever

>> No.9578967

>>9577994
From the photographer:
>bassfaceglenn
>Thank you! Yea I was really happy with how this shot came out. Originally I was going to shoot a single 3.5 minute exposure but a few minutes prior I switched my settings to 30 second shots firing off one after another. Ended up having 7 frames worth of rocket streak data. I blended the streaks (sky and water reflection) with some targeted masks and the lighten blend mode. The stars are from the frame right before launch. The rest of the image is from the frame right at ignition when the sky was the brightest. I decided on the composite approach last minute because the moon light was creating some real gnarly banding issues in the sky when I took my test shots. When I dropped it to the shorter exposure I wasn't getting the banding problems as severely.

>> No.9578992
File: 882 KB, 800x1200, 1494711393720.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
9578992

>>9576339
Pessimistic. Humans will never travel into space on a large scale. There may be very limited travel within our solar system for the purposes of resource extraction and possibly leisure for the ultra wealthy. Besides that not much.

And any space travel is essentially meaningless since we cannot travel faster than the speed of light and thus we can never reach distant galaxies or do much exploration. And by "we", I of course mean nobody here, nor myself.

>> No.9579007

>>9577168
The logistics of a space colony located on Mars or even the moon would be insane. Any turmoil on Earth means there's a very real risk of resources being cut off and the colony will die. Furthermore, no government would be stupid enough to set up an actual colony off Earth anyway because a single shitskin suicide bomber/saboteur could destroy the entire thing.

>> No.9579018

>>9578967
I figured it out by comparing the shapes of the paths in the sky and reflection: the Moon's reflection is just off-frame, below the image.

>> No.9579021

>>9576339
>Asking a fapanese bannana massage parlor how you should feel.

You dug past rock bottom. Found its molten core, dug through that. Popped out the other hemisphere on a pyroclastic flow and the sheer force of your autism has managed to shove you right into the depths of a black hole in the furthest reaches of space where only God can hear you scream.

>> No.9579039

>>9577469
Then why havent we seen them yet?

>> No.9579046

>>9576357
>>9577165
>>9577181
>what are NERVAs
>what are Nuke Pulse drives
>what are laser highways
It's like people here don't even Science and Futurism with Isaac Arthur.

>> No.9579240

>send scientists to Mars
>that can't even lift a solar panel onto solar tracking rack

Mars needs heavy labor.

>> No.9579288

>>9579240
>2018
>weight of 2.3 pounds per square foot
>averaging 40 pounds per residential class panel
>Mars has the gravity of ~0.3g
>lifting 13 pounds
Yeah, nerds might be weak, but first nerds we send there will most probably be buff nerds from the military.

>> No.9579370

>>9577893
Well to do that you will have to get your government to stop funding the third world. Good luck with that. At this point, private companies are the only solution.

>> No.9579681

>>9577483
WHAT THEE FUCK

>> No.9579862

>>9576600
>>9577096
The Buran was better than the STSs, but the USSR's economy obviously didn't do too well because of the economic reforms. It didn't help that they had Yeltsin as president for a while.

>> No.9579910

>>9579862
Buran was... meh. Better on the avionics and control part, worse on orbital capabilities, to be honest. The best part of the Buran program was the Energia. That titanic thing was the best rocket of it's age. And we blew it. "Пpocти нac, Юpa, мы вcё пpoeбaли".

>> No.9580202
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9580202

>>9576339
Depends on what you're expecting.
>Mars mission actually being planned seriously
>SSTO (planned) and reusable rockets
><2,000$ to LEO achieved,<1,000$ soon
>the 100 launches per year psychological barrier to be broken in 2018 for the first time since the cold war, 2018 might even become the year with the most launches in history
>biggest rockets since Saturn V being constructed, even bigger planned
>multiple earth-sized exoplanets with the potential for life being found
>actual (albeit expensive) LEO/Moon tourism soon
>return to the moon being planned
>various ion drives being used
>EMdrive might be the most important thing in modern space exploration (if it works)
>with negative energy being proven to exist, an alcubierre drive (FTL) becomes theoretically possible in the very far future
I'd say it's the best time since the 60s.

>> No.9580220

>>9580202
>this is your brain on pop-sci

>> No.9580247
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9580247

>>9579910

Energia...overrated.

All the Energia-Buran money should have been spent on a larger capsule and cargo spacecraft for the Zenit and a larger next gen space station.

Today Russia's plans are for a larger 6 person capsule for a Zenit clone rocket. They still haven't caught up to where they could have been in the late 80s due to the strategic misinvestment in Energia Buran.

>> No.9580367

9580220
>STILL spamming buzzwords
You don't get a (You)

>> No.9580446

>>9576339

There is a secret space program that is currently under black budget. We've had FTL since the 1970's. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wXwOkzaqzog

>> No.9580462

>>9577190
https://what-if.xkcd.com/58/

>> No.9580569

>>9577483
What am I meant to see here

>> No.9580575

>>9578992
She has a really nice bum

>> No.9580581

>>9578992
Cryo is a feasible answer to that for one-way sublight interstellar trips though

>> No.9580606

>>9580581
>Cryo is a feasible answer

>> No.9580615

>>9580606
Name a better option then you negative nancy

>> No.9580618

>>9580615
>THAN
Anyways it's just another hurdle that at this point isn't achieveable
Not saying it won't I'm just saying feasible makes it sound like it's actually, uh... feasible

>> No.9580758

I'm pretty optimistic about it now thanks to SpaceX. It's hilarious looking at the launch manifest for the year and seeing how hard they are destroying the competition. How can bezos even compete?

>> No.9581250

>>9576339
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZL4yYHdDSWs

>> No.9581600

>>9580758
>How can bezos even compete?
At least Bezos is not like this guy.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XZ-7nNw-04Q

>> No.9581636

>>9577483
Flat Earth cumfurmed

>> No.9581681

Is a fusion powered rocket capable of attaining 3,000 km/s? While also being able to constantly accelerate at 9.81 m/s? My idea is to use an afterburner fusion engine using Methane as the fuel for the afterburner(for its abundance). Thoughts?

>> No.9581688

>>9581681
3,000 km/s for Delta-V in case anyone got confused on that

>> No.9581710

>>9580618
I think "then" was the correct use friendo

>> No.9581756

>>9580758
SpaceX cucks will never cease to make me laugh, keep it up please.

>> No.9581767

Even if SpaceX can land many of their big fucking rockets on Mars a permanent settlement is just not feasible and would be almost entirely dependent on supplies from Earth. Extreme pessimism.

>> No.9581769

>>9579046
>What is a technology humanity will ever make
>What is a technology humanity will ever make
>What is a technology humanity will ever make
>Isaac Arthur
>"""""futurism"""""
hopeless optimism is just as bad as pessimism retard, none of those can ever be built

>> No.9581770

>>9581767
That's if they can even build the damn thing. They're already talking about tests next year despite not even having the engine built yet.

>> No.9581786

>>9576339
mars colony by 2040

>> No.9581811

>>9581769
>What is a technology humanity will ever make
>'''''''''contraption''''''''
We will never build your fancy heavier than air flying machine contraption. Boats and Trains are the pinnacle of technology you absolute Johnny flim flam

>> No.9581819

Insider here,

Be optimistic about SpaceX. Really optimistic. Blue Origin too, we're moving along slowly but surely.

Be pessimistic about SLS. Be pessimistic about anything NASA. NASA is making a multi billion dollar mistake right now with the SLS and sinking more funds into the Mobile Launcher and holy fuck it's going to end badly.

Everything is pretty much riding on BFR and New Glenn, which I am 100% sure are going to succeed by 2022.

t. BE-4 enginer

>> No.9581836

>>9581819
Why foreign governments copy NASA with expendable rockets?

>> No.9581841

>>9581819
Has it been stated how SpaceX will deal with radiation for BFR during the Mars journey?

>> No.9581855

>>9581836
Lack of technology and resources. VTVL development takes a lot of time and very careful testing. SpaceX has been playing the long game for a while and sought not instant gratification or contracts like other foreign agencies. It's easier to "look competitive" by saying you'll have a rocket that can deliver 130 metric tons to LEO in 2 years, but in reality the costs of the fucking launch make the whole thing so pointless nobody but NASA will be able to afford to pay for transport (out of your pockets).

>> No.9581862

>>9581841
Not his problem, literally. Elon's main concern is making BFR and having it perform to requirements. Humans are always flaunted as the reason we make these rockets, but the seats you could sell on a BFR or NG to GEO then mars orbit would make you fucking nothing compared to the fuel costs. Money is entirely in transportation of cargo, which radiation isn't a concern for.

>> No.9581894
File: 178 KB, 341x650, fag_ahoy.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
9581894

>>9581862
Wouldn't mining materials like Titanium n shiet net much more income than just blasting off to Mars?

>> No.9581898

>>9581894
Forgot to mention the part about the Titanium being on the Moon... Just go to the fucking Moon is what i'm trying to say.

>> No.9581911

>>9581841
The ass of the rocket points towards the sun so all the engine mass and fuel tank mass is between humans and the sun. Apparently they are surrounding the crew cabin with a water tank blanket for non solar radiation. Supposedly there is also going to be a rad shelter too where they can pack them like sardines if the rads get too high.

>> No.9581927

>>9581911
>A jacket of H2O surrounding the living space
Sounds heavy...for me

>> No.9581949
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9581949

>>9581819
>Be optimistic about SpaceX.
>Be pessimistic about SLS.
wew weee. Now this is some prime bait going on over here. You're not even trying to hide the fact that you're a shill aren't you? "BE-4 engineer"

>> No.9581950

>>9576339
Neither, you're not leaving the planet in your lifetime. Or your kids'.

>> No.9581952

>>9581949
Not
An
Argument

>> No.9581958
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9581958

>>9581952
You're some random SpaceX fanboy pretending on being an engineer so that your can spread FUD. I don't need an argument for you.

>> No.9581977
File: 674 KB, 2048x1536, IMG_20180312_221834.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
9581977

>>9581958
How is highschool treating you?

>> No.9581986
File: 133 KB, 1221x717, fbi_fuck_you.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
9581986

>>9581977
I got you in my sights terrorist traitor

>> No.9581997

>>9581977
lol, is the fact that you do work for them supposed to change anything? You're still some random cuck spreading FUD. It actually just makes you an even bigger shill since you're actually on the company's payroll.

>> No.9581998

>>9581986
Dr Pavel, i am FBI.

>> No.9582001

>>9581997
>spreading FUD about SLS
I used to work on the payload integration team, you cuckwit. I left them for Blue. SLS is a sinking ship, my highschooling friend.

>> No.9582002

>>9576339
If you weren't jacked up on sci-fi, pop culture, and other vapid nonsense, even the most minor advancement would be exciting and optimism-imbuing.

>> No.9582003
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9582003

>>9582001
>I used to work on the payload integration team, you cuckwit. I left them for Blue. SLS is a sinking ship, my highschooling friend.
pic related

>> No.9582032

>>9582003
Is SLS not a sinking ship?

>> No.9582036

>>9582032
Unless you consider a rocket that is being actively tested and already under construction to be a sinking ship, no. I know Musk says differently, but he's a retard. Super heavy rockets are extremely difficult and costly to make. Would've thunk?

>> No.9582038

>>9582036
>1 billion dollar leaning tower of shit

>> No.9582041

>>9582038
> Heavy mobile launcher being built in Florida has a lean well within predictions and will require no corrective action.
oh no

>> No.9582043

You shouldn't feel about space travel

>> No.9582047

>>9582036
Oh look it's the SLS shill again. This is why that shitheap costs so much because they pay shills to make it look better online to try and save face being btfo so hard by SpaceX.

>> No.9582050

>>9582047
Not
An
Argument
:^)

>> No.9582054

>>9582036
Making 1 billion dollar vehicle only for one use is madness.

>> No.9582057

>>9582050
20 cents has been deposited into your account.

>> No.9582058

>>9582054
>1 billion dollar vehicle
lmao, they wish

it's a 1 billion dollar TOWER for one use, multiple billion for the fucking rocket itself.

>> No.9582060

>>9582036

>Super heavy rockets are extremely difficult and costly to make.

There is no technical reason why this has to be true. SpaceX is significantly reducing the cost of ~20 ton rockets, and the same will be done with ~150 ton ones.

>> No.9582063

>>9582060
Lmao, this shit again. Go shill somewhere else, God knows you've infested every spaceflight forum.

>> No.9582066

>>9582054
>>9582058
I too enjoy reading Eric Berger articles on Arsetechnica. The information presented there is always so factual and is never biased or exaggerated.

>> No.9582067

>>9576339
pessimistic - nothing ever advances, the Pope took a shit in the woods today and my woman washed my horse chaps in the stream. We only had 3 chickens laying eggs all winter.

>> No.9582068

>>9582063
>t. increasing nervous ULA exec

>> No.9582072

>>9576339
ISS stands for Idiot Slaves Suckered
truly depressing
get some meds before it's too late

>> No.9582073

>>9582072
No mate, you need to take your meds.

>> No.9582078

>>9582073
im on 800ml ssri daily, what more can u do?

>> No.9582081

>>9582073
hello are u going to help or did u turn your back like an asshole now

>> No.9582092

You always hear about making concrete on the moon or Mars.

Is concrete even air tight?
Even if it is one crack and everyone dies.

>> No.9582093

>>9582092
Isolate it with fabric from outside and inside.

>> No.9582102

>>9582092
Once the concrete has finished it's curing process it won't crack though because there is no seismic activity. Yes, concrete is airtight if poured correctly, and like >>9582093 says, you can always add layers of fabric/silion sealant/whatever to either side.

>> No.9582120

>>9577156
They cancelled them because it's too much of a pain to get Falcon Heavy human rated.
Part of the process is having to launch the rocket seven times without making any changes to its construction, without mishap.
Potentially they could launch a single Falcon Heavy seven times, but Falcon Heavy probably needs more tuning before it would be ready for the same level of reuse the Block 5 Falcon 9 will be.

>> No.9582327

Are there actually people out there who GENUINELY don't like what SpaceX is doing?