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/sci/ - Science & Math


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5626862 No.5626862[DELETED]  [Reply] [Original]

Is Who wants to be a millionaire just a game of luck?

I mean, there's 33.34% chance of being right unless the person happen to know the answer, and lifelines can only get you so far into the game.

>> No.5626863

>>5626862

Let's say there are 15 questions with 4 choices each. Let's also say there are 3 lifelines: call-a-friend, 50-50, and ask-the-audience.

For each of the 15 questions, there is only 1 correct answer, and 3 incorrect answers, so immediately your chances are 1/3 = 33.34%. You can use each lifeline once. Using phone-a-friend, let's say gives you a 95% chance the person you call is correct. So 1 question is 95%. Similarly, we can say ask-the-audience gives you a 95% chance. Finally, 50-50 will remove 2 wrong answers, so you have 1 right answer and 1 wrong answer, so you basically know the answer. To recap:

Question 1: 33.34%

Question 2: 33.34%

Question 3: 33.34%

Question 4: 95% <--- ask-the-audience

Question 5: 33.34%

Question 6: 33.34%

Question 7: 33.34%

Question 8: 33.34%

Question 9: 95% <--- phone-a-friend

Question 10: 33.34%

Question 11: 33.34%

Question 12: 33.34%

Question 13: 33.34%

Question 14: 33.34%

Question 15: 100% <--- 50-50

Total: 690.08%

Divided by 15 questions = 46.00%

So basically, it's more a less a game of chance, but more than half the people on the show will lose, so it's not very fair. That show is making tons of money off of people.

>> No.5626864

>>5626862

Who wants to be a Millionaire is in fact run by Vincent K. McMahon. It's rigged.

>> No.5626878

>>5626863
bad troll

>> No.5626888

>>5626878
How is he trolling?

>> No.5626891

>>5626863

(0.25^12) * 0.952 * 0.5 = 2.68965959549 × 10^-8

>> No.5626940

Aaaaand..............still not funny.

>> No.5626991
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5626991

>> No.5626999

>>5626940

I find the fact that anyone ever responds to it somewhat risible.

>> No.5627003

What the fuck are you doing?

1/4 is 25%

>> No.5627024
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5627024

>>5627003
>can't into measure theoretic probability theory

>> No.5627070
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5627070

>>5627024
>theoretic theory

PROFOUND.

>> No.5627523

I don't get it. Why 33.34%?

>> No.5627539

>>5627523
because he is trolling

>> No.5627545

sage

>> No.5627596

>>5626999
The OP responds to themself, pretending to be trolled.
It keeps the thread up, to annoy the rest of us.

It is very rare for somebody to actually still fall for this troll; they would have to be very new.

>> No.5627812

>>5627596
Did you just admit samefagging? We all know you're the OP.