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/sci/ - Science & Math


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5480061 No.5480061[DELETED]  [Reply] [Original]

Is Who wants to be a millionaire just a game of luck?

I mean, there's 33.34% chance of being right unless the person happens to know the right answer, and lifelines can only get you so far into the game.

Let's say there are 15 questions with 4 choices each. Let's also say there are 3 lifelines: call-a-friend, 50-50, and ask-the-audience.

For each of the 15 questions, there is only 1 correct answer, and 3 incorrect answers, so immediately your chances are 1/3 = 33.34%. You can use each lifeline once. Using phone-a-friend, let's say gives you a 95% chance the person you call is correct. So 1 question is 95%. Similarly, we can say ask-the-audience gives you a 95% chance. Finally, 50-50 will remove 2 wrong answers, so you have 1 right answer and 1 wrong answer, so you basically know the answer. To recap:

Question 1: 33.34%
Question 2: 33.34%
Question 3: 33.34%
Question 4: 95% <--- ask-the-audience
Question 5: 33.34%
Question 6: 33.34%
Question 7: 33.34%
Question 8: 33.34%
Question 9: 95% <--- phone-a-friend
Question 10: 33.34%
Question 11: 33.34%
Question 12: 33.34%
Question 13: 33.34%
Question 14: 33.34%
Question 15: 100% <--- 50-50
Total: 690.08%
Divided by 15 questions = 46.00%
So basically, it's more a less a game of chance, but more than half the people on the show will lose, so it's not very fair. That show is making tons of money off of people.

>> No.5480069
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5480069

>> No.5480076
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>> No.5480079

Fucking kill yourself.

>> No.5480082
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5480082

>tfw no bf

>> No.5480083

>>5480061

1 correct 3 wrong auomatically 1/3 chance of getting it right

dude, did you fucking fail elementary algebra or something

>> No.5480086

>>5480083
DON'T ACKNOWLEDGE THE QUESTION

>> No.5480092

>people not recognising this pasta

>> No.5480093

>>5480086
>Yells at acknowledgement
>Bumps thread
why

>> No.5480109

>>5480093

Don't repress me!

>> No.5480111
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5480111

OC? On my /sci/?

>> No.5480143
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5480143

>babby's first measure theoretic probability theory

>> No.5480162

>33.34%

U wot m8?

>> No.5480171

>>5480061
This entire thread is bad and you should feel bad.

- 1 correct answer out of four possible answers does not give you a 33.33% chance of selecting the right answer randomly, it's 25%.
- Call a friend and ask the audience are completely subjective, if used on the later questions, it's less likely that one person or a group of people will have the right answer. The only one you had right is the 50/50 odds.

There for the odds are way lower. And "...so it's not very fair. That show is making tons of money off of people..."

FUCKING DUH. Business 101, shithead. You think game shows, lotteries, etc are made to give money away? The only money they make is from advertising agencies and corporations putting out the ads, which are in turn paid by the consumers. They aren't taking money away from people with below average intelligence. They know that the average person doesn't have very good odds. Guessing completely randomly and using all life lines will give you something more than 25%.

Anyway, yeah, please stay off 4chan, keep going to high school and read your textbooks some more, and focus on your homework instead. It will benefit you more.

>> No.5480175

>>5480171

you fell upon a poor spaghetti ruse, my brother.

>> No.5480178
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5480178

>>5480171

>> No.5480183

>>5480175
Oh. 11xx characters wasted. I could have written so much more Buzz Lightyear/Edward Cullen slash fiction.

>> No.5480185
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5480185

>>5480171

>> No.5480200

>>5480178
>>5480185

stop samefagging you cunt and get banned.

>> No.5480209
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>>5480200
Nobody is samefagging. Are you paranoid? Take your meds.

>> No.5480241

whoops, this nearly fell off the front page