[ 3 / biz / cgl / ck / diy / fa / ic / jp / lit / sci / vr / vt ] [ index / top / reports ] [ become a patron ] [ status ]
2023-11: Warosu is now out of extended maintenance.

/sci/ - Science & Math


View post   

File: 875 KB, 160x133, 1342485317756.gif [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
5230870 No.5230870 [Reply] [Original]

Het guys could you help me whit this question?
We flip a fair coin three times. What is the probability that the first flip was "heads" given that two out of the three flips were "heads"?
would really appreciate it if you could :)

>> No.5230878

Individually, 1/2.

Taken as a whole, the chance of getting heads three times is (1/2)³

>> No.5230880 [DELETED] 

2/3

>> No.5230884

>>5230880
>>5230878
could you please explain how you got that answe? :)

>> No.5230896

>>5230870
>>5230870

sauce on the gif plz ;)))

>> No.5230910

6/11

>> No.5230918

>>5230880
That's the chance that any one of the 3 are heads, not the first one.
>>5230878
That doesn't answer anything.

OP is fucked lol. /sci/ doesn't know shit.

>> No.5230923

You guys need to learn to conditional probability.

3 possible outcomes:
HHT
HTH
THH

All of which are equally likely. In 2 of these, heads is first.

so, P(1st flip head | 2 heads) = 2/3.

>> No.5230927

one outcome on one flip= 0.5
one outcome on three flips=0.5*0.5*0.5
* is the logical and operator
how many possible outcomes are there?

HTH
or
HHT

+ is the logical or operator

0.5*0.5*0.5 + 0.5*0.5*0.5

>> No.5230933 [DELETED] 
File: 8 KB, 363x360, chair.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
5230933

>>5230918
>That's the chance that any one of the 3 are heads, not the first one.

Let X be heads and Y tails.

Possible results are:
XXY, XYX, YXX
First coin was heads in two situations out of three.

>> No.5230939

>>5230927

Nope, this is the probability that the first flip is heads AND there are only two heads in total. Which is different to the probability that the first flip is a head GIVEN there are only two heads in total.

>> No.5230944
File: 33 KB, 640x480, 1329621701493.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
5230944

50/50 breh. The others are already set in stone.