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/sci/ - Science & Math

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4686070 No.4686070[DELETED]  [Reply] [Original]

Is Who wants to be a millionare just a game of luck?

I mean, there's 33.34% chance of being right unless the person happen to know the answer, and lifelines can only get you so far into the game.

>> No.4686098

This show is still running???

>> No.4686102

This troll is still running???

>> No.4686103

Please stop posting this garbage

>> No.4686109

Let's say there are 15 questions with 4 choices each. Let's also say there are 3 lifelines: call-a-friend, 50-50, and ask-the-audience.

For each of the 15 questions, there is only 1 correct answer, and 3 incorrect answers, so immediately your chances are 1/3 = 33.34%. You can use each lifeline once. Using phone-a-friend, let's say gives you a 95% chance the person you call is correct. So 1 question is 95%. Similarly, we can say ask-the-audience gives you a 95% chance. Finally, 50-50 will remove 2 wrong answers, so you have 1 right answer and 1 wrong answer, so you basically know the answer. To recap:

Question 1: 33.34%
Question 2: 33.34%
Question 3: 33.34%
Question 4: 95% <--- ask-the-audience
Question 5: 33.34%
Question 6: 33.34%
Question 7: 33.34%
Question 8: 33.34%
Question 9: 95% <--- phone-a-friend
Question 10: 33.34%
Question 11: 33.34%
Question 12: 33.34%
Question 13: 33.34%
Question 14: 33.34%
Question 15: 100% <--- 50-50
Total: 690.08%
Divided by 15 questions = 46.00%
So basically, it's more a less a game of chance, but more than half the people on the show will lose, so it's not very fair. That show is making tons of money off of people.

>> No.4686114

>>4686109
Stop posting, OP.

>> No.4686120

>>4686109


Nigger are you gay?

>> No.4686127

Whoa! Deja vu

>> No.4686130

until we like it

>> No.4686132
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4686132

>>4686109

>> No.4686160

It's 50%

either you win, or you don't

>> No.4686175

>>4686127
>>4686132
>>4686160
Stop posting, OP. Truly, you are a pathetic excuse for a biological organism.

>> No.4686188

>>4686109
We can average probabilities now!
O dear god the implications of this will be enormous when the scientific community hears of this.

>> No.4686196

>>4686109
>doesn't round 33.333... right
>doesn't get any of the odds right
>acts like he can add the odds and then divide instead of multiplying them
I'd say chances you're a troll are 3/2 = 66.65% and chances you're serious 3/1 = 74.99%

2/10, 16.65%, made me reply