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/sci/ - Science & Math

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4576375 No.4576375 [Reply] [Original]

Is Who wants to be a millionare just a game of luck?

I mean, there's 33.34% chance of being right unless the person happen to know the answer, and lifelines can only get you so far into the game.

>> No.4576388

There is a reason why he was the only one at the time to get the million dollars out of the countless contestants. Its all based on luck.

>> No.4576391

>>4576375
Not this thread again.

>> No.4576403

>>4576375
4 choices, 25% chance of guessing dumb shit

>> No.4576404

>>4576388

the last question for 1 million was not that hard, Nixon was an actor, and so it makes sense that he appeared in Laugh-in

>> No.4576401

Why 33.34%, OP?

>> No.4576408

>>4576401
>>4576403
1 correct answer, 3 wrong answers.

1/3 = 33.34%.

Can't you into probability?

>> No.4576409

OP, you here?

>> No.4576413

>>4576408
Not sure if trolling or just stupid.

>> No.4576415

>>4576413
>Not sure if trolling or just stupid.
Not sure if new or retarded

>> No.4576433

>>4576415
New. Explain then. At least, why is 1/3=33.34%?

>> No.4576436

>>4576433

it's too complex for you to understand, now gtfo /sci/ and go to /v/

>> No.4576440

>>4576433
Because this is /sci/

Enjoy your stay, and it will become clear after a day or two.

Or an hour or too. However many times this fucking thread shows up in a day

>> No.4576442

>>4576433
>why is 1/3=33.34%?

My sides.

>> No.4576454

>>4576375
A friend of my parents' went on quite some time ago, and the grand prize was $2+ million. He was quite the trivia master, and used a lot of knowledge and presumably guesses about how questions are usually constructed to win. It's not just luck, because, for example, someone like Ken Jennings knows a lot and could certainly do better than random chance.

>> No.4576457

>>4576440
Cheers, I've actually been here for a few times, but I never came across this thread. Too fat, to be honest.

>> No.4576463
File: 43 KB, 460x500, ThisThreadAgain.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
4576463

>>4576454
Ogi Ogas?

>>4576375
>see pic

>> No.4576465

>>4576442
it isn't. 1/3 = 33.333...%

fuck OP

>> No.4576472

>>4576440
>too
oh look at how retarded I am.

Fuck me.

>> No.4576474

>>4576454
specifically, Kevin Olmstead.

>> No.4576480

>>4576474
Jesus, that was ELEVEN FUCKING YEARS AGO

>> No.4576485

>>4576480
>confirmed for younger than 11

>> No.4576490

>>4576375
Do't you mean 33.334?

>> No.4576493

>>4576485
What? I watched it on television. I was alive then. What implies that I didn't?

>> No.4576511

didn't realize summer started two months early my god

>> No.4576516

Let's say there are 15 questions with 4 choices each. Let's also say there are 3 lifelines: call-a-friend, 50-50, and ask-the-audience.

For each of the 15 questions, there is only 1 correct answer, and 3 incorrect answers, so immediately your chances are 1/3 = 33.34%. You can use each lifeline once. Using phone-a-friend, let's say gives you a 95% chance the person you call is correct. So 1 question is 95%. Similarly, we can say ask-the-audience gives you a 95% chance. Finally, 50-50 will remove 2 wrong answers, so you have 1 right answer and 1 wrong answer, so you basically know the answer. To recap:

Question 1: 33.34%
Question 2: 33.34%
Question 3: 33.34%
Question 4: 95% <--- ask-the-audience
Question 5: 33.34%
Question 6: 33.34%
Question 7: 33.34%
Question 8: 33.34%
Question 9: 95% <--- phone-a-friend
Question 10: 33.34%
Question 11: 33.34%
Question 12: 33.34%
Question 13: 33.34%
Question 14: 33.34%
Question 15: 100% <--- 50-50
Total: 690.08%
Divided by 15 questions = 46.00%
So basically, it's more a less a game of chance, but more than half the people on the show will lose, so it's not very fair. That show is making tons of money off of people.

>> No.4576523

>>4576516
>there is only 1 correct answer, and 3 incorrect answers, so immediately your chances are 1/3 = 33.34%

0/10, stopped reading there not wasting my time on the rest.

>> No.4576529

>>4576523

you must be new here

>> No.4576531

>>4576516
>So basically, it's more a less a game of chance, but more than half the people on the show will lose, so it's not very fair. That show is making tons of money off of people

But if you're knowledge in at least one of the questions it throws the whole entire thing. That's the point of a trivia show.

Without any knowledge, yes, it's a 50/50 chance of winning or loosing. But you don't go in knowing absolutely nothing.

>> No.4576534

>>4576529
>4 answers
>chance of picking the correct one
>There are 4 different scenarios, one where you pick A, B, C or D.
>Only one of them leads to the scenario of you picking the correct one
>The chances of the one you pick being correct is 25%

>> No.4576537

>>4576531
>>4576534
you must be new here

>> No.4576541

>>4576537
you must be new here

>> No.4576543

>>4576537
But he's right.

>> No.4576547

>>4576543

yes, but that beisdes the point of "you must be new here"

>> No.4576567

I don't care how smart you guys think you are, or how long you've been on 4chan, the probability of getting a question (with 4 possible answers) correct will never be 1/3. It's not. I promise.

>> No.4576582
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4576582

>> No.4576665 [DELETED] 

lol

>> No.4576672

>>4576543
>But he's right.
More reason to believe he's new

>> No.4578260

what is this, I don't even

>> No.4578263
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4578263

>> No.4578265

>>4578263
Pot calling the kettle black again.

>> No.4578268
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4578268

>>4578265
i dont fucking post trollthreads

>> No.4578274

This is me doing my part to sage this cancer to its post limit

>> No.4578279

>>4578274

what is the limit?

>> No.4578280
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4578280

>>4578268

>> No.4578281

>>4578268
yet they always seem to show up when you're around

funny how that happens

>> No.4578285
File: 499 KB, 480x221, tumblr_m2cl6nyLMF1qm564j.gif [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
4578285

>> No.4578286

The contestant's answer is either correct or incorrect.
Two possibilities, thus P(contestant gives correct answer)=50%.

Lrn2statitics fucktards.

>> No.4578290
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4578290

>>4578286

>> No.4578291

>>4578286

There are two possibilities, win or lose, so there's 50% of winning the game

>> No.4578295
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4578295

>>4578281
you're implying that i go anon and post trollthreads, then post as myself calling mysefl a stupid unoriginal faggot?
[sarcasm] uhuh, sounds a really fun and interesting way to spend my time [/sarcasm]

>> No.4578302

>>4576408

oh god.

your chance of getting the correct answer is 1/4
your chance of getting the wrong answer is 3/4

>> No.4578303
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4578303

>>4578302
tard

>> No.4578307

>>4578295
Well, you're a pretty unfun and uninteresting person, so it'd fit.

>> No.4578312
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4578312

>>4578307
ahahahha!
oh wow.

>> No.4578318

>>4578312
Witty comeback as usual.

>> No.4578321

>>4578318
i dont need comebacks, why get engaged in some stupid insults competition?
you dont know me, so you've no idea if im fun or not, you're just angling for a flame-war

look elsewhere, kid.

>> No.4578333

>>4578321
We have no evidence that you're EK.

>> No.4578339
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4578339

>>4578333
>captain_obvious.

and yeh, i dont care

>> No.4578341

Oh man, I haven't been here in a while. Is this /sci/'s own meme or what?

>> No.4578345

>>4578339
How many times have you and Harriet made love?

>> No.4578346
File: 1.35 MB, 320x240, 1324510932014.gif [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
4578346

>1/3 = 33.34%

>33.34%

>4

my sides, every time this is posted

>> No.4578347

>>4576375
Everything is 'just luck' under the right analysis.

>> No.4578350

>>4578345
never, you fucking creepy twat, and even if we had, that wouldnt be any of your business
(FYI, harriet is straight)

>> No.4578354

Bravo, OP. Of all the threads in all the world, this is the first time I raged. Really. Nothing comes this close. Everything about it just infuriates me. 10/10.

>> No.4578374

It was supposed to be a game of luck. That's why they originally paid out high prizes through insurance.

The questions are supposed to be too diverse and random for any one person to know them. Toward the end, you're supposed to have to end up guessing most of the answers.

However, they weren't as good at forcing contestants to guess as they were supposed to be, more people won the million than was supposed to happen, and they had a legal dispute with the insurance company.