/sci/ - Science & Math

[Scrotumator !!OxYB4YN2VzR No.4179764]

How many barrels of oil are still left in the ground, and how long will it last? I'm looking for balanced information, because I've heard figures ranging from around 80 billion to almost 4 trillion.

[Anonymous No.4179779]

about .08-4 trillion

[Harriet !x6oGOnISPY No.4179785]

>>4179764
The correct answer is that we do not know.
We can estimate, but we do not know where all of the oil underneath the earth is, if we did, I assure you we would be digging it all up very rapidly.

Over 1 trillion is probably fairly accurate

[Harriet !x6oGOnISPY No.4179789]

>>4179785
"Statistical Revi­ew of World Energy published in June 2008. In the report, the company said that the world has as many as 1,238 billion barrels of oil in proved reserves [source: BP]. This equals about 40 years of uninterrupted oil supply"

[Anonymous No.4179797]

>>4179789
>source: BP

Dubious source is dubious.

[Anonymous No.4179800]

Shut the fuck up Harriet, you don't have the first clue what you're talking about.

[Anonymous No.4179802]

>>4179789
"Independant sutdy made by the CRRC (Coalition for Ressources Research Center) has calculated using both a meta anlaysis of 20 different studies and a simulated computerized model of 6 major oil company pumpage records that the quantity of oil left under the ground in accessible areas (i.e. excluding possibilities in Antarctica and Arctic) would suffice for anoth 70-80 years"

Source: me

[Anonymous No.4179809]

>>4179800
What tipped you off?
>digging up oil

[Harriet !x6oGOnISPY No.4179812]

>>4179797
Indeed, but as I said, we do not know for certain.

[Harriet !x6oGOnISPY No.4179815]

>>4179800
If that is what you think, then why not post an accurate source and furnish us all with the information rather than just disregarding my posts and leaving nothing of your own?

[EK !EKFQOBUFnQ No.4179836]

>>4179785
yes we do fucking know you thick twat, if you fucking bothered to spend like 5 minutes on wiki-fucking-pedia you'd proabably be able to find the amount to a pretty high level of accuracy
but no, this is you
<<<

[EK !EKFQOBUFnQ No.4179848]

>>4179800
FUCK YOU! YOU ABSOLUTE ARSEHOLE!
you dont get to talk to her like that you fucking retarded cunt! eat shit and die!

[Blackman No.4179851]

Shit just got dissociative

[Harriet !x6oGOnISPY No.4179858]

>>4179848
Did you not just agree with him?

[Anonymous No.4179859]

I approve of this message

[Anonymous No.4179863]

*Knock Knock*

Who's there?

>It's EK

EK who?

The jokes stops here and I wish everyone could say that previous sentence.

/thread

[Anonymous No.4179864]

>>4179858

GET OUT OF THE WAY

[EK !EKFQOBUFnQ No.4179869]

>>4179858
oh shut up, im defending you here.

[Anonymous No.4179891]

The guy (Humbold) who foretold the oil mining decline that already hapenned in USA in 70s before anyone saw it coming said we have enough for around 70 years.

The thing is, there is lots of oil, but a huge part of it is in compounds where it takes more energy to extract it then you gain from it. Improving technology might help, but I am a proponent of ending the oil dependency. Oil can be used to create medical drugs and we waste it on personnal transport in order to increase our comfort. That is just retarded.

[Anonymous No.4179912]

Estimated world oil reserves range from 1.18Tbbl to 1.34Tbbl, which at our present rate of consumption (which is increasing) will last about 40 years.
source: http://www.eia.gov/international/reserves.html

[Josef crossed out the Atlantic !!nUf2NflSAyw No.4179913]

>Legitimate question
>Blabla answers, no sources etc
>Harriet shows up (audience laughs)
>Harriet defends himself (rule 30, fuck you)
>EK shows up (audience laughs)
>EK defends herself
>Anon has the usual urge of telling EK that he's somehow baaaad
>Anon continues to troll himself
>EK's job is basically posting every now and then to keep the crapfest running, much like adding baking powder every now and then
>Anon keeps trolling himself
>EK gets reputation as evil troll
(Is there a script demanding this somewhere in the help or why does everyone apply to its rules)

[Josef crossed out the Atlantic !!nUf2NflSAyw No.4179918]

>Legitimate question
>Blabla answers, no sources etc
>Harriet shows up (audience laughs)
>Harriet defends himself (rule 30, fuck you)
>EK shows up (audience laughs)
>EK defends himself
>Anon has the usual urge of telling EK that he's somehow baaaad
>Anon continues to troll himself
>EK's job is basically posting every now and then to keep the crapfest running, much like adding baking powder every now and then
>Anon keeps trolling himself
>EK gets reputation as evil troll
(Is there a script demanding this somewhere in the help or why does everyone apply to its rules)

[Anonymous No.4179924]

>>4179869
I loved that vid where you finger fucked Harriet someone just linked me to it in another thread.

[Anonymous No.4179928]

>>4179891
>The guy (Hubbert) who foretold the oil mining decline
fix'd

[Anonymous No.4179927]

>>4179913
Legitimate question? Come on, man. Not one study can even grasp the quantity there might be left under the ground, especially in the North and in the far South.

[EK !EKFQOBUFnQ No.4179929]

>>4179924

[Anonymous No.4179930]

>>4179918

[Harriet !x6oGOnISPY No.4179945]

>>4179929
He is a troll.
Ignore him.

[Anonymous No.4179947]

210.5 x 10^9 m^3 = enough to last 64 years

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Oil_reserves

[EK !EKFQOBUFnQ No.4179972]

>>4179945
[sarcasm] oh really? I was under the impression i might have actually finger fucked you and just had amnesia! [/sarcasm]

(idiot!)

[Anonymous No.4179989]

>>4179972

I sense some anger between you and Harriotto.
Have you tried couples therapy? Did you remember to take your pills?

[Anonymous No.4179996]

>>4179972
Post pics of your tits. Timestamped. Come on, it will release a lot of stress you seem to have pent up.

[EK !EKFQOBUFnQ No.4180001]

>>4179996

[Anonymous No.4180015]

>>4179947
>enough to last 64 years
64 years = "Reserve to Production ratio"
= reserves / annual production
reserves : decreasing
annual production : increasing
lifetime of reserves < 64 years

[Anonymous No.4180083]

>People still think Harriet and EK are not the same guy

[Anonymous No.4180089]

>>4179918
I lol'd.

[Anonymous No.4180106]

>>4180083
Last nights thread kind of confirmed that even before she deleted the post.

I screen cap every thread EK posts in because she tends to delete fucking everything.

[Harriet !x6oGOnISPY No.4180109]

>>4180083
We are not.

>>4180106
Which post?

[Anonymous No.4180120]

>>4180106
notice how they always post at the same times. When EK "takes a break" from posting so does Harriet. They are usually on and posting around the same time too.

[Anonymous No.4180124]

Quick question, how can we know how much is available if derpy ass scientists are all blinded by consensus (sheep-skin blindness syndrome) into thinking that Oil is biogenic?

Abiogenic oil research is practically non-existent. Yet it must be all those dead Dino's on Titan and Pluto that are producing the hydrocarbons... amirite?

[Harriet !x6oGOnISPY No.4180127]

>>4180120
Actually we usually do not post at the same time; I tend to avoid posting at the same time as her as she seems to dislike it.
I post in the mornings while she is still sleeping, and she usually posts in the evenings.

[Anonymous No.4180254]

>>4180127
It doesn't matter when you post, both tripfags are wrong and/or retarded 98% of the time

[Anonymous No.4180312]

>>4180124
> Abiogenic oil research is practically non-existent.

So is research into finding the North Pole facilities for Santa Claus. And there's the same and equally good reason for it: Because both don't exist.

If the "abiogenic" pseudo-theory had any teeth at all, then we would not be seeing the deposit depletions that we commonly see. Also, if there actually IS some sort of abiogenic process extant, then from the SAME field depletion data it clearly doesn't act quickly enough to make a noticeable difference.

Now, to address the larger question: How much is left? Our proven reserves (PrRe) are full of LIES, since lying about such reserves has only fulfilled the nefarious economic goals of oil companies and the nefarious political goals of the oil-producing nations (like Saudi Arabia). But let's say we even take those at face value: We have a little over 1.2TBbl to go.

Knowing that, you'd question the rate of new discoveries. Well, new discoveries peaked in the 1960s, worldwide. The dropoff of that discovery rate is fairly clear. So you can't rationally expect that PrRe number to rise much if at all, and given the rate of current finds and the rate of current consumption, it's very likely to just keep falling, since we obviously use up reserves as we continue to consume our ~82MBbl/yr worldwide.

[Anonymous No.4180316]

[CONT']
There's yet another factor: Overconsumption due to population and consumer growth. And yet another factor: Demand destruction from price increases.

The latter two factors might cancel each other out to the first approximation. If so, then we have 1200000MBbl reserves and 82MBbl/day consumption, hence about 15000 days of oil. That's 40 years.

And pricing peaks in the last 10 years will make it unlikely for most Americans to plan to have their current lifestyles by then. Hence, the America of the 2030s and beyond must be remarkably different: Very much slower or more expensive. It wouldn't be inaccurate to say the America of the 2030s would better resemble the America of the 1930s.