Probability Theory in Crisis

[Anonymous No.15797631]

An event having 0 probability of happening should mean the same as it doesn't happen. Yet probability theorist assign probability 0 to events that can happen. This is a clear contradiction yet it is plastered over and said that there is nothing wrong or no contradiction here. But it's obvious: Probability Theory is faulty and should be fixed. If something can happen, the probability of it happening is greater than 0. That's what it should be. If it's 0, it can't happen. Don't go trying to cover this up. There's a clear fault in the foundation.

[Anonymous No.15797645]

>>15797631
Probability theory is bullshit I can confirm. A silverback gorilla just broke down my door and beat the shit out of me not too long ago.

[Anonymous No.15798505]

>>15797645
goodness gracious, what are the chances of that happening?

[Anonymous No.15798517]

>>15797631
Everything either has 100% probability of happening or a 0%. If it happens, it was always 100%. If it doesn't happen, it was always 0%.

[Anonymous No.15798531]

https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/QGkYCwyC7wTDyt3yT/0-and-1-are-not-probabilities
https://www.lesswrong.com/s/FrqfoG3LJeCZs96Ym/p/ooypcn7qFzsMcy53R

[Anonymous No.15798542]

>>15798531
When it comes to utopian ideologies that accomplish nothing more than making academics goon all day reading papers with zero applications, bayesianism is about as high as coherent extrapolated volition.

[Anonymous No.15798546]

>>15797631
>There's a clear fault in the foundation.
The fault is just in your understanding, anon.

[Anonymous No.15798625]

>>15797631
>Yet probability theorist assign probability 0 to events that can happen.
> probability theorist
found the problem