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/sci/ - Science & Math


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File: 95 KB, 1436x758, Bitcoin Prices and Halvings.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
12537128 No.12537128 [Reply] [Original]

I did a quick analysis of how bitcoin peaks after each halving. The tl;dr version is bitcoin will peak around $70,000 to $100,000.

I'm including a bitcoin price graph (y-axis is in log scale) and a excel snip-it of my calculation.

Bitcoin price increases after each halving, but by how much does it increase? What I think happens, is that after each halving the bitcoin price increases X fold, but after each subsequent halving the price increase is reduced by a factor of 3 (this is shown in the excel screenshot).

>> No.12537142
File: 21 KB, 878x255, Bitcoin Price Excel Snip-it.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
12537142

My analysis assumes that that price increase reduction remains constant after each halving. I don't have a way of knowing if this is correct, but after the next peak and subsequent bear market it will be confirmed or denied.

What do you guys think, do you think my prediction/analysis makes sense?

>> No.12537147

Is it really at 30k? It was at 19k like 4 weeks ago

>> No.12537149

>>12537128
>>12537142
The factor of 3 was simply calculated by dividing 92/29=3. And all of the over values highlighted in yellow were back calculated from that.

>> No.12537161

>>12537128
Ok here goes my analysis. Let P(t) be the price of Bitcoin, then the following holds:

[math] P(t)\to 0, ~t\to \infty [/math]

Q.E.D

>> No.12537162

>>12537147
Yea its at 30K, but I think its not to late to make some profit, I think it will at least double in value over the course of the bullrun, and based on the last bullruns following the halvings, the bullruns have gotten longer (12 months in 2012, and 16 months in 2016 to 2017).

>> No.12537836

>>12537161
Seems about right. Also OP this isn't /biz/

>inb4 technical analysis
No studies have shown that investors and hedge funds that base their strategy on technical analysis don't outperform markets, hence it isn't a science.

>> No.12537860

>>12537147
peak is above 50k for this run, for sure.

Want to quick buck it? buy ASAP, sell at 47.5k

Rebuy at the dip to ~16,000-18,000

>> No.12537866

>>12537860
Also, I been in the crypto game since 2010.

None of my predictions have been off by more than 20%

If you apply the widest margins to what I've shared here, you can still make out like a bandit.

>> No.12537874

>>12537860
>>12537866
If you have $10,000 to slap in and out of crypto.

The next couple days could make you $5,000+ liquid, with reinvestment of your initial capital, off the low/hi peak sell and the dip buy, if you cap it within the next 12 hours.

You buy after that, you're on your own.

>> No.12538092

>>12537128
most of the investors going into bitcoin right now don't even know what the fuck halving means so i don't think they're carefully planning some retarded halving date into their equation of whether to buy or not

>> No.12538133

>>12538092
Yeah a lot of it is an inflation hedge strategy as well as FOMO.

>> No.12538265

>>12537128
phrenology is not science
>>>/biz/ is that way my friend

>> No.12538302

>>12538265
Not, OP, but I'm curious:
Sci types are generally very bright yet shittily paid, especially PhD students, etc. Whatever you all think of crypto on the whole, obviously there are people out there making a lot of money from it. And most of them are not particularly well informed or talented. Are you not at all tempted to apply a little thought to it and make some money? It's an immature market, there's far more opportunity there than something like Forex. I get that you aren't primarily motivated by money - but what about having enough money to be comfortable, to pursue your own goals, etc?

>> No.12538321

>>12538302
Because for every person that makes money there is a person that loses money. It's just gambling.

>> No.12538955

>>12538302
It seems that /sci/ is full of PhD students living off a shitty 25k year stipend.

I completely agree with you about taking some initiative and making some money when you can. Anyone looking at bitcoin performance over the last 10 years can see a semblance of a pattern. I was really curious to see if I'd get any meaningful feedback about my though process, I guess not. \_(ツ)_/¯

>> No.12538970

>>12538955
You need to add this scenario

Scenario: 20% market correction in next 3 months

This would remove X amount of capital from people using it as a hedge

You must also quantify a coefficient for for sell offs which would rely in part on how many sell offs occur in what timespan before a runaway effect happens

Going up too quickly can also trigger a sell off

>> No.12539005

I bought LINK for 12 cents a piece at 10,000 from Etherdelta years ago. I don't hold BTC, and am just waiting for it to hit 30 dollars USD. If the SEC kicks in I have a sell price at 8 bux, but that would really suck. I'm expecting it to go to 30 next year, assuming we survive the next six months. Shoutout to the Ripple fags, lmaoooooo

>> No.12539320

>>12538321
I have no doubt that this is speculation for most, but it isn't gambling. Do you honestly believe that someone with an informational or procedural advantage isn't better placed to make money in crypto? There are around 6,500 crypto projects right now. The majority of them are scams. But some are not. Do you honestly believe that someone who does research cannot better place themselves to make money? Even if it WAS zero-sum, which I don't think is strictly true - some projects DO create value, same as the stock market - surely an intelligent person can place themselves at an advantage compared to others? This isn't roulette. It's also worth mentioning that the potential risk/reward is asymmetrical e.g. potentially lose 100% of your money invested vs potentially making 1000x returns. How can someone with a mathematical or statistical or even information-gathering edge not take an interest in that?

Again, I know it isn't all about money - not everyone wants to work themselves to death in an investment bank. But a PhD student could potentially take $100, do some well-informed research, code a bot, or codify a trading strategy, and never have to worry about finances ever again.

>>12538955
See, I dismissed it in around 2010, 2012, and 2017. I've now had enough time to realise there is SOMETHING to it. And like you said, there are definitely patterns.

>>12539005
Why not spin some of that off in to other projects instead of waiting for a 4x?

>> No.12539336

>>12537128
I could have bought bitcoin at $50 a coin. Heh.

Not that it matters, I would have sold it at $500 and used it to buy beer.

>> No.12539855

>>12539336
Heh, nothin personnel kid

>> No.12539871

>>12537128
Just train a neural network to predict bitcoin value

>> No.12540000

>>12538092
Which is why it's guaranteed to have a pop north of 45-50k

>> No.12540004

>>12540000
Those idiots are going to sell as soon as they make any money, and tumble some whale bots into sell outs.

A bubble will trigger, and Bitcoin will repeat the cycle of life that has kept it going.

Pump, Dump, Pump, Dump...
Bubble, Crash, Bubble, Crash...
Yet Bitcoin lives on...

>> No.12540010

>>12539871
Already did.
My mind is a neural network, trained on Bitcoin.

>> No.12540015

>>12538970
The too quick sell-off is going to happen.

Between 45-50k.

Personally, I play close to the chest, and wouldn't sell until 47.5k

I think an approach to 50k would trigger a mass sell off, it it gets close in the next week, a crash will happen.

>> No.12540016

>>12538321
Oh shit, anytime an employer pays an employee they lose money, and the employee makes money!

It's gambling! Someone loses money! Someone gains money!

>> No.12540018
File: 246 KB, 680x709, opsfacewhen.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
12540018

>>12540016

>> No.12540601
File: 7 KB, 246x250, neetpepe.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
12540601

>wake up
>shitpost on 4chin
>trigger libtards in youtube comment sections
>haha
>eat chicken tendies
>they are good
>thank you, chicken tendies
>check my coins
>they are up
>eat more tendies as a rewards for my superior intelligence
>life is good

>> No.12540642

Be warned:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tulip_mania

>> No.12540760
File: 13 KB, 1024x1024, Question_mark.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
12540760

>scholar.google crypto forecasting
>all papers published in literal who journals
What's the deal here? Is crypto forecasting a meme or are serious researchers snubbing it for no good reason?

>> No.12540833

>>12539320
>some projects DO create value
No they don't. It's literally just the illogical extension of fictional currencies. There is no value.

>> No.12540904
File: 1.88 MB, 5000x5000, btc_pepe.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
12540904

>>12540760
Quantitative finance journals are for graduate students to advertise themselves to hedge funds

Hedge funds keep their algorithms secret because public knowledge of them would eat into their returns

Their returns are in the millions so they have extremely strong incentives to guard them

Best way to get hired by a top hedge fund is to publish a result they've already discovered in private but haven't released

>> No.12541876

>>12540904
>only way for hedge to know you figured it out is to publicize it
>publicizing it loses you money
>why would you ever do this

>> No.12542573

infinite growth is retarded and doesn't even make sense.
So why is BTC constantly going up for no reason?
Where is the demand for bitcoin coming from, exactly? If it's pure speculation, fuck that noise. I'd believe it if third worlders were using it to get around their shitty currencies at least.
Stinks of a scam to me. Just because you can get in and out and profit doesn't make it not a scam.

>> No.12542593

>>12542573
It is the billionaires penny stock.

>> No.12542660

Crypto is the easiest way to get rich. Anyone who says it's gambling is just coping

>> No.12542673
File: 64 KB, 1268x408, 1588212812120.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
12542673

>>12537128
>dude, TA
dilate

>> No.12543656

>>12542573
Halving - Money Laundering - Pornhub

Go try to buy Pornhub premium, right now. Let me know what the payment methods are.

>> No.12543662

>>12543656
https://www.pornhubpremium.com/premium_signup/

That's the legit page to sign up for Pornhub premium.

After Mastercard and Visa turned their back on Pornhub, Bitcoin was still there, holding the umbrella, through the payment method rain.

Pornhub and Crypto are like Peanut Butter and Chocolate.

>> No.12543753

>>12540642
Right, but you know that Bitcoin has limited supply, right? Comparing it to tulip mania means you have zero knowledge of one or the other.

>> No.12543773

>>12543753
Yes, but it has zero real value, so if it's going to fall, it's going to fail spectacularly.

>> No.12543784

>>12540601
Chicken lowers testosterone. I know your shit posting but you should only be eating pork or beef, occasionally fatty fish like salmon or deenz. Poultry is the soi of the meat world.

>> No.12543790

>>12543784
coin is down :(

>> No.12543799

At some point people will realize that meme coin is a fundamentally worthless commodity and the price will crash to zero. I wonder when that will be.

>> No.12543824

>>12543773
If Bitcoin fails, all of crypto fails.

Right now, that would be a bigger collapse than Lehman brothers in 2008. (monetarily)

Adjusted for inflation, maybe not, but we are approaching the point, where Bitcoin by itself will be bigger than the biggest entities to fail and take their net worth with them.

>> No.12543825

>>12543790
Someone pulled a dump on a 1 billion USD transaction across Bitcoin a few hours ago.

Monday morning, markets just opened.

We'll probably hit a new all time high by Thursday at the latest.

Likely Wednesday.

Scared shorters/sellers will liquidate out by Tuesday, and they will have missed the boat, of the rise coming between now and next weekend.

>> No.12543830

Yet somehow Ethereum is almost at 1,000$

Mark my words /sci/, I've met Vitalik Buterin in person.

Ethereum will hit $2,000 this year.

Want to double your money? All in on it.

>> No.12543842

>>12543824
That's what happens with asset bubbles. A lot of people lose their money and a small number become insanely wealthy. Same thing happened with Tulip mania.

>> No.12543902

>>12543830
Amazon is safer and is garunteed to double and is drastically undervalued relative to the huge growth the past two quarters. Estimates right now place the target share price at $4150. It will be $6000 by end of year.

>> No.12544090

>>12540833
Ah, Dunning-Kruger in evidence here. That's utterly fucking wrong. Not every crypto is dogecoin.

>> No.12544138
File: 80 KB, 680x676, ballot.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
12544138

>>12544090
>hating on dogecoin?
>dogecoin is based
what?

>> No.12544706

>>12543842
Bitcoin can be used for trade, tulips are useless. So not the same thing at all.

>> No.12544723

>>12537128
please do binance coin can it it $75 to $100 this br

>> No.12546117
File: 16 KB, 275x183, thebraingame.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
12546117

>> No.12546148

>>12538955
The same lesson has been learned over and over since 1849 - if you want to get rich off a gold rush, sell shovels. If I were looking to profit off crypto I'd be looking at content creation around it, tools, etc.

>> No.12546157

>>12544090
Every currency is dogecoin. It just happens that some currencies are backed by governments.

>> No.12547725

Alright boys, Tuesday, time for the weak and feebles to sell out.

New all time high by the end of this week. Mark my words.

>> No.12547906

>>12537128
Semi-related question; why do bizfags love candlestick graphs so much? They don't seem to convey much information to me. What am I missing?

>> No.12547912

>>12547906
The box conveys the open and close, and the wicks show intraday high and low which is useful for volatility.

>> No.12547918

>>12537128
What a complete fucking waste of time lmao

>> No.12548076

>>12543824
>Right now, that would be a bigger collapse than Lehman brothers
lol no
bc is a fake market, no one is using it, transactions are rare.
It can collapse tomorrow and the world would be the same, exactly how it is still the same after it rose to quickly.

>> No.12548079

>>12538302
>It's an immature market, there's far more opportunity there than something like Forex
guys foxnews and cnn are in this thread careful

>> No.12548083

>>12542573
>infinite growth is retarded and doesn't even make sense.
you must hate the stock market lmao

>> No.12548123

This thread has nothing to do with science nor math, MODS move this compilation of horse vomit out if here.

>> No.12549242

>>12548123
u mad?

>> No.12549690

>>12548123
Stay poor

>> No.12549726

>>12537128
>>12537142
>>12537860
>>12540000
BTC will slam into the fucking ground when the tether scam gets exposed
>>12540010
>>12539871
What does it say about tether lawsuit?

>> No.12549859

>>1253783
This is the correct answer.

The number you make makes you confident, it doesn't make you more right.

>> No.12549871

>>12549242
>>12549690
/biz/ is leaking scammers left and right

MODS MOVE THIS THREAD ALREADY

>> No.12549992

>>12549871
>bitcoin is a scam
>worth more than a pound of gold

>> No.12550009

>>12549992
The value of something is not determined by the price a retard pays for it.

>> No.12550032

>>12549992
You don't even understand the actual meaning of value, scammer.

>> No.12550039

>>12550009
>>12550032
-adjusts glasses-
>akshully
hahaha nerds

>> No.12550045

>>12550039
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6mjuAjtqMoY

>> No.12550684
File: 17 KB, 400x400, hathor.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
12550684

honestly, for 1 bitcoin you can have

118 000 HTR

Bitcoin is at 640 billion usd
whole market is almost 1 trillion and yes willbe 2-3 more soon.

But HTR is ETH at 50 cents and basically at 50 million marketcap

It will be much easier for hathor.network to go 100x

just dyor

>> No.12550871

Bitcoin went up from 20k to 30k in a matter of weeks. Suddenly, it was announced that banks can pay with bitcoin? The elite are insider traders in this system too

>> No.12550882

I've been punching myself for not getting into this for a decade now. When do I get into Bitcoin?

>> No.12550892
File: 93 KB, 660x574, pepe.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
12550892

How do I buy bitcoin

>> No.12550896

>>12550892
whenever people start posting about bitcoin is not a good time to buy it. Wait until you dont hear about bitcoin for a while, and buy it then.

>> No.12551525

>>12550896
this is dumb

this is how you get caught not making money

Check price trend, difficulty, news, etc...

Understand what makes the market move, and by how much.

Invest when you know it will increase.

Right now, Bitcoin is slated for a bull run. It will probably not peak before 45,000.

It is currently 35,000.

Do with that information, what you will.

>> No.12551740
File: 17 KB, 703x395, hzpl.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
12551740

>>12551525
fomo is not making money
The best you can say is buy the dip, not predict market based on lines you draw on paper. There is no telling which set of lines if correct. You aren't even advocating for that astrology level analysis. You say market is green for go so buy. Which peak are you talking about by the way?
Back to biz shillfag

>> No.12551757

>>12551740
Oh I'm a longer bruh.

When I say peak 45-50k, I mean it's going to hit that mark, then plummet to like... 16-24k for some weeks

There's a small opportunity to make money, but it's right now, in terms of buy in.

If you miss the boat before 43.5k don't buy.

Anytime before then, why not make some booty?

For the real OG's, buy after the upcoming "crash"

>> No.12552177

Made $100, thanks OP

>> No.12552240

>>12537128
Bitcoin is finite.

Finite payment system that ends.

But buying now is a profitable investments even for future of humanity.

>> No.12552955

>>12544706
Bitcoin is literally has no use case due to the limited technology behind it. Everyone knows this.
>>12548076
>It can collapse tomorrow and the world would be the same
No it wouldn't. GPUs would finally be in stock and at a regular price again. Fuck miners.

>> No.12553114

>>12552955
It is scalpers that did it this time fuck. Why don't you nerds develop a website they don't immediately bot order from.

>> No.12553669

I bought some around 2018 and pretty much forgot about it, now it's worth three times the original value, from what I read from this thread, should I hold until it hits 50k and then sell? I don't trust those cultists from biz with this stuff.

>> No.12553743

>>12553669
No wrong answer, it all depends on your risk tolerance. Bitcoin is a bubble waiting to pop and you're standing the risk of losing it all once the price takes a nose dive. You're not going to get perfect timing and sell the day before the crash so you might as well make peace with that and sell to get some actual gains while you still can.

>> No.12553849

>>12543825
>We'll probably hit a new all time high by Thursday at the latest.

Just sayin', this poster hit the nail on the head on that one, maybe the rest of his posts will check out too?

>> No.12555296

>Bitcoin is a machine that makes free money for everyone

No, it's a zero-sum game, based on human psychology and it cannot be predicted by any means.

For instance, can you explain why it rocketed from 6k and is now reaching 100k?
It was 6k for years, literal years. And nothing changed. It wasn't developed in any way during this time.

>> No.12555359

>>12555296
Because JP Morgan says so.

-duh-

Get with the times, Boomer.

>> No.12555388

>>12537128
It's going to be worth nothing when it gets shut down later this year.

>> No.12555577

>>12537128
Jesus fucking christ, just imagine if Von Neumann was born today. He would have a field day with this shit.

A deflationary asset with proof of work behind it, this shit is better than %99.9 of the accepted currencies we use.

>> No.12555629
File: 60 KB, 699x485, 430.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
12555629

>>12555296
It can only go up, so returns on my investments can only go up!

>> No.12555690

>>12550871
Correct.

It's easy to see by looking at how many bitcoins are actually in circulation and traded. Less than 4%. It's the greatest scam ever.

>> No.12555788
File: 9 KB, 219x230, 1609826150087.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
12555788

>>12543773
>it has zero value
>literally trading for $39,000 USD today
ngmi
nocoiners are retarded

>> No.12555817

>>12537128
Cryptoniggers are striking again.
I'll just wait for the crash :^)

>> No.12557371

>>12537860
When do u think it will go to around 15k $ again?

>> No.12557938

>>12557371
tomorrow

>> No.12558150

>>12557938
Screenshot

>> No.12558165

>>12540016
Retard

>> No.12558171

>>12537128
It can't grow forever.
Once people get enough money, feel the adrenaline and fear it will sink.
All these bitcoin shill threads and news are just retarded /biz/ faggots trying to pump it all they can until it crashes.

>> No.12558538

>>12558171
> It can't grow forever.
fiat money buying an asset
he doesnt know about this printer technology

>> No.12559414

>>12558171
>attempting to pump with you broke faggots

Not likely. Takes billions to move the market by any frightening amount.

>> No.12559497

>>12555788
>>12555788
zero REAL value. Meaning nothing will stop it when it starts falling, as it has literally no uses whatsoever.

>> No.12559543

>>12559497
>zero REAL value. Meaning nothing will stop it when it starts falling, as it has literally no uses whatsoever.
USD also has zero real value - it's just some papers or 0's and 1's.
Diamonds also barely have value, gold outside of electronics is also useless.
What really has value: water, food, land, oil and other energy sources, weapons and cute anime girls.

Not a shitcoin shill though.

>> No.12559547

܂

>> No.12559556
File: 147 KB, 891x436, pizzacoin.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
12559556

Imagine being the guy who spent 10,000 bitcoin on a pizza and seeing what each bitcoin is worth now.

>> No.12559563
File: 92 KB, 1474x481, xe.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
12559563

>>12559556
Hope he got the toppings he liked.

>> No.12559672

>>12559556
You could say the same about any coin that did a 100x this week.

>> No.12559703

>>12559543
All currency is backed by gold. Learn some basics before sinking your whole money into a scam.
>Not a shitcoin shill though.
Ah, good.

>> No.12559708

>>12559556
If you try to cash out 10,000 bitcoin right now, the whole market will crash.

>> No.12559783

>>12542573
End cycle luxury speculation

>> No.12561430

>>12559703
When did you learn about that? The Bretton Woods system was canceled literally fifty years ago.

>> No.12561433

>>12559543
>USD also has zero real value - it's just some papers or 0's and 1's.
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hyperinflation

>> No.12561514

>>12561430
Fuck, it's all fiat now?

I'd go into coins but >>12555690 is a good point.

>> No.12561522

>>12559543
The USD has value because you can use it to buy stuff. You can barely buy anything with memecoin, and the moment vendors start adopting it, governments will step in and ban it.

>> No.12561545
File: 300 KB, 512x512, 1609858386458.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
12561545

>>12537128

had been trading BTC and other crypto scams in 2019 - was fun and a great experience in trading, didn't lose squat, didn't win big either barely made it with a few hundred bucks upside

the last leg BTC is standing on is "store of value"

well that store of value is of no use in any of these scenarios:

- quantum computing getting to a point where its useful and able to screw any encryption

- (inter)net, power availablity

- government crackdown, once they shill their own digitial currencies (on their way ...) why would they tolarate this still small yet growing "cancer"

- trace-ability hodl your shit offline all you want, its of no use there and they could easily find out where the leads end

- all kinds of hacks, exploits and the still by crypto shills disregarded "stable coin" scams that pumped btc probably since their inception

till then enjoy your gamble, you could win big - or get shaken out like 90% or more of average joe users that EVER held even a fraction of crypto scams

>> No.12561707

>>12561545
>quantum computing getting to a point where its useful and able to screw any encryption
That's an old meme which was never true.

>> No.12561730

Yes, good goy. Don't take your money out of the ponzi- uhh I mean smart investment scheme. Just keep 'hodl'ing. Don't worry goy, your money is safe with me.

>> No.12562031

>>12537128
>TA
>>>/x/

>> No.12562784

>>12561707
quantum computer can break ecdsa used by bitcoin
quantum computer with only 1000 qubits can run schnors algorithm and recover any private key from seeing a public key

it takes on average 10 minutes from you sending a transaction to the bitcoin network, for that transcation to be included in a block
in that time a quantum computer can run the schnors algorithm, recover the private key and make a different transaction paying higher fee and now that one is included in the next block
your coins are now mine

bitcoin ded.
anyone who tries to fix bitcoin ala lets hard fork and use a solution is the king the central bank and the emperor of the bitcoin
which also makes it no different than fiat usd, aside that bitcoin is wasting 1000000x more energy in the process of being fiat.

>> No.12562901

bitcoin is speculation on USD collapse (ie. USA collapse). all other cryptos are centered around bitcoin and probably always will be. they will probably never actually be used as currency, even if the USD/USA did completely collapse. they exist purely to be speculated upon.

all currency speculation is harmful, 'mined' cryptocurrencies are truly heinous. 'mining crypto' is the act of material sacrifice to the god of 'WEALTH=POWER=SECURITY'.

>> No.12563041

>>12562784
Convex thinker detected.

>> No.12563064

>>12543662
>https://www.pornhubpremium.com/premium_signup/

my coin doesn't matter ;( Gibs Visa Mastercarb

>> No.12563220

I want to buy bitcoin but how would I cash out?

>> No.12563300

>>12550871
Institutional investors have caused the recent pump aye

>> No.12563302

>>12550871
It's quite genius if they are
Suck up the suckers piling in.
Deposit gains from the pump into offshore comfy accounts
Job done

>> No.12563305

>>12563220
Presumably with the same platform you buy in. E.g. Coinbase in the US or Kraken in Europe.

>> No.12563306

>>12562901
I will never forgive the miners fro ruining PC component prices and stock levels

I can't find comfy priced and available CPU and GPUs because of these bell ends
I hope they get bummed

>> No.12563308

>>12562784
>bitcoin is wasting 1000000x more energy in the process of being fiat.
All that computing power to discover proteins?
Nope. Idiots say no

>> No.12563314

>>12537128
apparently there were/are a bunch of bitcoin addresses sending bitcoin between themselves to inflate the price

>> No.12563325

>>12563300
yeah because they detected how fucking retarded the 'retail investors' are and how successful a bunch of nobodies were in fleecing them, so they decided to get in on it

>> No.12563360

>>12559497
You say cryptocurrencies have zero value because you don't understand a thing about it, educate yourself you fucking coinlet

>> No.12563365
File: 3.28 MB, 635x640, NOT_SELLING.gif [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
12563365

>>12549871
cry bitch nigger

>> No.12563368
File: 259 KB, 2048x911, 1609348480774.gif [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
12563368

>>12537128
there are index funds and other investors who invest in bitcoin now. this will be the second great depression.

>> No.12563395

>>12563314
[Citation Needed]

That's not how orderbook inflation was taking place, and hasn't been an issue in years.

>>12563306
Not Bitcoin's fault as of today.
GPU's and CPU's are being snatched up by scalper bots and resold via eBay/Amazon at a price premium.
Crypto is hands off on this one, buddy. Bitcoin has been responsible for this situation in the past, but as of right now, Bitcoin has nothing to do with your PC hardware sales. Bitcoin has basically been ASIC only for reasonable mining returns since 2014.

>> No.12563416

>>12561522
>>https://www.pornhubpremium.com/premium_signup/

>moment vendors start accepting it

That moment happened 9 years ago in 2012.
Now, for some vendors, it's the only option because Mastercard and VISA think they own the planet.

>> No.12563423

>>12563395
No, in the UK it's rigs.
People are calling to buy up the stock

>> No.12563426

>>12563416
>Mastercard and VISA think they own the planet.
This is the only reason and credit I give the concept of bitcoin.
The rest is hype and fluff

>> No.12563435

>>12563423
Not Bitcoin's fault.

It might have given these idiots the idea, but you can't get reasonable mining returns (for Bitcoin) with NVIDIA GPU's at ALL, and the returns for mining with AMD's BEST GPU as of right now, is probably less than you could make just offering to mow people's lawns for cash.

>> No.12563440

holy fuck i'm glad for this thread. i just want to get something off my chest noone cares about but since i'm banned on /biz/
>>>/biz/25758874
The company has previously worked with leading global companies such as Venmo, Airbnb, PayPal, Nike, and Sonos. It has also been involved in designing Discord, a major social community platform.
>Discord
failure written over your bloodshot dead eyes. but hey atleast they're doing it through representative democracy. democracy will be the failure of polkadot, it might have it's good golden decade. $30k to change the combination of letters and change its block explorer color from pink. the world of crpytocurrency opens up for you if you delete bitcoin and ethereum as two redundant and obtuse coins, seriously.

anyways op, i saved an academic thesis from some dude who worked at an investment group blackrock or ripple labs or whatever you can read about it here, much of it i don't understand but you do you

oh yea bitcoins also worthless, the halvings are just a self fulfilling prophecy. dyor is a cringe statement. but position yourself in cryptocurrencies that are better than bitcoin when the market catches up to reality it's a dead shitcoin https://blog.plan99.net/the-resolution-of-the-bitcoin-experiment-dabb30201f7

https://s3-us-west-1.amazonaws.com/fundamental-valuation-framework-for-cryptoassets/A+Fundamental+Valuation+Framework+for+Cryptoassets_June+2018.pdf

>> No.12563441

>>12563435
It is Bitcoin speculator's fault.
I agree but madness of crowds and all

>> No.12563442

>>12537162
VALUE
hahaha

>> No.12563445

>>12563440
Post a thread on whats going on on here, on sci and how it affects us

>> No.12563448

>>12563395
I remember reading about it a few years back on hacker news or something similar. Don't care enough to find it again.
>[Citation Needed]
back to rebbit friend

>> No.12563452

>>12563440
Tell us more seemingly based anon
What is going on with the Bitcoin pump and what will happen?
What does this tell us about economics and society?

>> No.12563454

>>12563445
what are you implying, i'm banned from posting on biz and i watch highschool dropouts get high on gambling money without being capable of telling them that

>> No.12563457

>>12540004
All pyramid schemes require new members signing up which is what is happening

>> No.12563463

>>12563454
I meant the points you raised about bitcoin. Deserves a thread. Your linked posts were interesting

>> No.12563468

>>12563457
>You now remember ACN

>> No.12563470
File: 14 KB, 329x499, 31dAaWOs9cL._SX327_BO1,204,203,200_.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
12563470

>>12563452
bitcoin is just trending and that trend hasn't ended yet (that's my own simplest knowledge)

it goes up because cash is trash and much like the stock market and even gold, all assets go up like that because they are quoted in usd (i learn from peter schiff along with things like that about true economics) i'm not the smartest guy in the room. but i've exposed myself to these markets for only a few years and unlike my companions on biz who can't learn anything. but yea the stock market isn't economics, again you just watch peter schiff podcasts and read this book. make sure you're in the field of austrian economics, which is predominantly logic based

>> No.12563482

>>12563463
heres another article https://www.ingwb.com/media/2151406/why_bitcoin_to_become_niche_asset.pdf

i realized this the other day, bitcoin just drains money from projects with technological development. i used this analogy from a recent interview with peter schiff on saying how america has drained the resources from other developing countries just so they can consume instead of produce, and peter's hypothesis is that the emerging markets will boom because of the us dollars collapse. i used that analogy how bitcoin is neither intrinsically valuable nor appreciated for it's tech (other than durr its simplicity). honestly i try to stray away from speculation as much as possible and look at the facts, is bitcoin used, maybe it is, i don't use it. people speculate that bitcoin is going to be a store of value, well why would i try and predict the future if gold is a store of value right now, that is the fact

>> No.12563487

>>12563482
>>12563470
good

>> No.12563513

>>12537142
>a sample sized based on 3

>> No.12563521

>>12563457

It doesn't matter whether it's a pyramid scheme or not, frankly if you believe it is, at this stage, that's fine and understandable, but only if you also think stocks are pyramid schemes.

I know, I know, it's not a direct comparison, but for the average laymen who doesn't own Bitcoin OR stocks, it's the fucking same.
We see the numbers, we hear people talking about them, we know if we have some, they're worth some amount of money.

Point is, Bitcoin hasn't gone away, in the more than 10 years it's been around.
It's going up, and people still believe in, talk about, use it, buy it, sell it, etc...

>> No.12563530

>>12563482
understandable, but also makes you sound like a gold bug.

>> No.12563543

>>12563470
>>12563482
People take this Schiff guy, someone who has been saying the same (wrong) thing for 20 years, is a shovel seller, and got busted for tax fraud seriously? If he actually believed the dollar was going to collapse, he would incur as much debt as possible in USD and use that to buy actually useful assets like land, real estate, etc. Moving to gold makes little sense to combat hyperinflation.

>> No.12563544

>>12563530
ethereum is more kin to digital gold than bitcoin because it has a market of other people need ethereum to function in their operations, like physical gold. bitcoin has no market other than transacting and agreeing on its value other than pure speculation. i'm not a gold bug i just think bitcoin is useless and ethereum exists in a competitive market and might get out competed. monero is a better bitcoin because it has a private ledger and bitcoins whitepaper says middlemen one too many times when middlemen run bitcoin operations

>> No.12563555

>>12563543
i don't know peter schiff personally and don't care about what he is like other than he is the same student of economics as that thomas sowell guy as i linked his book. they study the same things and say similar opinions

>> No.12563560
File: 449 KB, 633x950, 1593774258490.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
12563560

>>12559497
>zero REAL value.

Gold also has zero real value, with some minor applications in electronics and mostly female jewelery.

And yet there it is..

>> No.12563595

>>12563560
Gold has natural scarcity and it can be held in the hand. I'd rather have bullets in the safe, but Bitcoin is just going to get obsoleted by a better coin. It is something like betting Windows 3.1

>> No.12563597

>>12538302
cryptocurrency is actually a first market in which economic students are capable of engaging in their profound theories, it's very intriguing. i mean what was here a few decades ago? E-cash? Bitgold? gold, silver, fiat... seashells? now there are thousands of economic theories competing to be the best, there is a lot of opportunity in that. switch to economics and programming and create your own cryptocurrency, what have you. it might fail there is no doubt in experimentation

>> No.12563641
File: 209 KB, 1176x1200, 1610224756415.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
12563641

>>12563595
>Gold has natural scarcity

Bitcoin has algorithmic scarcity and can be held in the hand, if you're dumb enough to carry around one in physical form.

>but Bitcoin is just going to get obsoleted by a better coin

Hearing this weak ass argument since 2013 by people who miss out on every major run-up.

We don't need you to make money, it matters not to me if you remain in your little corner collecting shiny gold coins.

>> No.12563676

>>12563641
As if 2013 is all that long ago. Trashcan. You are betting on the first shitcoin.

>> No.12563691

>>12537128
How is this thread still on /sci/ this is what the janitors are not being paid for.

>> No.12563733

Till now I have made money with only one thing in my mind

STONKS ONLY GO UP MY FREN

It's just that, if you really believe that Bitcoin is better that fiat cuckerrencies, just hodl, if you don't, Bogdanoff will teach you stautistics

>> No.12564508

>>12562784
>quantum computer can break ecdsa
There are efficient quantum algorithms solving the discrete logarithm problem, yes, but you can use longer keys or different algorithms for mitigation.
>ecdsa used by bitcoin
Bitcoin uses SHA256
>in that time a quantum computer can run the schnors algorithm, recover the private key
Ah, that's what you mean. See above, just increase key length or use a different protocol. SHA256 is the blockchain standard, can't change that without a reset, but the transport protocol is exchangeable.

Quantum computers in general do not endanger present communication, only the past. That's why the NSA etc built gigantic data graves saving pretty much everything - to be able to decrypt it in retrospect.

>> No.12564774

>>12563454
I have 200K in crypto. I'm 18 years old. My initial is 2K. Tell me your best advice.

>> No.12564832

Hahaha oh wow this thread is filled with seething self-proclaimed geniuses and their massive COPE for missing out on yet another obvious bullrun in the most cyclical of all assets.
EOY2021:
BTC 250k
ETH 10k
LINK 300

DCA, BTFD, HODL

>> No.12564845

I'm retarded and I bought LINK at 20 cents
you're good at maths and you missed out
lol

>> No.12564851

We're crashing hard bois. The rollercoaster is going down

>> No.12564852

>>12544706
Bitcoin is useless as a currency due to its "feature" of limited supply, which means permanent deflation and no spending.

Ironically the same factor that makes it so attractive as a commodity (limited supply) makes it worthless as a currency, due to Gresham's Law. (Bad money drives out good money). This means that nobody wants to spend their bitcoins to buy stuff due to the permanent BTC deflation built into the system. That Swedish guy that made the news back in 2011 for buying an apartment with BTC when a BTC was worth $1 dolar probably wants to kill himself now.

Anyway, Bitcoin has two major problems. First of all as explained above, it is worthless as a currency, there is barely any market for buying stuff with bitcoin aside from illegal shit and a few websites that try to be trendy. Pornhub may allow you to pay with bitcoin but are people actually paying them with bitcoins? I doubt it's that many people. People just hoard bitcoins as if they were gold bars due to the permanent deflation bug/feature. But unlike gold, bitcoin is not a physical good, it really has no use outside of illegal transactions.

The second problem is that Tether is a scam which has been used to pump up BTC. Tether hasn't been properly audited since 2016.

My prediction is that once the Tether scam is discovered, the whole house of cards will come crashing down.

>> No.12565198

>>12563555
read keen and wolf

>> No.12565200

>>12564852
please tell us of this tether thing ?

>> No.12565208

>>12563676
>As if 2013 is all that long ago. Trashcan. You are betting on the first shitcoin.

My bet has been extremely lucrative.

>> No.12565275

Ok, what we're experiencing right now, is the weekend slump.

It's quite a common phenomenon with Bitcoin, that it has a decrease/drop on weekends.

What will be interesting to see here, is if the weekend slump triggers a larger sell off.

If that happens, we might see a tumble next week.

If that doesn't happen, we'll continue seeing a bullrun that will peak around Wednesday-Thursday of this upcoming week, possibly even going into Friday.

If the large sell off is triggered, we'll see the results of that within a few hours, not sure how low it will drop if the large sell is triggered.
Could dip below 20k, but given the length of typical Bitcoin bull runs and current timings/ATH, I would bet more that we'll continue rising this week.

PS I was the anon with the previous correct predictions in this thread.

>> No.12565282

>>12564851
see
>>12565275

I've been in Bitcoin for about a decade now.

Weekend drops are normal.

They CAN trigger larger sell-offs, but usually not in a prolonged bull-run, without some other bad news occurring.

>> No.12565365

>>12563521
that's cause of media hype the adverts are everywhere here now like on buses and shit where you never saw them before. big money attracting bigger money (the sum of the masses). currency is not meant to be traded like stocks and that's pretty much all it is being used for right now in its current form.

>> No.12565385

>>12564508
> Bitcoin uses SHA256
Oh fucking IQ 85 brainlet get out here

bitcoin uses the secp256k1 curve

> just increase key length or use a different protocol
absolute retard detected I cant even
just go and buy more coins and HODL go buy

>> No.12565397

>>12565200
Tether FUD is what the buttcoiners reuse now since they havent invented anything new since 2017

Im the quantum computers will totally fuck bitcoin in the ass guy
these are the buttcoiners FUDs they used since 2009

> 2009 magic internet money
> 2010, cant even scale block size spammed to unusable
> 2011, buttcoin since it crashed from 30 to 2 dollars
> 2012, buttcoin buttcorn
> 2013, overflow bug bitcoin is broken deal with it 219 gazillion bitcoins created
> 2014, it crashed we told you so, mt gox hacked
> 2015, magic mt gox money, roger stole your money
> 2016, too late for you now, 1 coin is above 100 dollars anyway
> 2017 bitcoin isnt real Tether is price manipulating
> 2018, see we told you so, it crashed
> 2019, cant even scale
> 2020, its tied to the market and crashes like every stock
> 2021, tether bitfinex cryptocapital colombian drug lords are pumping up the price with fake money its not real
...

>> No.12565951

>>12565397
>2016
>100 dollars
Bruh it broke 1000 in 2016
>2018 crash
Crash? Son it never dipped below 3000 in 2018
>2019 scale?
Sure thing broham, Peer to Peer will never scale. Never has. Nope. Never threatened any other industries with P2P anything. Nope. Never.
>2020 tied to the market
So... Like everything else in our modern economy?
>2021 You tried to make a point
You didn't.

>> No.12565957

>>12565951

>>12565397
I'm not trying to shut you down btw, please continue, this is entertaining. I've done everything I'm required to do today, watching you grasp at straws will fill the gaps where I used to go to bars and such.

>> No.12565978

the arguments for bitcoin havent grown stronger for bitcoin, they do grow weaker as new tech makes the stark contrasts. the argument then has changed from peer-to-peer free of middlemen to just a store of value. if whales started transacting in another coin that was not bitcoin, bitcoin loses it's last use case, then becomes a zombie chain, that is the vernacular.

>> No.12565990

>>12537142
>my analysis
>excel spreadsheet
lol
no one has ever been able to successfully explain to me how crypto works. it's all a ponzi scheme

>> No.12566257

>>12565385
Fucking idiot I was talking about mining. Can you read?

>absolute retard detected I cant even
Hurr durr so you have no clue about cryptography. Understood.

Dunning-Kruger victims in here I swear.

>> No.12566376

>>12565990
Sorry bro, Bitcoin enthusiasts spent the last 10 years trying to explain it to people. (I'm one, I don't type it up anymore, so you can just continue to call it a ponzi scheme if you're waiting on my personal explanation.)

If you want to figure it out, I encourage you to go read one of the ten bazillion articles that explain it, watch one of the thousands of videos that explain it, or go play with dogecoin until you understand it.

https://www.dogecoinfah.com/

You can actually contribute to Folding@Home and earn dogecoin simultaneously.

Make a wallet, send some around, see what you can do with it.

Realize that Bitcoin is the same, but with a much more vast amount of vendors that accept it, and a more fleshed out ecosystem for secondary tools that assist with owning, trading, and using it.

>> No.12566396

>>12565990
Here's a simple use case and example, that might show you just the slightest hint of utility, if for nothing more than archiving and historical record purposes. Imagine if Rome had been using Bitcoin.

You ever hear the story, of the guy that spent 10,000 Bitcoin on a couple of pizzas to eat for dinner?

It happened May 22nd, 2010.

I didn't look up a news article. It's not marked on my calendar.

https://www.blockchain.com/btc/address/17SkEw2md5avVNyYgj6RiXuQKNwkXaxFyQ

That's the transaction.

You can go view it, right now. There's been a few transactions sent to/from that address, but there it is.

Can you show me all of the cash transactions that some random guy on the internet had, for any date in 2010?

You can't.

Bitcoin can.

ponzi or not, that's a utilitarian use case, that the very thing ALL OTHER ponzi schemes could never do, since they didn't rely on a transactional system, with an open public ledger. (Sure you can argue that you can pull a Mastercard or VISA report on some other ponzi schemes that existed pre-Bitcoin, but I would be willing to bet you real hard cash, that VISA/Mastercard, don't just hand their ledgers out like that, for any individuals' card usage.)

>> No.12566433

>>12566396
>I didn't look up a news article. It's not marked on my calendar.
>
>https://www.blockchain.com/btc/address/17SkEw2md5avVNyYgj6RiXuQKNwkXaxFyQ
>
>That's the transaction.
>
>You can go view it, right now. There's been a few transactions sent to/from that address, but there it is.

so what
it's good for book keeping?

>> No.12567892

Thanks a lot. I just lost 6 years worth of savings

>> No.12568009

>>12537142
>>12537128
I honestly can't tell is this is parody or sincere.

>> No.12568533

>>12566257
> I was talking about mining.
mining is irrelevant and adds no security to your coins

your coins are only secured by ecdsa, nothing else
break ecdsa, your coins are my coins

get that thru your thick skull
mining, hashpower does not keep your coins secure.

>> No.12568826

>>12539005
I got in at about 40 Cent. I've taken back profit several times my initial investment. Not selling the rest for 5 years or a price of over $100 a token, whichever comes first.

>> No.12568996

This thread aged like milk lmao

>> No.12569014

>>12568996
We're going back to 20k

>> No.12569035

>>12537128
Isn't the typical reaction for whatever reason to lose 38% of the tippity top? Say 41K? Lets say 41-15 = 26K. Then 52K so you can make double from there. We are almost there already.

>> No.12569088

I got in at 39K thinking I could still double my money thanks to OPs excellent analysis. I'm shitting my pants right now down 20%. I need to pay off my car

>> No.12569136

>>12569088
recover your losses, minimize your loss.
google already has quantum computers

soon quantum computers will available for hobbyists like PCs where in 80s

bitcoin has 2 years more to live, tops.
its cryptography is from 2008, just not designed to be quantum safe.

as Ive explained, schnors algorithm can calculate the private key upon seeing any public key, which you have to reveal in order to send coins.
blocks are produced on 10min average
a quantum computer has entire 10 minutes to steal your coins and send them to the owner of the quantum computer.

anybody claiming bitcoin can just fork to solve it, means complete redesign of its basic principles, if anybody has the power to orchestrate such a change - bitcoin is then not needed as that person obviously has the power to also change the inflation schedule another fundamental of bitcoin.
bitcoin is in that case no different than a central fiat issued papier money.

>> No.12569149
File: 176 KB, 686x378, bobo-crash-market-cursor-blinking.gif [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
12569149

This didn't age well. My bag will be huge in a couple months.

>> No.12569160

>>12569088
Dude there are literal ads on this board with Pepe telling you to buy BTC. How did you buy into this being the time to make money

>>12569136
Quantum computers are a meme weirdo

>> No.12569187

>>12568533
>get that thru your thick skull
I'm not the one with zero reading comprehension here, pal.
t. cybersec major

>mining is irrelevant and adds no security to your coins
But to transactions, that's the whole point of blockchain.

You're still completely wrong in assuming quantum computers will just "break" discrete logarithm-based algos. You sound like you read an article 10 years ago and never cared to check if it was true.

>> No.12569193
File: 4 KB, 178x180, 1605939223736s.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
12569193

>>12537128
can i buy bitcoin with 10 bucks

>> No.12569241

>>12569136
>schnors algorithm can calculate the private key upon seeing any public key
Here, read this:
>The latest quantum resource estimates for breaking a curve with a 256-bit modulus (128-bit security level) are 2330 qubits and 126 billion Toffoli gates.[43]
How do you think these resources scale with increasing key length? What happens when you square it?
And then also read
>Supersingular Isogeny Diffie–Hellman Key Exchange provides a post-quantum secure form of elliptic curve cryptography by using isogenies to implement Diffie–Hellman key exchanges
And finally understand that only past communication is affected, which is why so many data centers are built right now.
Do you really think it's that difficult to create a new bitcoin adress/private key?

>> No.12569772

>>12569193
You're in dreamland, sorry kirby anon

>> No.12570208
File: 269 KB, 1620x1215, emlol.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
12570208

>>12569187
omfg cybersec major
> mining is relevant to secure transactions, thats the whole point of blockchain
he says

as if the security of anything depended on mining.
absolute facepalm

>> No.12570230

>>12569241
> these resources scale with increasing key length
1 000 qubit already exists
increasing key length wont solve the problem, its not a classic computer attack where increasing muh key length adds orders of magnitude more brute force required to break it
double the key length, ok, just add 2 more qubits

> understand that only past communication is affected
lol, u w0t m8?
bitcoin doesnt use DH key exchange retard.

y u in here spreading cheap misunderstandings to protect the renome of a shitcoin such as bitcoin?

>> No.12570318

>>12570208
Not that guy, but it partially does

>> No.12570351

>>12569014
I don't actually think the dip is that low.

Price floor appears above 32,000.

This is more likely a bear trap than a bull trap.

The rise was too low to be a bull trap, homie.

If Bitcoin isn't below $30,000 tomorrow afternoon, this is still a bull run.

>> No.12570376

>>12570208
Hurr durr then riddle me this, newfag.

What is the idea of _validating_ a block before sending it to the chain?

Fucking pathetic.

>> No.12570400

>>12570230
>1 000 qubit already exists
Not error-corrected, and that's a major prerequisite for Shor's.

https://www.technologyreview.com/2019/05/30/65724/how-a-quantum-computer-could-break-2048-bit-rsa-encryption-in-8-hours/
>In 2015, researchers estimated that a quantum computer would need a billion qubits to do the job reliably.
>Now Gidney and Ekerå have shown how a quantum computer could do the calculation with just 20 million qubits.
>just 20 million qubits

>double the key length, ok, just add 2 more qubits
Another one who doesn't understand complexity theory. Tell me, how does Shor's algorithm scale with key length?

>bitcoin doesnt use DH key exchange
I know, it uses ecdsa as mentioned several times in here. The point is that it can easily be modified to account for the advent of quantum computers capable of "breaking" it.
>y u in here spreading cheap misunderstandings to protect the renome of a shitcoin such as bitcoin?
I'm not, I'm the one who called it a scam before. I'm fighting misinformation about quantum computing.

>retard
no u

>> No.12570457

>>12570400

Ok, let's say a group does develop a quantum computer and algorithm that would readily break the current ECDSA implementation.

How could/would Bitcoin respond?

Would they be able to freely move/transfer around all the wallet inputs and outputs on the ledger, until a hard fork occurred?

Will Bitcoin somehow KNOW when a quantum computer developer is nearing the milestones necessary to dismantle ECDSA and the way it's currently being implemented?

Or could this situation occur without warning, forcing panic AND a required hard fork?

>> No.12570511

https://www.truthcoin.info/blog/pow-cheapest/

>> No.12570667
File: 106 KB, 305x229, hi.gif [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
12570667

>>12569187
https://keys.lol

>> No.12570676

>>12570351
Yeah it's hovering. Maybe it's just taking a break for the next push?

>> No.12570678
File: 101 KB, 785x731, soyjak breaking down in tears.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
12570678

>>12559497
>i-i-it's not REAL value!

>> No.12570703

>>12559497
it will when you can legally pin it to assets and shares such as shared land, as it is meant to be a token. but btc is still trash design. and you can own assets and shares with existing contracts anyways.

>> No.12570720

>>12570457
>How could/would Bitcoin respond?
It responded by introducing pay to public key hash, which keeps it secret until a transaction is performed. After using the key pair for a transaction once, it's discarded and a new one generated. Most wallets implement this anyway.

>> No.12571036

>>12570720
Yeah, but there would still be a hard fork, yeah?

>> No.12571041

>>12570676
It's called a bear trap homie.

Some sell-offs occur for previous high peak buyers to recoup losses or cut profit.

That triggers panic sellers.

Bitcoin is starting to get some rubber banding from tech stock behaviors, so since some tech stocks took some hits, so did BTC.

Combining the stock dips, and the bear trap sellers, the dip looks significant, but in actuality, this is a speedbump.

It would have to floor out at sub 20k to undo the bull run that is occurring.

I pushed my earlier prediction back by a few days at most.

I'm still seeing an overall rise between now and 01/20/21

I'm looking forward to seeing what the inauguration does to the price.

>> No.12571291

>>12563470
>make sure you're in the field of Austrian economics, which is predominantly logic based
>t. retard

>> No.12571488

>>12571041

And as of right now, there's a little cushion above the price floor.

If there is not a drop of more than 5% tomorrow, the recent hiccup was assuredly a bear trap.

In which case, expect it to break 40-45k by 01/19/2021

>> No.12571548

>>12561514
>Fuck, it's all fiat now?
yes and it has been for ages, that's why the US can print a shit tone of money. Also Gold is a speculative asset as much as Bitcoin is as gold does not get it's value from its utility (although it exists).

>> No.12571714

Buy Chainlink

>> No.12571730

>>12570376
"validating" does not provide security for YOUR COINS
only to not double spend, "hurr durr batt wat is the difference" lil cybersec major asked. go on.

Ill reiterate this again since the class is slow today

hashrate does not add any security to your coins
mining power does not secure your coins

your coins are only secured by the discrete logarithm problem, as any other PKI using ecdsa.


> citing quantum computer paper from 2015
again facepalm

>>12570400
> it can easily be modified to account for the advent of quantum computers
sure, really sure, now bitcoin cant be easily modified to even increase blocksize to 2 or 8mb,
but now you God Emperor of Bitcoin will just decide and bitcoin will change its signing algorithm to a quantum safe one. right.

hilarious, if anyone has that power to change bitcoin, then go and use fiat currency where humans are already in command.

anyone who can change bitcoin ecdsa to another one, also has the power to change the inflation schedule or to censor and again steal your coins. "hey this new version of bitcoin provides quantum safe signing its entirely optional ;) and btw also all chink addresses are burned and inflation adjusted for miners with verified KYC and location in US."

>>12570318
wrong. see above.

>> No.12571753

>>12537128
It has to crash for a very simple reason. It's a currency, and people are buying it so they can hold it. If you're buying a currency that people aren't using, there's no inherent value.
By all means make money off it while it lasts, and you might make a lot, but for practical reasons this is clearly speculating on a bubble.

>> No.12571780

>>12571753
https://icoholder.com/blog/places-accept-bitcoin/

https://www.statista.com/statistics/730806/daily-number-of-bitcoin-transactions/

https://www.blockchain.com/charts

>> No.12571801

>>12571730
>"validating" does not provide security for YOUR COINS
>only to not double spend,
Congratulations, you're not 100% retarded.
>hashrate does not add any security to your coins
>mining power does not secure your coins
Nobody said it does.
>your coins are only secured by the discrete logarithm problem, as any other PKI using ecdsa.
Nobody said anything else.
>> citing quantum computer paper from 2015
>again facepalm
No, only the first part is from 2015.

I'd give you a 90% retarded rating. You seriously need to learn to read. Or are you attacking strawmen on purpose?

>> No.12571805

>>12571780
This doesn't contradict what I said in any way.

>> No.12571809

>>12571730
>now bitcoin cant be easily modified to even increase blocksize to 2 or 8mb,
Completely unrelated.
>but now you God Emperor of Bitcoin will just decide and bitcoin will change its signing algorithm to a quantum safe one. right.
It's already quantum-safe, see >>12570720

Life must be great without any knowledge and Dunning-Kruger levels of confidence. I envy you.

>> No.12571810

>>12570457
"They" cant move UTXOs around freely.

My understanding is that this last years movement of 100 000s of btc, and we have seen people moving their coins which have never been moved even from 2009 is done to move them to a new never-before seen address.

If you use an address once only, attacks against it cant be done, protected by sha256 which quantum computarz cant break.

Only once a transaction is made, or for other reasons the public key is revealed of the address, such as singing anything with that address not just a btc transaction, then its up for grabs.

This situation will be done by those who are already bitcoin whales and miners and developers, the same gang of scammers.
They will first use quantum computers to steal more btc then claim uh we need to hard fork to protect our coins, and also take this other changes to the network which benefits us and our friends adjusting inflation schedule to never end.
They already did it once, with segwit, they'll do it again.

Bitcoin isnt decentralized, it isnt different from any other fiat currency when it comes to governance.

>> No.12571812

>>12571780
It's a bubble as an investment. If people are buying a currency with the intention of not actually using it, and there is nothing propping up the value, it is by definition speculation on a bubble.

>> No.12571815

>>12571730
>"validating" does not provide security for YOUR COINS
lmao you don't know shit you retard. Keep falling for shitcoin, I'll laugh.

>> No.12571825

>>12539336
I remember when bitcoin was almost totally worthless, I bought a game on steam for thousands of btc just for the novelty of it and threw the rest of my btc at LSD on Silk Road (worth it at the time) and this was way back when bitcoin wasn't even worth 10 cents.
Shame I never held on to any, but it's just more funny than anything to me.

>> No.12571852

>>12571805
>that people aren't using

>> No.12571884

>>12563560
>gold has no natural value
>proceeds to explain gold’s natural value

>> No.12571885

>>12571825
I mined a block in the very early days, then trashed the pc later.

>> No.12571889

>>12571852
Right, and many people are buying a currency with no intention of using it for a transaction. This inflates the value and creates a bubble.

>> No.12571893

>>12564774
Sell after the next rounds of profits and invest in something less volatile

>> No.12571907

>>12564774
Diversify your investments.
You'll be guaranteed significant profit if you use that as down payment for a house or apartment, then rent it out to cover the mortgage.

>> No.12571927
File: 109 KB, 700x394, whydoesthisshillmonglecocks.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
12571927

>>12571889
>This doesn't contradict what I said in any way. Because otherwise you'd have to apply this logic to everything else, ala gold/cash/etc...

Now... If you're still preaching anyway, that it's an inflated bubble, because some people don't spend it...

Then I wonder why you're not shit talking those other commodities as well, unless you honestly believe that EVERYONE who buys gold or holds cash could/would never sell or use it in any way.

>> No.12571937

>>12571809
> It's already quantum-safe
hurr durr

Ive already explained several times in this thread, a big enough quantum computer with many qubits in the 8 000 range
is enough to steal any coin within 10 minutes it takes from sending a transaction to it being included in a block

When you send a transaction, any transaction in bitcoin, you must reveal the public key.
There is on average 10 minutes before the transaction is included in a block.
10 minutes a quantum comptuer attack has to calculate the private key, make a different transaction paying higher fee but this one sending your coins to ME.

Bitcoin is quantum broken and always has been

The "muh just use one address ever, dont reuse addresses" is only meant to ease up the victims up before scamming them of their only currency which matters the PETRODOLLAR
This "muh address reuse" is only valid for a very slow quantum computer about 2 000 qubits in size.

also that guy said
"it responded by"
no it didnt respond, Satoshi had this address-hash in the first version.
bitcoin didnt respond to quantum anything its not designed to withstand quantum computer attacks.
no cryptography from 2008 was.
there was no quantum comptuer even with 2 qubits in 2008
in 2021 we have 1 000 qubits.

>> No.12571940

>>12571801
> Nobody said it does.
Wrong. A lot of people believe the hashrate is securing their coins even in this thread.
> Nobody said anything else
Even in this thread people claimed the security of their coins rests on mining. LOL.

Ill give you a 100% scammer rating, IQ 105.

>> No.12571944

>btc is a peer-to-peer currency
>btc is digital gold
you are here
>bitcoin is an immutable audit trail (just proof of data happened at some point)

>> No.12571991

>>12571944
the digital gold step will be wrecked by quantum computers
bitcoin will then be revealed to have a ruling elite class who can "upgrade it" and change it anyway they see fit, just like any other shit currency can be changed by few humans.

bitcoins value depends on the whims of the miners developers and exchanges
2027,
"oh noo noo that format of the address, thats legacy and already vulnerable you see, yes you see you have to now move your store of value coins to our safe quantum deposit box, mmmkay"
"oh nooo your coins have been tainted by a crime network of the other party the fascists, we cant accept your coins here to safe moving to quantum safe address"
"oh noo your coins are following that quantum safe algorithm here we only accept our way gtfo"

> bitcoin is an immutable audit trail
a very inefficient one at that, this is when people move to an immutable audit trail without wasting energy and just use either PoS or Byzantine consensus databases.

2031
> oh bitcoin yeah the napster of crypotcurrencies

>> No.12572006

>>12571937
>Ive already explained several times in this thread
Completely irrelevant. What's so difficult to understand for you about "pay to public key HASH"? You can't use quantum computers to break asymmetric cryptography without having the public key.
>When you send a transaction, any transaction in bitcoin, you must reveal the public key.
Wrong.
>10 minutes a quantum comptuer attack has to calculate the private key
Wrong.
>Bitcoin is quantum broken
Wrong.
>This "muh address reuse" is only valid for a very slow quantum computer about 2 000 qubits in size.
Wrong.
>bitcoin didnt respond to quantum anything its not designed to withstand quantum computer attacks.
Wrong.
>no cryptography from 2008 was.
lol, wrong. McElice is old af.
>there was no quantum comptuer even with 2 qubits in 2008
Completely wrong. You really don't know anything. I literally saw one in 2008 with 5 qubits. It's completely irrelevant anyway, so ce you need extremely well error-corrected qubits for Shor's algorithm.
>in 2021 we have 1 000 qubits.
Wrong again. We have >5000 qubits in quantum annealers from D-Wave and ~74 qubits in transmon qubits. None of which are universally coupled. Phitobic devices offer more, but there aren't any open ones.

You're fucking retarded dude.

>> No.12572007

>>12571940
>A lot of people believe the hashrate is securing their coins even in this thread.
Who the fuck cares? Also, you're wrong. Nobody did.
>Even in this thread people claimed the security of their coins rests on mining
Completely wrong you illiterate retard. Mining secures TRANSACTIONS. Nobody said anything else. And what do you think happens when transactions aren't safe anymore?

Seriously, your reading comprehension is abysmally low.

>> No.12572011

>>12572006
>>When you send a transaction, any transaction in bitcoin, you must reveal the public key.
>Wrong.
I misread here, for initiating a transaction the public key has to be published, but that's what adress cycling is for.

>> No.12572030

>>12572006
>>no cryptography from 2008 was.
>>lol, wrong. McEliece is old af.
>>the McEliece cryptosystem is an asymmetric encryption algorithm developed in 1978
>from 2008
>in 1978

>> No.12572088
File: 1.36 MB, 800x800, 1517264316284.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
12572088

>>12572006
> What's so difficult to understand for you about "pay to public key HASH"?

Fucking absolute retard.
"pay to public key HASH", reveals the public key of the sender, while the receivers key is HASH.

you cant sign any bitcoin transaction without revealing the public key of the signer for fucks sake.
this is the reason "use an address only once", once you send from that address, rekt.

the whole point of revealing the public key of the sender is to be able to verify that the coins are there to begin with.
simple concept wtf.
"muh cybersec major" LMAO ROFLMAO

now tell me, in your scenario where you said 5 times I was "wrong",
how would you or anyone verify that the sender actually ever had any coins huh? when you only have the hash and no public key, huh punk?

I hope you buy more shitcoins and become homeless

>> No.12572092

>>12572007
> Mining secures TRANSACTIONS.
here it is again,
Absolute IQ 60 tier

transactions are secured by the signature algorithm, by the PKI, by the ecdsa.
no transaction is safe, NO TRANSACTION IS SAFE once 2000 qubit quantum computer is availabile
IRREGARDLESS of hashpower going to jiggaloexahashes per second.

absolut mongs in here, go buy more coins and leave /sci/

>> No.12572113

>>12572030
Yes. That's the point.

>>12572088
>"pay to public key HASH", reveals the public key of the sender, while the receivers key is HASH.
Yes, like I said in >>12572011
Learn to read.
>how would you or anyone verify that the sender actually ever had any coins huh?
By having two sets of keys; a master key that signs all the other ones, and one-time-use keys for transactions. One public key from the letter is used for the transaction, then trashed. Every fucking wallet implements it like that.
>I hope you buy more shitcoins and become homeless
You suck as a human being as much as a reader. Again, I'm the one who called it a scam.

>>12572092
>transactions are secured by the signature algorithm
Which is validated through? Yes? Tell me.
>IRREGARDLESS
kek, further proving your illiteracy.
>of hashpower
Who said anything about hashing power?
>absolut mongs in here
Agree, you should leave.

>> No.12572145

>>12571991
my reply back to you isn't as relevant:
bitcoin already is known to have no value, its price largely fluctuates based off its demand and supply, even though we can expose ourself to gazillions of satoshis, people still are greedy to collect baskets of those satoshis called bitcoins. bitcoins use case relies on people using it and transacting billions of dollars to find that demand, so its price can only be determined by its use. if demand lowered, the market reflects this rather quickly in bitcoin. imagine there were 21 million baskets(bitcoin) that existed, and people dont even need to buy the baskets but what's in the basket, to get to the point if bitcoin demand lowered by a substantial amount you have a ton of supply that needs to meet that very little demand, it would be a race to the bottom.

it would be incomparable to a commodity like oil or gold, even though a barrel or an ounce is similar to a basket/bitcoin. because from their respectful baskets i can run a business operation relying on a bit of oil from that barrel, or install a bit of gold in my electronic

this is like how the futures works, people bet on the paper wealth of corn or something and how that market trades, even though they are entitled to their corn ironically through futures, they don't want it shipped to their door. likewise i think a lot of people do not want to be keeping bitcoin. in conclusion there is nothing backing bitcoin but the faith that someone holds it in their wallet will transact with it, there is no company revenue, there is no market besides the middlemen who make fees from bitcoin transactions. in a small essence of capitalism that owner of bitcoin has a demand to transact and that desire could be filled with a better cryptocurrency.

>> No.12572176

>>12572113
> By having two sets of keys

You didnt even know a trx always reveals the public key.
How wallet implements it, doesnt fucking matter.
10 minutes.
quantum computer breaks your trx and signs over the coins to the attacker.
fuck your other set of keys.

no more replying to you, learn to think cybersec major. roflmao. you are a scam.

> Which is validated through? Yes? Tell me.
By magic rainbow unicorns present at every mining node, these magic unicorns have the ability to tell the difference between 2 trxs which are both valid, one paying a higher fee than the other, 1 made by coin-owner the other made by quantum-computer which cracked the private key and signed a new trx, with the same key. Signatures check out all ok.

Yes, these magic unicorns is what will keep your coins safe and validated post quantum computer world.

Tell me again how mining power is validating and keeping your coins and transactions safe. Go on. You read a bitcoin for dummies article they said its fool proof quantum safe crypto from aliens.

>> No.12572181

>>12572145
I understand, the value of bitcoin aside from having value assigned to it by people who want it (for any reason), came from it being the only deflationary currency. The only asset whos supply humans could not modify at will but only by speculation or assigning-it-value, unlike gold, oil, corn or fiat currency. All of the above, the supply can be controlled by very few people.

But quantum computers will make bitcoin irrelevant even in that regard as an elite who controls it will be revealed.

>> No.12572229

>>12571927
Because gold is tied to the rarity of a tangible, physical commodity, which also has practical applications and desirability, and therefore gives it a nontrivial value.

>> No.12572388

>>12572176
>You didnt even know a trx always reveals the public key.
I literally wrote that it does. Please learn to read.
>How wallet implements it, doesnt fucking matter
It does, because you said nobody uses throwaway keys.
>no more replying to you
Oh, good. The troll got bored.
>By magic rainbow unicorns present at every mining node, these magic unicorns have the ability to tell the difference between 2 trxs which are both valid, one paying a higher fee than the other, 1 made by coin-owner the other made by quantum-computer which cracked the private key and signed a new trx, with the same key. Signatures check out all ok.
All of that text to say you have no clue. K then. Of course you're way too illiterate to understand that my point there was regarding you're claim that mining doesn't play a security role. Two different things. You cannot seem to grasp that we're talking about two different things here - validating a transaction and validating ownership.

>Tell me again how mining power is validating and keeping your coins and transactions safe.
>again
I can't, because for the third time, I never said that.
>You read a bitcoin for dummies article
No, I read the whitepaper and followed all changes to the protocol. I'm also aware of current technologies and algorithms like quantum computers and Shor's algorithm as well as their limitations.
Most of all, I'm able to read.

You're utterly retarded. Back into the trash with you.

>> No.12572473

>>12537128
Well, OP? we're waiting for your apology. It's gonna take me years to build up my savings again

>> No.12572489

>>12572473
Hold you retard, whales are eating the scum like you

>> No.12572493

>>12569772
What's the worst thing that could happen?

>> No.12573040

>>12571730
>wrong. see above.
Why are you so mad? It's no big deal being wrong. Just admit your mistake and move on.

>> No.12573659

>>12541876
If you predict the future people will flock to you so you can make money off of them. More so than if you would compete with AI that's sitting 2 feet from the trading platform.

>> No.12573928

>>12573659
I mean... What if they just used futures? No need to compete with that AI's daily grind.

Blue Eisenhower November

>> No.12574092

>>12549726
how is the lawsuit progressing? last I checked in was 2018, can you give me a rundown?

>tether printer go brrrrrrr

>> No.12575274

>>12571730
Hahahahaha I feel sorry for you

>> No.12575280

>>12537128
>market analysis
lol enjoy killing yourself after losing all your money

>> No.12575728

>>12571730
>> citing quantum computer paper from 2015
>again facepalm
What's wrong with the paper?

>> No.12575733

Q. Oranges need to be peaches. Make it so

>> No.12576264

just get hathor and 100x your pajeet cash, why would you buy something that will 2-5x at max in near future wtf? you see that market capital? thats fkin YUGE wtf. Hathor does fkin more and is at 50million, you know whats that? pocket money

why are you so tard

>> No.12576680

>>12538092
they don't need to know wtf halvening is. it simply reduces supply via miners dumping. market forces do the rest