COVID-19: Mathematical Analysis

[Anonymous No.11661282]

Fuck your politics you brainlets. Here is the truth:

USA: 81k deaths from a population of 328M - 0.25% death.
Sweden: 3.2k deaths from a population of 10M - 0.32% death

Sweden is losing. Right? Well...

Fact: A 1% increase in unemployment increases mortality by 6%:

US unemployent now minus US unemployment pre-Corona = 14.7% - 3.5% = 11.2%.

Sweden unemployment now vs Sweden unemployment pre-Corona: 10% - 7.4% = 2.6% (this is actually an overestimate).

US death rate adjusted for unemployment: 0.41%

Sweden death rate adjusted for unemployment: 0.38%

So you played yourselves you fucking retards. GOOD JOB. QUARANTINE WAS A MISTAKE.

[Anonymous No.11661305]

>>11661282
based

[Anonymous No.11661308]

>>11661282
We have quadruple their population density even factoring the massive stretches on basically uninhabited land throughout the midwest.

They also have a lot of social inhibitions on direct interaction that the US lacks.

[Anonymous No.11661309]

>>11661282
>Fact: A 1% increase in unemployment increases mortality by 6%
Provide substantiation for this claim

[Anonymous No.11661316]

>>11661282
>A 1% increase in unemployment increases mortality by 6%
Fact: [math]y_{ou}=nig^2e_r[/math]

[Anonymous No.11661319]

>>11661282 (OP)
We have double their population density even factoring the massive stretches on basically uninhabited land throughout the midwest and Alaska.

They also have a lot of social inhibitions on direct interaction that the US lacks. Also way better health care.

[Anonymous No.11661330]

>>11661308
>>11661319
All of those factors are already in the original mortality numbers you fucking retard.

>>11661309
Here you go brainlet: https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S027795361400269X

[Anonymous No.11662751]

>>11661282
for 3%?

[Anonymous No.11662804]

>>11661330
You are aware that any relationship between unemployment and mortality can be alleviated by the government, especially in a time of crisis
Youre actually justifying being completely cucked by a government who will do the bare minimum to prevent catastrophe without any consideration to how people might survive

[Anonymous No.11663182]

>>11661319
Most swedes are in large cities.

[Anonymous No.11663187]

>>11661330
Your article isn't a peer reviewed double blind study conducted over several years that includes all demographic groups. It is therefore invalid.

[Anonymous No.11665330]

>>11662804
>You are aware that any relationship between unemployment and mortality can be alleviated by the government, especially in a time of crisis

Facts are facts. If you want the government with a 10 inch dildo up your ass then I suggest you join some religious commune where everyone works, shares and takes care of each other. Because if you think you are going to convince over 50% of the population into spreading their assholes for daddy government then I have bad news for you. But you can freely join up with other ass spreaders and take dick in the mountains.

[Anonymous No.11665463]

>>11665330
Getting paid relief so you dont have to endanger yourself and others is not "spreading for daddy government" its getting YOUR OWN tax money back
Holy fuck Americans are so cucked

[Anonymous No.11665468]

And you believe quarantine is the only variable at play here?

[Anonymous No.11665476]

>>11661330

This article is complete crap conflating correlation and causation.

Who will be let go by an employer? A healthy, productive individual? Or someone with health problems reducing their output? Now which of these two is on average more likely to die first?

[Anonymous No.11665504]

>>11665463
Net tax-payers don't get any money back, retard. That's the entire point. Most welfare, even coronavirus welfare, goes to leeches.

>>11665476
>Or someone with health problems reducing their output?
Laws literally don't let you do this so if it happens then it is a minority of cases that barely contribute to the total trend.

[Anonymous No.11665532]

>>11665504
Yeah the universal part of all the universal relief that gets shot down by the same clowns who talk about reopening is just a name

[Anonymous No.11665566]

>>11661282
>Fact: A 1% increase in unemployment increases mortality by 6%:
Bullshit. Firstly, you didn't provide a credible source. Secondly, what does that even mean?

1) Over what period? If the unemployment spikes to 11% for a week and then returns to normal, surely that isn't the same as changing to 11% for several years.

2) Your source deliberate confuses correlation and causation, to the point that it's just useless. E.g. if Opiod addiction becomes prevalent in a community, and a bunch of people lose their jobs due to drug addition, and then a bunch of people die due to overdoses, your study will interpret that as unemployment causing death by overdose.

3)

>>11661319
Sweden doesn't have better health care than the US. Norway probably does, but Sweden doesn't have that sweet, sweet oil money.

>>11665463
Given your beliefs, in this example, wouldn't you consider the Swedes the cucks?

>>11665504
>Most welfare, even coronavirus welfare, goes to leeches.
If you're so concerned about "leeches", feel free to move to a place without a social safety net. Most people are willing to lose more than they get back, for more economic security.

>Or someone with health problems reducing their output?
>Laws literally don't let you do this so if it happens then it is a minority of cases that barely contribute to the total trend.
What? That's not remotely true. It's quite common for employers to lay off or fire sick people who can't perform the job. The employer pays someone to do a job. If they can't do the job, because they're in the hospital, or can't walk, or can't mentally focus, why would they be entitled to keep the job? They should find another job that you actually CAN perform.

[Anonymous No.11665572]

>>11661282
>Fact: A 1% increase in unemployment increases mortality by 6%:
Bullshit. Firstly, you didn't provide a credible source. Secondly, what does that even mean?

1) Over what period? If the unemployment spikes to 11% for a week and then returns to normal, surely that isn't the same as changing to 11% for several years.

2) Your source deliberate confuses correlation and causation, to the point that it's just useless. E.g. if Opiod addiction becomes prevalent in a community, and a bunch of people lose their jobs due to drug addition, and then a bunch of people die due to overdoses, your study will interpret that as unemployment causing death by overdose.

3) All deaths aren't equal. E.g. a productive person dying of disease =/= a heroin addict that dies of drug overdose. If anything, the heroin addict probably harms the rest of society, because he doesn't generate tax revenue, or take care of his kids.

>>11661319
Sweden doesn't have better health care than the US. Norway probably does, but Sweden doesn't have that sweet, sweet oil money.

>>11665463
Given your beliefs, in this example, wouldn't you consider the Swedes the cucks?

>>11665504
>Most welfare, even coronavirus welfare, goes to leeches.
If you're so concerned about "leeches", feel free to move to a place without a social safety net. Most people are willing to lose more than they get back, for more economic security.

>Or someone with health problems reducing their output?
>Laws literally don't let you do this so if it happens then it is a minority of cases that barely contribute to the total trend.
What? That's not remotely true. It's quite common for employers to lay off or fire sick people who can't perform the job. The employer pays someone to do a job. If they can't do the job, because they're in the hospital, or can't walk, or can't mentally focus, why would they be entitled to keep the job? They should find another job that you actually CAN perform.

[Anonymous No.11665577]

>>11665566
Swedes are certainly also cucks what's your point

[Anonymous No.11665581]

>>11665577
I have no general point. Only, you said the US were the cucks, but in this scenario, it seems like the US were taking the non-cuck option, and the Swedes were taking the cuck option.

[Anonymous No.11665582]

Now adjust the mortality based on obesity and underlying illnesses.

[Anonymous No.11665587]

>>11665582
>A shitposter on /sci/ can do data analysis

[Anonymous No.11665603]

>>11665581
Just because you made a comparison between the two doesnt entail that one doing poor means the other is doing well

[Anonymous No.11665608]

>>11661316
Is this a meme? I'm never on this board and I thought it would be funny enough to warrant more responses

[Anonymous No.11666299]

>>11665608
my superior humor often fails to connect with the unwashed masses, nothing too uncommon

[Anonymous No.11666733]

>>11661282
Is this guy serious?
On sci?
81000/328000000= 0.025 percent
3200/10000000=0.032 percent

Am I missing something?

[Anonymous No.11666893]

>>11661282
>Fact: A 1% increase in unemployment increases mortality by 6%:
I don't see any evidence for this axiom, so we can just disregard the latter half of your post entirely. Shit thread, OP.

[Anonymous No.11666897]

>>11661282
Check out #debunkthisfauci
The reported COVID death rate is much higher than the actual.

[Anonymous No.11666917]

>>11661282
No do the same after swapping Sweden with Germany you dumb shit.

[Anonymous No.11667705]

666 / 33 = 20.181818
20.181818 is 99.96% of 20.19
2019
COVID-19
1+2+3+4... all the way to +36 = 666

[Anonymous No.11667711]

[Anonymous No.11667758]

>>11667711
chcked

[Anonymous No.11667946]

Sources?

[Anonymous No.11668220]

>>11666897
Actually the opposite is true

[Anonymous No.11668244]

>>11668220
This, but the inverse.

[Anonymous No.11668258]

>>11668244
Looked it up, death rate is actually reported higher, but not because of otherwise non-covid deaths being called covid, but because the actual total number of non-lethal cases is underreported

[Anonymous No.11668717]

>>11668244
contrariwise; you're close, but no cigar - the truth is vice versa

[Anonymous No.11668883]

>>11661282
>has never seen Swedish 'people'
Swedes are practicing social distancing permanently, in case you don't know. Swedes without quarantine have better social distancing than Americans in quarantine.

[Anonymous No.11668890]

>>11666299
kek