[ 3 / biz / cgl / ck / diy / fa / ic / jp / lit / sci / vr / vt ] [ index / top / reports ] [ become a patron ] [ status ]
2023-11: Warosu is now out of extended maintenance.

/sci/ - Science & Math

View post   
File: 55 KB, 1200x667, 1200px-Monty_open_door.svg.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
10632262 No.10632262 [Reply] [Original]

In the normal game, Monty knows which door has the goat and which has the prize.
And it's assumed that you know that he knows.

But what if we remove this assumption, so that now, you don't know that he knew where the goat was, when he opened one of the doors.

Would you switch in this case?

>> No.10632282

if he opened the one with the car, yes

>> No.10632316

If he shows me a car, I switch to the door with the car.

If he shows me a goat, I switch just in case.

>> No.10632319

It doesn't change anything.
If you only look at the situations where he doesn't reveal the car (because in that case switching doesn't matter), then the situation is exactly the same as if he knows.

>> No.10632320

>>10632316
this

>> No.10632764

>>10632262
this is stupid, if you dont know probability is 1/3

>> No.10633608

>>10632262
No, all probabilities are 50/50. You're either right or wrong.