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/sci/ - Science & Math


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7495666 No.7495666 [Reply] [Original]

SpaceX will put a million colonists on Mars by 2030, and there isn't anything you ULA shills can do about it.

>> No.7495683

How are they going to survive in there ?

>> No.7495687 [DELETED] 

>>7495683
BIG

>> No.7495693

>>7495683
SpaceX Mars Colonial Transporter with Bruce Bigelow modules duh

>> No.7495694 [DELETED] 

>>7495687
BOOTY

>> No.7495696 [DELETED] 

>>7495694
BIG

>> No.7495700 [DELETED] 

>>7495696
BOOTY

>> No.7495703 [DELETED] 

>>7495700
BITCHES

>> No.7495752

>>7495666
How the fuck are they going to do that?
1 million is impossible to me.

>> No.7495757

>>7495752
They made it up, there aren't even 1million astronauts on earth.

>> No.7495762

>>7495757
When the price is down to 250,000 SpaceX credits, everyone will want to go live on Mars. It's the future of humanity.

>> No.7495764

>>7495762
I wouldn't, because it sounds fucking retarded.

>> No.7495770

>>7495764
Fine, Elon and I will just leave you to rot on the earth once nuclear winter sits in or an asteroid ruins Earth. Mars is the future of humanity, you ULA shill.

>> No.7495776

>>7495770
>ULA shill
kek

>> No.7495779

>>7495776
Look at our technological advancements in the last 20 years. Just imagine what kind of shit we'll have in another 20

>> No.7495781

>>7495776
SpaceX is a privately owned company. Congress can have a forest full of sticks up their asses and it wouldnt matter, because they dont have a say over SpaceX or its funding.

>> No.7495783
File: 286 KB, 480x362, 1438162752636.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
7495783

>>7495770
>nuclear winter

Literally a cold war meme.

>> No.7495788

>>7495783
All of your skeptisicims are already covered in the WaitButWhy article. Elon knows the risk, it's a very very in depth explanation about all of those aspects. Check it out.

>> No.7495808
File: 67 KB, 599x332, CM4DztzVAAAmdEr.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
7495808

Here's how SpaceX is getting to Mars. Just read the article.

>> No.7495820

>>7495770
>>7495770
>elon and I
What is he, your waifu?

>> No.7495827
File: 70 KB, 462x471, TerraformedMars3.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
7495827

>>7495820
No, but he cares a lot about getting humanity to Mars.

>> No.7495833
File: 124 KB, 960x960, 1437882677556.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
7495833

Why do I love ULA so much? It's pretty simple when I think about it. ULA isn't just the best launch provider in the country; they might just be the greatest launch provider of all time. Just imaging the Altas V riding through the skies of Earth, the wind on its fairing, the mighty RD-180 below it. As she rides through the red sky, NASA swoons at her very scent. They know how she smells; the essence of burning RP-1 smell is sold in Orlando under the name of "Space Orgasm." The very nature of ULA is mystery. Could they be playing a deeper game than even Tory Bruno realizes? The answer is yes, ULA has transcended such boundaries as the physical world, and has free will to do whatever they sees fit. However, ULA is filled with such guile, such arcane craft that they does not even use these powers. Why, you might ask? You will never know, for the mind of the ULA is not one that is easily penetrated. ULA rockets are such a force of nature in this realm that nothing can truly touch them, the only thing keeping them bound to this world at all is their will to exist within the preordained boundaries understood physics. ULA is not only beyond the comprehension of us, it exists within a plane of true focus and beauty. Observe the plume of exhaust gasses from this Delta IV, the gorgeous and rippling flames, the gallant fairing, and most importantly, its engines. Her engines, like cauldrons straight from hell, provide the only glimpse into the true machinations of ULA. Do not stare into them. Many good men have gone mad in the attempt. ULA is not just a launch provider, a formless collection of engineers and rockets; they are themselves the binding that holds the word together. Without ULA, Musk the Menace takes over and the entire space industry as we know it crumbles. The Mississippi would stop flowing without ULA, Kessler syndrome would take over in orbit, and the space station would fall without their fiery gaze. These are just of a few of the reasons why I like ULA so much.

>> No.7495839
File: 2.55 MB, 1303x5140, TerraformedMars8.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
7495839

>>7495833
ULA won't be doing this, they're just greedy crooks who don't care about humanity.

>> No.7495840

>>7495839
Terraforming Mars and making it similar to Earth is impossible.

>> No.7495841
File: 2.42 MB, 864x480, 1435503194017.webm [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
7495841

>>7495839
Go to bed, Elon.

>> No.7495843

>>7495840
Why?

>> No.7495844

>>7495666
Musk said he doesn't think the colony will reach a million until 2070

>> No.7495846

>>7495840
see
>>7495788
and
>>7495779


>>7495841
Just a road bump, SpaceX still has the best launch record and the most efficient rocket engines ever.

>> No.7495862

>>7495841
why is this so pleasing to watch ?

>> No.7495867

>>7495862
Because you are a bitter resenting asshole who likes to see others fail so you can justify your own worthlessness.

>> No.7495872

>>7495666
Is it even legal to send people away to live in tin cans till they die? It sounds like it's something you're not allowed to do to people. Any children born on Mars will be forced to spend their time in tin cans and tubes. It's immoral

>> No.7495873
File: 219 KB, 397x256, 746634735.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
7495873

HOW does he do it?

>> No.7495875

>>7495872
>Any children born in ~insert third world shithole country here~ will be forced to spend their time malnourished living in squalor and famine. It's immoral

>> No.7495876

>>7495872
It's clearly a higher form of living, to be the first to explore a new world for humanity.

>>7495873
It's an example of his amazing knack for technology.

>> No.7495882

>>7495762
>wanting to live in a dead planet.

>> No.7495884

>>7495867
no not because it failed, but for some reason it's more pleasing to watch it getting ripped to pieces.

aside from the fact that Melonusk is a hack and will keep failing coz he thinks hes a small scale NASA

>> No.7495891

>>7495884
>will keep failing coz he thinks hes a small scale NASA

You are literally a dumbfuck who has no clue about anything but banal childish things.

>> No.7495913

>>7495891
madpost coz you can't answer with a sensible answer and you know I'm right. your dreams will never come true kid, NASA will be the only thing running spase shit in the world

>> No.7495933

>>7495913
Elon is the Einstein of space travel you retard

>> No.7495944

>>7495933
Melon is the kid with toy guns who watches scarface and thinks hes a real gangsta

>> No.7495945

>>7495913
>NASA will be the only thing running spase shit in the world

yet they don't even send astronauts to the ISS anymore, Americans have to hitch a ride on a Russian soyuz...

>> No.7495949
File: 186 KB, 457x303, 1440702557453.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
7495949

>>7495933
My dubs confirm it.

>> No.7495952

>>7495933
Not that guy, but he's the Ford of space travel.
Goddard is the 'Einstein' of space travel

>>7495945
>responding to b8

>> No.7495954
File: 187 KB, 1280x691, spacex_mars_transporter_by_euandesign-d930lb3.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
7495954

>>7495945
yep, spacex will send their own to the bruce bigelow commercial station next year.

>> No.7495958
File: 492 KB, 517x515, IOD8A[1].png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
7495958

>>7495944
>>7495933
> opposing truths with double doubles
an immovable object meets an unstoppable force

>> No.7495962

>>7495954
what?

Bigelow won't have their own station any time soon
SpaceX won't send up any people until 2017 at the earliest

>> No.7495963
File: 116 KB, 509x332, 0013729929f116256eda2e[1].jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
7495963

>>7495954
cool renders bro. im convinced already :^)

>> No.7495967
File: 597 KB, 1024x805, Earth Departure Stage Block IV.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
7495967

>>7495962
You just don't have any clue what you are talking about dude, it's ok, just leave now while you aren't to embarrsd by elons genius

>> No.7495969

>>7495967
>posts constellation concept shit
ok, bud

>> No.7495980
File: 1.51 MB, 636x357, Space X Landing explosion.gif [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
7495980

future of Melonusk explained with one gif

>> No.7495983

>>7495808
Put something in orbit, ok. Get to Mars, what? There is no process, it's like building a boat and then an airplane with the same parts.

>> No.7495985
File: 128 KB, 308x308, 1437235903129.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
7495985

>>7495980
>>7495963
>>7495944
>>7495913

>> No.7495991

>>7495666
>SpaceX will put a million colonists on Mars by 2030
Most of them will die, of course. Maybe all of them.

>> No.7495992

>>7495876
>higher form of living

Oscar the grouch must be a prophet.
You really do suck dick for the next person who makes a fucking retarded idea that we will all live underground and eat sushi forever.

>> No.7495993

>>7495985
> sees repeating catastrophic melonusk failures
> its b-bbait guise

sure thing kid. keep dreaming while we laugh at more spacex fireworks

>> No.7495997

>>7495762
>future of humanity
no, it's an expensive as fuck vacation

>> No.7496006

>>7495983
"if you can get to orbit then you are half way to mars"

Havent you played KSP nerd?

>> No.7496011

>>7495992

/k/ is doing that as we speak

>> No.7496013
File: 37 KB, 374x421, 1366060875783.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
7496013

>>7495666

Call me when that guy even gets one dude into orbit.

>> No.7496015

Killing one million people, for what?

>> No.7496019
File: 17 KB, 600x398, Falcon 1-launch.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
7496019

>>7496013
Whats your number, I'll call you next year.

>> No.7496030

>>7495770
Mars is FAR less stable than Earth as far as supporting life goes.

Even in the middle of a nuclear war on Earth, chances of survival will be greater on Earth than on Mars. Life expectancy on Earth will be longer than life expectancy on Mars.

I will be more likely to survive longer on Earth than on Mars.

Also, if a devastating nuclear war erupts on Earth, destroying all technological infrastructure and killing off 50%+ of the population, then all the people on Mars will eventually die from lack of resources because no more resupply coming from Earth.

Which means the only people left living in the long term will be those holed up on Earth eating roaches and drinking water from underground springs.

Even if a giant asteroid hits Earth, life will still probably survive longer on Earth than on Mars.

>> No.7496032

>>7496019
It's unmanned and decommissioned

>> No.7496034

>>7496015
Learning about what SpaceX is doing and why they’re doing it can take you from a place where thinking the prospect of humans moving to Mars is totally ludicrous to a place where you accept the logic that it’s actually an important thing to do and something that’s possible and even likely to happen. But that’s different than really believing it’ll happen.

>> No.7496038

>>7496034
As you read this post, even if you agree with what you’re reading, if you had to quickly bet $1,000 on whether people will be moving to Mars in 20 years, there’s a good chance you’d bet against it, because deep down, your brain hasn’t really accepted it. And that’s fair—your brain bases things on experience, and experience tells it that moving to Mars is not something that people ever do.

>> No.7496043

>>7496038
But I’m pretty sure your brain’s in for some big surprises over the next few decades, for a bunch of reasons, and if you’re willing to accept that possibility, try to absorb the fact that a section titled “Phase 3: Colonize Mars” might actually—really—be based in reality.

Everything from here on is based on the guesswork of Musk and others in the field. Here’s those people’s best crack at predicting how this will all play out:

Then something big will happen. Someone—probably SpaceX, probably in about ten years—will send the first crew of people to Mars. For anyone under the age of 50 who’s annoyed they weren’t alive and sentient in 1969 to get caught up in the excitement of the moon landing—you’re finally going to have your day. Somewhere out there, right now on this Earth, is the Neil Armstrong of Mars. No one knows who they are—they might not even know who they are—but everyone on Earth will know their name soon.

>> No.7496045

>>7496032
just like you're mom in bed last night tbh fam

>> No.7496048

>>7496043
So with the price of a ticket plummeting downwards and the first crewed Mars mission having opened the floodgates, we’ll be ready to start colonizing. The big question will be, “Who wants to be the first to pay hundreds of thousands of dollars to go on a possibly-very-dangerous three-month trip to a much colder Antarctica where you can’t breathe the air or let the sun touch your face??”

By the time the planets are in place, there will be a group of MCT spacecraft—what Musk calls the “colonial fleet”—orbiting the Earth, fueled up and ready to go, and at just the right moment, the fleet will take off for Mars.

Three-to-six months later, the spacecraft will get to Mars, descend through the atmosphere, and land propulsively. The people will get out, probably to a fun welcome celebration put on by the existing residents, and unload everything over the next few weeks.

About two years later, when the planets are again aligned, right around the time Earth is launching the next colonial fleet, the group of spacecraft that came to Mars two years earlier will head back to Earth, carrying anyone on Mars who’s over it.

Three-to-six months later, the spacecraft will arrive back on Earth, land propulsively, and head in for maintenance so they’ll be ready to head back to Mars in two more years.

>> No.7496052

>>7496048
And then, something will start to happen.

The hardest part will be over, and more people will want to go.

The first return ships will come back with people, and it’ll remind everyone on Earth that it doesn’t have to be a one-way ticket—and more people will want to go.

The people who come back to Earth will be commended for their courage, some of the people on Mars will write best-selling books about their experience, and others will film a little TV show about the early settlement and become household names on Earth—and more people will want to go.

People on Earth will see gorgeous photos of Martians hiking around on Olympus Mons and in Valles Marinaris, a mountain and canyon far bigger than any on Earth—and more people will want to go.

People will hear about being able to jump off a 20-foot cliff without hurting yourself and watch viral YouTube clips of new kinds of extreme sports that can only be played with Mars’ 38% gravity situation—and more people will want to go.

>> No.7496057

>>7496052
>>7496048
>>7496043
>>7496038
>>7496034

This is proof elon can do it, anyone who disagreees is a ULA shill.

>> No.7496059

>>7495833
>Falcon 9 v1.1 $$/kg to LEO -- $4109
>Atlas V $$/kg to LEO -- $13000

https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Comparison_of_orbital_launch_systems&oldid=590182048

nuf said

>> No.7496065

>>7496059
>falcon 9
>19 launches
>2 failures

>Atlas V
>70+ launches
>0 failures

nuf said

>> No.7496070

>>7495991
Most humans who are born will die, of course. Maybe all of them.

>> No.7496074

>>7496065
GTFO Ula shill, if you count all those failure to reach proper orbits as successs, then the falcon 9 launch that did the same thing is a success.

ULA is a tupid company that stole tech from SpaceX and sabotaged the last launch.

>> No.7496099

>>7496074
>stole tech from SpaceX
lolwut
>sabotaged the last launch
>literally lying to shill for your meme company

>> No.7496104

Whats the evolutionary advantage of being a shill?

>> No.7496107

>>7496104
They are literally paid to try and reduce the public's faith in Sir Elon Musk

>> No.7496108

>>7496104
Shills generally have an affinity to shekels

>> No.7496191
File: 2.35 MB, 1920x1080, CRS6.webm [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
7496191

>>7495980
>that shit webm

>> No.7496195

>>7496070
...by 2030.

>> No.7496247

>>7495666

Now that's a great solution for these Syrian refugees mr.Satan!

>> No.7496269
File: 90 KB, 960x706, image.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
7496269

>>7495944
#spaceswag

>> No.7496347

Can anyone explain the advantages of this toxic fuel Proton is designed to use?

Also, today's launch. Very sexy for a heavy rocket.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ikWxUn5upPg

>> No.7496384

>>7496347
>Can anyone explain the advantages of this toxic fuel Proton is designed to use?
Okay, Proton uses NTO/UDMH. Both NTO and UDMH are liquid at room temperature, so no insulation, low-temperature brittleness or cryogenic fluids boiling off, and they're hypergolic, which means that they ignite instantly on contact with each other, which makes the engines simpler, since no ignition system is needed and combustion stability is less of a concern.

NTO, "nitrogen tetroxide" (technically dinitrogen tetroxide), is very cheap and, while it's very toxic (catch a lungful of the fumes off of this, and you'll probably drop dead tomorrow), it doesn't survive long in the environment. It exists in equilibrium with nitrogen dioxide, a red gas. It's produced by reacting nitric oxide with oxygen, after nitric oxide is produced by catalytic oxidation of ammonia. Normally, nitrogen dioxide is made as a step in the production of nitric acid, which is produced when it simply contacts water. This is why NTO isn't a long-term pollutant.

UDMH is a nastier long-term pollutant, and more expensive. It is "unsymmetrical dimethyl hydrazine". I'm not sure how they make it, but it's hydrazine with two methyl groups stuck on one end in place of the hydrogen atoms. The methyl groups make it more stable than hydrazine, somehow. Using just one methyl group also works (giving MMH - monomethyl hydrazine), but for some reason, this is more expensive to produce. It doesn't quite give as good performance as pure hydrazine, but UDMH's superior stability means that it's practical to use it in a regeneratively cooled engine. In other words, you can get it hotter than hydrazine without it blowing up. But the stability also makes it last much longer in the environment, which is bad if you spill it.

I'm a little surprised that NTO/kerosene hasn't been done for a big rocket, since kerosene is cheaper and less toxic. However, this wouldn't be hypergolic, and the performance would be poorer.

>> No.7496398

>>7496384
Oh, and NTO is pretty much non-corrosive, as long as you keep it dry (if you let moisture get at it, it forms nitric acid). Nitric acid is also used for rocket oxidizer (usually as red fuming nitric acid), but it is very corrosive, so careful attention needs to be paid to material compatibility.

UDMH and NTO both have some material compatibility issues, but they're pretty easy to manage. Nitric acid is a pain in the ass, because you could hardly put glass tanks on a rocket.

You do have to pay some attention to temperature when you're launching from a cold place, because NTO freezes pretty easily. Nitric acid is better for that, so it's used in some liquid-fuelled ballistic missile designs, which might have to be launched off of a truck in winter. It gets poorer performance than NTO, in addition to the corrosion problem.

>> No.7496416

>>7495779
Something between a watch and a phone?

>> No.7496435

Why are you arguing like fags?
Place your bets. We'll see in 15 years.

>> No.7496448

When are SpaceX due to make there next landing attempt?

>> No.7496666

>>7496191
>tonyabbott_turns_SpaceX_failured_projects_into_effective_policy.webm

>> No.7496703
File: 20 KB, 184x200, 1243385877278.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
7496703

>>7496435
OP here, this was actually me trying to troll /sci/ but it seems you guys suck at making counter arguments to what are literally direct copies from reddit spacex fanboy comments.

I'm disappointed.

>> No.7496756
File: 189 KB, 1462x1462, 1436079442311.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
7496756

>muh million colonists
>when there won't be any manned missions until 2050 at least
>terrforming mars

holy kek you motherfuckers are stupid

>> No.7498250

>>7495666
>2030
Please translate into SpaceX years

>> No.7498260

>>7495846
>best launch record
The Atlas V hasn't failed once.

>> No.7498271
File: 44 KB, 402x621, elon musk bald.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
7498271

>>7495666
>SpaceXplode will put a million colonists on Mars by 2030
I think they might be able to put millions of pieces of human cadavers into earth's orbit. but on mars? zero chance. ZERO. they wont even put a single person on Mars.

>> No.7498422

>>7495781
>implying Congress isn't majorly funding SpaceX with contracts through NASA
aha...HAHAHAHA

>> No.7498431

I wouldn't talk too loudly about it if I planned to sacrifice one million people on an uninhabitable planet like Mars.

>> No.7498593

>>7496006
No you are not, you have to make calculations about actually aiming something at mars, you have to be sure there's no debris on the course and even more importantly you would have to be sure that it's possible to survive on both the travel and mars.

>> No.7498680

>>7495762

it would probably look like the first total recall

>> No.7498689

>>7495841
what if it jettisons cargo iff it's failing?
it seems like it had time.

>> No.7498825

>>7495762
>completely barren
>monotonous landscape mostly composed of dirt and rock
>thin as fuck atmosphere that would kill me in one minute
>constant exposure to radiation eventually leading to various illnesses and cancer
>low gravity resulting in musculoskeletal atrophy
I think I'Il pass; I'll wait until the full terraformation process concludes, in about 5,000 years.
Oh, wait.

>> No.7500783

>>7495762
>the natural environment is shit
>crammed in tight quarters with pretentious fucktards
>SpaceX now controls your entire life

>> No.7500805

>ULA shills
>yfw the director of NASA posts on /sci/

>> No.7500828

>>7495683
They will be one big human centipede

>> No.7500837

>>7495757
Not everybody on an airplane needs to be a pilot u simple cunt

>> No.7500898

>>7500837
no one is talking about planes you fucking doodoo brains

>> No.7500916

>>7495841
failure is a good thing

People who can't fail can't succeed

>> No.7501044

>>7496034
>>7496034
Sounds like somebody really bought the sales pitch.

Tell me, what is Musk going to do when 1) the first people start dying in space 2) the first people start dying on Mars?

You know what kind of power of pursuasion you need to get people to keep coming back to this? The religious kind. Face it man, people aren't going to go to Mars in large numbers unless it's absolutely necessary. Like, global warming destroying the Earth.

>> No.7501650
File: 3.82 MB, 5312x2988, Endeavour.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
7501650

Wouldn't it be nice if shuttles transported us to Mars and back to Earth like some type of space transportation? Of course, it will be a next-gen shuttle and will rely on orbit swings.

Pic related; first time visiting Endeavor... its unreal in person.

>> No.7501668

>>7495779
>Look at our technological advancements in the last 20 years. Just imagine what kind of shit we'll have in another 20
A very thin smartphone? Facebook 2.0?

>> No.7501671

>>7495808
>getting Mars ticket down to $500.000
That wouldn't be possible even if you could launch all your stuff for free. Living in space is hard and expensive.

>> No.7501716

>going to Mars at all prior to the advent of artificial gravity

Venus is a much more realistic target. It has an induced magnetosphere to repel radiation. It has a temperate climate and pressure at an altitude of around 55km above the surface. It has 90% of Earth's gravity, which will make it easier for colonists to adapt and survive. Its atmosphere is mostly CO2, which can relatively easily be converted into Oxygen for breathing and buoyancy and Carbon for various carbon based products for expanding colonies. It has solar power in abundance. Gas mining operations could one day supply a Mars colonization effort.

>suffocating in a hole on Mars while you freeze to death and your bones decay.

Why do people keep wanting to do this instead of going to Venus first?

>> No.7501728

The problem with /sci/ is that you are all to autistic to see past the technical side of things. Elon is a businessman, he is simply saying that by putting more people in space, the cost will go down and it will snowball from there. Basically what Ford did with the automobile. It's a good idea and worth a shot, better than sitting in your basement shooting down anyone who is achieving more than you like a bitter asshole.

>> No.7501733

>>7501716
What it is exactly that you are going to do there?

>> No.7501748

>>7501733
>What is it exactly that you are going to do there?

The purpose of colonization is to permanently inhabit new places. Venus is the only realistic target for this purpose at this time.

>> No.7501750

>>7501748
So there'll be a million people twiddling their thumbs in the clouds of Venus? Who is going to pay for that?

>> No.7501759

>>7501750
>Who is going to pay for that?

You've missed the point of colonization. If you just want money, invest in Planetary Resources instead. Getting a few asteroids into Earth orbit for mining will be highly profitable (to the point of collapsing commodities markets) and can be done by robots.

>> No.7501760

>>7501671
Why would you launch anything but molecular assemblers and plasma pumps ?
Are you retarded ?

>> No.7501830

>>7501760
Why would you launch anything but magic wands?

>> No.7501839

>>7501830
Magic wands aren't real, duh.

>> No.7501884

>>7501839
Sure they're real. Hitachi makes them, just watch out for the fakes.

>> No.7501896

>>7495683

reality tv

>> No.7501986

>>7500805
Bolden? is that you?

>> No.7502053

>1 million by 2030
>0 by 2015

k

>> No.7502068

>>7495839
Mars is never going to be habitable, it has no magnetic field strong enough to deflect charged particles from the sun

>> No.7502800

>>7495666
MARS IS A MEME