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/sci/ - Science & Math


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5038310 No.5038310[DELETED]  [Reply] [Original]

Is Who wants to be a millionaire just a game of luck?

I mean, there's 33.34% chance of being right unless the person happen to know the answer, and lifelines can only get you so far into the game.

>> No.5038317

Why so early today?

>> No.5038315

>>5038310

do you post this same crap everyday?

>> No.5038319

Let's say there are 15 questions with 4 choices each. Let's also say there are 3 lifelines: call-a-friend, 50-50, and ask-the-audience.

For each of the 15 questions, there is only 1 correct answer, and 3 incorrect answers, so immediately your chances are 1/3 = 33.34%. You can use each lifeline once. Using phone-a-friend, let's say gives you a 95% chance the person you call is correct. So 1 question is 95%. Similarly, we can say ask-the-audience gives you a 95% chance. Finally, 50-50 will remove 2 wrong answers, so you have 1 right answer and 1 wrong answer, so you basically know the answer. To recap:

Question 1: 33.34%
Question 2: 33.34%
Question 3: 33.34%
Question 4: 95% <--- ask-the-audience
Question 5: 33.34%
Question 6: 33.34%
Question 7: 33.34%
Question 8: 33.34%
Question 9: 95% <--- phone-a-friend
Question 10: 33.34%
Question 11: 33.34%
Question 12: 33.34%
Question 13: 33.34%
Question 14: 33.34%
Question 15: 100% <--- 50-50
Total: 690.08%
Divided by 15 questions = 46.00%
So basically, it's more a less a game of chance, but more than half the people on the show will lose, so it's not very fair. That show is making tons of money off of people.

>> No.5038325

>>5038315
supply and demand. thats all it is.

as long as there are people who respond to it, it will be posted.

>> No.5038326

>>5038325
I heard there's a huge demand for cute science threads.

>> No.5038330

you are wrong

it's 50%

either you win, or you don't

>> No.5038332

Oh man, not this shit again.

>> No.5038335

>>5038332
Your personal dislike against probability theory is irrelevant.

>> No.5038336

>>5038326
do eeeet

>> No.5038348

>>5038330

You obviously don't know the game.
You can also decide not to answer, since you might lose money if you're wrong.
Win, lose, quit. So 33.34%

>> No.5038352

>>5038336

did somebody say daniella titan, the queen of /sci/?

>> No.5038355
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5038355

>>5038352

do you mean 'this" daniella titan?

>> No.5038356

If there's only one question, there are four possible answers, and one of them is correct. Chances of guessing the correct one = 25%.

If there are two questions, there are eight possible answers, and two correct answers. Chances of guessing them both: 25%

If there are 15 questions, there are 60 possible answers, and 15 correct ones. Chances of guessing all 15: 25%.

>> No.5038358

>>5038356

i bet you get invited to all the parties.

>> No.5038390

>>5038358
>parties

You don't belong here, anti-intellectual subhuman normalfag scum.
>>>/soc/
>>>/fit/
>>>/sp/
>>>/fa/
>>>/b/

>> No.5038393

>>5038358
fucking chimp. you must GET THE FUCK OUT of /sci/ if you go to parties

>> No.5038400
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5038400

>>5038393
>>5038390

>> No.5038402

are you fucks so bad at math that you dont even know about combinations and permutations

>> No.5038407

>>5038400
back to
>>>/soc/
>>>/b/
>>>/reddit/
you fucking retard chimp

>> No.5038408
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5038408

>>5038407

i like you.

why don't you like me?

>> No.5038417

why 33.33% and not 25%? I can't into probability..

>> No.5038482

>>5038408
back to >>>/b/