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/sci/ - Science & Math


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4923709 No.4923709[DELETED]  [Reply] [Original]

Is Who wants to be a millionaire just a game of luck?

I mean, there's 33.34% chance of being right unless the person happen to know the answer, and lifelines can only get you so far into the game.

>> No.4923712

staaaaaaaaaaaale

>> No.4923714

Let's say there are 15 questions with 4 choices each. Let's also say there are 3 lifelines: call-a-friend, 50-50, and ask-the-audience.

For each of the 15 questions, there is only 1 correct answer, and 3 incorrect answers, so immediately your chances are 1/3 = 33.34%. You can use each lifeline once. Using phone-a-friend, let's say gives you a 95% chance the person you call is correct. So 1 question is 95%. Similarly, we can say ask-the-audience gives you a 95% chance. Finally, 50-50 will remove 2 wrong answers, so you have 1 right answer and 1 wrong answer, so you basically know the answer. To recap:

Question 1: 33.34%

Question 2: 33.34%

Question 3: 33.34%

Question 4: 95% <--- ask-the-audience

Question 5: 33.34%

Question 6: 33.34%

Question 7: 33.34%

Question 8: 33.34%

Question 9: 95% <--- phone-a-friend

Question 10: 33.34%

Question 11: 33.34%

Question 12: 33.34%

Question 13: 33.34%

Question 14: 33.34%

Question 15: 100% <--- 50-50

Total: 690.08%

Divided by 15 questions = 46.00%

So basically, it's more a less a game of chance, but more than half the people on the show will lose, so it's not very fair. That show is making tons of money off of people.

>> No.4923716

staaaaaaaale

>> No.4923719

If I know all the answers it isn't luck.

>> No.4923726

0/10

>> No.4923730

lel

>> No.4923731

>>4923714
jesus fuck please fucking kill yourself

>> No.4923734

>>4923709
This is the most retarded thread i've seen all week. One out of four is 1/4 = 0.25 = 25%.

>> No.4923735

>>4923714
tldr lol XP

>> No.4923737

>>4923734
Are you stupid? It's 1/3, you have one choice right, three wrong. Go back to first grade kiddo.

>> No.4923740

>>4923719
>>4923726
>>4923730
>>4923735
>>4923731
>>4923734
c'mon, guys, this is stale /sci/ troll copypasta.

>> No.4923738

>>4923734
>>4923709

100% samefag

>> No.4923742

>>4923740

0/10

>> No.4923743

>>4923740
Are you sure? It's the first time I see it and it isn't even wrong.

>> No.4923754

It's 1/4 you nigger

>> No.4923758

>>4923754
>>4923742
>>4923743
Yes, I'm sure; it's stale troll copypasta. Also, very funny on the samefag, but you're trying too hard.

>> No.4923765

>>4923758
>calls himself "mathfag"
>derails a thread on probability theory

YOU are trying too hard.

>> No.4923769

>>4923765
A TROLL thread on probability. There's a difference between trolls and threads with merit.

>> No.4923773

>>4923758
I don't know what you're talking about. This is a legit, unsolved problem in probability theory, and has never been posted on /sci/ before. This game show does not follow a simple Bernoulli distribution of questions.

>> No.4923778
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4923778

upvoted

>> No.4923788

This thread again? Please stop replying to this troll

>> No.4923831

>>4923788
wut u mean?

>> No.4923891
File: 43 KB, 460x500, not_again.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
4923891

trolololololololololololololololololololololololol
quit this stupid troll