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/sci/ - Science & Math


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3424959 No.3424959 [Reply] [Original]

Too much doom and gloom lately - let's get some fucking optimism in here.

>By the end of the decade the American space program will have access to at least two man-rated commercial launch vehicles, four crewable spacecraft, and modules for space stations - all of which will be cheaper than the Shuttle, Constellation, SLS, or Soyuz

>> No.3424962

>>3424959
Source?

>> No.3424969

>>3424959
>American Space Program

>> No.3424975

>>3424962
Falcon 9/Falcon Heavy are going to be man-rated and ULA just announced plans to man-rate the Atlas V.

Dragon, CST-100, Dreamchaser, and Blue Origin's spacecraft are all planned to be crewed vehicles and are all four are on track to be completed within four or five years or less.

Bigelow Aerospace plans to launch the prototype of their BA-330 module within two years.

>> No.3424980
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3424980

>We will discover more in the next 10 years than in the last 100.

>> No.3424989

>You will probably live to see humans establish a permanent presence on another world.

>> No.3424991

>>3424975
Where are they sending people with these spacecrafts? To the ISS or somewhere more interesting?

>> No.3424995

>its the year 2025, and the population is now 50 billion
>new plagues spew out of asia constantly
>the government has outlawed AI research after the chicago incident
>food costs nearly half an americans paycheck. Starvation in Africa virtually depopulates some areas of the continent.
>we still use gasoline, and it costs 50 dollars a gallon.

>> No.3424997

>>3424989
at this rate, that's not even close to a sure-thing.

>> No.3425002

>>3424991
The ISS at first, then to commercial stations, than beyond LEO

>> No.3425007

>>3425002
How long is it going to take to get beyond LEO?

>> No.3425007,1 [INTERNAL] 

>>3424995
That was so retarded my floor turned to lava

>> No.3425024

>>>3425007
Sooner than Constellation/SLS would... and that's good enough for me.

>> No.3425060

>>3425024
I feel like I'm not going to live to see people set foot on Mars or any other planet for that matter. I'm feeling rather pessimistic about our current space program. You never know what NASA project will get cut next.

>> No.3425100
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3425100

Due to improvements in medical technology and biosciences, it will be extremely likely for you to live over 90.

>> No.3425115

>>3425100
>bio
>science

choose one

>> No.3425124
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3425124

>>3425115
>implying Darwin wasn't a scientist

>> No.3425139

>>By 2030, stem cells and genetic engineering will allow the modification or repair of any part of the body.

>>Because of the above, anyone with access to regenerative medicine will probably live to be over 100.

>> No.3425146

>>3425139
I'm gonna live in a shitty old house, spend minimal amounts of money and not have any wife and kids until I can get hold of that shit.

>> No.3425150
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3425150

>>3425146
>I'm gonna live in a shitty old house, spend minimal amounts of money and not have any wife and kids

As though the contrary would ever have happened

>> No.3425157
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3425157

In a few decades, It is likely that coding will be viewed as writing in binary as a new, more human friendly way to build programs will have appeared. Maybe through brain-interfacing.

The end of programmers jokes. At last.

>> No.3425172

American space endeavour is frequently behind schedule and over budget, the ISS was supposed to have been de-orbited by now, for example, and the JWST is (was) 300% over budget.

>> No.3425179

>all of which will be cheaper than Soyuz
currently no manned system has been tested and all of them are years away they know damn well they can't predict the cost. im quite sure its not going to be under 30 million a seat (the normal not nasa rate for soyuz seats) but that's an opinion not a fact.

>> No.3425183

>>3425157
>more human friendly way to build programs
That's called dumbing down

>> No.3425192

>>3425179
eh, I don't know. The SpaceX rockets seem to be a lot more cost effective. COTS is budgeted at under two billion, IIRC

>> No.3425202

>>3425157
programmer jokes are just jokes in a language you dont understand

do you feel the same way about jokes in spanish?

>> No.3425213

>>3425192
yes but currently that's only cargo (the 2 billion) and spacex have launched 2 falcon 9's and one prototype dragon they have no idea what the cost will come to some good estimates but nothing about the costs or a production line instead of one rocket a year.

now i have to go do my solar research project so i bid you good day.

>> No.3425218

>>3425213
They're on contract, so they have a budget, and they're making a rocket a month, not a rocket a year. I *think* supply would exceed demand when the project is in operation

>> No.3425284

singularity in our lifetime

>> No.3425295

>>3425284
Why do we believe there will be a singularity? It's a total disregard for the fact we can't shrink things down beyond a certain point, surely