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/sci/ - Science & Math


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15392144 No.15392144 [Reply] [Original]

Please, take your time on this. Give a thoughtful, evidence based response. Try to be as free from bias and political motivation in your answer as possible. How do you see the world in 2030? 2060? 2100?

>> No.15392146

>>15392144
tranny jews niggers commies. I'm smart and oldfag

>> No.15392152

>>15392144
Too hard to predict decades out.

Next few years is ever increasing amounts of ridiculous gaslighting.

>> No.15392153
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15392153

>>15392144

>> No.15392157

>>15392152
>”using my brain and abstract thinking is too hard”
Are you brown, per chance?

>> No.15392168

>>15392157
No, we live in a chaotic environment that could literally change simply from my shitpost.

What you're asking is impossible.

>> No.15392170

Chaotic

>> No.15392177

I have no idea about 2030,but 2060 and 2100 are easy: we're all dead, having been killed by an unaligned AGI.

>> No.15392179

>>15392168
Are you telling me your brain can’t make predictions about 7 years from now?

>> No.15392181

>>15392144
Microplastics in blood stream will decrease intelligence and increase healthcare costs all around. Most governments will turn to increasingly totalitarian ways of controlling their populations with automated systems (including AI enabled robotics). After a while there will be terrorist organizations that are opposed to the technocratic control of the ultra wealthy and political elite. The gap between rich and poor will continue to grow and metropolitan areas will have increasing criminal activity.

The evidence for these trends is pretty clear and will play out like this unless people start taking different actions and structuring their lives around principles other than maximizing profits and luxury. This is not likely to happen so without an awakening in global consciousness the current trajectory will lead to collapse.

>> No.15392184
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15392184

>>15392177
>advanced chatbot that will never achieve sentience or consciousness due to human intelligence not being substrate neutral and thus will never have true goal oriented behavior, a glorified look up table in fact, will destroy us all

look man i'm as sorry as the next man that there's no medication for autism but this ain't the way to deal with it

>>15392144
by 2100 there will be ~7 africans for every person of white european descent in the world, so it'll be great most likely

>> No.15392188

>>15392144
Increasing wealth inequality
More social unrest
more brutal police suppression
LLMs gets slightly better, but not good enough to replace anyone
The first wet bulb crisis occurs in 10 or so years and thousands die in Sri Lanka

>> No.15392189

>>15392184
*sorry for each european, but it's not like white demographics in america are growing, and slavs are slaughtering each other left and right so not great there either

>> No.15392213

>>15392144
My prediction is that you will post this exact same thread again in the future without changing the text

>> No.15394770

>>15392179
It can, but it may not be able to make self-fulfilling predictions.

>> No.15395640

>>15392144
I think the uncertainty of our future has never been higher. It's very much up in the air what the future will look like in our lifetime depending on when and if AI reaches a plateau. If(when) the singularity occur the sky is the floor not the ceiling and we're either be dead or in a utopia so I'll discard that scenario as something not even worth contemplating because of the error bars of anything one can imagine is too high.

In the near future even if AI development halted today we'll see technological advances start to happen at a unprecedented pace.
The LLM's already provide this sort of human driven education singularity event as a result of how much faster we can educate ourselves on topics and how much more effective
we are at writing code. Some technological advances that that was 10 years of into the future may now be here in 5 just as a result of how much more effective programmers are assisted by these things. What could a Von Neumann or Maxwell type intellect accomplish if they had learnt at 2x speed, what about 4x?

The near period heading towards the ~30's will be one of deep social upheaval where the consumerbase is destroyed at the same rate AI is adopted as labor.
Our politicians will not pivot in time and the economic impact of automation will not be addressed til all the effects of it are so blatantly obv it can no longer be ignored.
We will either see a utopia where products become cheaper and ownership of production is democratized (UBI).
Or we'll see a dystopia with the rise of this 'techno fascism' where democracy is dissolved and those who own production isolate themselves in gated societies
and the rest of the world turns to something similar to '2013 Detroit everywhere'.

I have some ideas about AGI, the likelihood of the paperclip scenario and what the deep future may have in store but that's way less interesting to me from where we stand as of now.

>> No.15396749

>>15392181
>>15395640
So essentially, AI assisted Brazilification?

>> No.15396839

>>15392181
That is a myth like globohomo warming and shit. The only way forward is to exterminate all the jews and their woke servants, otherwise those parasites will destroy mankind.

>> No.15397753

>>15392181
>Microplastics in blood stream will decrease intelligence and increase healthcare costs all around.
It's the lack of heavy metals. The brain needs lead, or you get retarded. I don't even get how you could get it this wrong.

>> No.15397849

AI will kill us all before 2025, predictions are impossible beyond that

>> No.15397874

>>15397753
so funny bro. why do you take such offense to people just wanting to protect themselves? why is others wanting to keep themselves safe such an annoyance to you?

>> No.15397931

>>15397874
What are you talking about? The metals belong there, the body doesn't use them in error.
Why is there such a chaos in everything if people got more intelligent?
Why can almost nobody see well anymore in a lot of places?
Why are people sick and dying for no reason?
We are fucking dying. Insects etc. have mostly died out already, plants may be able to compenstate because of more CO2, and how the pigs make it, I don't know. We are next.

>> No.15397932

>>15392144
There will be a nuclear conflict in the next 200 years, possibly even within our own lifetimes.

>> No.15398314

>>15392144
> for the west
In the next decade boomers will be gone, that'll be a dramatic shift since the world we currently live in was made for and maintained by them, their wealth will be untapped but given the downward current economics trends few people will be able to achieve it unless inherited.
The technology is also becoming more and more intrusive and obfuscated, but curiosly the first tasks being automated are the creative and intellectual ones, stealing from us those few jobs one could still do with a certain dose of passion.
Since robotics isn't advancing at the same pace one could assume physical labour will still be in demand, there will be a focus on physical health.
GenX will remain the last living memory of the old world, once gone or made irrelevant it will be possible to rewrite history or wildly swerve narratives without noone rising an eyebrow, we're almost there.
> non west
China will follow the fate of all industrialised societys, people will live wealthy for a couple of generations then demographic and social decline will follow.
Islam will take over most of the world's rural societies, the general IT induced lack of purpose will possibly create isolated / off the grid communities such as the Amish, Luddites could also make a return.
In short I forsee a divide between digital enhanced humans vs those who will either reject it or be sidelined by it.

>> No.15398324

>>15392144
Central European countries like Germany and Italy etc might cease to exist.
US will be a non white majority country by next census year (2030).
Declining IQ will cause major infrastructural problems in next 10-20 years.
Declining first world demand will cause social and economic collapse in south asia.
The biggest population decline in all human history will happen in East Asia.

>> No.15398330

>>15392177
We are way more likely to die from Nuclear war.
The current economic and supply chain issues will last through out this decade, we will see a lot of civili strife in coming years, specially in South Asia.

>> No.15398331

>>15398324
With the last of boomers and GenXers retiring productivity will massively tank across sectors in US.

>> No.15398338

>>15392144
Increasing economic stratification, a new golden age of technology brought about by ai and a new caste of high value value wage slaves gor the now permanently entrenched ruling elite. Global warming will be ignored, food crisis will be solved by instituting social dareinist policies d population will drop by 10-15 percent then stabilize. In 1000 years some space extraction will occur, wage slave class entirely replaced with strong AGI, ruling elite experience massive increase in standard of living, some space habitats are constructed. 500 years post, the first interstellar probes are sent to evaluate possible colonies.

>> No.15398350

>>15398331
Millennials will pick up the slack, but they won't stand up for themselves, so they'll be the most productive and underpaid Gen since the great depression.

>> No.15398475

>>15398324
>Central European countries like Germany and Italy etc might cease to exist.
In what way?

>> No.15398566

>>15398475
Their demographic pyramid is fucked beyond repair, the bulge is already in 50s and 60s. It's over.

>> No.15398570

>>15392144
>Please, take your time on this
How much time and how accurate do you want the predictions to be? I can guarantee 100% accurate results, but it'll take me a couple decades to compute. If you don't need accuracy then I can get them sooner

>> No.15398769

>>15398350
They are too retarded to be able to.