[ 3 / biz / cgl / ck / diy / fa / ic / jp / lit / sci / vr / vt ] [ index / top / reports ] [ become a patron ] [ status ]
2023-11: Warosu is now out of extended maintenance.

/sci/ - Science & Math


View post   

File: 6 KB, 250x215, 1606704214444s.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
12547459 No.12547459 [Reply] [Original]

>the odds of you existing are 1 in 10^2,685,000
does this sound dubious to anyone else?

>> No.12547469
File: 78 KB, 564x1002, c92a3493e17e88ea9f072a48ba6db447.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
12547469

>>12547459
Yes, sounds like meaningless gibberish, just like most claims about probabilities. People don't realize how fragile the whole subject is.
I refuse to consider any statements about probabilities as meaningful unless they come as a precise statement in completely mathematical language about measure spaces with no mention of likelihood, or if they're formulated in a way that's easy to make an algorithm to simulate the probability empirically and check its value.
Since your claim is neither, it's meaningless.

>> No.12547471

I'm going to buy some mega millions tickets.

>> No.12547473
File: 8 KB, 300x168, index(6).jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
12547473

I exist because I exist
Simple as

>> No.12547474

>>12547459
It is an event that had to occur. I am glad sperm me managed to out compete other spermcells.

>> No.12547483
File: 63 KB, 600x515, 5845ca511046ab543d25238a.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
12547483

>>12547474
I'm not.

>> No.12547498

>>12547459
Wtf how could this happen, 4chan told me that something with even a 0.002% chance is non-existent.

>> No.12547500

>>12547469
Idk where OP got his numbers. Doesn't seem like it was referring to the sperm cells since there are only several tens of millions not whatever that is.

Maybe base pairs arrangements?
If so, then the human genome is 6.4 billion base pairs, so the chances are about 1/4^(6.4*10^9) right?

>> No.12547501

>>12547500
Not my number, it's so high cause it takes into account the odds of your ancestors reproducing, parents existing etc

>> No.12547502

>>12547459
It's a nonzero chance, therefor it's 100% likely to happen given some time.

>> No.12547505

Dream won speedrun world record.
Deal with it, autists.

>> No.12547506
File: 164 KB, 498x497, bad.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
12547506

>>12547502
just like dreams speedrun, right

>> No.12547508

>>12547501
Yeah, you could say the same about the chances of you living your life the way you did up to this moment. All the branching paths would probably be even more making the chances of you living your life the way it is even way smaller. Especially when considering the probabilities of all the other events and people around you doing the right thing as well, yet here you are.

>> No.12547527

>>12547459

>the odds of our particular outcome of reality happening are mind bogglingly low
>what if we applied that standard to every other conceivable outcome?
>mind boggled in all conceivable realities

Your mind should only be boggled by empirical measurements of the outcome we inhabit, and not just by the probability of the outcome occuring.

>> No.12547531
File: 892 KB, 820x993, 1599692340115.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
12547531

>>12547527

>> No.12547594

>>12547459
Show your working out.

>> No.12547654

>>12547473
This. Someone had to exist, why not me?

>> No.12547729

>>12547459
of course it's dubious, it's wrong
the odds of you existing are 1:1, because you already exist

>> No.12547732

all odds are 50/50
they either happen or they don't

>> No.12547733

>>12547729
prove i exist

>> No.12548051

>>12547505
1/7,500,000,000,000
and this is gives him benefit of the doubt

>> No.12548317

>>12547505
except he didnt even get the world record

>> No.12549104

>>12547459
bullshit, show your work

>> No.12549121

the probability of the next post in this thread being a certain fixed chain of characters accompanyied by a certain image with a certain amount of pixels is astonishingly low. BUT once someone makes the next post we observe that an outcome has passed, the post wave function collapses to a single post., but until that moment there are an infinite number of possibilities.

>> No.12550006

>>12547469
based stance. probability claims are the biggest source of unintentional dissemination of falsehoods.

>> No.12550036

Oy vey.
Quiet goy.
Bill Nye.

>> No.12550042

>>12547505
it was like 16th...

>> No.12550125

>>12550042
if it was 16th, why did they go to all the bother of proving he was cheating?
seems like a wasted effort

>> No.12550141

>>12550125
Wasted effort impliesyou could have done something better with your resources. Can you imagine what kind of people are mods in a minecraft speedrun forum? I don't kthink that have anything better to do.

>> No.12550233

>>12550141
That's a good point.
I assume the report was written by stem undergrads so it was probably a better use of their time than procrastinating from their studies by speedrunning minecraft.

>> No.12550247

>>12547459
it's actually 50/50 because either you do or do not exist

>> No.12550255

>>12547729
based probability after the fact