/sci/ - Science & Math

>>12303250
it isnt hard to figure out, what is hard is getting the Jews to stop lying about it

is this a genuine question OP
are you believing in the benevolence of the system at hand

>>12303267
the special interest groups that actually set most policy usually don’t do this by getting one candidate in over another but instead by having both on the payroll. fudging the results of the most watched election in the world would also be pretty noticeable to those who know what to look for. it makes sense for the system to have legitimate elections, and make sure they don’t have much impact either way.

purely from a statistics perspective i’m interested in why these things can’t be predicted with the amount of data out there.

I'll take advantage of this thread and ask for help with math.

Biden is leading 0.2 with 10% of votes to be counted. What result does Trump need in those 10% to turn it around?

>>12303301
In such a situation, it can absolutely be predicted. But there is an alternative explanation: they lie.
Their saying they can't implies a level of chaos, which implies a lack of control by higher authorities, which implies that voting matters. A people believing that voting matters placates them to some degree - placation being a cheaper method of control than mass arms and overt violence.

>>12303263

But then how will I triple my bets?

>what are sample sizes

>>12304807
More than 2.2 points

>>12303250
>so much data available

assume you ask me if I prefer red or blue.

I tell you that I prefer red, then you start fabricating red shirt so you can encounter my buying preferences.

Except I've lied and I loathe red and I like blue, so you wonder why you haven't been selling your red shirts since you had the right data, except your data is moot.

>>12303250
good question

>>12303263
you have to go back