/sci/ - Science & Math

>>11140227
>Dailymail headline
Stop

>stacy

>not linking the paper
>tfw I can't directly link it either since 4chan thinks it's spam
https://pastebin.com/BRLMz1ni

>>11140227
yeah well my uncles estranged interracial lovers therapist says youre gay so yeah

>>11140263
Says right there in the abstract:
>These bounds are unlikely to be affected by possible survivorship bias in the data, and are consistent with mammalian extinction rates, typical hominin species lifespans, the frequency of well-characterized risks, and the frequency of mass extinctions. No similar guarantee can be made for risks that our ancestors did not face, such as anthropogenic climate change or nuclear/biological warfare.
OP is a retard spreading disinformation.

>>11140227
>>11140273
The author also has no reading comprehension. The odds are LESS than 1 in 14000, and probably less than even 1 in 870,000 for a given year.

>we conclude that the probability that humanity goes extinct from natural causes in any given year is almost guaranteed to be less than one in 14,000, and likely to be less than one in 87,000. Using the longer track record of survival for our entire genus Homo produces even tighter bounds, with an annual probability of natural extinction likely below one in 870,000.

Hypothetically what could cause the complete extinction on mankind within a single year?
All I can think of is a planet killing asteroid.
Even some kind of genetically engineered bio weapon would miss uncontacted tribes. Nuclear war would miss half the population with the resulting fallout, crop failure and climate change taking more than 12 months to finish off the rest.

>>11140227
disappointingly low odds even if true.

>>11140263
>we conclude that the probability that humanity goes extinct from natural causes in any given year is almost guaranteed to be less than one in 14,000, and likely to be less than one in 87,000. Using the longer track record of survival for our entire genus Homo produces even tighter bounds, with an annual probability of natural extinction likely below one in 870,000

everyone who works at the daily mail should get sent to a concentration camp. you know, for science

>>11140227
>dailymail
>fearmongering
>study says
>Liberatore is Latin for “to set free”

>>11141508
>Hypothetically what could cause the complete extinction on mankind within a single year?
Alien Hitler. Everyone is someone else's jews