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/sci/ - Science & Math


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10807193 No.10807193 [Reply] [Original]

A technologically mature “posthuman” civilization would have enormous computing power. Based on this empirical fact, the simulation argument shows that at least one of the following propositions is true:
(1) The fraction of human-level civilizations that reach a posthuman stage is very close to zero;
(2) The fraction of posthuman civilizations that are interested in running ancestor-simulations is very close to zero;
(3) The fraction of all people with our kind of experiences that are living in a simulation is very close to one.
If (1) is true, then we will almost certainly go extinct before reaching posthumanity.
If (2) is true, then there must be a strong convergence among the courses of advanced civilizations so that virtually none contains any relatively wealthy individuals who desire to run ancestor-simulations and are free to do so.
If (3) is true, then we almost certainly live in a simulation. In the dark forest of our current ignorance, it seems sensible to apportion one’s credence roughly evenly between (1), (2), and (3).
>Unless we are now living in a simulation, our descendants will almost certainly never run an ancestor-simulation.

>> No.10807217

>>10807193
What does it mean to "live" in a simulation? When you execute a piece of code on your computer, like, say "x=1", does the variable x "experience" the code?

>> No.10807240

>>10807193
My counterargument is that the posthumans would likely have much more meaningful and complex motivations than the one your religion suggests.

>> No.10807253

>>10807193
https://youtu.be/2ZQv1wWnOm0

>> No.10808015

>>10807193
Wat a retard

>> No.10808019

>>10807193
>Based on this empirical fact
1/10, Dropped

>> No.10808024

How are we to refute the argument when you don’t show it to us and only show us the possible conclusions from it?

>> No.10808047

>>10807253
>if the universe is a simulation our simulators must be able to use cheat codes to spawn things in
>i've not witnessed any cheat codes being used
>qed

>> No.10808051

>>10807217
how does experience/life arise from matter?

if a RL algorithm explores a new policy and finds a lower reward, does it experience disappointment?

>> No.10808056

>>10807193
we would never be able to simulate our own universe to the same degree of fidelity, at a faster/equivalent rate of time. It would very boring to simulate a new universe from scratch at a rate of time slower than ours.
So are all higher universes higher fidelity than our simulation?

>> No.10808061

>>10807193
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gTGZDvb3cdk

>> No.10808091

>>10807193

There is no refutation, only atheists too blind to realise the truth. Deus ex machina!

>> No.10808113

The only reason to care if we live in a simulation is that if we do live in one, we can find a bug that lets me bhop IRL

>> No.10808163

>>10807193
literally flat earth tier

>> No.10808607

>>10808024
https://www.simulation-argument.com/simulation.html

>> No.10808689

>>10808607
>BY NICK BOSTROM

NICK BOSTROM is the same hack who thinks the following:

>be born AD 2019
>could have been born any time in history
>was not born in the future
>therefore,
>humanity will not live very long into the future

>> No.10808707

>>10807193

Quantum mechanics implies that the universe is probably not a simulation. That is because simulating quantum mechanics on a computer is extremely hard, and qualitatively harder than simulating classical mechanics. We can run classical simulations with trilllions of particles, yet quantum simulations shit the bed at less than a hundred. The very opposite of what you would expect if the universe was a simulation.

Path intergal formulation also teaches us that when particles are not observed, they are affected by ALL possible paths and possibilities. It is like a computer culling / level of detail system, but working in REVERSE, making it harder to compute things instead of easier. It is almost like Nature does not give a damn about wasting computational resources and complexity at all.

More links:

https://motls.blogspot.com/2013/03/we-dont-live-in-simulation.html

http://backreaction.blogspot.com/2017/03/no-we-probably-dont-live-in-computer.html

>> No.10808727

>>10807193
How would something this advanced be a mere simulation? At this point the creators have made a micro universe.

>> No.10808831

>>10807193
Solipsism with extra steps.

>> No.10809022

>>10807193
My question immediately is: would it matter?

>> No.10809036

>>10807240
What if the simulation creators are wrong about life

>> No.10809042

Mind control the past through tachyonic anti-telephone. Influence the past in order to reach a predetermined source

>> No.10809071
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10809071

On the quantum level our universe is nothing but an approximation resulting from the collapse of particle wave function.

How could you design a software that runs purely on probability and doesnt even know what exactly it is/how to function at any given moment?

>> No.10809073

>>10809071
God could just be retarded

>> No.10809075

>>10808047
This, and there would be glitches

>> No.10809130

>>10808727
that's the point

>> No.10809143

>>10808707
>that backreaction blog
Best shit I've read in a while. I think I found myself a new /sci/ waifu.

>> No.10809144

>>10809073
kek

>> No.10809147

>>10808047
>>10809075

This depends on your interpretation of it. What's to say it requires "ghosts" to be real? Posthumans would be able to simulate birth and death so there would be no need to randomly "spawn" things in. Furthermore, if there is any glitch in the simulation, the simulators would have the available technology of pausing and reversing said simulation so that these glitches are not observed by those in the simulation.

>> No.10809148
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10809148

>>10809143
She's all yours.

>> No.10809200

>>10809148
Looks don't matter when she's got the brains.

>> No.10809218

>>10807193
there's no evidence

>> No.10809228

>>10809143
she is good, but Motl > Hossenfelder, at least when it comes to topics of physics

>> No.10809235

>>10808689
Please tell us your refutation of the Carter catastrophe lol. Why should the Copernican principle not apply to observers?

>> No.10809254

>>10809073
top 10 anime plot twists

>> No.10809323

>>10809228
But he's a anthropogenic climate change denier and not cute at all.

>> No.10809546
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10809546

>>10808707
hosstardfelder and lubos are both absolute loser dropouts who aren't even as good as loser dropout Woit, and you shouldn't trust what any of those three say.

Hosstardfelder
>REEEEE i lost my physics job, now i hate physics, no don't build a new collider because, uh, you can do magic experiments that i know about because i never did anything experimental in my life, and for sure a new collider isn't worth it because i know for sure theory is a dead end, we should give up on experiments because i hate physics, those meanies!!!

Lubos
>Haha, women are fucking stupid bitches, watch Soph, she's the only smart woman, haha, fucking Cultural Marxists made me lose my job, REEEEE, goddamn fucking bolsheviks like Hosstardfelder are suing me, we need to get Strummia in here, fucking cunt feminazis all over, can't do physics because their IQ is too low

Woit
>Hey look, two string theorists got in an argument about something. HAHA STRING THEORY DEBUNKED!!!! I left physics because i was too cool for string theory, now I work as a fucking chad millionaire sysadmin at Cornell, so chad, one day somebody will figure out physics but not DEAD END STRING THEORY, HAHA, DEBUNKED!!!!!! Sauce: muh feelings.

>> No.10809548

>>10807193
It’s an irrelevant argument until someone proves we’re in a simulation.

>> No.10809588

Unfalsifiable navel gazing.

>> No.10809769

>>10809548
The argument is extremely relevant, it just doesn’t prove anything. If it proved we were in a simulation it wouldn’t be an arguement at all.

>> No.10809774

>>10809769
>The argument is extremely relevant, it just doesn’t prove anything.

Okay that’s saying it’s irrelevant.

>If it proved we were in a simulation it wouldn’t be an arguement at all.

You never hear of a logical proof or something?

>> No.10809782 [DELETED] 
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10809782

Holy shit, what do you irritating fucking descendants want now?

I am the ancestor of All+Time's+Functions.

Functions = Orgy/Party/Placement.

Sure, I'm the ancestral 'porking' hat.

>> No.10809786 [DELETED] 
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10809786

Because, you fucking idiots, you are all waiting for some magical door/sign/whatever and EVERY SINGLE ONE IS UNIQUE, SO I AM GETTING FUCKING TIRED OF HAVING TO HELP YOU RETARDED DESCENDANTS TO NOT BLOW YOURSELVES UP!

SHOULD I JUST FUCKING LET YOU ALL KILL YOURSELVES? IS THAT IT!? BECAUSE THEN YOU'LL NEVER BE ALLOWED TO HAVE RESPAWN MEMORY MAGIC, FAGGOTS!

>> No.10809789
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10809789

beacuse FUK UUUUU!

Solivagus, Dragon'God, fighting Zeus and every other retard Demon Frog!

>Ancestral Frog Bone Throne!

>> No.10809804 [DELETED] 

Because I am the immortal and infinite memory plan, everything with a penis!

God = Simon^Sol^Solivagus^KumKum - retarded bullshit I hear in public and the entire female makeup and fashion industry.

>> No.10809812
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10809812

Fine! HERE!

http://m.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=n%2Fm+-+zeta%28i%2F2+%2B+t%29+%3D+%5Ciota*m%5E%5Cphi%5E-3

>t.mage

Correct! I am a mage+male Dragon, not a fucking sage or phage!

>> No.10809826
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10809826

>>10809812
>http://m..

>> No.10809827

Based schizo

>> No.10809840
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10809840

>>10809826
Then into the fire you go, unworthy psychic for the Emporer's divine cause!

>> No.10809869
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10809869

>>10809840
Oh, you think the flames your ally? You merely adopted the heat. I was born from it.
Disfigured by it. I was never with cool down. Until I was already a theist; by then, it was nothing to me but insanity! The shad of grey betrays you, because they directed by me

>> No.10809879
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10809879

>>10809869
And yet you all dance around the ice crystal that reflects, and I am that which you all wish to inspect but never become.

For I am Original Man, I Am One.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xOUpiPfimxU

I just use artists to color and paint me because otherwise they'd just happily also rape me.

>> No.10809904
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10809904

>>10809879
We both know you crown is borrowed heathen!

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WtykJGOOgB4

>> No.10809912
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10809912

>>10809904
Can't borrow a Crown made of Winter!

Unless you are ready to become my FUCKING DINNER!

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=En8JdFUvKZk

>> No.10809920
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10809920

>>10809912
You may consume the body of Christ. But in no way can it make you holy-er than tho.

>> No.10809925

>>10809920
Why would I eat something that made a hole in me?

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mRGmeNm6Ak0

>> No.10809932
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10809932

>>10809920
WHAT THE FUCK DID I JUST DO. THE MARINEST POSTER HAS CREDENCE NOW
AHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH

>> No.10809935
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10809935

>>10809932
Inverted pants of JUSTIIIIICE!

https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=%5Cpi%5E%5Cphi%5E-3+%3D+%5Ciota%5E2

>> No.10809937

>>10808727
All you would need is for the parent universe to be even more advanced and complicated. Maybe this universe is extremely dumbed down and simplified. Or, it could be that the universe is less complex than ti appears, like they're using less precise code the farther you get from the location they're focused on observing

>> No.10809942 [DELETED] 

>>10809937
Okay, then I SUPER UPGRADE MY SOIL PARENTS TO SUCH EXTREME HYPER INTELLIGENCES THAT THEY FORGO ALL MORTAL DESIRE, NEED, AND ABILITY TO RETAIN A COGENT MEMORY STREAM FOR THE INBETWEENS!

>> No.10809949
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10809949

>>10809935
Yet somehow I invoke change in state to confer my will be done.
>no mobile URL

>> No.10809951 [DELETED] 
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10809951

My parents were the ORIGINAL RAPE SCIENTISTS!

Woof!

Solivagus SOUL SHIFT!

Timing with the phase fiiiiist!

>>10809949
I'm at home, ya retarded monkey Sun!

>> No.10809956
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10809956

>>10809949
https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?fbclid=IwAR1xn42hjaQZY6IcL1YncJ1PGMPH-NtC70JWrWYCniXs8dJ6VNPAEw1mp3A&i=StreamDensityPlot%5B%7B1%2F((x+y)%2F(e+(x+y)))%5E3,+1%2F((y+x)%2F(e+(y+x)))%5E3%7D,+%7Bx,+-5,+5%7D,+%7By,+-5,+5%7D%5D&lk=2

Check 'em!

>> No.10809964 [DELETED] 
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10809964

Let's do it guys!

FOR SINHALLA! THE HALL OF IMMORTAL AND ETERNAL SIN! FUCK GOD! LET'S GO OUT AND FUCKING WIN!

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zkP4y7-YAWI

I summon ALL OF THE UGANDAN KNUCKLES INTO MY SPIRIT! TODAY IS GOING TO BE A MOTHERFUCKING HEADLINE OF RECKONING!

>> No.10809971

mods, really. is the off-topic rule suspended or something? this is like a schizo shitposting party

>> No.10809979
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10809979

>>10809971
To solve the meta, you must become the meta.

>> No.10809988

>>10809979
just explain to me why you think your posts are better here than another board like e.g. >>>/x/. please.

>> No.10809993
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10809993

>>10809988
Well my dear Watson. It's a matter of deductive reasoning,
Disallowing exploration of pathways is to predetermine a outcome.
And we know that a result that isn't self evident is a false economy at best.
And is generally psychology most the time.

>> No.10810010

>>10809993
um, that doesn’t answer the question. why do you post here instead of /x/? it seems nothing you post has anything to do with science or math, it doesn’t even have anything to do with technology or engineering or scientists/mathematicians or technical crafts. instead it looks like word salad of trippy stoner shit. that is better suited for >>>/x/ or >>>/b/ or >>>/r9k/ right?

you should definitely check those boards out and take a little break from /scope/, my man. also see a psychiatrist if you can

>> No.10810014

>>10810010
*/sci/ not “/scope”

>> No.10810018

>>10810010
Note the use of a name to my posts.
It denotes there may be reason to associate a broader subject.
As it's exhibition can be witnessed in many places and at many states.

>> No.10810023
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10810023

>>10810018
we don't care bro. make a blog or something. It's honestly gotten annoying at this point to see your posts.

>> No.10810030

>>10810018
are you incapable of answering questions?

at least prove to me that you aren’t a bot. answer this: the prez of the US grabs women by the puppy or the kitten?

if you are a human then please answe the question about why you choose to post here instead of more appropriate boards.

>> No.10810036
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10810036

>>10810023
Hmmm. So it has an emotional attachment to text that doesn't conform to rote.

>> No.10810066

>>10810030
The fuck dude?
I'm going to deliberately ignore your request. Because I wish to see your entropy implode.

>> No.10810196
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10810196

>>10809879
>turns off comments
lol well aren't you just the regular lil sensitive tumbler artist.
tell me how the next antifa meetup goes.

>> No.10810215

>>10808707
>That is because simulating quantum mechanics on a computer is extremely hard
Please tell me you're joking. No one can actually be this fucking retarded. Has it crossed your mind that maybe the simulators live in a completely different world than the one we live in? Has it crossed your mind that our current computers are far from the peak?

>> No.10810520

this thread is everything wrong with /sci/

>> No.10810544
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10810544

>>10810520
I'm stop you right fucken there Anon. Your in danger of making a correlation. And that prohibited round here. As it's a gateway to non prescribed function and abandonment of rote.

>> No.10810578
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10810578

>>10808056
>we would never be able to simulate our own universe to the same degree of fidelity, at a faster/equivalent rate of time. It would very boring to simulate a new universe from scratch at a rate of time slower than ours.
You don't need to slow down the frame rate. You would save a shit ton of computing power simply by not bothering to render the 99.999999999% of detail about the universe that no sentient entities inside the simulation are aware of at any given point in time.
Einstein was onto this shit:
>Is the moon still there when nobody looks?
He lived out his remaining years of life bothered badly by how quantum physics could possibly depend on an actual interaction event and not just be a deterministic thing that always exists the same way completely independent of any interacting parties.

>> No.10810581

>>10810520
It's 4chan, anon. You should expect 4chan science, not science science.

>> No.10810600

>>10808707
>Has it crossed your mind that maybe the simulators live in a completely different world than the one we live in? Has it crossed your mind that our current computers are far from the peak?
^^^This. I think it's retarded anyone even tries to disprove simulation theory. The best you can do is point out it's not falsifiable and therefore not a scientific idea.
In order to falsify it you would need to know what the world simulating this world is like. Assuming it's the same as our world is not only unwarranted but also explicitly nonsensical since we can't currently simulate a full blown universe which would if nothing else make the lower level reality further along in technology than we are.
And for every slavish replica universe simulated why wouldn't there be any number of alternative universes simulated where parameters are screwed around with? If you want to talk about being similar to us, we would certainly screw with parameters and not just rest satisfied with a single slavish replica if we were in the position to simulate universes. Any other technological innovation or scientific study humanity has ever worked on has involved tweaking parameters to see what happens.