/sci/ - Science & Math

It's actually a 50% chance; either it does or it doesn't.

>>10716089
Correct

Earth was created 6000 years ago, it's a 1/7000 chance, we've still got 1000 years left

>>10716108
1200 IQ Venusian spotted, prepare to be destroyed alien filth

>>10716083
"Compared to the 6-mile-long (10 kilometers) asteroid that killed the nonavian dinosaurs about 66 million years ago, 2006 QV89 is pretty dinky, measuring just 130 feet (40 meters) in diameter, or about the length of two bowling alleys placed end to end. "

An object that size could level a city,if it happened to hit one. But most of the Earth is not covered in city. It probably will pass us at around 4.2 million miles away. The moon is 238,900 miles (384,400 km) away.

>>10716089
What if it just.. enters the atmosphere at a highly oblique angle, clips the tip of a high mountain and then exits again?

>>10716125
What is this a reference to?

>>10716125
That obviously counts as hitting the earth
Go back to I fucking love science

>>10716125
I don't think that could happen. If it got that far into the lower atmosphere, without being pulverized, it would seem likely that it would have decelerated too much to make it back up and out.

It could always skip off the upper atmosphere into a new orbit. We might even get a second moon that way.

>>10716089
That's not how probability works, Mr. Smallbrain

>>1071608
HOLY SHIT! It could impact on day.
https://newton.spacedys.com//neodys/index.php?pc=1.1.2&n=2006QV89
This asteroid is the strongest!

>>10716125
>what is gravity

>>10716158
the fuck? I can't unicode post anymore? It could impact on Cirno day 9/9/2019.

>>10716152
A sufficiently massive body, moving at sufficient speed could probably pull it off.

>>10716083
Is already that time of the year?

>>10716199
like your mom when she finds her kfc coupon book?

>>10716287
Correct. No mountain can stop her.

>>10716083
Go asteroid.

>>10716156
Summer is here i can see :^)

>>10716160
Fake news

>>10716083
Nice, we need something like this

>>10716125
again 50% chance

>>10716505
what are the chances of you replying to this comment?

>>10716083
Radical dude

>>10716083
https://www.space.com/asteroid-could-hit-earth-in-september-2019.html
>Compared to the 6-mile-long (10 kilometers) asteroid that killed the nonavian dinosaurs about 66 million years ago, 2006 QV89 is pretty dinky, measuring just 130 feet (40 meters) in diameter, or about the length of two bowling alleys placed end to end.

Pretty harmless, right?

>>10716813
>length of two bowling alleys
fuckin metric units. Can someone convert this to imperial for a burger?

>>10716776
50%
He's either going to reply or he isn't.

>>10716866
Approximately 20 shuffleboard courts

>>10716083
>start packing
For where?

>>10716866
Approximately 6 minutes long

>>10717616
For your underground bunker.
You did build one right?

I can't wait. I hate this world.

>>10717775
This wouldn't end life on Earth.
Worst case scenario it destroys a major city, which would be devastating and chaotic for the rest of the globalized world too, but we'll still be here

>>10716089
Is this really false?
You could say that, from the perspective of someone in the future where a trial has occurred, the odds of the trial have gone one way are either 0 or 1, but we do not know which one.

>>10717850

they are trolling you

> the odds of the trial have gone one way are either 0 or 1

those are not odds, those are the possible outcomes.

>>10716089
fpbp

>>10716089
if only god were so merciful to let us die in this horrible hell.
also were are the raids and chaos? I want raids and chaos

>>10718194
Demonic hordes of elemental sapient asteroids takes a lot of energy, and I just don't feel up to it tonight.

>>10716089
based and technicallypilled

>>10716866
Close to 20 Wilt Chamberlains, end to end

>>10718155
Yeah, I know that "50%, it either happens or it doesn't" is an epic meme.
I was trying to build off of that, I guess. Not memeing.
But if something has already happened, the chance that it happened is 1, right?

>>10716089
Somewhat rustled. Well done.

>>10718194
I doubt I'll survive the collapse. Insufficient will to live and mental flexibility. You subhumans will pour out of the cities and eventually it'll happen.

>>10716083
So this means it has 0% chance to hit in real life, but some pleb looked at it with sociology tier low zoom optics and couldn't make out where it was so in a few months we're going to get clipped by the 1/7000 extreme statistical tail of that person's ignorance.

>>10716083
pls hit us

>>10716083
IDS HABBDDIN

>>10716089
Anon understands probability

>>10718345
How exactly can you tell the path of an astroid? Even through a telescope, you just get a moving star. It's impossible.

>>10718362
look where it is twice a few days apart

sadly it can't hit due to quantum immortality

>>10718362
Calculus

>>10718509
That's why it "can".

To be clear, these "chances" are just the diameter of earth divided by the uncertainty owing to velocity/position measurement and gravitation calculation, right?

how unfortunate, even /sci/ falls victim to typical media fear-mongering. on the off chance the asteroid does enter our atmosphere or gravitational pull, it has the probability of exploding or fragmenting midair. at the speed this asteroid is traveling, it would also be likely that the asteroid burns up to a much more minute size.

>>10721580
even if either of these occur, the asteroid would only cause damage on a local scale.