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/sci/ - Science & Math


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10185463 No.10185463 [Reply] [Original]

Why has weather prediction gotten seemingly worse over the past decade? Are they trying too hard to be too granular? Seems like you could flip a coin and get better results, they miss weather events by up to a day and change forecasts wildly all the time. Should meteorologists just stop trying 10 day predictions and stick to maybe one or two?

Pic somewhat related, this app has been telling me it's about to rain all day but it isn't even cloudy yet.

>> No.10185544

>>10185463
If you predict that tomorrow will have the same weather as today you'll be right more than the weather man.
That being said, rain percents don't work how most people think they do.
It's pretty hard to reliably forecast more than a day or two out because of butterflies in the amazon.

>> No.10185545

>>10185544
So why do they try so hard to predict desu?

>> No.10185562

>>10185545
The butterfly mafia finds its way