/sci/ - Science & Math

>>11597969
>difference between
>chance of intelligent life occuring
>chance of intelligent occuring at the same time and nearby

What metric are you using to decide one has a far greater probability than another, enough so that the probability of the first NOT occurring is retard tier but the probability of second NOT occurring is highly believable?

I ask because mathematically what you're saying about distance and time proximity really doesn't make sense. With true randomness "life happening nearby" is just as likely as "no life happening nearby" by definition. Pic related is an example of true randomness. Clearly many dots overlap or are very close, and just as many are very far from other dots. On an infinite scale is should be a standard normal distribution.

Extend that graph to 3 dimensions for space, then a 4th for time and viola, it's the same situation as real life. It's not truly adding this extra and insane amount of unlikelihood the way you imply since for every time life on two planets is way too far apart in time + distance to observe each other there will be two planets that are very close and existing nearly at the same time or overlapping.