/sci/ - Science & Math

>>10597454
>maybe human emissions of CO2 are causing a rapid long term warming trend
>this is known from fundamental thermodynamics and chemistry and confirmed by direct observation of incoming infrared heat via radiative spectroscopy
>this understanding allows us to predict the effect of CO2 emissions and various other radiative forcings on the global temperature since the chaotic turbulent flow of heat that dominates local short term weather tends to cancel out when averaging over the entire globe and over larger timescales
>in essence, the global temperature is determined by how much energy enters Earth's atmosphere vs. how much leaves it, and not how that energy is distributed around local areas.
>all of this took many decades of painstaking research and data from all the different subfields studying Earth's climate
>ah but I guess we must ignore all this because we can't predict ENSO, a large scale turbulent flow that has no effect on the long term trend because it's irregularly periodic and only dominates annual temperature variation