/sci/ - Science & Math

Sweden did a 1000 random person Coronavirus test. About 780 responded.
Between 27th March and 04th April.

The results, they say of the random sample, 2.5% tested positive. The tested random people where selected only to be Stockholmian. They didnt say what they thought was the population of Stockholm. Did they do this study for Urban population only or Metro, 940 000 vs 2 600 000 wider area.

Now within the given interval when they did the random sampling, the average cases was 4961 per day and median 4833, these are confirmed cases who had to seek medical attention and got tested at the hospitals.

If we assume those needing attention are within 10 to 20% of all infections, the numbers match.

There is not a very wide spread of mild or asymptomatic cases. 2.5% of total Stockholm population, 15% of those, would require hospital care, and indeed it looks so.

Bad news.