/sci/ - Science & Math

>>11633551
The op left out the part “you are randomly tested”. Or more often on tests “you randomly test someone, what is....”
But yes.
Look at it the easy way.
You test 1000 people, (.1 is 1/1000)
You expect one person to have the coof
Out of the remaining 999 people, about 50 will be Id’d as having the coof (5%)
The correct answer is the probability of being afflicted with the disease over number of true and false positives; 1 in 51 or 1.96% which is rounded up on tests due to convention.
Btw according to taleb less than 1 in 5 doctors got this right when asked. Which means you are likely to be given meds for shit you don’t have.
(Assuming no false negatives)

>>10118533
Weather you can say you have control in a lucid dream or not is just a matter of perspective IMO. I mean when you LD your subconscious is still creating the dream world and has all control over it. The only difference is you're now aware, and can make suggestions to yourself on what your subconscious should make or do.
It's like being a character in a video game or movie. You're still subject to the rules of the game and the script of the story/plot, but you have a direct line with the games creator/author and can suggest to them some changes to it on the fly. Your subconscious is always there listening. Which is why a good way of controlling a dream is just to shout out what you want. It can be something very specific like "I wanna see this person" and they'll some strolling around the corner, or you can just say "I wanna see something that'll make me laugh" and you might see 3 corgis tap dancing.

>>10119039
pic related