/sci/ - Science & Math

>>11534698
well since you zoomers don't pay taxes and its not your money being spent, you're not likely to care much about the expenses. you probably want free college tuition and $1000/month freemoney for life too.

sup /sci/
politics aside, how sound is the application of mathematics in this article?
>Exit polling shows counts consistently, significantly advantaged Biden or disadvantaged Sanders
http://tdmsresearch.com/2020/03/07/texas-2020-democratic-party-primary/
Exit Poll Versus Reported Vote Count

TEXAS:

The 2020 Texas Democratic Party presidential primary was held on March 3, 2020. Election results from the computerized vote counts differed significantly from the results projected by the exit poll conducted by Edison Research and published by CNN at poll’s closing. According to the exit poll Sanders was tied with Biden but lost in the unobservable computer counts by 4.5%.

In this election candidate Sanders saw the largest discrepancy between the exit poll and computer vote counts. His projected vote proportion fell 4% in the vote counts—an 12% reduction of his exit poll share. The combined discrepancies between the exit poll and the vote count for candidates Sanders and Biden at 4.4% significantly exceeded the 2.9% margin of error for the exit poll difference between the two. The discrepancies between Sanders and Bloomberg at 5.4% was triple their respective margin of error. See table below.

There is good reason to believe that the exit poll just prior to publishing showed a Sanders win in Texas.

As explained by Joe Lenski, executive vice president of Edison Media Research in a 2016 interview with The Washington Post, as soon as polls close in a state Edison Research alters the exit poll in accordance with incoming vote counts. They are hired by the networks to predict the winners and losers in an election as soon as possible and to provide the proportion and voting patterns of various demographics and their views on topics of interest. The incoming vote counts are useful to them to better predict the results of the unobservable computer counts. They were not hired to ascertain their accuracy.