/sci/ - Science & Math

>>11487833
Tom Hanks Disease

Back of the envelope calculations from 18MAR20 given 6x higher cases than diagnosed using Wikipedia numbers, the fatality rate per country, and given a 70% infection rate in the US. Pop 330m so .7pop is 231m.
Italy 1.3% - 3,003,000
Iran 1.1% - 2,541,000
World, Spain, and PRC .7% - 1,617,000
France .5% - 1,155,000
US .3% - 693,000
Germany and South Korea .2% - 462,000

So the benchmark of public health grading is to see if we managed to undershoot these numbers. For comparison the seasonal flu kill 40k per year in the US with a .1% fatality rate ergo a 12% infection rate.
US flu infection 12%, fatality 0.1%
US Tom Hanks Disease infection unk%, fatality 0.3%