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>> No.5787152 [DELETED]  [View]
File: 21 KB, 400x301, 1358094937973.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
5787152

Is Who wants to be a millionaire just a game of luck?

I mean, there's 33.34% chance of being right unless the person happens to know the right answer, and lifelines can only get you so far into the game.

Let's say there are 15 questions with 4 choices each. Let's also say there are 3 lifelines: call-a-friend, 50-50, and ask-the-audience.

For each of the 15 questions, there is only 1 correct answer, and 3 incorrect answers, so immediately your chances are 1/3 = 33.34%. You can use each lifeline once. Using phone-a-friend, let's say gives you a 95% chance the person you call is correct. So 1 question is 95%. Similarly, we can say ask-the-audience gives you a 95% chance. Finally, 50-50 will remove 2 wrong answers, so you have 1 right answer and 1 wrong answer, so you basically know the answer. To recap:

Question 1: 33.34%
Question 2: 33.34%
Question 3: 33.34%
Question 4: 95% <--- ask-the-audience
Question 5: 33.34%
Question 6: 33.34%
Question 7: 33.34%
Question 8: 33.34%
Question 9: 95% <--- phone-a-friend
Question 10: 33.34%
Question 11: 33.34%
Question 12: 33.34%
Question 13: 33.34%
Question 14: 33.34%
Question 15: 100% <--- 50-50
Total: 690.08%
Divided by 15 questions = 46.00%
So basically, it's more a less a game of chance, but more than half the people on the show will lose, so it's not very fair. That show is making tons of money off of people.

>> No.5778740 [DELETED]  [View]
File: 21 KB, 400x301, 1358094937973.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
5778740

Is Who wants to be a millionaire just a game of luck?

I mean, there's 33.34% chance of being right unless the person happens to know the right answer, and lifelines can only get you so far into the game.

Let's say there are 15 questions with 4 choices each. Let's also say there are 3 lifelines: call-a-friend, 50-50, and ask-the-audience.

For each of the 15 questions, there is only 1 correct answer, and 3 incorrect answers, so immediately your chances are 1/3 = 33.34%. You can use each lifeline once. Using phone-a-friend, let's say gives you a 95% chance the person you call is correct. So 1 question is 95%. Similarly, we can say ask-the-audience gives you a 95% chance. Finally, 50-50 will remove 2 wrong answers, so you have 1 right answer and 1 wrong answer, so you basically know the answer. To recap:

Question 1: 33.34%
Question 2: 33.34%
Question 3: 33.34%
Question 4: 95% <--- ask-the-audience
Question 5: 33.34%
Question 6: 33.34%
Question 7: 33.34%
Question 8: 33.34%
Question 9: 95% <--- phone-a-friend
Question 10: 33.34%
Question 11: 33.34%
Question 12: 33.34%
Question 13: 33.34%
Question 14: 33.34%
Question 15: 100% <--- 50-50
Total: 690.08%
Divided by 15 questions = 46.00%
So basically, it's more a less a game of chance, but more than half the people on the show will lose, so it's not very fair. That show is making tons of money off of people.

>> No.5770689 [DELETED]  [View]
File: 21 KB, 400x301, 1358094937973.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
5770689

Is Who wants to be a millionaire just a game of luck?

I mean, there's 33.34% chance of being right unless the person happens to know the right answer, and lifelines can only get you so far into the game.

Let's say there are 15 questions with 4 choices each. Let's also say there are 3 lifelines: call-a-friend, 50-50, and ask-the-audience.

For each of the 15 questions, there is only 1 correct answer, and 3 incorrect answers, so immediately your chances are 1/3 = 33.34%. You can use each lifeline once. Using phone-a-friend, let's say gives you a 95% chance the person you call is correct. So 1 question is 95%. Similarly, we can say ask-the-audience gives you a 95% chance. Finally, 50-50 will remove 2 wrong answers, so you have 1 right answer and 1 wrong answer, so you basically know the answer. To recap:

Question 1: 33.34%
Question 2: 33.34%
Question 3: 33.34%
Question 4: 95% <--- ask-the-audience
Question 5: 33.34%
Question 6: 33.34%
Question 7: 33.34%
Question 8: 33.34%
Question 9: 95% <--- phone-a-friend
Question 10: 33.34%
Question 11: 33.34%
Question 12: 33.34%
Question 13: 33.34%
Question 14: 33.34%
Question 15: 100% <--- 50-50
Total: 690.08%
Divided by 15 questions = 46.00%
So basically, it's more a less a game of chance, but more than half the people on the show will lose, so it's not very fair. That show is making tons of money off of people.

>> No.5770080 [View]
File: 21 KB, 400x301, a game of luck.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
5770080

Space travel is possible.

Relativity says space and time are the same thing.

Therefore time travel is possible.

>> No.5759573 [View]
File: 21 KB, 400x301, a game of luck.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
5759573

>tfw none of the pretentious math babbies on /sci/ cares about probability theory

>> No.5752321 [DELETED]  [View]
File: 21 KB, 400x301, 1358094937973.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
5752321

Is Who wants to be a millionaire just a game of luck?

I mean, there's 33.34% chance of being right unless the person happens to know the right answer, and lifelines can only get you so far into the game.

Let's say there are 15 questions with 4 choices each. Let's also say there are 3 lifelines: call-a-friend, 50-50, and ask-the-audience.

For each of the 15 questions, there is only 1 correct answer, and 3 incorrect answers, so immediately your chances are 1/3 = 33.34%. You can use each lifeline once. Using phone-a-friend, let's say gives you a 95% chance the person you call is correct. So 1 question is 95%. Similarly, we can say ask-the-audience gives you a 95% chance. Finally, 50-50 will remove 2 wrong answers, so you have 1 right answer and 1 wrong answer, so you basically know the answer. To recap:

Question 1: 33.34%
Question 2: 33.34%
Question 3: 33.34%
Question 4: 95% <--- ask-the-audience
Question 5: 33.34%
Question 6: 33.34%
Question 7: 33.34%
Question 8: 33.34%
Question 9: 95% <--- phone-a-friend
Question 10: 33.34%
Question 11: 33.34%
Question 12: 33.34%
Question 13: 33.34%
Question 14: 33.34%
Question 15: 100% <--- 50-50
Total: 690.08%
Divided by 15 questions = 46.00%
So basically, it's more a less a game of chance, but more than half the people on the show will lose, so it's not very fair. That show is making tons of money off of people.

>> No.5751151 [View]
File: 21 KB, 400x301, a game of luck.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
5751151

33.34%

It's a game of luck.

>> No.5741179 [View]
File: 21 KB, 400x301, a game of luck.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
5741179

33.34%

>> No.5733253 [DELETED]  [View]
File: 21 KB, 400x301, 1358094937973.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
5733253

Is Who wants to be a millionaire just a game of luck?

I mean, there's 33.34% chance of being right unless the person happens to know the right answer, and lifelines can only get you so far into the game.

Let's say there are 15 questions with 4 choices each. Let's also say there are 3 lifelines: call-a-friend, 50-50, and ask-the-audience.

For each of the 15 questions, there is only 1 correct answer, and 3 incorrect answers, so immediately your chances are 1/3 = 33.34%. You can use each lifeline once. Using phone-a-friend, let's say gives you a 95% chance the person you call is correct. So 1 question is 95%. Similarly, we can say ask-the-audience gives you a 95% chance. Finally, 50-50 will remove 2 wrong answers, so you have 1 right answer and 1 wrong answer, so you basically know the answer. To recap:

Question 1: 33.34%
Question 2: 33.34%
Question 3: 33.34%
Question 4: 95% <--- ask-the-audience
Question 5: 33.34%
Question 6: 33.34%
Question 7: 33.34%
Question 8: 33.34%
Question 9: 95% <--- phone-a-friend
Question 10: 33.34%
Question 11: 33.34%
Question 12: 33.34%
Question 13: 33.34%
Question 14: 33.34%
Question 15: 100% <--- 50-50
Total: 690.08%
Divided by 15 questions = 46.00%
So basically, it's more a less a game of chance, but more than half the people on the show will lose, so it's not very fair. That show is making tons of money off of people.

>> No.5725405 [DELETED]  [View]
File: 21 KB, 400x301, a game of luck.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
5725405

http://optimierung.mathematik.uni-kl.de/mamaeusch/veroeffentlichungen/ver_texte/millionaire_s.pdf

'Who wants to be a millionaire' officially confirmed as game of luck.

>> No.5724699 [DELETED]  [View]
File: 21 KB, 400x301, le millionaire face.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
5724699

Does anyone have access to this article?

http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/1467-9639.t01-1-00123/abstract

>> No.5723203 [DELETED]  [View]
File: 21 KB, 400x301, le millionaire face.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
5723203

>> No.5722265 [DELETED]  [View]
File: 21 KB, 400x301, le millionaire face.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
5722265

Is throwing dice just a game of luck?

I mean, there's 33.34% chance of rolling a 6 unless the person happen to cheat, and precision can only get you so far into the game.

>> No.5720412 [DELETED]  [View]
File: 21 KB, 400x301, le millionaire face.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
5720412

Is flipping a coin just a game of luck?

I mean, there's 33.34% chance of getting heads unless the person happen to manipulate the coin, and skill can only get you so far into the game.

>> No.5717473 [DELETED]  [View]
File: 21 KB, 400x301, 1358094937973.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
5717473

Is Who wants to be a millionaire just a game of luck?

I mean, there's 33.34% chance of being right unless the person happens to know the right answer, and lifelines can only get you so far into the game.

Let's say there are 15 questions with 4 choices each. Let's also say there are 3 lifelines: call-a-friend, 50-50, and ask-the-audience.

For each of the 15 questions, there is only 1 correct answer, and 3 incorrect answers, so immediately your chances are 1/3 = 33.34%. You can use each lifeline once. Using phone-a-friend, let's say gives you a 95% chance the person you call is correct. So 1 question is 95%. Similarly, we can say ask-the-audience gives you a 95% chance. Finally, 50-50 will remove 2 wrong answers, so you have 1 right answer and 1 wrong answer, so you basically know the answer. To recap:

Question 1: 33.34%
Question 2: 33.34%
Question 3: 33.34%
Question 4: 95% <--- ask-the-audience
Question 5: 33.34%
Question 6: 33.34%
Question 7: 33.34%
Question 8: 33.34%
Question 9: 95% <--- phone-a-friend
Question 10: 33.34%
Question 11: 33.34%
Question 12: 33.34%
Question 13: 33.34%
Question 14: 33.34%
Question 15: 100% <--- 50-50
Total: 690.08%
Divided by 15 questions = 46.00%
So basically, it's more a less a game of chance, but more than half the people on the show will lose, so it's not very fair. That show is making tons of money off of people.

>> No.5705378 [View]
File: 21 KB, 400x301, le millionaire face.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
5705378

>>5705343

>> No.5705333 [DELETED]  [View]
File: 21 KB, 400x301, le millionaire face.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
5705333

Probability theory thread?

>> No.5699890 [DELETED]  [View]
File: 21 KB, 400x301, le millionaire face.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
5699890

mathematics is just a theory (a gauss)

>> No.5698629 [View]
File: 21 KB, 400x301, le millionaire face.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
5698629

33.34%

>> No.5698569 [View]
File: 21 KB, 400x301, le millionaire face.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
5698569

>>5698558
>>5698561
Let's say there are 15 questions with 4 choices each. Let's also say there are 3 lifelines: call-a-friend, 50-50, and ask-the-audience.

For each of the 15 questions, there is only 1 correct answer, and 3 incorrect answers, so immediately your chances are 1/3 = 33.34%. You can use each lifeline once. Using phone-a-friend, let's say gives you a 95% chance the person you call is correct. So 1 question is 95%. Similarly, we can say ask-the-audience gives you a 95% chance. Finally, 50-50 will remove 2 wrong answers, so you have 1 right answer and 1 wrong answer, so you basically know the answer. To recap:

Question 1: 33.34%

Question 2: 33.34%

Question 3: 33.34%

Question 4: 95% <--- ask-the-audience

Question 5: 33.34%

Question 6: 33.34%

Question 7: 33.34%

Question 8: 33.34%

Question 9: 95% <--- phone-a-friend

Question 10: 33.34%

Question 11: 33.34%

Question 12: 33.34%

Question 13: 33.34%

Question 14: 33.34%

Question 15: 100% <--- 50-50

Total: 690.08%

Divided by 15 questions = 46.00%

So basically, it's more a less a game of chance, but more than half the people on the show will lose, so it's not very fair. That show is making tons of money off of people.

>> No.5698555 [DELETED]  [View]
File: 21 KB, 400x301, le millionaire face.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
5698555

Is Who wants to be a millionaire just a game of luck?

I mean, there's 33.34% chance of being right unless the person happen to know the answer, and lifelines can only get you so far into the game.

>> No.5696691 [View]
File: 21 KB, 400x301, le millionaire face.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
5696691

>> No.5696667 [DELETED]  [View]
File: 21 KB, 400x301, le millionaire face.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
5696667

Is Who wants to be a millionaire just a game of luck?

I mean, there's 33.34% chance of being right unless the person happen to know the answer, and lifelines can only get you so far into the game.

>> No.5683077 [DELETED]  [View]
File: 21 KB, 400x301, le millionaire face.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
5683077

Is Who wants to be a millionaire just a game of luck?

I mean, there's 25% chance of being right unless the person happen to know the answer, and lifelines can only get you so far into the game.

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