/sci/ - Science & Math

Rate my Starship timeline, bros
>2023
2 launches - none make it to orbit
>2024
5 launches - Final 2 make it to orbit. Demo of in-space propellant storage with depot prototype
>2025
8 Launches - First successful recovery of a Starship this year.
>2026
12 Launches - First propellant transfer in-orbit. First launches from Kennedy
ALSO - Artemis III flies this year, but only to NRHO and not to the surface
>2027
18 Launches - Artemis HLS Demo with expendable tankers due to low flight rate
>2028
24 Launches - Artemis IV using expendable tankers to make up for slightly lower flight rate
>2029
30 Launches - First mars-bound EDL test starships.
>2030
38 Launches - Artemis V HLS. Starship testing for crew launches to LEO
>2031
44 Launches. Artemis VI HLS mission. More EDL tests on mars
>2032
48 Launches. Artemis Base Hardware to the lunar surface.
First crew to LEO and back on Starship
>2033
52 Launches - Artemis VII HLS. Regular crew to LEO and back on Starship.
More EDL tests on Mars with “real” payloads
>2034
66 Launches. Same deal, really
>2035
72 Launches. Final set of EDL demo tests on mars.
>2036
80 Launches. Same deal, again
>2037
88 Launches. First ISRU and Pre-Hab equipment to Mars.
>2038
96 Launches. Same deal, really.
>2039
104 Launches. First humans on Mars.

So assuming even 2 or 3 more Raptors work fine, and it doesn’t lose TVC, and also the new interstage doesn’t crumple, Booster 9 should make it to MECO, right?