/sci/ - Science & Math

Latest IPCC data

Look at those accurate models! Were totally going to 10C boys. Theres no way Earth has any unexpected negative feedback loops, no sirre!

>>11000077
>PhD Candidate in Materials
>Undergrad in ChemE
>real
>mixed
>do nothing*
* - Im of the opinion that the earth is likely to have negative feedback loops that will stymie warming as we transition to a new equilibrium state
** - by all means try to convert as much of our baseload to nuclear (or hydro); but take it from an electrochemist, please, please don't try to convert our grid into intermittents (solar, wind etc.) + batteries.

>>11000145
M80 there's no data for the hypothetical impact of poorly understood water vapor feedback loops in the future. Hence 'assumptions'.
What I can say is that models have arguably overpredicted warming over the past decade or so (see latest IPCC figure attached) and that we're observing anomalous negative feedbacks such as increased snowfall over Canada and Antarctica.

Long term forecasting is f*cking hard and I recommend that alarmists take a course in stochastic processes