/sci/ - Science & Math

>>12315188
>where is the technology for that right now
Boca Chica, Texas.

>>12264567
I wouldn't say 100% dependent (there is always a chance that Blue Origin might use their Bezos bucks to actually do something useful, or the Chinks end up getting there) but yeah, SpaceX is ahead of everyone when it comes to rockets right now, and their Starship rocket that is under development is specifically designed to enable Mars colonization. Plus their Starlink network is going up quite nicely; most profit estimates for it mean they will have enough funds to bankroll their Mars efforts without outside assistance (though obviously they will be perfectly willing to accept extra funding if it is available).

And given how well the Starship project is going so far, I would give them 50/50 odds of launching manned mission during the 2026 launch window, and ~90% odds of doing so by 2028. I would also wager they will pull off a manned lunar flyby in 2024 or 2025, and a landing within a year of that or so.

OP, I would recommend checking out the /sfg ,/Space Flight General thread on this board if you are interested in space stuff.

I CAN'T HANDLE ALL THIS KINO