/jp/ - Otaku Culture

The relative distribution of all #1 votes.
For this year, 7.4% of voters had Flandre Scarlet as their #1 vote, etc.

First votes over other votes for all notable characters. A character with a high number has a larger tendency to be voted #1 by those who vote for them.

An unusually high number may be a signature of fraud, as a naive fraudster would submit a larger number of #1 votes for their favorite. Youmu has been an outlier for about 7 years. Sannyo in this year's preliminary results is an extreme outlier and is almost surely due to fraud.

Number of 1st votes, minus the number of other votes divided by 6, divided by the total number of voters.
This number would be zero if everyone used all their seven votes, and 1 if everyone just voted for 1 character.

A large number might indicate naive fraud, as the most effective way to widen the gap between a character and other characters is to only vote for the character to be propped up.

The number of first votes over the number of comments. A character with many #1 votes, whose voters are less likely to leave a comment would get a larger score.

A larger number might indicate naive fraud, if the fraudster does not leave a comment.

ok nerd

>Youmu Konpaku commits voting fraud

>>44804323
I always knew that Sannyo was backed by big money. Clearly they rigged the election to push their preferred candidate. I demand a recount.
Youmufag btw

>>44804492
i was exactly thinking how weird was to see youmu so high in the polls.

>>44804496
she has some connections with mafia that comes to her casino

>>44804323
Voting fraud is believable, but what I find unbelievable is the fact that it's Sannyo. Fucking Komakusa SANNYO. Who possibly has the blandest design for the last 10 games.

You niggas are treating this as a fucking presidential election. It's just a popularity contest. Who cares if some faggots don't think your wife is number 1. What matters is that she's number one in your heart.

>>44804721
I know she isn't going to be in the top, I'm just curious as to what the exact number is.

>>44804689
Maybe people just really, really like gambling.

>>44804721
Bread and circuses, dear anon.

Let us engane in tribalism over our favourite touhou characters once a year, will you? It's an interesting way to waste five minutes, way better than the hour or so a day the average anon spends on jaypee.

>>44804340
>>44804323
Not this shit again. You do realize that you're comparing no.1 votes to no.1-7 comments?
No.1 comments are now actually marked in the comment section meaning we can directly compare them to no.1 votes (pic related).
Flandre and Youmu aren't even outliers for either type of vote, your results are just skewed because of their high no.1 vote rates.

Their unusually high no.1 vote rates in recent years are supported by the twitter exit polls.
Sannyo's #1 votes are definitely fraud though, just take a look at her comment section.

>>44804689
She was placed last among windows cast in previous poll so I guess that prompted hackers to gave her a raise.

>>44804319
Reimu was top 2 until the last row, what happened to shift her popularity?

Might as well post this one again

>>44805515
I see that most hag fans are in the age ranges of the people who like them.

>>44805082
Good catch. Thanks you for taking your time to dig through the detailed data.
Here is the plot comparing all votes to comments, supporting your conclusions.

However, I think we're losing sight of the big picture here, which is that Youmu (and recently Flandre) have an abnormal amount of no.1 votes, while every other character basically lie on a continuum.

>>44804721
We're not allowed to be angry over presidential elections going poorly and/or voter fraud (see Jan 6th), so we're stuck only getting angry over our drunken anime girls.

>>44804492
https://twitter.com/Quwanti/status/1708184952318074890?t=Th9ROZ-qhrdqt2CJUdu5kg&s=19
it's sannyo this year

>>44808536
all seem like human-plausible comments. If you register just to vote for Sannyo and help her rank increase, is it really fraud?

>>44805515
Okay, but why?
It's lacking several 2hus.

>>44808536
>Mr. Beast give me money
Hold up.....

>>44808988
>human-plausible
Are you really sure...? Look how random and out of place a majority of them sound

>>44809105
just looks like a random ytber or streamer told their fanbase to vote en masse for Sannyo
same thing happened for Louise last year

>>44808374
Here's this year's exit poll after the first day of voting with no.1 bonus in light blue. The no.1 rates for Youmu and Flandre are around 30% just like in the final results.
The simplest explanation is that no.1 vote popularity (your favorite character) and no.2-7 vote popularity (other characters you like) are separate things, especially for the most popular characters. Keep in mind that just the Top 7 characters account for 40% of all no.1 votes. Even within the Top 7, voter demographics differ a lot between characters and you also have to take SDM dynamics and the protagonist status of Reimu and Marisa into account.

Thanks for the charts OP, I'm thinking of doing my own stats once the data is finalized. Maybe graphs showing Points by THPP for distinct character groups (SDM, Eientei, etc.) just for comparison's sake.

>>44804492
She can't keep getting away with this!

>>44804721
Because analyzing poll results are fun.

Bow down to your queen!

>>44813863
With her height, you'd have to!

>>44804721
More popular = More merch + More cosplayers

>>44804721
This is more fun than the presidential election and more important to me.

>>44816987
>>44813839
>>44809719

So who's winning?