/ck/ - Food & Cooking

>>19329501
>What's the idea behind the fu zhuan price increase hypothesis?
I am the second anon who is more skeptical but the theory is probably that as puerh prices continue to go up speculators will mass buy up the available stock of aged and perhaps even nicer semi-aged fu zuan as a substitute in hopes that it will be the next big thing. The puerh bubble caused the prices of other aged heicha to go up because it made collecting them much more popular. I think I remember hearing about old kang bricks being shipped out of Tibet and back to china because the value had gone up so much and there was suddenly demand for them in the mainland. Personally I don't think we will ever see as dramatic prices increases again because I don't see demand spiking as much again (its popular now so it cant be made popular for the first time again) and the supply for most heicha has increased since then as well (except perhaps for gushu which is still supply constrained). Some of the aged fu zhuan bricks can still be had for surprisingly good prices but they tend to look like lawn clippings (less marketable) and they can't make the same clams to exclusive Terroirs as puerh can so I think they are less likely to spike in price as a whole. I kinda figure if it were going to happen it would have already. Still 20+ YO tea is uncommon as a whole and tends to become unavailable or is prone to go rapidly up in price just due to scarcity so if there is something you like it is worth buying now.