/cgl/ - Cosplay & EGL

I wasn't sure where to post this, was going to do it in the Lolita general but the old thread is dead and I didn't want to start it off with a replica discussion.
Someone I have as a friend on Facebook is selling Celestial in Black for absurdly low, around $100 less than the going price. She says it's because she lost the front bow, but that the dress is in otherwise good condition. I'm still a little suspicious though, since the bows are one of the most telling signs of a replica. It's a long shot, but can anyone tell from these photos if it's a replica or not ?