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2023-11: Warosu is now out of extended maintenance.

/biz/ - Business & Finance


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58289186 No.58289186 [Reply] [Original]

Hi R*ddit! Would you pls ELI5 what is going to happen to le soft landing oikonomy when this lil number here goes to ZERO? Thanks and have an excellent day!
PS. I hope a good thread died for this better one.

>> No.58289444
File: 124 KB, 1280x720, natehiggers.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
58289444

>>58289186
>pajeet posts about another scam shitcoin
>front page
>anon posts about actual macro bizness
>not a peep from the anons

>> No.58289463

>>58289444
Nothing ever happens

>> No.58289625
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58289625

>>58289444
I think this is the reason why

>> No.58289661

>>58289186
>>58289625
Also, last I heard, M2 supply was dipping hard. So you have banks hoarding cash for a longterm outlook, which makes sense for RRPs to dip.
Something similar happened in the great depression if I recall.

>> No.58289663
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58289663

>>58289444

>> No.58289690
File: 182 KB, 977x777, Fqt8XuvWYAYC_c8.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
58289690

Took me 2 seconds to find lol. I was right on the money.

>> No.58289705

>>58289625
its absurd that these amounts are considered high

>> No.58289709
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58289709

>>58289690
Dumbfuck.

>> No.58289724

>2021
>OMG REVERSE REPOS GOING UP IS SO TERRIBLE, THIS JUST SHOWS HOW RIGGED AND PROPPED UP THE ECONOMY IS!!!1!1!1!!1!
....
>2024
>REVERSE REPO GOING AWAY MEANS TOTAL ECONOMIC COLLAPSE BECAUSE ....UM..... WELL ..... IT JUST DOES, OKAY??!!1!1!1!1

What a waste of space this board is

>> No.58289738

>>58289663
you should know however
Heresy thinks zerohedge is a moron because of the "700B constraint level" being bullshit

https://www.youtube.com/@HeresyFinancial/search?query=reverse

>> No.58289752

>>58289738
zerohedge is a moron he is bulgarian

>> No.58289759

>>58289690
2% !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

>>58289709
kek
this
I dont think people realise how much money was created and is still in the system.

>> No.58290007

>>58289463
Idiot, this is the only reason why still don't have a crisis , think about it as the reserves for the banks when they are low on money , this is them taking it because they are getting low on it.

Once it goes to 0 it's show time

>> No.58290101

>>58290007

>Once it goes to 0 it's show time

I imagine the printers will first be turned back on in desperation
then a period of creeping inflation
then a crash
Hitting 0 will be the beginning, but not necessarily result in a sudden crash
maybe a slight crash because of a collective panic and uncertainty
but there will be some horizontal glide before the artificial distraction 2.0 begins Covid sequal or WW3), oops, I mean recession hits

>> No.58290226

>>58289186
>Zero
I'm expecting fireworks below 250 billy.

>> No.58290234

>>58289661
Banks hoarding cash was the reason RRP rose. RRP is a stopgap measure to allow banks to hold tons of cash without having to pay for it.

>> No.58290251

>>58289690
I like how 12% basically doubles the average since I was born, but because it comes on the tail of the single biggest increase in history, it just looks like a part of the leg down.

>> No.58290252

>>58289186
I never understood why some anons censor themselves when they type Reddit

>> No.58290260

The doomers in this thread are retarded. RRP hitting zero means bond yields start going down, saving the treasury from interest-maggedon. We’ve defeated China, we’ve defeated Russia, and we made Europe pay for it all on top. Golden bullrun time, 10 more years of peak US dominance

>> No.58290348

>>58289690
>>58289661
Retard RRP is the bottom of the fed channel for controlling market rates mainly, with IOER being the subfloor for cash yield.

>>58289724
It depends really, Repo volume alone cannot tell you much you also need to account for other variables. For example, rising repo volumes in the feds facility in 2019 signaled massive dollar shortages, which if you bet on those paid off in a little over 4 months in the form of the Covid collapse. However rising reverse Repo usage signaled massive inflation which lead to negative real rates and ended up being a very poor sign for the bond market and banks, thus banking collapses happened for regional US banks.

You can’t really just look at the repo volume alone and deduce the issues, bonds, FX, equities, other fed facilities, they all have a piece of the puzzle too.

>>58290234
This

>> No.58290452

>>58290252
had to get past the spam filter gitgud nigger

>> No.58290516

>>58289186
That rate of change looks flat. Let the good times roll!

>> No.58290691

>>58289724
This board is ignoring it, you should direct your ire at zerohedge, which deserves it as well. Those boomers have been predicting teotwawki for forever. 2 more weeks.

>> No.58290796

>>58289625

Watch $USB. It's the only whale with 87% CRE loan to equity. If it starts to die its happening.

>> No.58290819

>>58289663

all those words and still wrong

>> No.58290849
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58290849

>>58290007

reserves dont do anything in modern banking because the money multiplier hasn't been relevant in 70 years

>> No.58290899

>>58290849
kek i played monopoly with some friends and the bank ran out of money.... had to go to the printer and print out some more money. kept playing the game on and on

>> No.58291402

>>58290452
I typed it and it went through. Nice try

>> No.58291481

>>58290796
>87% CRE loan to equity
where the fuck did you get that figure out your asshole?

>> No.58291558
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58291558

>>58291481

Breakdown12/31/2023

Total Assets
663,491,000

Total Liabilities Net Minority Interest
607,720,000

Total Equity Gross Minority Interest
55,771,000

>> No.58292559

guys, i don't fully understand what all this shit means in the particulars but i know it's important. where to go to learn this? don't tell me uni. not going back to that scam

>> No.58292671

>>58292559
unironically youtube

>> No.58293211
File: 47 KB, 680x531, 1712232774492229.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
58293211

https://banksonthebrink.com/

>> No.58293232

>>58289444
gay and boring

>> No.58293350
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58293350

>>58289724
Botom signal?