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57142235 No.57142235 [Reply] [Original]

BTC always touches the 0.618 or the 0.65 retracement levels as you can see below. Is this time different? You are free to baghold a 50% correction to try and prove me wrong. ETF will be a sell the news event. We either hit 50273 or 48561 and from there until the halving it will be down. Problem is indices will also correct heavily. Might be more than 50% imo.

>> No.57142247

>>57142235
Everyone is selling at 46

>> No.57142261

>>57142235
Canfield?

>> No.57142262

>>57142235
Capo?

>> No.57142270

>>57142235
because everyone expects this; its going to be different this time unironically. did you forget that next week all btc etfs might get approved? prepare for the biggest candle you'll ever witness

>> No.57142278

>>57142270
42k to 50k sounds like a pretty big candle to me

>> No.57142352

>>57142235
Yeah it'll flash crash to a previous support after the great havlening with miners getting butthurt. What that support will be will depend on the price at the time. Good slurping opportunity but I wouldn't bet everything on it. For all we know btc could be at 80k then and dip to 60k.

>> No.57142385

>>57142235
The covid crash was a legitimate black swan. No TA predicted that.

>> No.57142421

The halving has become a cultural dogma.
This time it'll be different exactly because of it

>> No.57142437
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57142437

>>57142385
I still remember entering the board that day in march and the music was the end of evangelion on the board thanks to fucking jannies.

I went to the bathtub and was there for hours in a psychosis state, all faggots from 2018-2020 preparing for the bulrlun went to the bottom again in a single day was fucking insane and jannies putting the end of evangelion as the board theme did not helped, not to mention it happened as nations were closing borders one after another in an almost apocalyptic situation.

I would not be suprised if many anons commited suicide that week also the suicide hotline was stickied ffs.

It was horrible and traumatic

>> No.57142479

>>57142437
Based

>> No.57142658

>>57142437
faggot. I didn't even notice anything happened

>> No.57142677

I have half my money in crypto and the rest in cash. If crash after etf deadline (due to approval or rejection don't care) I will dca the rest in. If pump I will also dca the rest in but within a smaller time frame. I will not sell until some stadium or other normie icon is renamed or releases a song about crypto.

>> No.57142693

>>57142235
Probably not gonna happen because everyone is on the sidelines waiting for this, desperate to buy. Only way I can see it going that low is if ETF is denied, which is a real possibility. But not holding this close to halving is too risky; people forget how powerful BTC is until it starts ripping non-stop. I have a feeling many bobos will neck after missing out on this bull run out of greed.

>> No.57142697
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57142697

Get it through your thick bobo skull. This is where we are.

>> No.57142707
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57142707

You can't ignore the SPY either anons...

>> No.57142715

>>57142677
This is a good strategy. We don't know what will happen but we can do our best to prepare for either outcome.

>> No.57142720

>>57142278
A run-up like that still needs to take about a couple days... But then again, a teeka PBC pump with the right conditions would be a sight to freeze and behold.

>> No.57142730

>>57142697
No, move the left box a little to the left. We're basically in 2019

>> No.57142733
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57142733

It's way too soon for us to go back to a bear market though! :( I'm still slightly under 50% from my breakeven.

>> No.57142747

>>57142697
are you retarded or just new and don't know what you're looking at?

>> No.57142776
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57142776

>>57142697
kek what is this

>> No.57142782

>>57142697
Kek you will capitulate so hard at 100k. Good riddance.

>> No.57142846
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57142846

>>57142385
>The covid crash was a legitimate black swan. No TA predicted that.

KEK , covid was known from January , BTC crashed in March , everyone with at least one brain cell had time to sell

>> No.57142863

>>57142846
You are a retard how is that TA

>> No.57142886

>>57142846
20/20 hindsight. im pretty sure you never saw it coming.

>> No.57142896
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57142896

>>57142863
TA has nothing to do with the fact that you are braindead and didn't sell when lockdown was known from January and everyone with half a brain was expecting a crash from broken supply chain , KEK

>> No.57143037
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57143037

>>57142886
>20/20 hindsight. im pretty sure you never saw it coming.

KEK, Absolutely didn't see it coming , like I didn't see inflation coming as a result of paying people for not producing goods during lockdown

KYS

>> No.57143042

>>57142235
Can you check the SPY

>> No.57143050

>>57142896
You did not sell
>>57143037
You also type like a retard

>> No.57143143

>>57142677
What if the fed fails to deliver a soft landing once again? Google this:
Imf bets on a soft landing 2007
Kek
If there is a recesion i dont see how we arent fkd

In rhat case we woukndt have powder left and i lost my income this year hoping to make some again next year

>> No.57143251
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57143251

>>57143042
not looking good at all for early 2024 lol

>> No.57143424

>>57143143
Yes I am aware and actually betting on a severe recession. But the question is whether crypto gets a bull run before the music stops. I am hedged either way.

>> No.57143462

Check the liquidation heat map. 44k lower high then down to mid 30k.

>> No.57143465

>>57143424
Well you said dcq shrt aaftwr
Im 100pt cash hoping i dontvget pricrd oyt on ftf poomp

>> No.57143479

>>57142235
>always
You are literally the exact retard that VCs aim to steal capital from.

>> No.57144140

>>57143050
Hey moron , have fun not sitting on cash when inflation will be back because Red Sea problems, ship freight rates are 10k now , like during lockdown you braindead retard , what a loser , you deserve to be poor , KYS

>> No.57144216
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57144216

>>57142235
>from there until the halving it will be down
I've spent this afternoon looking over historical data, what I can tell you is that the price usually goes down after the halving for a while too so the halving event isn't what will trigger the climb to the new ATH. Also, I don't know if you're a long term holder or a swingie, but you're talking about the halving as if we still have months and months of waiting when we actually only have a little over 100 days to go. I think what will happen is out of order from what you said; the halving will come first, then the ETF will finally be cleared a few months later, coincidentally around the time when the price starts going up a lot post-halving so that the bots and whales will have a cover for playing Etch-a-Sketch with the charts like they always do post-halving.

>> No.57144261

>>57142385
It wasn't a black swan, the lockdown exacerbated the crash, but that wasn't the main reason. You have no idea what's coming lmao.

>> No.57144283

>>57142385
>>57144261
Also no TA predicted it because it was FA. That's all I'm going to say. Goodluck.

>> No.57144488

>>57142437
Kek. There was a 1-2 month period where I thought civilization was over. Quickly realized it was all a LARP but normies needed 2 more years to come to the same conclusion.

>> No.57144533

>>57143251
It hasn’t diverged yet. SPY is going to 5200 at least before the crash. There might be a small retracement now before it gets there, but the run isn’t over.

>> No.57144654

>>57142247
this

then back to around $12k
real moon 2025

>stick to the plan, then ywgmi!

>> No.57144682

>>57144140
So you didn't sell. Please go kill yourself

>> No.57144945
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57144945

>>57142697

>> No.57144980

>>57144488
>1-2 month period
>Quickly realized
pick one

>> No.57145116

>>57144980
took me like 3 days to see nobody was dying unless microwaved

>> No.57146185

>>57142235
We will have a massive crash AFTER the halving.

>> No.57146283

You missed the bottom.

>> No.57146301

i just hate that i missed doge at USD 5c and link at USD 5

>>57144216
hate to be a coomer but...sauce? moar?

>> No.57146755

>>57142270
Everyone has been calling for a dump/sell the news which means people are long which means they are going to be liquidated on a fakeout to 54k or something... Then we go down.

>> No.57147613

>>57142846
>covid was known from January
Same for me but I didnt know what it would do to markets. I saw it was a nothingburger so i didnt expect markets to do what they did. Took normies another 2 years to finally catch on to it.

>> No.57147623

>>57142697
>>57142730
We are in 2020. Halvening hasnt even happened yet. BTC wont break ath until Q4 2024. But it will be this year for sure. ETF could change things a lot though.

>> No.57147630

>>57142270
two more weeks minus one week?

>> No.57147695
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57147695

BTC is going to crab into the ETF approval
then after 1-2 weeks when nothing happens people will get impatient and start dumping

gamblers pyschology. thats the only indicator i need.

>> No.57147924
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57147924

BTC dominance at ~48%. Might be time to rip that up to ~60% when considering the ETF approval (if it's to be) grabbing normiebux/instituitional money AS WELL AS those in alt-coins who are watching the BTC market share run. Obviously as anyone whos been here for a half-cycle or so already knows that the alts will follow once the dominance chart returns to a more normal share of the market. Of course, etf non-approval might just have the opposite effect. Also, I guess sell the news might just be the case too.

TL;DR: might go up, might go down

>> No.57147966

>>57146755
>people are long which means they are going to be liquidated on a fakeout to 54k
i think you mean short

>> No.57148458

>>57142697
Nice shitty linear scale, fag

>> No.57148516

the amount of 50% crashes I have held through would soil your panties. it hurts but i always get through it

>> No.57148843

>>57146755
>>57147966
dubs of truth

>> No.57150514
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57150514

>>57142235
I'm looking at the precedent XRP set for "paradigm shifting" news. MASSIVE candle up, then down, then return to normal.

Later.... more massive candles up as money flows into BTC via the ETFs.

>> No.57151025

>>57150514
Do you think this will happen on ETF approval confirmation? Notably there wasn't much buildup to the XTP announcement and the pump happened at once but with the ETF it's been expected for the past few weeks and we've already had a big pump leading up to it

>> No.57151162

>>57142846
The chinese government was not even reacting to it in January, what makes you think everybody knew about it