/smg/ - STOCK MARKET GENERAL

[Anonymous No.56391629]

Oil Gods Edition

>Educational sites:
https://www.investopedia.com/
https://www.khanacademy.org/economics-finance-domain

>Charts:
https://www.tradingview.com
https://www.finscreener.com
https://www.koyfin.com/
https://www.portfoliovisualizer.com

>Live Streams:
https://www.newslive.com/american/cnbc.html
https://www.newslive.com/american/bloomberg-television-business.html

>Screeners:
https://finviz.com/
https://www.tradingview.com/screener
https://etfdb.com/

>Options:
https://www.optionsplaybook.com/options-introduction/
https://www.optionsprofitcalculator.com
https://optionstrat.com/
https://www.optionistics.com/quotes/option-prices

>Pre-Market and Live data:
https://www.investing.com/indices/indices-futures
https://finance.yahoo.com/

>Calendars:
https://www.marketwatch.com/economy-politics/calendar
https://www.earningswhispers.com/calendar
https://www.cmegroup.com/trading/interest-rates/countdown-to-fomc.html

>Boomer Investing 101:
https://www.bogleheads.org/wiki/Getting_started

>Misc:
https://tradingeconomics.com/
https://finance.yahoo.com/trending-tickers
https://market24hclock.com/
https://fintel.io/
https://www.dividendchannel.com/drip-returns-calculator
https://brokerchooser.com/

Previous: >>56389166

[Anonymous No.56391637]

Bros, shit is escalating in the middle east so fucking quickly man...

How do I profit from all of this stocks wise?
>T. newbie finance retard

[Anonymous No.56391673]

>>56391637
Come over to the dark side

[Anonymous No.56391683]

the fall hasn't even started yet

[Anonymous No.56391691]

>>56391683
Uh oh. Where are we on the Jewish calendar though?

[Anonymous No.56391697]

For me, it's QQQ.

[Anonymous No.56391709]

>>56391697
Nope, Im pretty sure you forgot the S in front of that ticker fren

[Anonymous No.56391730]

>>56391637
Invest in rubber boats

[Anonymous No.56391734]

>>56391683
>-1%
That's just a regular thursday.

[Anonymous No.56391743]

Man I wanted to at least use all of the money I made from stocks for the last year and go on a trip to marry a cute big breasted wife in Africa or somewhere in Asia.

Guess that dream won't be coming true with war on the horizon...sigh

[Anonymous No.56391756]

Ray Dalio, who is literally the greatest hedge fund manager who has ever lived, has a twitter account with the most insane doomposting on it that it makes /smg/ schizos look tame. It's fucking OVER. According to Dalio, we will get:
>defeat in WW3
>sovereign debt crisis
>civil war

[Anonymous No.56391760]

>>56391756

[Anonymous No.56391761]

>Experts say inflation is cool--ACK

[Anonymous No.56391763]

>>56391709
I'm not retarded or poor so I don't use LETFs for leverage or delta management. But I appreciate you bobo posters.

[Anonymous No.56391783]

>>56391756
Sounds rough. Times like these make me wonder what to do with my quickly dissolving $473.000 pension savings portfolio. I've heard good things about funds manager Ruth McCarthy on the internet. Does anyone have any experience using her services?

[Anonymous No.56391803]

>>56391756
he's got 10-20 years to live, people tend to go crazy since it's the only way to cope that their life will be ending soon

[Anonymous No.56391816]

>>56391756
he's a long-term chink shill he's fucking retarded

[Anonymous No.56391832]

>wake up too early
>check /smg/
>welp looks like another day of fuckery
Not even going to bother checking my stocks today. Just more faggotry happening

[Anonymous No.56391835]

>>56391629
We breakin out niggas?

[Anonymous No.56391836]

>Hamas, Hesbollah, ISIS, Islamic Djihad, Crimson Djihad
Why the fuck are there so many? Is this a lucrative business?

[Anonymous No.56391837]

Are you a better investor than Burt Reynolds?
>By his own estimation, at the peak of his career Burt's net worth topped $60 million. That's $60 million after taxes in the 1980s. That's the same as around $150 million today after adjusting for inflation," the site reports.
>The man was living large, and thanks to his hit projects and endorsement deals, he was bringing home a ton of money on a regular basis.
>Reynolds not only made a ton of money, but he also spent it, too. The man was larger than life, both in front of the cameras, and at home with his riches.
>$60 million is an incredible amount of money for any person to have, but as we will soon learn, this number dropped considerably over time.
>"He didn't just buy one mansion in Beverly Hills, he bought several. He built a massive water-front estate in Florida. He bought a 160-acre ranch, also in Florida, where he kept a stable of 150 horses. He bought a mansion in Georgia. He had a private jet and a helicopter to take him back and forth to the private jet. When he married actress Loni Anderson in 1988, he didn't just move them into one of the mansions he already owned in Beverly Hills, he bought an entirely new mansion for them to live in," Celebrity Net Worth writes.
>Not only was the actor shelling out a fortune for his lifestyle, but he also sank money into business ventures that failed. At one point, Burt and his partner's decisions "turned it into a $20-30 million loss," per the site.
>Reynolds would also foolishly borrow millions for a show with the hope of cashing in once it reached syndication. It didn't.
>Throw in a massive divorce, and suddenly, it's easy to see why Reynolds was reeling financially in the 1990s. In his bankruptcy filing, Reynolds owed over $11 million total, with nearly $4 million owed to CBS for his ill-fated show that never hit syndication.

[Anonymous No.56391848]

>>56391761
BTFP was 108b now this new aid package is 100b

200b+ for Moloch in less than a year

[Anonymous No.56391867]

>>56391837
I couldn't finish this after
>larger than life
Absolutely gay article

[Anonymous No.56391868]

>>56391837
Investors are suckers, mostly those that invest in very small companies that aren't even in business yet. It's like buying the stock of an OTC microcap that doesn't have any revenue yet, you wouldn't do that.

[Anonymous No.56391885]

>>56391763
It's good to be appreciated

[Anonymous No.56391889]

>>56391837
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jYjhv0BMB1A

[Anonymous No.56391892]

Ciscobro, how could you do this to us?

[Anonymous No.56391920]

>>56391892
The NSA made us do it is all

[Anonymous No.56391937]

Might i request an analysis/valuation of ASML? I do not understand this stock anymore.

[Anonymous No.56391939]

>>56391803
>>56391816
>I'm a better investor than Ray Dalio
lol

[Anonymous No.56391946]

>>56391939
Does Ray Dalio have a crystal ball for all his gay ass predictions or is he just projecting his inevitable death on to everyone else since the walls are closing in on his mortality? Is he just going to shill gold now?

[Anonymous No.56391954]

Short tech

[Anonymous No.56391956]

>>56391946
that's how he predicts
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HXbsVbFAczg

[Anonymous No.56391959]

>Iran Foreign Minister calls for oil embargo against Israel.


and just like that indices drop

[Anonymous No.56391966]

>>56391946
BUDDY, look at the world around you computer.

[Anonymous No.56391972]

>>56391959
AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA

[Anonymous No.56391985]

>>56391966
People have been saying WW3 and civil war forever now.

[Anonymous No.56391993]

>>56391959
gold rose instantly too

[Anonymous No.56391997]

>>56391985
Look at yields.
Look at debt to GDP.
Look at inflation.
Look at wars on multiple fronts.
Look at literally fucking anything.

[Anonymous No.56392008]

>>56391959
Oilers rise up. Venzeula might get its shit together next year which might allow foreign companies back in to develope their oil fields.

[Anonymous No.56392017]

I told you.

Long oil.
Long gold.
Short Nasdaq.
Yields up.

Did (You) listen?

[Anonymous No.56392020]

>>56391997
So what? All that can literally change on a dime with proper fiscal government spending. You literally just need an administration that isn't being led by a corrupt dementia ridden war mongering degenerate like Joe Biden. Everyone with two eyes sees a night and day contrast between the economy between these administrations.

[Anonymous No.56392021]

Can someone please explain the Monte Carlo Method/Simulation to me like im 5,

is this all it takes to make good money?

[Anonymous No.56392027]

>>56391959
>were actually going back to 70s financial conditions

So I guess the market will go up, but inflation is going to stay sticky

[Anonymous No.56392034]

>>56392020
If you stop spending, then that worsens the collapse by reducing GDP. We have passed the event horizon: it is unavoidable now.

[Anonymous No.56392039]

Tech-sissies.

It is over for you now.

SELL while you still can.

This is your final chance.

I hope you listened. I have been right so far and I continue being right.

[Anonymous No.56392043]

>>56392017
Oil has such good value. Even majors like xom/cvx have single digit pe ratios with positive cash flow. If they stopped being viewed as toxic so more would loan them money..

[Anonymous No.56392044]

>>56391892
Fud

[Anonymous No.56392047]

>>56392034
Bro do you know how much money goes to so much stupid shit like foreign charities, donations, and humanitarian projects? Like I said we need an administration that isn't giving billions everyday to fucking foreign countries and getting nothing in return.

[Anonymous No.56392048]

didn't do anything embarrassing at the office party this time, it was nice but the new female coworker hates me. thanks to everyone here who gave me tips

[Anonymous No.56392054]

>>56392043
There will be a stark revaluation of oil companies. Give it time. Green dreams are memes.

[Anonymous No.56392059]

>>56392021
No, there's way too many lines I and can't read that chart

[Anonymous No.56392060]

>>56392048
Bro why are you even interacting with the new female coworker? Are you trying to get fired or cancelled?

[Anonymous No.56392066]

>>56392048
Good job anon. You cant make everyone happy.

[Anonymous No.56392073]

>>56392059
lol, me too man. but fr could somebody just boil it down for a retard to understand. also its me, im the retard who needs to understand

[Anonymous No.56392074]

>>56392039
Ok, so where do you think QQQ will be Friday? Like what range would you guess?

[Anonymous No.56392078]

>>56392074
I don't know. All I know is QQQ is coming down and as such I loaded up on QQQ puts. Will take profits when I see fit, same as I did with my NVDA short.

[Anonymous No.56392092]

Oil doomping again. It's only an embargo against Israel. US will help out.

[Anonymous No.56392096]

>>56392054
I did not invest in enough pbr. But I also bought xle to benefit from usa side too. Should have went calls on xle though. It's up 5% since I bought.

[Anonymous No.56392098]

>>56392092
+2.79% so far today. Gigapoomping.

[Anonymous No.56392101]

>>56392092
we pumping nigga
they really thought they could stop us............

[Anonymous No.56392103]

>>56391892
This is Cisco operating as usual. Their software is like 90% backdoors, default passwords, and CVEs.

[Anonymous No.56392107]

>>56391756
That sounds generous with defeat.

[Anonymous No.56392110]

>>56392078
I think I'll do some bearish butterflies on it for next week so I don't get fucked by Mr Snibs' annoying theta chop. I'm not too greedy and I'll just close em out early if it hits the peak of my range too quickly and take my money early

[Anonymous No.56392116]

>>56392107
Usa gonna withdraw from israel and import six million jews

[Anonymous No.56392117]

>>56392110
This is why you either just take a short position or buy long dated puts to avoid theta shenanigans

[Anonymous No.56392121]

GOLD
SILVER
OIL
URANIUM

[Anonymous No.56392123]

>>56392021
Anon there is mold or bubble gum on your chart.

[Anonymous No.56392124]

>>56392117
Long dated puts are expensive though

[Anonymous No.56392126]

>>56392121
beautiful speech man I agree entirely

[Anonymous No.56392130]

>>56391683
were in october though full green ahead

[Anonymous No.56392132]

>>56392130
Only if you are long oil and gold. Indices are going to get heemed.

[Anonymous No.56392139]

>>56392123
no but there is probably mold in my brain or lungs because im too fucking retarded to understand any of this. please someone, hold my hand im begging you.

[Anonymous No.56392140]

>muh inflation
just look at these price cuts @ alibaba
DISINFLATION!

[Anonymous No.56392145]

>>56392139
Just long energy and gold and you'll be fine. Short tech it's overvalued and soon to be dragged behind the shed.

[Anonymous No.56392156]

>>56392124
Use a spread buy a put and sell another put. You can sell the spread for the difference (your gains are capped but so are your losses)

If you have enough time you btc your sto put(s) when it’s cheap (they pump or bull trap and you can buy your puts that you sold initially to make it a naked out again.


Takes some nuance but you can do great with it and it’s usually cheaper. I like spreads you can also make money when we are in perm-crab mode.

[Anonymous No.56392159]

>>56392116
Niki Haley says we need to house Palestinians here.

[Anonymous No.56392163]

>>56392132
doubt they will take much of a beating, seasonally strong period and earnings season coming up

[Anonymous No.56392164]

>>56392021
I've always felt like montecarlo simulations were kind of a hack. You should be able to calculate everything you need to know using stochastic methods.

[Anonymous No.56392165]

They are trying to trick us again aren't they? Tempt us all go short or buy puts just to squeeze us with a giant green dildo up our ass, ARENT THEY?

[Anonymous No.56392170]

>>56392165
not at all

[Anonymous No.56392171]

>>56392163
just remember I warned y'all

[Anonymous No.56392174]

>>56392017
>Long oil.
>Long gold.
Have been doing for three years now and it's paying off nicely.
>Short Nasdaq
Never. Not ever am I gonna short the single strongest index in the world. Bears unwinding have greatly contributed to the pump of NASDAQ and I am not gonna be one of those suckers.
Shorting some crap companies or biotech implementing AI or something like that, yes. But shorting the index? I can imagine a whole lot of shorters that have been burned by NASDAQ this year (especially NVDA, heh do you remember NVDA's earnings?).
Even with this "war" going on, I am still more bullish on the magnificent seven than oil...

[Anonymous No.56392180]

>>56392174
Suit yourself. I made out like a bandit with my NVDA shorts just now too. I'll make out like a bandit again with my QQQ puts.

[Anonymous No.56392187]

>>56392159
No they deserve genocide for touching a hair on gods chosen peoples head and us christians should be ashamed.

[Anonymous No.56392196]

>>56392156
Yes i know, that's why I was telling the other anon I was contemplating getting bearish butterfly spreads on the the Qs so I'm theta and vega proof, plus they are way cheaper and can still have big payouts, and have other advantages

[Anonymous No.56392213]

[Anonymous No.56392217]

>>56392164
Here's the thing, I am highly literate and have always excelled in writing and language. I even worked for multiple singers as a successful lyricist. In turn, the flip side is that I have dyscalculia, even in my adult life I have to count really slow with my fingers, and even that alone is a mental nightmare for me. Obviously this is extremely embarrassing, especially in public. I absolutely do not understand any basic trading information, I am completely stuck, I cannot even comprehend even the most minute problems mentally, or on paper. I have been tormented for this personal attribute my entire life. It is actually is physically painful for me to try and comprehend mathematical concepts for more than a few moments. I am desperately searching for an intuitive way to trade, because lets be honest I'm here on biz, I am extremely desperate and need a way of making good money using a legitimate method. Cant wage, I am extremely quick to aggression with authority specifically when they are an authority in charge of my financial freedom, I quit jobs before I snap so that no one gets seriously hurt. Sorry for the long ass post. I just need help here, if anyone could point me in the right direction, somewhere that even a retard would learn profitable trading. It would change my life so drastically.

[Anonymous No.56392235]

>>56392217
I think of all people you probably should just do a 60/40 bond/index fund thing.

[Anonymous No.56392236]

>US Says It Thwarted Kamikaze Drone Attack On Its Troops In Iraq
Are they really doing this? Dragging Iran into a war like this??

[Anonymous No.56392242]

>>56392217
Unfortunately most people have to learn the hard way, trial and error, and by losing money

[Anonymous No.56392246]

>>56392180
>>56392180
Yeah bro, never mind that I am up +500% on my NVDA but whatever. I suck at predicting the tops so I won't get into shorting. Good for you though.
Hell, even I think that NASDAQ is overvalued but the retard strength has powered through and has persevered. I just know that I would get fugged if I tried shorting now.
I wonder if anyone has ever tried shorting Eli Lilly, the single strongest stock in the world?

[Anonymous No.56392247]

AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA

[Anonymous No.56392252]

Sweden almost every day does 1% swings MINIMUM, it is insane.

[Anonymous No.56392255]

>>56392246
>P/E 84.61
Lol.

[Anonymous No.56392263]

>>56392217
Dyscalculia and trading, I would think, are mutually exclusive. Embrace your writing. Find work using your skills as a wordsmith. Then buy a target date fund with the money you can spare.

[Anonymous No.56392267]

>>56392235
>60/40 bond/index fund
I assume this is a long term decision/action?

[Anonymous No.56392275]

[Anonymous No.56392276]

>>56392267
Yeah you DCA into bonds and low expense index funds and leave it alone. There are threads on boggleheads and good explanations on eg investopedia for this.

[Anonymous No.56392279]

>>56392267
Non that Anon, but yes. Just keep investing your income into it.

[Anonymous No.56392280]

>>56392217

Just follow the line (though it is not always right, you need also some gutfeeling and some idea of the "investing climate/sentiment".

[Anonymous No.56392283]

>>56392267
No faggot it's short term as fuck quick money. What are you retarded? Do you have to ask if you are getting fucked after a cock is up your ass? Baka

[Anonymous No.56392288]

>>56392217
lol I am the same way but for grammar. I get a brain freeze as soon as literary people talk about languages.

Anyway, you cant make it in trading if you really struggle with basic maths. The best way for you to invest is holding safe assets for your retirement, ie american & european public debt, which is at a discount entry price now, ie DCA into debt ETFs like TLT or even better just buy directly the american bonds AND you have to hold until maturity, ie 10 or 20 or 30 years.

The only drawback to holding public bonds to maturity is that you will never get very rich with this. This method is for avoiding getting poor only.

To get rich you really have to speculate, on the price of bonds, stocks and so on and the first method is really to stick to the 60% speculation, 40% holding safe bonds to maturity.


If you want more speculation you can daytrade and you have the usual tools like moving average and RSI. LIke here
https://youtu.be/Kv8xhZsETlM
https://youtu.be/oXTRsPgIPAo

You can follow those two and plenty others. This stuff works BUT
-you have to stick to a high time frame, like 30min minimum, daily and weekly charts are way better
-you have to accept you can't predict prices, so all your method will be statistical, ie you go from one trade to the next and you drop a trade as soon as it doesn't work

That's it, it's the secret of trading. literally cutting your loses and moving on to the next trade and taking partial profits all the time. Trading is not really about tools, but way more about psychology.

[Anonymous No.56392293]

You down own PEP right? You wouldn’t want to be caught in the midst of an economic downturn without owning some of these fantastic brands would you

[Anonymous No.56392295]

>>56392217
>I absolutely do not understand any basic trading information, I am completely stuck, I cannot even comprehend even the most minute problems mentally, or on paper
>Cant wage
So you're retarded and can't make money. Well you know what to do.

[Anonymous No.56392297]

>>56392293
People don't want artificial sugars. Sorry fag

[Anonymous No.56392300]

Iran is calling for an oil embargo. It's the 1970s all over again.

[Anonymous No.56392302]

>>56391637
I bought oil a few days ago, in expectation of a ground invasion of Gaza and further escalation from Iran.

Even though oil is pumping over the current unrest, I think the hospital thing is going to prevent a proper invasion, at least for the next few days. If it doesn't happened, I don't see this escalating further which means oil is probably peaking

[Anonymous No.56392322]

>>56392297
Yes they do retard

[Anonymous No.56392325]

>>56392300
Except in the 1970s a young couple each working a crappy job could buy a 3 bedroom house for $35k and afford to live

[Anonymous No.56392329]

>>56392322
They cause cancer so you are the retard

[Anonymous No.56392339]

Mumu is on his way to work right now, and he will be there soon he told me to tell you

[Anonymous No.56392345]

>>56392322
Enjoy your cancer cocksucker

[Anonymous No.56392347]

>>56392263
Thanks, I appreciate the encouragement.

I was in extracurricular mathematical tutoring for my entire childhood, and was hounded and bullied by my lowest level mathematics teacher in high school. I was so fucking depressed at the fact that I couldn't understand basic Pythagorean concepts because I was simultaneously entranced by the concept that mathematics can potentially explain any given situation. The fucking funny thing is I actually use the Fibonacci sequence to make music based on a 1.618 division of a songs runtime length to calculate where every track of a song belongs in a natural order so as to compel the listeners association of emotion x time passed. And even then I do not completely understand exactly what I am doing other than a compelling sense of intuition.

>>56392288
Thank you very much for the videos, I will likely watch them several times over. Going to screencap this for later too I really do appreciate it.

>>56392283
Faggot

>>56392295
Enjoy hell pedo

[Anonymous No.56392351]

>>56392347
You sound like a retard

[Anonymous No.56392360]

>Where's the proof the Fed was buying bonds?
>Where's the proof the Fed was turning liquidity back on?
Look at pic related. This is the updated chart, from the one I posted to you yesterday - it is only going up. They were/are buying. Something broke, and they were forced to (silently) sharply boost liquidity.
>green line = Fed liquidity
>purple line = foreign central bank liquidity
https://youtu.be/2q_TbYCX3gk?t=686
11:26
and this is what it was 6 days ago
https://youtu.be/lG5973ngo6Y?t=782
13:02
Look at how it has changed in 6 days.
Injection after injection after injection - something big broke. We just haven't heard about it yet.
They are desperate. And you know what's wild? Even with them sharply boosting liquidity, not only the Fed, but foreign central banks, bonds are STILL selling off extremely hard worldwide
That's how you know shit is actually broken, that we are legitimately in crisis, when in despite massive central bank interference, the bond market continues to shit itself

[Anonymous No.56392362]

>>56392325
This has nothing to do with what I posted
>>56392329
You said people don’t want artificial sugars but turned out to be wrong, retard. Whether or not they cause cancer isn’t relevant and only serves as a coping mechanism for you

[Anonymous No.56392371]

>>56392360
what tickers do you use for the FED and foreign CB liquidity?

[Anonymous No.56392375]

>>56392362
They don't want artificial sugar anymore because it's causing cancer you dipshit and it's bad for you. The trend for healthier alternatives is growing for a reason. Dumbfuck

[Anonymous No.56392376]

>>56392362
>You said people don’t want artificial sugars but turned out to be wrong, retard
No the other guy said that. So you are the retard, again.

[Anonymous No.56392379]

>>56392351
>caring about what a chronically online 4chan poster thinks

[Anonymous No.56392387]

>>56392379
Don't worry you sound like a retard to people you meet irl too. Your posts are pretty revealing of that

[Anonymous No.56392389]

>>56392347
>mathematics can potentially explain any given situation.
Not really. Math is pretty limited, even Philosophy as a whole has more limitations than people like to think but the domain of math is pretty narrow. It's been extremely effective for a few things to the degree that it's revolutionized the way most people live and work but that doesn't mean it applies to everything.

Usually things go poorly when people try to use math to understand religion for example.

[Anonymous No.56392391]

>>56392371
I'm not 100% sure, but I'm pretty sure it's proprietary data that FXevolution pays for - I don't think it's publicly accessible; compared to the indicators that are available on tradingview (for example) that you can use for viewing Fed liquidity
but I'm not 100% sure, it could actually be one that is publicly accessible - the 'official' data that is being published by the Fed I do not think shows this same spike

[Anonymous No.56392392]

>>56392371
it's made up, there is no such thing. you're replying to a schizo retard

[Anonymous No.56392396]

>>56392392
Lmao.
>1 post by this ID
Gov't shills out in full force today, huh?
Can't let people see that something broke, that Fed is being forced to inject liquidity, huh??
>>56392360

[Anonymous No.56392401]

>>56392391
okay I've just started to follow him a few days ago.

[Anonymous No.56392405]

>>56392347
>bullied by my lowest level mathematics teacher
Sounds like you can't understand basic concepts like alpha, beta, standard deviations, etc. You will never have full options approval. You will never have portfolio margin. You can't even add to at a 401k or IRA since you can't hold a job. Too stupid to boglehead lol.

[Anonymous No.56392412]

>>56392375
This trend exists in your mind and nowhere else retard. And even if it were a real trend, which it isn’t, pepsico would just buy more health conscious brands.

[Anonymous No.56392415]

>>56392405
>You will never have full options approval.
jej all you need to get options approval is a few $k and the ability to click the "request options approval" button in your account. You could be a 70IQ retard and get that.

[Anonymous No.56392418]

>>56392396
yeah i'm a gov shill because i don't fall for grifters trying to sell memberships into their trading discord. look up their reviews on facebook for a laugh

[Anonymous No.56392426]

>>56392412
why would pepsico need to buy other water brands retard

[Anonymous No.56392430]

>>56392418
what the fuck are you talking about?
what does my post have to do with "selling memberships"
>>56392360
>UMMM!! THE GUY WHO'S YOUTUBE IT IS ALSO SELLS SUBSCRIPTIONS!!!
>THEREFORE YOU'RE SCHIZO TO POINT OUT FED LIQUIDITY!!!
>HE MAKES MONEY FROM SUBSCRIBERS!!!
>THEREFORE FED EMERGENCY INJECTING LIQUIDITY DOESN'T MATTER!!!
Fuck off you fucking retard. Nobody gives a fuck about FXevolution's discord / subs lmao. I am not subscribed. I would never pay him for that shit lmao. And you shouldn't either.
If you are so against me posting Fed liquidity, you're obviously a shill doing damage control

[Anonymous No.56392432]

>>56392387
Thanks man you really got me all figured out.

>>56392405
>is obsessed with little girls
>expects credence

[Anonymous No.56392434]

>>56392412
>>56392362
You always sound like a "toughguy", it's so gay.

Also
>This has nothing to do with what I posted'
That anon replied to another person. Or are you doubleposting?

[Anonymous No.56392442]

>>56392412
Soda consumption has been declining for the past consecutive 13 yrs

[Anonymous No.56392446]

>>56392426
They wouldn’t, Aquafina is already a top tier water brand retard. What healthy alternatives did you have in mind that were going to eat into PepsiCo’s market share?

[Anonymous No.56392447]

>>56392432
I suggest seeing a therapist so you can be a little less delusional and figure yourself out

[Anonymous No.56392448]

Shill me some Israeli healthcare stocks to short

[Anonymous No.56392451]

>>56392430
>believing the guy has access to some secret "fed injection" data that doesn't exist anywhere else
>calling others retarded
you'll learn eventually

[Anonymous No.56392456]

>>56392442
That’s why I’m not a KO fan. PEPs food business is absolutely booming, or do you also think potato chips and oatmeal are on the way out. Which bug protein company should I be investing in instead?

[Anonymous No.56392458]

>>56392446
COCO is a healthy alternative

but my actual point is pepsico can't just buy more health conscious brands because it's a soda company so your statement is nonsense

[Anonymous No.56392468]

>>56392415
>>56392432
You poorfags actually have 5 figure accounts or less. Get back to me when meet the basic requirements for PM. I literally posted my account totals yesterday and you can check the archives. Fucking poor people am I right?

[Anonymous No.56392470]

>>56392451
Lmao dude. You're actually retarded. It exists across the entire finance industry. There is proprietary data feeds that people pay for CONSTANTLY. It is literally half of the finance industry, people making these data feeds, people making these data/research packets, selling them to funds for big $$$.
You're retarded, and uninformed, uneducated, and ignorant. You're dumb.
You (personally) won't learn eventually. Because you're that dumb.
[and for the record data feed may actually be publicly accessible, I'm just not sure where]
>WHAT DO YOU MEAN THERE'S PROPRIETARY DATA FOR MARKETS??
>THAT DOESN'T EXIST!!!
You're retarded.

[Anonymous No.56392472]

>>56392458
>but my actual point is pepsico can't just buy more health conscious brands because it's a soda company
and why can’t they? They have already done it with Off the Eaten Path's Veggie Crisps and Bare fruit crisps

[Anonymous No.56392484]

>>56392447
You sound like a retard

[Anonymous No.56392483]

>>56392468
>Get back to me when meet the basic requirements for PM.
I have portfolio margin. The requirements for that aren't particularly high either although giving it to an innumerate person is kind of evil.

[Anonymous No.56392491]

>>56392456
I don't whatever cum you are guzzling down by the gallon you stupid faggot. I said artificial sugars are on the way out, fuck your chips and oatmeal you goal shifting faggot. Enjoy your cancer and gay AIDS

[Anonymous No.56392492]

oild and gold bros

[Anonymous No.56392493]

>>56392432
>>is obsessed with little girls
The girl in all his pictures is Rapunzel from a Disney movie. She's 18 (and looks more like 20 anyway.) I have to wonder what you think a mature woman looks like.

[Anonymous No.56392495]

>>56392484
Not as retarded as you

[Anonymous No.56392496]

>>56392472
If you say they need to do that it doesn't make the stock a buy because growth by acquisition is not a good thing. You are betting on management buying the right things when you can just go out and buy these health companies yourself.

[Anonymous No.56392497]

>>56392491
Yea I heard you say that but that doesn’t make it true. Artificial sugars are here and they’re not going anywhere. Sorry your so upset by this

[Anonymous No.56392502]

>>56392497
I don't care bro enjoy your cancer at declining consumer rates.

[Anonymous No.56392507]

>>56391939
He's an overly dramatic drama queen high on his own ego.

[Anonymous No.56392508]

>>56392470
>[and for the record data feed may actually be publicly accessible, I'm just not sure where]
it doesn't, there's no such thing as a real time fed injection measure, it's made up to trick people. interesting how vehemently you will defend the validity of something without having any knowledge of it. some might call that, retarded.

[Anonymous No.56392511]

>>56392496
those healthy companies will always sell niche products that get completely mogged by soda and potato chip sales. I’m sorry that you read an article from some frail boned retard that convinced you otherwise. But hey I’m glad you’re investing, the market will always need dumb money

[Anonymous No.56392521]

war fud is fud until it's not fud. We should be able to make money both ways if the daily 200 provides another bounce. As much as we all want this shit show to crash and burn we should presume they will keep this smoke & mirrors rolling at least until election time.

[Anonymous No.56392526]

>>56392508
Lmao. Now I'm certain you're a paid shill.
I will continue to post the Fed liquidity data all day today, just to piss you off, and give you extra work to do.
>it's made up to trick people!!
>>56392360
>THEY'RE JUST TRYING TO TRICK YOU GUYS!!
>STOP PAYING ATTENTION!!!
>THEY'RE TRICKING YOU!!
>DO NOT LOOK AT THE EMERGENCY FED LIQUIDITY INJECTIONS!!
>IT'S A TRICK!!!
L O L
Brother - it's not "real time" - what the fuck are you on about
KYS

[Anonymous No.56392529]

>Fire reported at southern Iranian refinery of Kangan - ISNA.

We started the fire.

[Anonymous No.56392532]

>>56392497
You are basically a nutritional tranny. What freak show amalgam of chemicals would you not eat ?

[Anonymous No.56392535]

I matter

[Anonymous No.56392538]

Newfag here
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/gas-prices-are-falling-even-with-oil-nearing-90-a-barrel--heres-why-193539343.html

So would this mean, that we should start seeing stocks of gas stocks going up? Because more people will be getting more gas

[Anonymous No.56392542]

>>56392535
You are going to make it Anon

[Anonymous No.56392543]

>>56392511
haha enjoy your falling knife valuetrap mr. very smart money.

[Anonymous No.56392546]

>>56392495
Your fucking crazy as >>56392468 is

[Anonymous No.56392547]

If you aren’t stacking TVTX you are NGMI

[Anonymous No.56392555]

>>56392532
Lmao this poster got heemed and is now personally attacking me for being a tranny. /pol/ brain rot isn’t a good investing strategy.

[Anonymous No.56392556]

[Anonymous No.56392584]

>>56392546
Anon you have a 4 figure account or less. Stop being retarded.

[Anonymous No.56392588]

I know the ME is the big news right now, but what does /smg/ think of Country Garden having officially defaulted on its debt this morning? They're the #2 property developer in China right behind Evergrande, legitimately feels like the property sector there's starting to pop.
>Two more weeks
Nah not hysterically suggesting that China's going to collapse, just think their days of using the property sector to buoy growth are at an end. But that's just my opinion, what about ess em gee?

[Anonymous No.56392590]

>>56392584
May God have mercy on you, honestly.

[Anonymous No.56392593]

>>56392538
Price of oil is volatile in the short term and the price of gasoline generally, but not always follows. The stock market is forward looking so it usually looks past the short term volatility. Also oil companies tend to pay more dividends rather than increase their stock price (reinvestment)

[Anonymous No.56392601]

>>56392538
It means you should probably do the opposite of the thing it is trying to convince you to do

[Anonymous No.56392603]

>>56392588
this stuff matters only if non-chinese banks or funds are exposed to chinese real estate. I think they managed to stay out of it. ideally it will be contained in China and only chinese banks with their shitty RMB.

[Anonymous No.56392606]

>american dollar is only 55% of global reserves and still falling
won't this serve as a form of quantitative tightening if nations keep selling off the dollar? back in the early 2000's we used to be 80% of all central bank reserves

[Anonymous No.56392621]

>>56392362
>This has nothing to do with what I posted
My thoughts exactly

[Anonymous No.56392647]

Brace for gigapump (same shit as yesterday)

[Anonymous No.56392650]

>>56392555

Checked.

[Anonymous No.56392654]

Thanks to the dudes who said some helpful things for me to consider. And to the two posters who only had vitriol to spill over a message board. I do not consider either of you men, you have outed yourselves as Omega males who not only were unwilling to lend out a hand of simple guidance to someone who called out for it, you had the gall to outright mock, and in your consideration of the word, torment them. I am not tormented, I am unaffected by your negativity, and I honestly I feel sorry for whatever happened to you for you to turn out this way. Its probably too late for you both to ever return to normalcy, so good luck out there, you probably need it more than you think. You will eventually find that money consumed you, and you will never feel like person again, and be unable to relate interpersonally. For that, I do feel bad for people in your position. I have multi billionaire family and friends that are so much more polite and likeable than you will ever be. I don't ask them for handouts, I just appreciate the human connection we have because that's actually all you can "have" in this life, especially in the western world. So really, good luck to you.

[Anonymous No.56392660]

>>56392606
Why wouldn't that be QE?

[Anonymous No.56392666]

>>56392660
naw, QE is when bonds are being bought driving up prices and driving down yields
but now countries are selling their bonds to buy their own at the same time the fed is selling

which is driving up yields, making debt more expensive, which stifles growth

[Anonymous No.56392673]

>>56392666
>>56392660
to put it in perspective, the federal reserve has $8 trillion on their balance sheet that they are now selling
china has $3 trillion, so the act of china selling their US bonds also acts as a mini form of QE

[Anonymous No.56392682]

>>56392654
You are right but these faggots are beyond saving. Have noticed that 1-2 people here are almost always posting with some kind of constant hatred. It's not banter, they appear to be actually serious in such a way that it makes you lose interest in this thread. You just know they are ugly, in every way or form.

[Anonymous No.56392695]

>>56392590
Unfortunately you will remain in poverty. Your delusions of becoming the ultimate daytrader will never take. I have a mid six figure account which I've posted proof of. Thank god. Right?

[Anonymous No.56392706]

>>56392654
impressive cope paragraph pseud

[Anonymous No.56392721]

>>56392593
Can you explain how the dividends work in this situation? I get what you are saying, they hand out dividend changes to have a more stable stock price.

But I thought stock prices where dependent on the market. So them handing out dividends were a bonus, not something that should affect the stock price at all.

Anyways, then what is the point of buying oil and gas stocks?
It sounds like they'd try to remain too stable. Stocks go down? THey just hand out massive dividends. Stocks go up? They decrease dividends.

Little confused on how it actually plays out

[Anonymous No.56392726]

>>56392695
You're still on /biz though

[Anonymous No.56392738]

>While the Nasdaq is sitting on it's 50-day, the percentage of Nasdaq stocks that are trading above their own 50-day moving average is only 24%. That means that roughly 75% of the market is still effectively in an intermediate term downtrend.

t mark minervini

[Anonymous No.56392760]

>>56392726
So are you. Just poorer than me. I'm just here to drink and pass the time. I really just answer questions about options and futures. But certain people are just stupid and need to post their bullshit in other generals.

[Anonymous No.56392774]

>>56392760
If I was mid 6 figure I sure wouldn't be here. Not even for shits and giggles. But trust me, I live comfortably, have house etc. It's just that I don't have enough free liquditiy that I can waste it.

[Anonymous No.56392782]

>>56392255
>>56392246

>be pharmaceutical company
>help create the fda
>sell drugs that you helped get regulated
>be successful

Aside from AI is any other tech/service headed on a similar path?

[Anonymous No.56392789]

anyone use Mint Mobile for their cell phone network provider? i've been hearing the ads on the Peter Schiff podcast and i'm unironically considering switching

[Anonymous No.56392794]

>>56392789
I use cheogram for phone stuff.
I can do MMS from my mail client and phone calls from linphone. Fuck cellular.

[Anonymous No.56392797]

>>56392774
>have house
i fucking wish
ive got a cheap apartment for $800

[Anonymous No.56392807]

>>56392789
I have, it’s nice but you have to login to your financial institutions through the app basically allowing mint to have your login info for the banking access. didn’t sit right for me so I just stopped using it

[Anonymous No.56392808]

Nvda is looking good (bad)

[Anonymous No.56392828]

>>56392807
>you have to login to your financial institutions through the app basically allowing mint to have your login info
What? Mint makes you log into your bank with a mint app? That sounds illegal.

[Anonymous No.56392840]

>>56392774
I'm not attacking you. But you won't generate any alpha here. This is literally a thread for bull/bear memes. Some people answer the more in depth questions about options like myself. But in general most people would benefit from maxing their roth 401k, then their roth IRA, and then adding money to their individual account in that order. QQQ, VUG, and growth based ETFs will have the advantage long term. Good luck anon.

[Anonymous No.56392859]

>>56392721
Basically if a company is not growing but is still massively profitable they have the option of paying dividends to attract investors to buy and hold the stock. So oil is massively profitable but not growing so they pay out massive dividends - sometimes up to 5% of the price of the stock. So if you hold $100 worth of their stock, every year they will give you $5 just for holding it. If the stock goes up in price, that's a nice bonus. Generally you will make more money holding growth stocks like tech and dividend investing is good for people who have a lot of money already and are looking to reduce volitatly and increase cash flow. And yes, if stock goes down they can increase dividends to attract investors

[Anonymous No.56392870]

Incoming intervention

[Anonymous No.56392872]

>>56392027
Carter 2.0 pants sitting retard edition let's GOOOOO

[Anonymous No.56392876]

>>56392870
Yup. Can't let them pop.

[Anonymous No.56392882]

God it’s comfy being a dividend growth investor

[Anonymous No.56392883]

>>56392876

[Anonymous No.56392910]

>>56392807
you cant just give them a credit card?

[Anonymous No.56392911]

Tumbling tumbling down

[Anonymous No.56392917]

>>56392882
Wait I thought the choice was dividends OR growth. How the fuck do you have both??

[Anonymous No.56392925]

>>56392917
Dividend growth means focus on companies that grow their dividend. Yes it’s boring because it doesn’t really matter what way the market moves but it’s consistent. You’re not going to get rich quick by doing it

[Anonymous No.56392932]

>>56392782
Shh, you are supposed to think the FDA and big pharmaceutical corps are on different teams

[Anonymous No.56392948]

>>56392470
Is there data for the Eur/USD pair?

[Anonymous No.56392954]

>>56392044
What's the lore behind this image macro? Are you just tripfagging without the name?

[Anonymous No.56392962]

>>56392164
Math is hard. Simulations are easy.

[Anonymous No.56392975]

When the fuck are third world shitty bond issuances going no-bid and why the fuck is it taking so long?

[Anonymous No.56392976]

>>56392948
yeah of course, a lot of analyses/research packets centered just around EUR/USD, analyzing bonds / economies / flows / positioning long/short (number of contracts, when entered, currency options / currency option analysis)
a lot of it isn't accessible to retail traders, but if you follow the right people, many of them will be posting snippets from these packets - either on twitter, youtube, seekingalpha, etc.
it also is how funds are able to justify their actions - it's more so done just for CYA (cover your ass) that you 'did the research' and paid a lot of money for that research, so that they can't get sued

[Anonymous No.56392986]

>>56392840
I hate that image so much

[Anonymous No.56392992]

>>56392954
I think it's our old friend Mr meltup/down and yeah he likes to namefag

[Anonymous No.56392993]

S-should I buy NVDA??

[Anonymous No.56392994]

>>56392948
for retail you have this
https://tickstory.com/changelog/
http://www.kibot.com/

[Anonymous No.56392999]

>>56392293
Why has it had such a rough last 3 months?

[Anonymous No.56393008]

They are blaming this crash on a conflict that has been priced in since the birth of Muhammad. What a scam

[Anonymous No.56393010]

>>56392993
It's a fucking shitcoin whose price is completely detached from reality. Flip a coin and buy appropriately

[Anonymous No.56393012]

>>56392840
Is possible to make this image but instead od Emma Watson it's Wioletta Kandziak?

[Anonymous No.56393014]

Literal repitition of yesterday, dumping dumping dumping, US open, pump and then dump again and the same tomorrow and friday and the next 2-3 weeks.

[Anonymous No.56393027]

>>56393012
https://archive.4plebs.org/tv/thread/190952431/#190953547

[Anonymous No.56393033]

>30yr yield 4.997

[Anonymous No.56393035]

Wow oh my fucking god I cannot believe how quickly the bears latched onto Israel and Gaza, of all fucking stupid meaningless things. Jesus christ. Two weeks ago it was China, two weeks before that it was some other inane shit. There is literally never going to be a moment in history that pessimistic faggots don't try to twist every single event into some "sky is falling" moment, and any of you who just follow along with it and freak out and sell or even short deserve the eventual pain that comes from shit reversing overnight. Fuck me, dude. Seriously this has to be the first fucking time any of you have paid any attention if you're freaking out about ISRAEL of all fucking things.

[Anonymous No.56393038]

Quick, what to buy on open: soxs, srty, or sqqq?

[Anonymous No.56393049]

If everyone thinks it's gonna reverse and go green like yesterday, then that means it probably wont

[Anonymous No.56393055]

>>56393038
Yes, please load up on leveraged shorts. Then you can see what it really feels like to be manipulated by a trillion dollar mass media when they say "lol never mind everything is fine!" next week and every bear is screeching about it

>>56393049
Except it's red for absolutely zero good reason

[Anonymous No.56393056]

>>56393035
>he thinks that we are dumping because of Israel
lmao.
buddy. take your head out of the (false flag) sand.

[Anonymous No.56393059]

>>56393038
Yeaaaa buy some Sox’s right at peak volatility just to get heemed five minutes later. You’re either esl or a bot. There’s no in between for this poo comment. Somebody post an ai pajeet poo pic

[Anonymous No.56393061]

>>56393035
This. It’s such fucking bullshit. They even tossed their old buzzword Ukraine in there too. If someone mentions Covid Long 2 it will end capitalism at this point fuck

[Anonymous No.56393063]

>>56393027
Fuck it created a monstrosity from my Wioletta Kandziak. Do not recommend.

[Anonymous No.56393065]

fuck wasteful government spending on war, subsidies, and boomers
may the bond market crash with no survivors
picrel

[Anonymous No.56393071]

>>56393038
SOXL, play the daily bounce

[Anonymous No.56393085]

im edging until 30yr hits 5% and then ill cum buckets

[Anonymous No.56393086]

>>56391816
unexpected lumi

[Anonymous No.56393089]

>>56393056
This. If you think the shutdowns were to prevent stop people from getting COVID and not about rescuing the markets you really need to stop yourself from watching any news.

[Anonymous No.56393094]

>>56393055
>>56393059
well jeez you guys are sensitive today LOL

[Anonymous No.56393100]

>>56393056
>he thinks we’re dumping

[Anonymous No.56393105]

>>56393056
Lol okay? Tell me why anyone is smashing that sell button. Tell me why this isn't just a bunch of absolute faggots shorting spooky headlines.

>>56393061
It's bizarre. It's some new bullshit literally every two weeks, but the market acts like every time it's a world ending surprise.

[Anonymous No.56393108]

>>56393049
Could 0dtes, in theory (though ethically repugnant) couldn't someone with a big enough wallet buy a large enough quantity of FDs to force a covering ?

[Anonymous No.56393112]

We will close green.

[Anonymous No.56393113]

>>56393086

[Anonymous No.56393115]

JingDong brothers we must be near a bottom. JD is super cheap right now.

[Anonymous No.56393117]

>>56393094
>gee golly my goodness

[Anonymous No.56393120]

>>56393108
Softbank was doing that the other year and it did work up until it didn't and they lost some insane amount of money then.

[Anonymous No.56393124]

>>56393089
Doesn't tedros of the WHO get world wide dictator powers come December because of new plandemic treaties, and then he can unilaterally declare medical sovereignty over all signatory countries and lockdown countries on a whim and override governments no matter who is elected in the future for plandemic 2.0 if they choose to play that card?

[Anonymous No.56393125]

AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA

[Anonymous No.56393126]

>futes

[Anonymous No.56393135]

>>56393120
>other year

0dtes are now available every day for your market manipulation needs since just this year. Was this a controlled Op Liquidity measure ?!

[Anonymous No.56393141]

>>56393120
Kek they had to sell their BABA position at the bottom, I assume these events are related.

[Anonymous No.56393156]

When buy TLT

[Anonymous No.56393158]

>>56393135
It might have not been 0dtes but it was short dated calls IIRC.

[Anonymous No.56393170]

>>56393156
Where do you think Powell will stop raising rates? Therein lies the answer.

[Anonymous No.56393174]

>>56393125
That means SPY will close just above where you could possibly make money since that expires today. It's rigged to ga against (you) specifically, that's just how it works.

Unless if course you close it for peanuts, then it will immediately flash crash right after you close it out. I don't know how they know but they do

[Anonymous No.56393177]

>>56392738
That means it's being propped up and index bears will eat shit

[Anonymous No.56393186]

*BANG BANG BANG BANG BANG BANG BANG BANG BANG BANG BANG BANG BANG BANG BANG BANG BANG BANG BANG BANG BANG BANG BANG BANG BANG BANG BANG BANG BANG BANG BANG BANG BANG BANG BANG BANG BANG BANG BANG BANG BANG BANG BANG BANG BANG BANG BANG BANG BANG BANG BANG BANG BANG BANG BANG BANG BANG BANG BANG BANG BANG BANG BANG BANG BANG BANG BANG BANG BANG BANG BANG BANG BANG BANG BANG BANG BANG BANG BANG BANG BANG BANG BANG BANG BANG BANG BANG BANG BANG BANG BANG BANG BANG BANG

[Anonymous No.56393189]

>>56391959
>>56392008
Argentinian company, YPF, plans to start exporting oil and gas next year. If the rightard party wins the election this Sunday, they will not only export to a more open market, but also think about privatizing YPF. This could make the company's stocks go up. It's a risky bet, but I'm in.

[Anonymous No.56393193]

>>56393186
>one second late
SELL EVERYTHING

[Anonymous No.56393206]

>>56393156
look at sofr future curve
https://www.chathamfinancial.com/technology/us-forward-curves
market says no more rates and reducing rates already or next year

[Anonymous No.56393212]

>>56393193
Shit it's over

[Anonymous No.56393215]

>>56393206
>or next year
for next year

[Anonymous No.56393216]

>>56393170
>>56393206

I keep hearing that bond vigilantes are selling/shorting bonds to raise yields, combined with the gov't needs to sell more issuance to raise the same amount (or more) money. Without Jay's buying program, the market can't absorb the new issuance/supply the same way so it's going to force yields higher in the medium term even if there is a pause.

[Anonymous No.56393217]

AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA

[Anonymous No.56393226]

Bloomberg anon you happen to be able to give me a new $wirp?

[Anonymous No.56393227]

Hand it over bobo

[Anonymous No.56393229]

Just look at the dollar parity with some nation too dumb to manipulate their currency like Mexico

[Anonymous No.56393230]

>>56393216
>it's going to force yields higher in the medium term even if there is a pause.
At some point the Trillionaires start buying don't kid yourself.

[Anonymous No.56393234]

OOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO

[Anonymous No.56393235]

>>56393227
It's already healing lol

[Anonymous No.56393239]

>NVDA
AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA

[Anonymous No.56393248]

Lots of red days lately.

[Anonymous No.56393249]

Squeezing that bobo

[Anonymous No.56393250]

Im not even looking at the market today.

[Anonymous No.56393258]

>>56393250
Yeah I'm also taking a break from the market today

[Anonymous No.56393259]

[Anonymous No.56393261]

i'm eating leftover chinese takeout for breakfast and i'm going to buy QQQ 0DTE puts!

[Anonymous No.56393265]

>>56393250
You don't need to, we will post images for you to gauge what is happening

[Anonymous No.56393270]

>>56393249
Where is the PPT? Mumu emergency gathering NOW

[Anonymous No.56393272]

>>56393250
>6

[Anonymous No.56393275]

>>56393250
>another market open where bonds open lower
I'm no. 8

[Anonymous No.56393278]

>>56393250
>7
feeling chudish today

[Anonymous No.56393279]

>>56393270
thx for playing

[Anonymous No.56393284]

I didn’t sell my puts I got on Friday.
It’s been a bumpy week so far

[Anonymous No.56393288]

>321 and rising
this might be it bros, when does Powell wake up so he can buy more bonds?

[Anonymous No.56393290]

20 year bond auction is today

[Anonymous No.56393293]

>>56393250
Combination of 3 and 8.

[Anonymous No.56393297]

>>56393250
1
I'm mostly in high interest savings accounts

[Anonymous No.56393305]

I know I’ll probably be kicking myself for selling early but I’m so glad I didn’t lose money swinging puts

[Anonymous No.56393306]

>>56393290
1pm est? we all know what happened at the 30y last week

[Anonymous No.56393313]

>>56393290
AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA

[Anonymous No.56393323]

>>56393290
TLT
I'M DYNAMITE

[Anonymous No.56393345]

NVDA being down like 8% in the last two days on literally no negative information is completely absurd but retail bears will look at that and triple down on shorting. Jesus fucking christ.

[Anonymous No.56393360]

I really don't understand what I'm looking at when I'm buying bonds, does anyone have a good explanation for retards?

[Anonymous No.56393375]

>>56393345
are you that stupid?
Biden passed a chip act to cuck china on ai semi's

[Anonymous No.56393377]

>>56393345
>no negative information
how fucking stupid are you?
I’m not a bear but even I can read headlines

[Anonymous No.56393378]

>>56393345
>no negative information
Other than being ridiculously overpriced on red days?

[Anonymous No.56393379]

>>56393360
Always buy high amiright

[Anonymous No.56393382]

>>56393105
>Tell me why anyone is smashing that sell button
Buddy. We are literally facing systemic collapse. I don't think you understand the gravity of the situation we are in. Either you just started lurking, just started paying attention, or you have been willfully ignoring all the warning signs, all the discussion.
We are in the worst bond market sell off since 1787
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-10-08/bond-market-pain-is-a-sign-of-interest-rates-returning-to-normal
foreign governments are all universally dumping US bonds, some for different reasons than others
eg. Japan dumping US bonds so that they can use the proceeds to buy yen, buy Japanese bonds; China / Saudis dumping US bonds in order to create geopolitical pressure and push for alternatives to the dollar in commodities trade
Foreign investors worldwide are refusing to buy US bonds
https://www.forexlive.com/news/ugly-treasury-auction-sends-the-dollar-even-higher-20231012/
https://www.forexlive.com/news/us-sells-10-year-notes-4610-vs-4592-wi-20231011/
https://www.forexlive.com/news/the-us-treasury-cells-of-46-billion-of-three-year-notes-at-a-high-yield-of-474-20231010/
>It's highly unusual for a bond auction to miss this badly and it argues for a return to the highs in yields.
>I can't stress enough how rare it is for a bond auction to tail this badly. It speaks to some kind of real change in underlying Treasury demand, or at least some hesitation that hasn't been there in decades.
>AUCTION GRADE: F
Why does this matter? Why would this make markets sell off?
Higher yields (lower bond prices) are very bearish for markets for many, many reasons. I will try to list off just a few of them for you.

[Anonymous No.56393391]

>>56393105
>>56393382
>1) banks across the US are getting hammered by (A: Deposit outflows - people are withdrawing their money from banks to put them into money market funds / bonds / bills offering a higher yield) (B: real estate, especially commercial real estate, falling 60% in value due to WFH - banks positioned themselves as if "real estate NEVER goes down!" and huge risk on, as if their loans were 'AAA' due to the principle "real estate only goes up!") (C: Banks are sitting on hundreds and hundreds of billions in losses from bonds on their balance sheet - Bank of America just reported this week that their bond losses are up to $130 billion now up from $100 billion last quarter) (D: banks are facing sharply rising delinquencies and defaults across all forms of credit, particularly bad are auto loans - there are millions and millions of people who owe more than their car is worth, and are not paying their bills - it doesn't make sense to)
If you into account A, B, C, D - the banks literally, and I mean literally, are going to blow up - just like SVB did, just like the UK leveraged pension funds did - they cannot withstand bond prices falling lower, especially if it happens rapidly (as it is right now)
This is the number one systemic risk, the blow up credit event, that is spooking markets the most.
Beyond this, which is terrible, horrible, depression tier systemic risk hundreds of banks blowing up event, higher rates are very bearish for markets as stock prices are just the "lump sum" payment for all future cash flows, using the risk free rate (US gov't bonds) as the benchmark to value dollars in the future. When rates move higher (especially as a result of inflation moving higher) future cash flow is worth less, valuations go down - just based on the models alone. Every fund / institution is using these models, using interest rates in order to come up with the "lump sum" (stock price) number that they are willing to pay - what they think the company is worth

[Anonymous No.56393400]

>>56393105
>>56393391
Furthermore, the higher rates go, the more attractive they become as an alternative investment. There are many investors who seek to buy dividend paying stocks. As a dividend focused investor, why should I buy this company paying a 5% dividend when the stock price could go down by 50% when I can just buy a US gov't bond with a 5% interest rate, with "0%" (lol) risk that it will go down in value [if I hold to maturity]?
When rates go up, it depresses economic activity severely. For example, the median home price in the US is $400,000 - since the hiking cycle began, the monthly payment on a home $400K has gone up by $1,000 a month. So someone would have been paying $1200 a month before, now is paying $2200. Of course, people who could afford $1200 a month - most of them can't afford $2200 a month. So housing activity absolutely craters. This is how we can see stuff like this:
https://www.forexlive.com/news/us-mba-mortgage-applications-we-13-october-69-vs-06-prior-20231018/
>US MBA mortgage applications w.e. 13 October -6.9%
where even when we're at super lows of housing activity, still week to week we can see a 7% drop - it keeps getting worse and worse
There are a ton of industries / the economy is built around housing. Eg. because housing market dries up, then contracting work dries up / construction work dries up; people stop making improvements to their home getting ready to sell, people stop going out and buying all sorts of things for their new home (eg. "because I didn't buy a new home, I don't need to go out and buy new towels")
Another dynamic that you should understand is that the higher bond yields move, the more attractive that bond is as an investment, bonds must be purchased in their native currency

[Anonymous No.56393409]

>>56393400
>>56393105
(eg. You must buy US bonds with US dollars) — so when US rates move higher, it makes the US dollar more attractive (in addition to the US economy being stronger than EU/Japan/China = demand for dollars higher relative to their currencies) — higher yields = a stronger dollar = lower stock prices.
The primary reasons for why stronger dollar = lower stock prices is that the stronger the dollar is, the more expensive it is for every other nation on Earth to buy US goods and services, the more expensive it is, the less demanded - in other words, if it becomes more expensive for someone in Ghana to buy a bottle of Coca-Cola, they will buy less of it. Corporate revenues fall the stronger the dollar becomes. Beyond this, it also affects stock prices directly. For example, Japanese investor with 100 million yen to invest - the exchange rate is 130, 100 million yen / 130 = $769,230 to invest with. But let’s say the dollar gets stronger, yen weaker, now the exchange rate is 150 (that you need to pay 150 yen [instead of 130 previously] to now buy 1 dollar) 100 million yen / 150 = $666,666 to invest with. Can you buy more stocks with $769,230 or more stocks with $666,666?So imagine this, worldwide - that for all investors they have less money to buy US stocks.
There is a lot more to it than this, but these are just the basics - and now in the future, you can no longer go "I had no idea!! Why are we dumping for no reason?!?! Retards Israel blah blah blah!!"
It has nothing to do with Israel, other than that Israel was used as a false flag to try and create a bid for bonds - when there is geopolitical conflict, it creates fear for investors where they flock to safety, flight to quality, and they buy US bonds. That is how desperate the situation is. False flag to create a bid for bonds.

[Anonymous No.56393410]

>>56393400
OOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO
I'm gonna coooooooooOOOOOOOM!

[Anonymous No.56393411]

>>56393400
>>56393391
>>56393382
>tl;dr

[Anonymous No.56393412]

>>56393345
>No news
Nigger do you browse smg from a dell at the library that will only let you open one tab or something? This has to be a troll

[Anonymous No.56393420]

>>56393382
>>56393391
Dude the bond market is being openly manipulated by countries like China and Japan. This is in no way like any other historic paradigm you want to pull out of your ass.

>>56393378
>>56393377
>>56393375
Yeah if you actually read the articles about that deal instead of just the headline you'll see that literally everyone is still saying "yeah even with any restrictions in place we still expect the semi market to be worth hundreds of billions going forward"

[Anonymous No.56393425]

>>56393411
>Tldr
Line go down

[Anonymous No.56393430]

>>56393425
Good!

[Anonymous No.56393437]

>>56393420
Dude. News aside. (and my sympathies for losing money)
IT'S A ONE HUNDRED X P/E COMPANY SELLING A CLOSED COMPILER. It's ridiculously overvalued.

[Anonymous No.56393438]

>>56393420
>the bond market is being openly manipulated by countries like China and Japan.
Buddy, what do you think the bond market is?? It's buyers and sellers. China and Japan are selling US bonds. They are the largest holders of US bonds.
>they're manipulating the market!!
No, they're selling! That's what a market IS!

[Anonymous No.56393449]

I speculate on oil consumption of the American working man, because that's what I am and that's who I care about.

[Anonymous No.56393453]

>>56393409
Based and thanks. Most I knew already but learned some new things. Kek at all the tldr and ai image responding retards. They will learn the hard way.

[Anonymous No.56393454]

>>56393430
But not necessarily today, which might suck for your $128 you may have wasted on that put

[Anonymous No.56393465]

>>56393438
They are selling SPECIFICALLY TO MANIPULATE the US, is my point

>>56393437
Remember when its peepee ratio halved after the last earnings report? What's "low enough"? lol

[Anonymous No.56393468]

>>56393454
I’m gonna sell at a small loss before 2pm. Plus, this is how we learn. Losing Small positions before being correct on the big one.

[Anonymous No.56393477]

>>56393453
Learn what the hard way? We all learned the hard way or we didn't really learn at all

[Anonymous No.56393486]

>>56393468
sell now, there may be some support here. NFA

[Anonymous No.56393487]

>>56393465
There's the whole "well it's weird tech companies have P/E ratios sometimes even in the 30s" thing. This on the other hand is WSB levels of just completely ridiculous.

[Anonymous No.56393488]

>>56393468
hold the 430's you fool

[Anonymous No.56393499]

>>56393465
You never answer the question if you believe in it so much why are you mad when it drops? You should be happy to keep slurping the dips. But you're a fucking troll and not worth the time. Fuck you for even making me reply

[Anonymous No.56393502]

>>56393488
Naturally! But it’s true, I always sell too early. Missed out on a couple grand last upswing because I got baby bitch boy hands.

[Anonymous No.56393506]

UUUHHH WTFWT?!

[Anonymous No.56393508]

>>56393486
Yea he probably should he can about break even before the crab or mumu take it all back

[Anonymous No.56393509]

Why is goyslop pumping

[Anonymous No.56393515]

>>56393487
So a company shouldn't be worth lots of money, mountains of money even, if it holds a virtual monopoly on some of the most advanced technology in the known universe? Not even memeing, I just think the never-NVDA bears are as retarded as the never-TSLA bears. They latch onto something and irrationally say "it's not worth it!!!!!" even though the company clearly has massive demand with no end in sight.

[Anonymous No.56393522]

>>56393508
I personally sold my put contracts when it couldn't break yesterdays open price fully. Made 50% on that trade which was good nuff for me.

[Anonymous No.56393523]

>>56393509
KO is a force of nature.

[Anonymous No.56393527]

>>56393499
Bitch I buy every single dip, which is why I'm up over 100% from this time last year. I'm just continually amazed by how reactionary faggot retail bears are. Somehow literally every headline means "sell semiconductors!!!!"? Really? I just wish real-time shorting information was freely available, I guarantee you a large portion or even a majority of this "selling" is just retarded speculators shorting.

[Anonymous No.56393528]

>>56393523
>tfw didn't atone
always a fantastic scene

[Anonymous No.56393532]

>>56393527
>Bitch I buy every single dip
YGMI

[Anonymous No.56393531]

Crab today after a reverse bart day

[Anonymous No.56393538]

>>56393502
Do you have level 3 on rh? because their option strat builder is kino for debit spreads

[Anonymous No.56393541]

>>56393528
MR. BEALE

[Anonymous No.56393555]

>>56393515
>So a company shouldn't be worth lots of money, mountains of money even,
That's fine *if it's making a proportionate amount of money.*
>if it holds a virtual monopoly on some of the most advanced technology in the known universe?
What?
They have a fancy non-free SMT compiler that they only target at their cards. There's nothing that special going on here. Clever programmers can work around it in the present and the consistent march of improvements in CPU and open source compiler performance will swallow it in the future (much like what happened with discrete sound cards.) There's no monopoly, there's no "most advanced technology in the known universe" there's just a bunch of smoke and mirrors.

[Anonymous No.56393559]

>>56393527
You're the one overreacting every single thread, bitch boy. Just dca it and quit shitting up the general day in and day out. Or at least lum post so you can out yourself as a massive faggot

[FRESH No.56393562]

>>56393554
>>56393554
>>56393554

[Anonymous No.56393563]

JingDong brothers. This is the bottom I repeat this is the bottom! We have 20$ cash per share we are buying JD the biggest chink retailer for 6$ OK!?

[Anonymous No.56393619]

>>56393527
You can't fuckin stop using the word reactionary. You have to have some kind of trauma considering this word, caused by lefties on college or university or something.

[Anonymous No.56393748]

>>56393538
WTF happened there?

[Anonymous No.56394312]

If i had gone all in on oil 1 week ago, my life would be great right now.