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2023-11: Warosu is now out of extended maintenance.

/biz/ - Business & Finance


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File: 555 KB, 896x1112, edd04_bsm_61128671.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
56274929 No.56274929 [Reply] [Original]

Bond Niggas Edition

>Brokers
https://pastebin.com/F1yujtVq
https://brokerchooser.com/

>Stock market words:
https://pastebin.com/VtnpN5iJ

>Risk management:
https://pastebin.com/sqJUcbjp

>Financials podcasts/channels
https://www.youtube.com/c/CameronStewartCFA - Fundamendals analysis
https://www.youtube.com/user/BenzingaTV - Various themed livestreams
https://www.youtube.com/user/KitcoNews - Mainly PMs and crypto

>Live Streams:
http://www.livenewson.com/american/bloomberg-television-business.html
https://watchnewslive.tv/watch-cnbc-live-stream-free-24-7/

>Educational sites:
https://www.investopedia.com/
https://www.khanacademy.org/economics-finance-domain
https://www.thebalance.com/

>Free charts:
https://www.tradingview.com
https://www.finscreener.com/
https://www.koyfin.com/

>Screeners:
https://finviz.com/
https://www.tradingview.com/screener
https://etfdb.com/

>Pre-Market Data and Live data:
https://www.investing.com/indices/indices-futures
https://finance.yahoo.com/

>Bio-pharma Catalyst Calendar:
https://biopharmcatalyst.com

>Boomer Investing 101:
https://www.bogleheads.org/wiki/Getting_started

>Dividend Reinvestment (DRIP) calculator:
https://www.dividendchannel.com/drip-returns-calculator/

>List of hedge fund holdings:
https://fintel.io/

>Misc:
https://squeezemetrics.com/monitor
https://market24hclock.com/
https://tradingeconomics.com
https://wallmine.com/
https://tikr.com/

Previous: >>56273520

>> No.56274943
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56274943

I hate when i have too much to drink. Also fuck this market.

>> No.56274949
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56274949

You guys lied to me.
You told me that nobody cared about bond yields.

>> No.56274960
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56274960

>futures
ALL I AM ALL I KNOW
IS HANGING BY THE THINNEST THREAD
IF YOU LEAVE IF YOU GO
I MIGHT AS WELL BE GONE BE DEAD

https://youtu.be/MUvmaVgslqA

>> No.56274963

What is the case against just buying excellent companies and holding them for 30 years?

>> No.56274969

This is it. This is the big one.

>> No.56274970
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56274970

I'm an alcohol.

>> No.56274977

>>56274943
I quit drinking a year ago. Haven’t looked back since.

>> No.56274979

I want to throw Biden voters into a tar pit.

>> No.56274980
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56274980

I CAN'T SLURP MUCH LONGER BROS

>> No.56274982
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56274982

>>56274970
I have to vomit bro brb i'll shove fingers down my throat. Piss drunk.

>> No.56274988
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56274988

tick tock mumu. Dow is negative for 2023. which index will be next..

>> No.56274989
File: 91 KB, 640x853, TIAA-CREF inflation ad.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
56274989

>>56274956
Behold! A glimpse into divvyboomer's future.

>> No.56274990

>>56274977
Yeah so did I until a friend called. idk what i even drank but it's in the gallons.

>> No.56274997

>>56274963
General financial collapse and socialist parasitism will turn those excellent companies into not-so-excellent companies. Think South Africa in the 1980s.

>> No.56274998

>>56274963
there isn't one, but we're not going to be in this general 30 years from now so shorter term stuff gets discussed

>> No.56274999

>>56274979
Bro, I don’t even know what democratic voters vote for anymore. It’s fucking mind boggling.

>> No.56275001

>>56274997
But if the price goes down I’ll just buy more. It has always worked and it will continue to work. I’m ready for a bear market

>> No.56275002

>>56274979
Don't. It's illegal to desecrate dead bodies.

>> No.56275004

Damn, it's really looking like boomers are gonna get heemed again and this time the fed won't save them. Gonna be the second time millenials can get into the lows of the market and be rich in less than 5 years of waiting

>> No.56275010

>>56274990
Tell him you don’t drink you idiot. No shame in saying you don’t drink.

>> No.56275011
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56275011

>>56274889
2 gallons of beer is like 2500 calories.

>> No.56275012
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56275012

Who said to buy Big Lots?

>> No.56275015
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56275015

>>56274979
>>56274999
>Imagine voting.
Checked.

>> No.56275021

>>56275004
yeah it'll be the kids with no money and no experience that time everything properly and get rich quick

>> No.56275022

>>56275001
A country is made up of people. And the people making up America in the 2050's are absolutely not the same people fucking Buffett dealt with in the 1950's.

>> No.56275023

>>56274982
Just for fun put your numbers in here. Sometimes it tells me that I should be unconscious.
https://www.calculator.net/bac-calculator.html

>> No.56275024

>>56275015
Life has gotten worse across the board in this country. Why wouldn’t I vote?

>> No.56275032
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56275032

>>56275010
Nah he wouldn't mind i just let loose i guess. Fugg. i had wayy to much to drink now i can't sleep and i need to wake in like 5 hours.

>> No.56275036

>>56275012
Nobody. This here's a DLTR general.

>> No.56275041

>>56275021
I did? When covid crashed everything I bought a shit ton of names spending about 5k and walked away with 450k a year later. Not gonna be hard this time either assuming the narrative

>> No.56275044

>>56275015
Hey cowboy, you think BOIL's ready to pop? You're that Bonanza guy, right?

>> No.56275051
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56275051

"blue chips"

>> No.56275054

>>56275051
It's actually the Magnificent Seven. Get with the times.

>> No.56275073

>>56275051
dont eat em
i was shitting green for a week

>> No.56275079
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56275079

>8% 30-year mortgage rates

>> No.56275083

>>56274949
>You told me that nobody cared about bond yields.
They lied. The economy runs on bonds.

>> No.56275084
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56275084

>>56275023
Am i drunk or what?
>>56275024
Because your vote doesn't matter you're just supporting the system.

>> No.56275085

>>56275079
millennyool fomoers are gonna be fucked

>> No.56275087

>>56274999
safe injection zones and decriminalization of crime

>> No.56275090

>>56275022
Brown people still buy lays potato chips. I can’t change the country’s demographics but I can still ensure my financial success

>> No.56275098

>>56275044
Maybe i dumps one more time. Who knows ask me tomorrow when i'm sober.

>> No.56275108
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56275108

>>56275079
>The equivalent of a 240% 1-year mortgage

>> No.56275113

>>56275084
Yeah that sounds about right for 2 gallons of beer. I knew a guy who got to the "don't know where you are and stop responding to stimuli" levels of drunk at a college party and we ended up taking him to the hospital.

>> No.56275117

should we take in my boomer father in law who is literally homer simpson and didn't plan for shit?
he would probably only be able to afford a shitty retirement community or have to move to a trailer in bumfuck arizona or something. i guess we could look into building some kind of over the garage unit and have him pay rent.

>> No.56275122

>>56275090
Yeah, until President Hernandez imposes a 50% corporate tax and Senator Shaniqua mandates your "excellent company" rejigger its staff to be majority-minority.

"Never bet against America" is the slogan of Boomers who have zero idea why America was successful.

>> No.56275127

>>56275122
k

>> No.56275132

>>56275117
If you love him and can stand living under the same roof, good idea. Your monthly expenditures would go down with him paying some rent.

>> No.56275139
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56275139

>>56275113
Yeah i drank a gallon of wine at a new years party once in about 1-2 hours. Long story short my buddies put a plastic bag around my ears so i don't vomit on myself. The beer foam is killing me i also havent smoked in 4 months but i smoked 20 cigs from 4 different brands.

>> No.56275145

>>56275132
yeah i mean i like him ok but i just really like my privacy. we are planning to have a kid in the next year or two so i guess i would be losing my privacy anyway.
i know there are tons of tax benefits to having a senior in the household as well

>> No.56275163

>>56275145
I suppose if your house has enough room you can have private spaces even with him living in the garage or whatever. Financially the choice seems obvious, it all comes down to whether you want to live with him in the house. I suppose you could try it out for a year first and make it clear to him that if you feel uncomfortable or something about it you can change that arrangement afterwards.

>> No.56275164
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56275164

>>56275079

>> No.56275175
File: 49 KB, 720x1006, cuteanimegirl_32687b33_1625024824295_sc_cmprsd_40.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
56275175

ASMB stock ladies!

>> No.56275179
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56275179

>>56275163
i've been watching a lot of ALF lately and i just realized it's an allegory for having your elderly parents move in with you

>> No.56275180
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56275180

>>56275175
You're not real.

>> No.56275182
File: 119 KB, 760x523, 43DF80C8-ADB2-4651-BBCC-88A89328BD78.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
56275182

It really is a bad IFV.
>unstabilized gun
The thing can’t accurately shoot on the move
>fed from 3 round clips
Only 6 rounds ready at the gun. The gunner is overtaxed having to manually reload after every 6 rounds
>no integrated atgms
Of the few warriors to receive any atgm capability at all, pic rel is all they got. A bolt on Milan that requires the commander to expose his torso and head for the entirety of the missiles flight.
All in all just a really bad design

>> No.56275194

Wow this has to pretty much be peak bear euphoria. So incredibly retarded that people are genuinely freaking out about bonds AGAIN as if they won't be proven wrong for the fiftieth time. Fuck man

>> No.56275195

>>56275179
huh never thought about it that way

>> No.56275203
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56275203

Brothers give me a hangover cure i need to wake in 4h 20mins thanks you please.

>> No.56275204
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56275204

>>56275194
>peak bear euphoria
peak bear euphoria *so far*

>> No.56275213

I just would like to say that I am shorting AXSM and I've been really fucking happy the last couple weeks. Skeletons in the closet coming out. Clickety. clack.

>> No.56275217

>>56275194
I think the bonds have been going up since January 2021, no?

>> No.56275220

>>56275182
OK, so which company do I short for that?

>> No.56275221
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56275221

>>56275194

>> No.56275228
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56275228

>>56275203
I think doctors endorse Pedialyte.

>> No.56275232

>>56275213
For me it's FSLR and XPEV. But I'm looking for other shorts too, not in a hurry though as market may pump first a little bit due to sentiment being so negative right now

>> No.56275234

>>56275217
Yeah so either bears are fucking hopelessly wrong or this is the longest run up to the most anticipated crash in history. I just don't buy it, when literally everyone expects a massive crash it doesn't happen. That was last year, bears were utterly obnoxious all the way into October before getting completely rekt

>> No.56275242

>>56275221
The Great Crisis

>> No.56275244

BOBO ARE YOU OK? ARE YOU OK BOBOID?

>> No.56275245
File: 307 KB, 502x464, 1695236499885242.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
56275245

>>56275221
>almost at GFC peak

>> No.56275250

>>56275228
brother its 1:50AM no pharmacy is working here i can barely feel my legs idk how i even cycled home almost crashed a few time i have no electolytes at home i need something else.

>> No.56275255

>>56274998
>but we're not going to be in this general 30 years from now

speak for yourself

>> No.56275257

>>56275250
Just put like a teaspoon of salt into water and drink it. Add sugar and food coloring if you want the full experience.

>> No.56275260

>>56275244
bro you've been consistently wrong in the long run. When does the drop end?

>> No.56275267
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56275267

>>56275234
I think it comes down to understanding TLT baggies.

Not ragging on them in particular but sorta. In a normal market, dip buying works because you get everyone on one side of the boat, means revert, falling knives get caught.

But we are running fuckhueg deficits. Over and over. Dumping like 6% of our entire GDP in bonds on the market, every single year. Without end. Plus QT! And uncooperative foreigners!

When we should get a bounce from a Fed program, its hands are tied by 4% CPI. No debt ceiling until 2025 means no issuance pause/TGA drawdown. Nothing stops the bleed of capital into the black hole that is a 5% yield curve.

>> No.56275268

>>56275257
I already had like 5 teaspoons of restourant salt. idk if it helped because i kept drinking.

>> No.56275271

>>56275203
At this point just skip work desu.
>4h 20mins
Also nice.

>> No.56275272

>>56275260
Literally been right almost 100% of the time, I even called that the market was due for a slight correction before we climb to ATH.

>> No.56275279
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56275279

>> No.56275280
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56275280

>>56275271
>At this point just skip work desu.
I can't bruv it's over if i do.

>> No.56275285

>>56275272
we're not getting into new ATHs any time soon

>> No.56275290

>>56275279
Jimbros…

>> No.56275302
File: 111 KB, 348x443, 65EC7859-8EF1-41DD-9BF9-347F09559ED5.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
56275302

>>56275250
Perhaps some Gatorade. Or pump my ACT and get >>56275228

>> No.56275303

>>56275272
yeah right, just like how you called weed as a buy and it dropped. I'm still shorting weed to this day.

>> No.56275308

>>56275220
Anything British

>> No.56275312

>>56275221
Let's not be too hasty here everyone, we've got a good thing going

>> No.56275317

>>56275285
We'll be at 5000 before EOY, you greedy bobos will learn.

>> No.56275318

>>56275280
dude go to fucking bed. Assuming this isn't the first time you have drank, you should have pepto or some offbrand shit, and some ibuprofen. Take it now, take it when you wake up, shut the fuck up.

>> No.56275321

>>56275267
You fail to take into account the sheer abundance of faggot retail bears that came out of the woodwork since 2020, and just how much market makers manipulate them to cause huge swings like what we're seeing right now. I genuinely don't believe that any of this selling is organic, it's all just speculators trying to cash in on their broken clocks.

>>56275272
What do you think is happening from here? Two more weeks of red?

>> No.56275324

>>56275317
projection won't work on me. Your greed will be your undoing. At least set up some stop loss orders.

>> No.56275327
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56275327

>>56275318
Good advice thanks.

>> No.56275337

>>56275303
>he's shorting weed with the Garland memo, rescheduling, SAFER bill, and uplisting all coming by January.
You're incredibly retarded, MSOS will be at minimum $30 by January, and that's in a bad scenario.

>> No.56275340

Will 10y yields go higher or 2y yields come lower during the uninversion? For the yield curve to be regular the 10y still would have a long way to go

>> No.56275347

>>56275321
Maybe red or crab till the next fed meeting confirms a full pause, then we start climbing to ATH.

>> No.56275350

>>56275340
10y treasuries will keep getting dumped by foreigners, and there will be no QE.

>> No.56275362

>>56275337
why would anybody in their right mind buy when it's guaranteed to fall. This is why your timeframe is out of wack, I'd rather buy low sell than, not the other way around and if anybody bought when you said to buy, they'd be down right now.

>> No.56275363

>>56275340
As a recession hits, the 2 year yield will drop in anticipation of cuts. But the 10 year yield will rise as "oh shit there's an election" kicks in and another round of stimulus + bond issuance happens.

>> No.56275370

>>56275280
In that case, Pepto Bismol, ibuprofen, black coffee, eggs + hash browns, Pedialyte / pickle juice, and a Vitamin B complex if you have one lying around.

>> No.56275373

>>56275362
Because it could literally double in price randomly any day when the Garland memo comes out, not being in now is unironically greedy. Big money already loaded up on far OTM january 19th calls weeks ago.

>> No.56275374

>>56275194
Nigga this isn't shit compared to 2020

>> No.56275384

>>56275363
the whole market is expecting QE, and that is exactly why no QE will come

>> No.56275388
File: 102 KB, 865x853, 34567865423456io0987654.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
56275388

>>56275370
I'm on it thanks.

>> No.56275393

>>56275374
2020 at least had an unprecedented event, this is all based on some real flimsy shit. This is on par with the bear euphoria from last year or even worse.

>> No.56275396

>>56275373
>not engaging in FOMO is greed
sure sign of delusion, you have it backwards. I've seen this behavior before and it's not encouraging

>> No.56275403

>>56275384
Are you fucking serious?? The entire market is bearish because they're expecting an even more hawkish fed, more qt and rate hikes. Keep your fucking bear narrative straight man.

>> No.56275404

>>56275384
True, but remember the gilt crisis and the dollar mysteriously backing off thereafter? Or SVB and the "not QE" BTFP facility that got rolled out?

A couple weeks from now we could be talking about the "temporary restructuring" of QT to be $5bn/month. And hey, wouldn't you know it, that easing mysteriously helps Japan's problems.

>> No.56275435

>>56275393
If you can't understand the systemic weaknesses in the market in a high interest rate low liquidity environment after record historic liquidity and low rates I got nothing to say to you really

>> No.56275434

>>56275404
You just KNOW this is going to be what happens. Overnight policy magic that fucks over all the retail bears.

>> No.56275446

>>56275435
4.5% isn't fucking high you absolute 14 year old

>> No.56275449

>>56275388
Might need some Imodium (Loperamide) for diarrhea as well. Electrolytes and Vitamin B complex are hydrophilic and could cause osmotic diarrhea. Your digestive system is going to be all inflamed for a while.

>> No.56275458

>>56275446
Anything north of 50 bepis is high compared to what people expected a few years ago. It's high for the market, but it's not that high overall mostly because it can't be and they start running into problems pushing it harder than 5.5% rn

>> No.56275463

>>56275350
I didn't ask or fuckin imply that and the partial answer is not sufficient.

>> No.56275465
File: 8 KB, 222x216, ez.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
56275465

>Congratulations! Your Robinhood Gold instant deposit limit increased to $25,000.00 from $10,000.00 because your brokerage account value increased above $25,000.00.
A conservative portfolio of buying absolutely nothing and consistently depositing paychecks.

>> No.56275488

>>56275403
Let's get time frames in order here.

in the very short term, the current bearishness is overindulgent and there will probably be a pump upward.

in the medium term, market fundamentals aren't screaming crash nor bullrun, but extreme bond market weakness, dollar strength, and faltering in equities (ex. SP-7) and copper indicate that a recession is in fact coming.

in the long term, as the recession evolves and liquidity becomes tighter the market will become increasingly more desperate for QE and rate cuts. And because everybody is expecting QE ans rate cuts, they won't come. Inflation is too big of an issue and the Fed will protect the US Dollar. There may be war as that is the historical go-to when policymakers need to revive the economy.
>>56275404
The Dollar has to come first. Neither the policymakers nor the Fed can allow inflation to flare up again no matter what. Most of the risk today is carried by private individuals and small banks that don't matter. We're not in the same situation as we were pre-GFC. Nobody gives a damn if mom & pop's savings melt down, they will not be bailed out (though depositors of small banks will get at least something back if their bank goes under)

>> No.56275491

>>56274943
Code?

>> No.56275501

>>56275279
>>56275290
>Inverse Jimbo still working.
thanks for the status check

>> No.56275506

>>56275011
>t skinnyfag firing back 6% harpoons

>> No.56275507

>>56275488
So what do you have to say to the whole "we've actually been in a recession for a year but the government just changed the definition" narrative?

>> No.56275515

>>56275507
It’s not a narrative. That really did happen.

>> No.56275520

>>56275507
not my concern, I only care about what's going to happen in capital markets going forward. When the bond markets scream I listen.

>> No.56275546

>>56275520
And so you don't think that the people in charge of fiscal policy will just see this whole thing coming from at least a year out and craft policy overnight to avert the crisis that bears are slobbering for? A la SVB bailout etc

>>56275515
Okay, so when do markets usually go back up after a recession?

>> No.56275556
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56275556

>>56275279
>Comma splice
Get it together, Jim.

>> No.56275567

>>56275546
bailing out the US treasury market without causing immense inflation is an impossible task. We're talking about a multi-dozen trillion dollar market here anon, the world's biggest bond market. SVB is peanuts

>> No.56275577
File: 82 KB, 1805x497, 2023-10-03 17_31_42-Economic Calendar - Brave.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
56275577

>>56274755
Not bad data from korea and japan. So Santa Rally still on after Sukkot

>>56275546
>when do markets usually go back up after a recession?
usually markets bottom during a recession ahead of the turn in the economy

>> No.56275588

>>56275567
Okay so? Don't you think, based on precedent, that the US would rather have inflation than let the bond market crash?

>> No.56275597
File: 979 KB, 1024x1024, 1696376960081235.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
56275597

>Futures

>> No.56275598

>>56275577
Almost as if the bottom was last October.......

>> No.56275605

>soft landi-ACK!!!

>> No.56275614

>>56275446
I'm open to intelligent discussion on this but you're just retarded. The entire economy is predicated on cheap money. PE multiples in equities, bond yields on corporate debt. It's not just the number, it's the direction and the severity of the rate rise - which is unprecedented.

Also rates haven't been this high in almost 20 years. Yes 4.5% is high.

Lastly, you can't consider rates in a vacuum - what is driving the rates higher? It's a lack of liquidity. Nobody wants to buy US t-bills. People are dumping them. We are running a trillion dollar deficit and it'll double within a year or two. To finance the debt the government is destroying liquidity hand in hand with high fed rates.

Liquidity is what has caused crypto to be where it is today, same with equities prices. That's quickly becoming a thing of the past.

>> No.56275640

>>56275577
Thanks for the update, anon.

>> No.56275645

>>56275588
I believe there is ample precedent that the US policy for much of its existence is safeguarding the Dollar no matter the cost. You have to remember that in the past forty years easing after financial recessions reared their heads was not done in times of high inflation. If your precedent is only going back forty years you may have another thing coming.

>> No.56275649

>>56275614
4.5% is average

>> No.56275651
File: 178 KB, 1000x600, 1638401690904.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
56275651

>>56275577
Hell yeah fuckin checked for the SANTA RALLY.

>> No.56275656

>>56275645
Fiscal policy will need to correct if the dollar is to be protected here. I'm not sure there's an appetite for austerity in either party.

>> No.56275667

>>56275598
if we continue this global rolling recession where each country has recessions at different times and the US has a soft landing

A lot of assumptions but for now the presidential market cycle is in the forefront unless the yield curve steepens further, the Dollar breaks 108 and continues higher, oil stays at least around 90/bbl, and the USDJPY breaks out to 155 and stays above 150.

>>56275640
you're welcome

>> No.56275670

>>56274982
you've drunk beyond the point of fun, my dude. at this point i would save myself and my liver with some NAC (not health advice, just saying what has gotten me out of a pickle). speaking of which, drink some pickle juice if you have it.

>> No.56275675

>>56275645
Okay well good thing inflation has drastically decreased over the last year and the only people claiming that it's devastatingly high are retarded retail bears. I'm looking at the last hundred years or more, where bears have only had like three relatively major crashes that were based on much more than this.

>>56275649
This, over and over again

>> No.56275684

>>56275649
4.5 is average historically when deficits weren't a fucking trillion dollars

Nigga Janet Yellen is gonna have to issue like 4 trillion dollars of bonds next year with rolls and debt refinancing. The liquidity isn't there for that.

Just saying 4.5% is average is ignoring some important context

>> No.56275685

>>56274979
tarpits are too cool of a death trap for them. i've seen them in LA and they are quite interesting.

>> No.56275697

>>56275656
I do think they'll be walking a tightrope. Ease too much and you run the risk of high inflation and loss of USD value. Don't ease, or don't ease enough and the USD becomes too strong and crushes the economy. The obvious solution would be cutting government spending but that's not ease either. One way or another the deficits (not only government deficits but private ones too) need to be solved.

>> No.56275699
File: 414 KB, 1682x1520, Margin_Explainer-2023_08_12_low_rez.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
56275699

>>56275651
yup. Margin accounts increases points to good liquidity, so unless there's another "financial crisis" we'll see SPX 4500 again.

>> No.56275722

>>56275675
Drop the rates and return to QE -- and watch the drunken sailors drop all moderation and spend all they can again. I guarantee you this.

>> No.56275723
File: 37 KB, 500x500, 1586203312167.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
56275723

My sunk cost fallacy is getting harder to cope with

>> No.56275729

>>56275697
There's very little chance either party will actually do what's needed in terms of austerity so it's either hyperinflation or the dollar rapes the global economy.

My vote is for dollar rapes global economy, then over reaction by the fed into massive inflation. Maximum pain.

>> No.56275732

>>56275684
Bro they generate money out of thin air! It isn't based on anything! Why are you attached to this idea of that being bad??

>>56275722
I genuinely don't see the issue with that

>> No.56275740
File: 704 KB, 1100x1464, image (5).png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
56275740

I made this new reaction image, please say something nice about it

>> No.56275754

>>56275740
alexa play halo by beyonce

>> No.56275763

>>56275729
I don't personally expect hyperinflation and I also expect the dollar to rape the economy. I think the market will be largely left high and dry with regard to easing because unlike the GFC, the individuals carry most of the risk and not too big to fail banks. Of course I could be wrong though, wouldn't be the first time I underestimate human stupidity

>> No.56275766

>>56275754
Oh yeah that reminds me why I made it
Bungie was going hard on the latinx thing and pissed everyone off on Twitter. So short MSFT if you can't short Bungie I guess

>> No.56275769

>>56275740
Alexa order Halo 2 for Xbox

>> No.56275773

>>56275699
>Margin accounts increases points to good liquidity
In the end, I'm not sure that's a good thing, but let the good times roll!

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KHlMjScUWpk

>> No.56275775

>>56275732
you don't see any issue with double-digit inflation, massive deficits, rising debt and asset price bubbles?

>> No.56275783
File: 184 KB, 1846x1102, oopsie-poopsie.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
56275783

https://archive.is/pzfec
You guys wouldn't want there to be an
>accident
Would you?

>> No.56275784
File: 26 KB, 1093x317, Screenshot 2023-10-03 at 17-53-26.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
56275784

i wonder if Brady's a qt grill

>> No.56275796

>>56275763
I like your doomer pessimism on this. Can you expand on what you mean by individuals carry the risk? Or by individuals do you rather mean small and regional banks and foreign entities/nations?

>> No.56275798

>>56275699
Don't you feel the financial crisis?

>> No.56275813
File: 672 KB, 1400x788, e60dd273611021.6071f7f63e584.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
56275813

fuck it i'm looking into these garage/attic renos and it just reminds me of what I thought peak living would be when I was 10

>> No.56275815

>>56275783
No, Ms. Brainard.

>> No.56275819
File: 33 KB, 402x338, 1686019950541597.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
56275819

>>56275783
I just want the market to pump my oil stocks
last time banks got heemed, I did too

On the plus side, maybe the opportunity to double my money again on british banks will come around

>> No.56275818

>>56275763
The market is everyone's retirement fund. Do you really think they'll let everyone's 401k collapse?

>>56275775
Deficit and debt absolutely not, not as long as the USD is based on "fuck you" and is the global reserve currency. Double digit inflation is unironically transitory and asset price bubbles like real estate are divorced from the stock market as a whole.

>> No.56275822
File: 407 KB, 1000x871, 1668615289517828.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
56275822

>>56275784
>they started adding trackers to the pizza delivery guy's car
I like Domibros, but I could not imagine wageslaving there.

>> No.56275826
File: 1.89 MB, 220x124, bobocat747.gif [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
56275826

>>56275783
Oooh that's a good one. Really seems like we're heading to something special here.

>> No.56275827
File: 44 KB, 750x598, Despairing old Japanese man.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
56275827

>USDJPY rising again

>> No.56275833
File: 378 KB, 2560x1440, 2023-10-03 12_55_54-Greenshot.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
56275833

>>56275684
>4.5 is average historically when deficits weren't a fucking trillion dollars
You'll probably like listening to Hugh Hendry rants about global debt to GDP is 5x now than it was in the 70s when Volcker was hiking rates
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jxo24AbZqCk

>>56275773
it's not a good thing in the long term, but I'm just here to make more fiat than the rest of humanity before the system implodes. So surfs up dude!

>>56275798
well if we have another financial crisis then based on the current bear steepening of the 2Year to 3Month yield curve it'll happen late January 2024. So plenty of time for the Santa Rally to still happen

>> No.56275838
File: 396 KB, 719x885, 1696210229584270.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
56275838

>>56275783
Wells Fargo

>> No.56275842
File: 104 KB, 800x679, Laughing Crying Pepe.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
56275842

>>56275833
Funniest thing about Hugh is the top recommendation he made a few years back: long TLT

>> No.56275855
File: 111 KB, 1280x720, Failure and Success.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
56275855

>>56275675
>Okay well good thing inflation has drastically decreased over the last year and the only people claiming that it's devastatingly high are retarded retail bears. I'm looking at the last hundred years or more, where bears have only had like three relatively major crashes that were based on much more than this.

While you're not incorrect, we've seen this kind of thing before. As >>56275722 points out, inflation will just go back up like it did in the 70s. Arthur Burns wishy washy Fed policy made the 70s a very bad time for America on top of all its other problems at the time. Powell wants to fix inflation without replicating Arthur Burns horrid policy, and without inflicting the massive damage Volcker had to do to fix it. It's not going to be easy

>> No.56275862

>>56275842
Hugh loves being contrarian. He was loading up on GBTC since the SBF drop in bitcoin.

>> No.56275867
File: 104 KB, 418x750, 1693179795718906.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
56275867

Is it finally over

>> No.56275869
File: 91 KB, 1280x720, 234234tggh.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
56275869

mods= gods and chairs=bears

>> No.56275877
File: 3.10 MB, 480x360, 1679965594223037.gif [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
56275877

>>56275867

>> No.56275903

>>56275867
It is unironically just beginning. Pull up a chair.

>> No.56275905
File: 62 KB, 726x444, How to dissolve money in acid.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
56275905

>>56275862
Too bad he lost those gains this April buying TLT calls, expecting 150 this year lol: https://twitter.com/hendry_hugh/status/1645500953737535512

>> No.56275911

>>56275833
>you are really bummin me out
nope, can't watch anymore, what the fuck?

>> No.56275927
File: 22 KB, 724x494, dominos.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
56275927

what should i say to her, lol im shy

>> No.56275936

>>56275905
you know this dude probably doesn't even put a lot of skin in the game anymore since he stopped paying for a bloomberg terminal

the guy just spends his time surfing in St Bart's and getting income from leasing his real estate and grifting his dumb hats and podcast

>>56275911
he's a doomer. it's a good job if you can monetize it.

>> No.56275939

>>56275833
This guy sounds like a fag

I like blockworks for this stuff
https://youtube.com/watch?v=jJ3ajrsz-IY&si=S4OLlulB_5iUMBTd

>> No.56275952

>>56275927
>I genuinely love your pizza. Thanks for the spiced crust, the good sauce and the many cheese. DPZ on Yahoo Finance

>> No.56275961

Jefferies will be speaker and we will get stimmies back

>> No.56275966

>>56275796
>Can you expand on what you mean by individuals carry the risk? Or by individuals do you rather mean small and regional banks and foreign entities/nations?
Sure. I mean both private individuals and small institutions (companies, small banks, shitholes). FRED data shows that personal savings are at historical lows meaning the covid gibs have been exhausted, and that credit card debt is beginning to take up the slack. Credit delinquencies and business bankruptices don't look that bad in general, but small non-top 100 bank lended credit card delinquencies are at all time highs, indicating to me that small banks may be at risk, and that the weakeat consumers are more distressed than ever. Banks in general also face large mark-to-market losses on their long dated bond portfolios, and there are probably many poorly capitalized banks out there that have taken a lot of risk. More on individuals carrying the risk, banks have for a few years offloaded their poor quality bond portfolios to unsuspecting clients by selling them as mortgage backed securities (MBS), promising high yields. The recent commercial real estate crash for example according to Wolf Street was largely offloaded to private individuals who gladly bought those junk bonds from the bank. Banks in general are under tighter regulations and as mentioned not subjecting themselves to the same risks as during the GFC. Of course, I'm not saying big banks can't fail either and I think some of them carry a lot of derivatives that may prove to cause some surprising risks to materialize as well, but it is my perception right now that the banking sector in aggregate is not in the same position as back in 2007 and that many of the risks have been marketed away. I could of course be wrong too but they are on aggregate pretty well prepared this time I think.

Other than all that, generally speaking individuals and many businesses are in deficit. Lots of debt was taken during ZIRP, and cost of capital is rising.

>> No.56275994
File: 60 KB, 202x202, well and truly.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
56275994

how over it is tomorrow?

>> No.56275995

>>56275966
>poor quality bond portfolios to unsuspecting clients by selling them as mortgage backed securities (MBS), promising high yields
Can you elaborate on that? What makes them bad ports? You can do junk bond ladders as a strategy

>> No.56276000

>>56275966
Reading through this - thank you

I agree with your premise in the sense that JPow basically would be shredding his credibility to capitulate, thank you for this post & will read and consider.

>> No.56276006

>>56274963
lol you mean what's the case against buying the most senior, publicly available issue in their capital stack, at a 15-20% discount to its face value, knowing they'll have to pay the next couple of "dividends" before they could possibly cash you out, and that they're contractually obligated to pay face value when they do?
gosh you're right there is not much case against bonds lmao

>> No.56276014
File: 309 KB, 640x360, vlcsnap-2023-03-13-11h58m31s202.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
56276014

>>56275939
IMO all macro guys sound like fags to me. Hugh at least is entertaining when he goes to Bloomberg TV high as a kite.

There's not too many wild guests on there...

>> No.56276028

>>56275927
>wagies need psychological encouragement to do their job and not break down crying or quitting so the customer gets their order
>doordash ceo specifically said their gig workers shouldnt have side hustles
idk this feels pretty bearish
Certain service sectors are gonna get ruined, but long term debt sellers will be golden

>> No.56276030

>>56275995
Well look at the recent commercial real estate crash. Not a great time to be a creditor to whoever owns all that CRE

>> No.56276039
File: 2.73 MB, 853x480, 1651285935955.webm [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
56276039

>>56275867

>> No.56276058

>>56275203
NAC

>> No.56276060
File: 66 KB, 1426x781, Untitled.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
56276060

>>56274989
not good at math, huh

>> No.56276061

>>56276014
I think my link has more insight about what's coming but I'll give you that he's interesting

>> No.56276068
File: 60 KB, 584x960, 1595972933200.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
56276068

>>56275994

>> No.56276090
File: 125 KB, 640x800, 92e53af.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
56276090

>>56275867
Not until limit down futes. That's the panic I'm waiting for.

>> No.56276089

enphase
paypal
walgreens

which stock is a better buy?

>> No.56276092

>>56276030
Sure, but thats concentration risk. I suppose if a bank wants to get them off the books, theyll give the risk to naive people that see high yields and get fucked, where a more competent investor would just diversify
Fixed income interests me a bit. Doubt I could trade it, but I have a 10k ladder going right now (mothly)

Incidentally, is a banker's acceptance fairly safe? TD has them at 4.8% or something and they feel comfy

>> No.56276095
File: 2.73 MB, 1280x714, Margin Call - Warned you about the women and minorities.webm [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
56276095

>>56275961
Anon, do you have any idea what putting a negro in charge of the budget will do to yields?

>> No.56276103

>>56276060
The point is that you'll get 8%. But hoo boy will it not be a real 8%.

>> No.56276105

>>56275862
>>56275905
these people aren't real traders they're walking advertisements for brokerages

>> No.56276106
File: 426 KB, 1290x1821, 1687200292878376.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
56276106

>>56276028
>doordash ceo specifically said their gig workers shouldnt have side hustles
One of my coworkers drives Uber on weekends.

>> No.56276112

>>56275783
BAIL INS
BAIL INS
BAIL INS

>> No.56276113

Why is Austria giving out Bonds for 2117 and 2120... fuckin cunts. I don't want to see that.

>> No.56276120

>>56276092
certainly if you know what you're doing you can make bank with junk bonds, but seeing the bond market action in the US treasury market I can hazard a guess that anybody holding junk bonds is sitting on some fabulous mark-to-market losses right now, and I know I would be proverbially soiling my pants about getting defaulted on

>> No.56276126

>>56276089
>enphase
Utilities were gigaheemed yesterday but green today, so you could play that for a bit of a bounce.

>paypal
The future of finance, it's not going anywhere

>walgreens
Pharmacies have two possible fates: bankruptcy, or having their merchandise converted into "reparations" followed by bankruptcy

>> No.56276136

>>56276126
>paypal
>The future of finance
interesting, what's your thesis?

>> No.56276143

>>56275232
explain why these companies are shitcos. be precise and reference the specific mechanism that will cause share price to go down (existing longs selling, equity offering, etc)

>> No.56276148
File: 277 KB, 1774x504, snp500.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
56276148

>>56275994
1-2%. The long term support line in red goes back to June 2022 so we'll have to see how the price reacts to that.

>> No.56276150

>>56275203
Fire down some nips throughout the day, then let the hangover hit after work. If you do this too many times you will become an alcoholic.

>> No.56276160

>>56276136
Who do you think will *run* our dystopian CBDCs? Diversity hires at the treasury?

>> No.56276164

>>56276061
IMO, macro guys just like the idea of having a theory and talking about it to an audience. All that matters in the end is making money when line goes up or line goes down. Keep it simple with a few solid macro indicators, but don't get sucked into an algorithm trap by believing your own farts. Timing a macro turn is hard as hell and most people don't have the capital to time things wrong.

Big Short throw back
>being early is the same as being wrong

>>56276105
heh...
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1DJQE-2Ld8A
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wIDSOi9LYZo

>> No.56276175

>>56275966
I have nothing else to add other than to say this is a fantastic post the caliber I really don't expect to see around these parts nowadays. Thanks

>> No.56276184

...why the fuck are people expecting a spooky day tomorrow? Job openings and McCarthy are simply not good reasons for a red day

>> No.56276192

uranium is DEAD

>> No.56276195

Ok, it's over.

>> No.56276201

WE ARE BACK

>> No.56276215

Test

>> No.56276217

>>56276148
soon tradingview will paywall this quantity of lines

>> No.56276219

It's over.

>> No.56276222

>>56276143
TL;DR they're mostly just speculation. Didn't say they are necessarily shitcos.

For FSLR I'm just seeing a favorable opportunity with regard to price action as the chart looks set for continuing its downtrend, and as a solar stock it's entering into weak seasonality. Furthermore there is some momentum in the trade I think thanks to people going sour on ESG as of late. XPEV just keeps bleeding money due to being unprofitable, doesn't have a great balance sheet and has to keep investing capital expenditures to try to claw its way into profitability eventually. It's an EV stock so it's thematic to my current anti-ESG trade, but the bigger issue is that this is a quality market and not a growth market in my view, so investors are running into the safety of SP-7 names and abandoning equity hemorraghing companies. Rising cost of capital has also been a new theme in the market and smaller growth companies have it worse than blue chips

>> No.56276225

WE ARE SO BACK

>> No.56276226
File: 167 KB, 357x360, 1695236909460860.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
56276226

Damn bro these futures.

>> No.56276229
File: 8 KB, 234x215, 1658332372863224.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
56276229

>>56275783
oopsie

>> No.56276236

>>56276184
Japan tipped it's hand and started a death spiral of the 10 year. American banks are about to get wiped out by the BoJ. Whether or not the Fed saves those banks or lets the BoJ kill them is yet to be seen

>> No.56276239
File: 1.89 MB, 400x400, Oh shit what the fuck Idris Elba.gif [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
56276239

>Futures
You guys weren't kidding.

>> No.56276245
File: 93 KB, 669x689, dd3c5f9acc1955e0855cb84baebec8c28bb3bcf1ec19ee4bf2154bfe61017be8_1.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
56276245

>>56276184

>> No.56276250

>>56276239
Why the fuck didn't I short heavier, goddamn. Monday was the perfect opportunity to do it again. Patience always when it is wrong.

>> No.56276251
File: 1.13 MB, 2000x2327, emoji-21.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
56276251

>>56276217

>> No.56276256

This is it. This is the big one.

>> No.56276257
File: 778 KB, 963x1454, wojak-hunt-for-green-october.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
56276257

>Futures

>> No.56276260

>>56276120
The only strategy I know of is to have solid FA and basically know the company's burn rate, so you can buy bonds at an acceptable discount, get a few coupons, and make your money back on the coupons before they go bankrupt; you don't hold them until maturity
But as far as bond trading, I wouldn't know what a proper portfolio looks like, nor do I know how to hedge against currency risk or set up forwards or swaps or immunize it. But at least I'm aware of the concepts

>> No.56276264
File: 42 KB, 657x711, 1631901548263.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
56276264

Uhhhhhh bull bros................. Are we losing?!?

>> No.56276278

If the Russell 2000 breaks below that ~$1,680-1,700 or so support, it'll be heem time for real.

>> No.56276281
File: 357 KB, 1280x720, Jeremy Irons in Margin Call - This is it.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
56276281

>>56276256
t. Tuld

>> No.56276284
File: 72 KB, 244x339, Untitled.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
56276284

>> No.56276293
File: 81 KB, 1280x720, 1665606984762929.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
56276293

>futures

>> No.56276294

How the fuck is it different this time? The most telegraphed crash in history? Yeah fucking right

>> No.56276295

>>56276160
idk probably the fed themselves

>> No.56276296

>>56276284
I would not be surprised if most retail is still buying the dip. I mentioned this a day or two ago but a coworker of mine told me he wants to start investing and that he is really feeling FOMO.

>> No.56276304

All this because McCarthy lost his speakership?

>> No.56276305

>>56276296
Dude retail has been retardedly bearish for months

>> No.56276314

>>56276294
I think the thing is that it's not different this time at all.

>> No.56276315

>>56275024
your vote does not count.

>>56275041
>spending about 5k and walked away with 450k a year later.
prove it.

>> No.56276320

>>56276278
For me, it's IWC. The micro-est of microcaps. The first to be heemed, the worst to be heemed.

>> No.56276321

>>56276294
>the most telegraphed crash in history
Isn't that in of itself enough to make it different this time?

>> No.56276322

>>56275250
7/11 sells it

>> No.56276327

>>56276305
Not you though. You're a special boy who sees through all the lies.

>> No.56276338

>>56276321
That's the point. Bears think the people in charge of fiscal policy somehow are just sleepwalking into the most predicted crash ever, bulls think that's absurd. Last year this was the exact same sentiment.

>> No.56276341

>>56276305
You're underestimating index golems methinks

>> No.56276349

>>56276113
>Austria giving out Bonds for 2117
Guaranteed 2.9% for a hundred years from a country that learned its lesson fighting world wars. But what about inflation?

>> No.56276359

>>56276349
They're promising you negative real yeilds for good part of 94 years

>> No.56276360

>>56276338
They're not sleepwalking into anything. Powell has been extremely upfront about what he is trying to accomplish and how he is trying to accomplish it. It's not his job to make stonks go up.

>> No.56276361
File: 35 KB, 368x368, 1696376441515081.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
56276361

oh my god the futures

>> No.56276362

>>56276341
I don't think so, I've tried to keep track of retail sentiment this year and literally everywhere I've looked all I see is people slobbering over "shorting opportunities" and saying "oh yeah man u gotta play the volatility!' It's just a self fulfilling prophecy, and retail literally never has the upper hand. Big Money isn't going to let them make any money by shorting.

>> No.56276364

>>56276349
Yeah that yield sucks. Check out Argentinian century bonds.

>> No.56276372
File: 196 KB, 640x775, IMG_0339.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
56276372

I was only a bear to buy the dip, not to crash the global economy.
I am so sorry.

>> No.56276378

>>56276106
neurons activated

>> No.56276397
File: 1.79 MB, 197x213, Powell ick, gross.gif [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
56276397

>10Y: 4.827% +0.025%
>30Y: 4.96% +0.023%

>> No.56276404

>>56276360
>>56276338
Also I should add that the people in charge of fiscal policy (Yellen not Powell) have been desperately trying to avoid a recession. Fiscally the money printing never slowed down and the government is spending harder than they ever have before to try to haul this economy out of the shitter.

>> No.56276405
File: 188 KB, 1920x1080, 1677709317442019.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
56276405

yeah, i still listen to Mannarino

>> No.56276406

>>56276362
And yet there are still GME and BBBYQ generals where people buy the dip and know deep in their hearts that the squozening is coming in two weeks. I'unno everybody always has a narrative. The sentiment is I think slanted on the bearish side but I don't think we're seeing particularly exteme bearishness just yet (well aside from my posts the past few threads lel)

The sentiment matters too but the bond market and Fed balance sheet fundamentals are indicating a dire shortage of liquidity. Does that mean we're crashing right now? I don't know.

>> No.56276410

>>56276305
Retail is always bullish, even if they dont want to be. Any middle class wagie paying into their 401k with a company match is contributing monthly towards blindly buying bags right now

>> No.56276422

>>56276406
We're at extreme fear right now on the CNN indicator, for what it's worth

>> No.56276424

>>56276264
It's fine comrade, we are victoriously retreating while bobo advances in defeat. The ass is in the ass and everybody knows everything.

>> No.56276433

>>56276424
Modern /k/ sucks dick I miss OPpenheimer :(

>>56276422
Short term reversal more than likely if you wanna try to chase it IMHO

>> No.56276436

>>56276349
It's about not being there to witness the 100% inflation while others hold 2,9% yield

>> No.56276446

Japan is causing this. They might not be selling, but them saying they might intervene if necessary is probably causing a selloff

>> No.56276451

>>56276405
I bet he looks ghoulish af by now. Motherfucker was already being consumed by his rings around his eyes years ago.

>> No.56276452
File: 177 KB, 1390x1100, DoNotDeviatearino.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
56276452

>>56276405

>> No.56276459

>>56276422
Last end of week AAII showed 27.8% bullish/31.3% neutral/40.9% bearish, so it's probably gotten more bearish since then by now. Certainly more bearish than in many months no doubt. Is it justified bearishness or is this the time to recerse the sentiment?

>> No.56276468
File: 760 KB, 1250x808, lookingforemployment.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
56276468

>>56276405
I thought everyone was over that

>> No.56276472
File: 3.87 MB, 640x480, rapidsave.com_updated_settings_img2img2video_alizee_music_video-ocfj5lyfpbk91(7).webm [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
56276472

>Futures

>> No.56276474

Guys, just check the Fear and Greed Index. That CNN FaG knows what's up: https://www.cnn.com/markets/fear-and-greed

>> No.56276490

>>56276474
>1 month ago
>Greed 58
>Now
>Extreme fear 17
going down this fast, could get to single digit sentiment. Or then again, maybe not.

>> No.56276504

>>56276490
Balance of probabilities do suggest we bounce from here. However, I'd personally bet against that because the bond heeming continues: >>56275267

>> No.56276517

>>56276472
fuk market gonna go down tomorrow i shouldnta bought those calls

>> No.56276519

>>56276504
VIX is also pretty low and I could see it continue spiking

>> No.56276522
File: 58 KB, 726x1024, 1690254470630924m.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
56276522

>>56276468
i want to sex the keions

>> No.56276529

>>56276474
Why when I can look at the MMRI
>322
>red, not very red but red
https://www.mannarino-market-risk-indicator.com/
Oh shit you guys

>> No.56276537

>>56276529
Our favorite vampire put that together to guess the odds of "Something breaking behind the scene", which is separate from and less frequent than swings in FaG sentiment.

>> No.56276550
File: 1.69 MB, 1306x1080, blush.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
56276550

>>56276451
he still looks better than most young adults. i remember going to wendy's one time and the drive-thru gal had darker rings than Greg.

>>56276468
i don't like the filename anon. also, shrink her and place her on the couch, also flip the image so that she's "facing" the desk

>> No.56276563

>>56276474
WTF happened? Everybody was bullish a month ago and it was just at 58

>> No.56276564
File: 2.07 MB, 1024x1024, 1661033108736728.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
56276564

Better hold this line mumu. we are teetering on the brink. If there are any old phone booths nearby, now is the time to check them for loose change.

>> No.56276566

WTF BOBO WHERES ALL MY MONEY

>> No.56276573

>>56276563
10y treasuries began selling off. They continue to sell off.

>> No.56276576

>>56276529
>IT'S ABOVE THE RED LINE!!! DANGER WILL ROBINSON!!! DANGER!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

>>56276164
Found more entertaining clips of Hugh Hendry
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-DN_eZHxa8Q

>> No.56276582
File: 708 KB, 640x640, 1681863829654609.webm [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
56276582

>>56276566
it's in better hands?

>> No.56276587
File: 3.23 MB, 4961x3282, Power Rangers.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
56276587

Sukkot ends on 6th. We stop around 4200.

>> No.56276597
File: 121 KB, 1329x893, 2023-09-21 18_18_00-Kass_ Sell on Rosh Hashanah but Wait Until the End of Sukkot to Buy - RealMoney .png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
56276597

>>56276587
that's right senpai. those talmudic lessons really do pay off!

>> No.56276603
File: 602 KB, 1086x798, chadnope.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
56276603

>TFW national debt hit 33,333,333,333,333 today
>on 10/3
>10 / 3 = 3.3333333333333
https://www.usdebtclock.org/

>> No.56276616

Imagine calling yourself a dividendchad and not owning
https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/ATHEX-OPAP/financials-overview/

>> No.56276626
File: 663 KB, 1250x808, brushinguponinterviewskills.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
56276626

>>56276550
there isn't enough of her to put her on the couch without it looking weird. she at least needs her waist

>> No.56276633
File: 170 KB, 840x839, pepe.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
56276633

>>56276587
>>56276597
Nope. Next year's calls are still DOUBLE the price of puts at the same strike.

>> No.56276638
File: 382 KB, 1520x1788, 1659143461725718.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
56276638

>>56276566
well.. you see mumu. When you "buy" a stock.. you are exchanging your cash (aka "your money") for that stock. so... "your" money is with the people selling that stock to you. unfortunately, due to market conditions, you probably can't get back the same amount you paid.. so its not really "your" money anymore. lol. Hope this clears things up.

>> No.56276648
File: 427 KB, 1412x794, 2023-10-02 22.24.30.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
56276648

>>56276633
when QQQ hits 320 on friday and flush out the late c00mers on the Magnificent 7 rally that'll solve that pesky problem

>> No.56276650

>>56274929
Are REITs worth it, or should I stick to standard stocks?

>> No.56276653
File: 45 KB, 830x515, 1695248858935548.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
56276653

>>56276566
WHEN YOU COME OUT YOUR SHIT IS GONE
WHEN YOU COME OUT YOUR SHIT IS GONE
WHEN YOU COME OUT YOUR SHIT IS GONE
WHEN YOU COME OUT YOUR SHIT IS GONE

>> No.56276656
File: 1.01 MB, 1006x788, Screenshot 2023-10-04 at 04.33.14.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
56276656

>>56276550
>he still looks better than most young adults.
what hellhole full of chain smokers do you live in?

>> No.56276663
File: 403 KB, 1122x1633, IMG_0222.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
56276663

>>56276650
Bro, now is not the time

>> No.56276670

Why is Morgan Stanley the only fiscally responsible bank?

>> No.56276671

>yields
>dollar
>VIX futures
seems like oil may finally be responding to dollar strength also

>> No.56276673
File: 71 KB, 1096x566, wow.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
56276673

>4.981% overnight
whew.
>Grandpa, where were you when the 30yr yield broke 5% and caused systemic failure?

>> No.56276685
File: 78 KB, 1087x995, smile.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
56276685

>>56276626
thats moe bettah, saved.

>>56276656
i live in The United States of America®

>> No.56276688
File: 463 KB, 596x599, 1696190774950742.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
56276688

>stocks going down
>bitcoin crabbing
whats going on here?

>> No.56276689

>>56276663
I want profits. This does not change on the whims of the market.

>> No.56276693

>>56276673
I will not be a grandpa. I will die a virgin.

>> No.56276694
File: 591 KB, 270x288, PARTYHARD77.gif [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
56276694

>>56276673
5% calls for a party

>> No.56276702

>>56276648
apple got downgraded after hours ;-)

>>56276673
>there's no way these bonds go tits up

>> No.56276704
File: 2.68 MB, 498x375, vince-mcmahon-shane-mcmahon.gif [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
56276704

>>56276692
>>56276692
>>56276692
>>56276692
Baked

>> No.56276705

>>56276670
Because they have bears working there?

>> No.56276711

>>56276650
Buying REITs right now is a bet that interest rates are close to peaking. Very risky because the current Fed stance is that the economy is between fine and too hot

>> No.56276712

>>56276685
you should move, mate. when everyone around you looks like the living dead it's a clear sign something's up with the drinking water.

>> No.56276714

well, at least Im not TLT holder

>> No.56276717
File: 130 KB, 1668x362, IMG_0432.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
56276717

https://www.reuters.com/markets/asia/skorea-factory-activity-shrinks-again-sept-mildest-slump-15-months-pmi-2023-10-04

It’s over

>> No.56276718

>>56276459
I genuinely don't think this is justified bearishness. When Cramer says it's bear time I unironically think inversing mainstream narratives is the play.

>> No.56276724
File: 393 KB, 2560x1440, 2023-10-03 19_43_43-Greenshot.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
56276724

>>56276688
get ready for the scheduled halvening pump into january

>> No.56276766
File: 73 KB, 614x600, d8ljcjs-27767d5f-52c6-4bad-8880-ce6721f71cf0.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
56276766

>>56276673
Imagine STILL thinking bonds are smart money after this.
Theyre worse than wsb degens
>brooo the US government has to print 3 trillion per year
picrel

>> No.56276800
File: 315 KB, 621x690, 1655936823782.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
56276800

If you enjoyed this thread and would like to get more from the definitive 4chan community for the stock market, make sure to SMASH that subscribe button like you're fomo'ing in at the absolute top, don't forget to ring that bell, and if you found our discussions interesting leave a like or comment as well. They greatly help /smg/ against the 4chan algorithms and we'd like to hear what you have to say. The support of posters like (You) is what keeps us strong! Grab those gains you guys and we will see you in.... the next thread!
>>56276692
>>56276692
>>56276692

>> No.56277389 [DELETED] 

>>56274977
>>56274988
>>56274999
>>56275011
>>56275022
>>56275044
>>56275122
>>56275244
>>56275255
>>56275388
>>56275488
>>56275577
>>56275588
>>56275699
>>56275722
>>56275766
>>56275822
>>56275833
>>56275855
>>56275877
>>56275911
>>56275966
>>56276000
>>56276222
>>56276322
>>56276422
>>56276433
>>56276522
>>56276566
>>56276633
>>56276688
>>56276711
>>56276766
>>56276800
checked

>> No.56277393 [DELETED] 

> 1st place:
WU/qIlpE with 32 posts:
>>56275132 >>56275163 >>56275195 >>56275232 >>56275245 >>56275285 >>56275324 >>56275350 >>56275384 >>56275396 >>56275488 >>56275520 >>56275567 >>56275645 >>56275697 >>56275722 >>56275763 >>56275775 >>56275966 >>56276030 >>56276120 >>56276222 >>56276278 >>56276296 >>56276314 >>56276341 >>56276359 >>56276406 >>56276459 >>56276490 >>56276519 >>56276573

> 2nd place:
Pf4OMpcD with 30 posts:
>>56274989 >>56274997 >>56275002 >>56275022 >>56275036 >>56275044 >>56275054 >>56275108 >>56275122 >>56275220 >>56275228 >>56275267 >>56275363 >>56275404 >>56275640 >>56275815 >>56275827 >>56275842 >>56275905 >>56276095 >>56276103 >>56276126 >>56276160 >>56276239 >>56276281 >>56276320 >>56276397 >>56276474 >>56276504 >>56276537

> 3rd place:
w71+m5Yu with 22 posts:
>>56275194 >>56275234 >>56275257 >>56275321 >>56275393 >>56275403 >>56275434 >>56275446 >>56275507 >>56275546 >>56275588 >>56275598 >>56275675 >>56275732 >>56275818 >>56276184 >>56276294 >>56276305 >>56276338 >>56276362 >>56276422 >>56276718

> 4th place:
a0h8tYvk with 16 posts:
>>56274943 >>56274982 >>56274990 >>56275015 >>56275032 >>56275084 >>56275098 >>56275139 >>56275180 >>56275203 >>56275221 >>56275250 >>56275268 >>56275280 >>56275327 >>56275388

> 5th place:
+2lL5TUd with 15 posts:
>>56275374 >>56275435 >>56275614 >>56275656 >>56275684 >>56275729 >>56275796 >>56275939 >>56276000 >>56276061 >>56276175 >>56276327 >>56276360 >>56276404 >>56276433

> 6th place:
wlWoDATT with 14 posts:
>>56275501 >>56275577 >>56275667 >>56275699 >>56275833 >>56275862 >>56275936 >>56276014 >>56276164 >>56276576 >>56276582 >>56276597 >>56276648 >>56276724

> 7th place:
UyZ2QJdp and FlPDkwJB with 12 posts:
>>56274970 >>56275011 >>56275023 >>56275079 >>56275113 >>56275271 >>56275370 >>56275449 >>56275465 >>56275597 >>56276257 >>56276472 >>56275073 >>56275085 >>56275117 >>56275145 >>56275179 >>56275754 >>56275784 >>56275813 >>56275869 >>56275927 >>56275994 >>56276136

>> No.56277396 [DELETED] 

>>56274979
>>56274980
>>56275012
>>56275051
>>56275083
>>56275087
>>56275175
>>56275255
>>56275279
>>56275290
>>56275312
>>56275458
>>56275491
>>56275506
>>56275515
>>56275723
>>56275798
>>56275822
>>56275838
>>56275867
>>56275903
>>56275961
>>56276058
>>56276089
>>56276150
>>56276192
>>56276215
>>56276245
>>56276315
>>56276322
>>56276378
>>56276410
>>56276452
>>56276517
>>56276522
>>56276603
>>56276653
>>56276670
>1pbtid

>> No.56278850 [DELETED] 
File: 884 KB, 1024x1024, 10374280298633178900.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
56278850

nyancatmoney.com
>nyancatmoney.com
nyancatmoney.com
>nyancatmoney.com
nyancatmoney.com
>nyancatmoney.com
nyancatmoney.com
>nyancatmoney.com

This is incredibly fun to watch you seethe for us NCM chads, why not buy a bag and turn your seethe into joy? This is a hostile take over of biz and it will not stop

Jannies have tongued my anus 223 times.

>> No.56279001 [DELETED] 
File: 408 KB, 1024x1024, 8530686167534315232.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
56279001

nyancatmoney.com
>nyancatmoney.com
nyancatmoney.com
>nyancatmoney.com
nyancatmoney.com
>nyancatmoney.com
nyancatmoney.com
>nyancatmoney.com

This is incredibly fun to watch you seethe for us NCM chads, why not buy a bag and turn your seethe into joy? This is a hostile take over of biz and it will not stop

Jannies have tongued my anus 257 times.

>> No.56279941

>>56274977
>>56274988
>>56274999
>>56275011
>>56275022
>>56275044
>>56275122
>>56275244
>>56275255
>>56275388
>>56275488
>>56275577
>>56275588
>>56275699
>>56275722
>>56275766
>>56275822
>>56275833
>>56275855
>>56275877
>>56275911
>>56275966
>>56276000
>>56276222
>>56276322
>>56276422
>>56276433
>>56276522
>>56276566
>>56276633
>>56276688
>>56276711
>>56276766
>>56276800
checked

>> No.56279949

> 1st place:
WU/qIlpE with 32 posts:
>>56275132 >>56275163 >>56275195 >>56275232 >>56275245 >>56275285 >>56275324 >>56275350 >>56275384 >>56275396 >>56275488 >>56275520 >>56275567 >>56275645 >>56275697 >>56275722 >>56275763 >>56275775 >>56275966 >>56276030 >>56276120 >>56276222 >>56276278 >>56276296 >>56276314 >>56276341 >>56276359 >>56276406 >>56276459 >>56276490 >>56276519 >>56276573

> 2nd place:
Pf4OMpcD with 30 posts:
>>56274989 >>56274997 >>56275002 >>56275022 >>56275036 >>56275044 >>56275054 >>56275108 >>56275122 >>56275220 >>56275228 >>56275267 >>56275363 >>56275404 >>56275640 >>56275815 >>56275827 >>56275842 >>56275905 >>56276095 >>56276103 >>56276126 >>56276160 >>56276239 >>56276281 >>56276320 >>56276397 >>56276474 >>56276504 >>56276537

> 3rd place:
w71+m5Yu with 22 posts:
>>56275194 >>56275234 >>56275257 >>56275321 >>56275393 >>56275403 >>56275434 >>56275446 >>56275507 >>56275546 >>56275588 >>56275598 >>56275675 >>56275732 >>56275818 >>56276184 >>56276294 >>56276305 >>56276338 >>56276362 >>56276422 >>56276718

> 4th place:
a0h8tYvk with 16 posts:
>>56274943 >>56274982 >>56274990 >>56275015 >>56275032 >>56275084 >>56275098 >>56275139 >>56275180 >>56275203 >>56275221 >>56275250 >>56275268 >>56275280 >>56275327 >>56275388

> 5th place:
+2lL5TUd with 15 posts:
>>56275374 >>56275435 >>56275614 >>56275656 >>56275684 >>56275729 >>56275796 >>56275939 >>56276000 >>56276061 >>56276175 >>56276327 >>56276360 >>56276404 >>56276433

> 6th place:
wlWoDATT with 14 posts:
>>56275501 >>56275577 >>56275667 >>56275699 >>56275833 >>56275862 >>56275936 >>56276014 >>56276164 >>56276576 >>56276582 >>56276597 >>56276648 >>56276724

> 7th place:
UyZ2QJdp and FlPDkwJB with 12 posts:
>>56274970 >>56275011 >>56275023 >>56275079 >>56275113 >>56275271 >>56275370 >>56275449 >>56275465 >>56275597 >>56276257 >>56276472 >>56275073 >>56275085 >>56275117 >>56275145 >>56275179 >>56275754 >>56275784 >>56275813 >>56275869 >>56275927 >>56275994 >>56276136

>> No.56279955

>>56274979
>>56274980
>>56275012
>>56275051
>>56275083
>>56275087
>>56275175
>>56275255
>>56275279
>>56275290
>>56275312
>>56275458
>>56275491
>>56275506
>>56275515
>>56275723
>>56275798
>>56275822
>>56275838
>>56275867
>>56275903
>>56275961
>>56276058
>>56276089
>>56276150
>>56276192
>>56276215
>>56276245
>>56276315
>>56276322
>>56276378
>>56276410
>>56276452
>>56276517
>>56276522
>>56276603
>>56276653
>>56276670
>1pbtid