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/biz/ - Business & Finance


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54131319 No.54131319 [Reply] [Original]

>Hike 25bps and raise the fund rates target as expected
Markets puke on realisation that hikes aint going down anytime soon
>Hike 25bps and pause,or pause immediately
Still bearish.Markets no longer looking forward to a pivot and hikes remain high enough to cause more damage
>Somehow by a miracle start cutting rates next meeting
Shows panic,and propably fucks inflation mid term which is again omegabearish
A market crash (spx below 3400 and vix above 45) will reset the market and then u can look forward for lower inflation/fed cuts
Oh and Bitcoin bros remember we are correlated to spx.
Sometimes we pump more
Sometimes we nuke more
But if spx goes 3400 Btc is going back to 19k like it or not

>> No.54131372

>>54131319
>Bearish markets aren't looking forward to a pivot
No market ever does my guy. After every Fed pivot throughout history, the market drops by 50%
>Why
A Fed pivot means everything is so bad, they had to reverse course. A pause means we are at decent ground to cautiously invest. Higher rates means, if you know what to do, you can make huge gains.

>> No.54131403

cutting rates, or announcing future rate cuts would fuck up the market worse imo. it shows weakness, indecisiveness. it would just look plain awful at this point. he'd be better off raising rates 50bps then cutting

>> No.54131431

I agree. But I felt a bit sick yesterday as the markets shot up. And more days like this will happen until S&P500 sits around 3600.

>> No.54131439

>>54131319
>>54131372
>>54131403
You have to go back

>> No.54132544
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54132544

>>54131439
>NOOOOOOOOOOOO
>NOT MY REAL ESTATE VALUE
>MY GAINS
>REEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEE
Not my problem bro. Quit living in fantasy land, it's a downturning market.