/smg/ - STOCK MARKET GENERAL

[Anonymous No.53759612]

Comfy Edition

>Risk management:
https://pastebin.com/sqJUcbjp

>Educational sites:
https://www.investopedia.com/
https://www.khanacademy.org/economics-finance-domain

>Live Bloomberg stream:
https://www.livenewsnow.com/american/bloomberg-television-business.html

>Brokers:
https://pastebin.com/F1yujtVq

>Stock market dictonary:
https://pastebin.com/VtnpN5iJ

>Pre-Market Data and Live data:
https://www.tradingview.com
https://www.finscreener.com/
https://www.investing.com/indices/indices-futures

>Screeners:
https://finviz.com/
https://www.tradingview.com/screener
https://etfdb.com/
https://finance.yahoo.com/

>Boomer Investing 101:
https://www.bogleheads.org/wiki/Getting_started

>Misc:
https://market24hclock.com/
https://tradingeconomics.com

Previous: >>53752560

[Anonymous No.53759622]

Is that food truck girl? What does the video mean? Oh yeah also go stocks!

[Anonymous No.53759639]

How would you describe this setup? I've seen it on a few stocks and I feel like I could make a little bit of money swinging it.
>small rally then decline
>large rally, then retrace into consolidation
>revert to mean and fall hard below baseline
>consolidate for a few periods
>explode upward on huge volume
>done

[Anonymous No.53759692]

>>53759639
I think you should sell everything you own and move to Thailand

[Anonymous No.53759693]

>>53759639
Consolidations are nice since you can have a tight stop just under the consolidation when the price breaks out. Just wait for the breakout before you go in. Personally I prefer buying breakouts on a consolidation in an uptrend as the probability of a continuation seems to be more favorable

[Anonymous No.53759700]

/smg/ to-do list for next week:

>complain about exchanges being closed on a public holiday
>">futures"
>post images of Jerome Powell
>shill Irish fruit stock
>early bake
>post lewd images of anime girls
>complain about losing money on natural gas futures
>complain that 0dte options five days a week is ruining markets
>gamble with 0dte options
>">futures"
>doxx each other
>post images of Elizabeth Holmes
>say racist things
>announce new thread, but actually link to Gamestop general
>">futures"
>double bake
>argue about which new thread to migrate to
>post lewd images of 3D girls
>post schizo things in all caps
>fake-doxx each other as part of a scheme to muddy the waters or honeypot each other
>slyly doxx each other by mentioning companies with similar names
>post images of the food truck girl
>express schadenfreude about anons who lost money speculating on earnings reports
>early bake again
>post more lewd images of anime girls
>">futures"
>spout nonsense about chart patterns and magic lines
>shill semiconductor stocks
>announce that dividends are your fren
>announce that dividends are irrelevant
>ask about good dividend stocks
>post lewd images of Lael Brainard
>early bake yet again
>">futures"

[Anonymous No.53759710]

>>53759700
>checking dubs

[Anonymous No.53759712]

>>53759693
Breakouts are not really consistent things you want to be trading on. Even if the breakout goes your way you are in the trade later than you want to be.

Part of the time breakouts are a manipulation to grab sell/buy stop liquidity before moving in the other direction after a consolidation.

[Anonymous No.53759713]

>>53759700
Don't forget arguing about whether LETFs are good for you.

[Anonymous No.53759721]

>>53759700
Based post ngl

[Anonymous No.53759733]

>>53759700
No kpop fag posting ugly chinks?

[Anonymous No.53759745]

>>53759700
Ooh, and "Claim to have some sort of business or non-business relationship with companies announcing earnings"

[Anonymous No.53759747]

>>53759700
wheres Tay posting???????????

[Anonymous No.53759746]

>>53759712
This is missing the forest for the trees. It's not that the breakout has a better probability of success, it's the tight consolidation being the best setup where your stop is closest to your entry which gives you a higher reward to risk trade. The "breakout" marking your entry is just the logical consequence of buying when the price is moving higher which also gives a better chance of success. Contrast this with buying the dip. The problem with the latter is the lower the dip the "better" the trade so where do you set the stop? It has to be a significant distance from the entry so the reward to risk ratio can never be higher than when buying on a breakout from a tight consolidation in an uptrend. Think about it carefully and it will make sense

[Anonymous No.53759761]

>>53759612
These two are ageing at lightspeed. In that 'vacation going out without parents' video they both look 18 but in this video they look 28.

[Anonymous No.53759770]

>>53759700
Aren't we all also going to watch a video by some deranged weirdo secretly hoping that he mentions us in it?

[Anonymous No.53759780]

this slow crab upwards is getting boring desu senpai

[Anonymous No.53759784]

>>53759622
They get their fake up on and dress nicely which probably takes a couple hours just to decide to stay home because they burnt themselves out getting ready

[Anonymous No.53759786]

>>53759747
And toying with AI powers beyond our comprehension for trivial market forecasting.

[Anonymous No.53759788]

>>53759746
I do understand what you are saying. And you aren't wrong. But when it breaks out, you wait for it to pullback into a Buyside imbalance for example or an order block then you go long. It's better than jumping in right when you see it breakout.

Look into ict smart money concepts. Not saying you're wrong just saying there are better and safer ways to enter.

[Anonymous No.53759804]

>>53759786
i need MORE

[Anonymous No.53759813]

>>53759804
Sorry, I think that one was the best. We have more quality lewd Brainards than lewd Tays. The absolute state of /smg/...

[Anonymous No.53759824]

>>53759700
What a wonderful variety of things to enjoy

>>53759746
I think I agree; once it breaks, it enters a trend. You either exit a bad trend or won on a good one.
That said, how can you detect a ranging period with TA? I suppose it would have decreasing volatility

[Anonymous No.53759829]

>>53759786

I'm seriously concerned that chatgpt is indeed NOT just some crafty autocomplete.

[Anonymous No.53759843]

>futures

[Anonymous No.53759847]

>>53759746
>It has to be a significant distance from the entry
No it doesn't, when people are buying strong dips there's usually no bullish structure to speak of. In your first case there's usually a bull breakout, pullback, then a second breakout. So the logical place for stops is below either the trading range from the pullback, or below the bull leg.
On the other hand let's say there's a bear trend and a breakout to a new low. You would buy with a tight stop hoping this is the major trend reversal upwards. It's a low probability bet with great risk reward (tight stop, possible major reversal). And unless there's previous support levels you know of then logically there would be no support structure to put your stop, you're at the bottom of a red candlestick at a new low. All you can do is pick a number of points or pips that seems right.

[Anonymous No.53759853]

This stock market is bananas!

[Anonymous No.53759856]

>>53759713
Chop chop

[Anonymous No.53759865]

>>53759824
>>53759746
here is an example where a breakout could go wrong for you.

[Anonymous No.53759872]

>>53759865
the lower low, wold be viewed as a breakout possibly.

[Anonymous No.53759876]

What do you guys think of my TA?

[Anonymous No.53759894]

>>53759876
THIS SHIT IS BANANAS B-A-N-A-N-A-S

[Anonymous No.53759904]

Should I buy individual stocks or etfs? My long-term investment goal is to get an asian gf.

[Anonymous No.53759911]

>learn all sorts of strategies that theoretically work
>still just end up selling calls and yoloing my premium away on 0dte options
Maybe the index fags were right all along

[Anonymous No.53759919]

>>53759904
If you need to ask buy VOO and never sell no matter what
Keep putting money in VOO

[Anonymous No.53759923]

How do I get a women to have sex with me? If I watch higher quality anime, will I get pussy?

[Anonymous No.53759927]

>>53759923
I could tell you my secret but you wont like it

[Anonymous No.53759929]

>>53759847
I've tried buying when the price is going up and buying when the price is going down hoping for an imminent reversal. My success rate buying when the price is going up is much higher. Also setting a stop just under a tight consolidation, especially when the consolidation has higher lows has a particularly high success rate. I've tried both ways and that's what works for me. I have also seen a lot of traders get rekt trying to pick bottoms. Matter of fact I can't think of very many great traders who made it doing that. People like MInervini, Dan Sanger, even Jesse Livermore all made their fortunes buying breakouts from a consolidation and would laugh at you if you suggested buying a stock in a downtrend hoping for a reversal. My experience agrees with that sentiment

[Anonymous No.53759933]

>>53759927
Spill the beans. No I'm not willing to pay for sex or do anything stupid like that.

[Anonymous No.53759934]

>>53759911
Kek I just made that mistake. Sold 45 dte calls against my shares and yolo'd the premium on 7 dte deep otm calls for earnings. There's still 30 days left on the short calls, so I'm basically giving up my time for free. Theta gang bros... I feel so dirty and violated. I have sinned.

[Anonymous No.53759939]

>>53759929
Not necessarily suggesting buying for reversal. But you buy dips, you don't chase.

Listen you are intelligent, please look at ict smart money concepts I think you'll appreciate it.

[Anonymous No.53759942]

I sold KOLD and bought BOIL . im gonna make so much money .

[Anonymous No.53759944]

>>53759929
I'm not condoning doing so and said it's a low probability bet, I'm saying your original statement that you need a big stop is false. Now you're moving goalposts.

[Anonymous No.53759952]

>>53759942

[Anonymous No.53759959]

I'm considering getting into shorting next week, starting with a few hundred dollars as practice. My strategy is to have a 10% trailing stop loss, so I can afford to be wrong a few times, on companies that don't seem to be leaving their downtrend anytime soon.

Is this really as easy money as it seems? I could even buy some shares as a hedge against them mooning overnight if I feel like being extra careful. Is it really time for me to be a bobo?

[Anonymous No.53759960]

which one is the tranny stock? soxl or soxs

[Anonymous No.53759964]

>>53759829
AI must be destroyed. It is antichrist

[Anonymous No.53759975]

I've been tracking the major options trades on SPY the past couple months. A lot of credit spreads through April, with SPY needing to stay above $389 on average. May and June have a lot of debit spreads with SPY needing to drop below $385. Big money thinks we crab the next two months, and then shit the bed around May. This is not financial advice.

[Anonymous No.53759980]

>>53759933
First dont look for casual sex, look for a wife
Second dating is a numbers game
Download a couple of dating apps and make a profile that looks like you spent some time on it but not too much time
Send 10 messages a day per app
Go on 2 dates a week
Do this till you find a girl whos actually worth a shit, took me 93 dates and a little over 2 years
Anything worth doing is worth doing right
Asking girls out in person is better but online dating makes casting a wide net easier
Protip: the newer the app is the higher the % of females there are.

[Anonymous No.53759986]

>>53759934
Yeah but like the bears are in charge
You arent going to get assigned
I also yolo premium its fun

[Anonymous No.53759996]

>>53759865
>>53759872
I dont really get how the MSB is determined
Either way, thats not really what my swing system does

[Anonymous No.53760012]

>>53759612
>>53759223
>>53759229
I’m sorry library anon, I can see how that would be insanely depressing. The library was my favorite place as a kid in the 00s but back then it was a place of respect and solitude. Unfortunately I think the internet replaced the standard library for a lot of people.

[Anonymous No.53760014]

>>53759996
Notice it was making lower lows, but then the previous high was taken out.

That is a market structure break. It doesn't mean anything alone but you have to conbine it with other concepts to see if it's real or not.

[Anonymous No.53760020]

>>53760014
What does it mean when the high was violated in the bottom left

[Anonymous No.53760036]

>>53759700
I'll keep doing my part. Most importantly you forgot
>AAAAAAAAAAAA
Posting. I'll start.
AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA MY PRIVATE EQUITY SALE WIPED OUT MY LOSSES AND I OWE A TON IN TAXES. FUCK. Anime please save me by buying SOXL to make it real.

[Anonymous No.53760042]

>>53759959
No unless you accept that you will never be able to time the bottom. If you can't accept that you will always be thinking about how you sold your position too early or if you keep holding, you're gonna make more money

[Anonymous No.53760066]

>>53759975
omg those zr thighs omg

[Anonymous No.53760075]

>>53760042
That applies both ways.

[Anonymous No.53760093]

Do we normally pump or dump after a long weekend?

[Anonymous No.53760099]

STOP POSTING SERENA YOU DONT DESERVE HER!

AAAAHHHHH SHES SOO PRETTY AHHHHHHH

[Anonymous No.53760102]

>>53760020
So it's just the flipped version of what's in the top picture.

Part of the requirements for a breaker is that there is a fast move that takes out the high/low in the opposite direction of where price is going.

Now look, it takes out the high to make a higher high, clearing any buys stop liquidity before price starts moving lower.

Notice though, that you can patiently wait until price returns to the break before going short in the bottom left example.

[Anonymous No.53760104]

>>53760093
if the stock market went on vacation for a year, what do u think happens once it reopens

[Anonymous No.53760112]

>>53760104
All the pent up demand comes rushing in?

[Anonymous No.53760123]

>>53760104
Everyone redeems

[Anonymous No.53760124]

>>53759612
Aww they look so cute. Imagine peeking at them from outside through the blinds and watching them laugh and giggle as they watch whatever movie is on, waiting for them to fall asleep and as soon as they do throwing a cinder block through the window and jumping through, picking up the cinder block and bashing whichever one's head was easiest to smash then tackling the other before they could escape. Imagine beating her head in until she was unconscious then going back to the other one whose head is split open from the concrete block, picking up the block again and smashing her face/head over and over again until she was nothing but a torso with a flat, bloody, fleshy pulp for a head. Imagine taking her limp, headless body and positioning it sitting straight up on the couch then going and grabbing the other unconscious girl and tying her up then positioning her sitting up right beside her decapitated friend then turning on another movie, taking a seat beside the one who was still alive, wrapping your arm around her, and waiting for her to come to and enjoy the movie with you. I'd kiss her cheek and hold her hand while she was still out uwu and when she inevitably came to I'd grab her face/head and twist it so she was looking directly at her squashed headed friend sitting right beside her. The smell of blood filling the room. All over her clothes, the couch, the floor, everywhere. Imagine what a nightmare that would be. Of course she would scream and that's where we'd have to go grab the ole cinder block again. I wonder if she would beg for her life? I'd tell her to tell me she loves me - convince me she loves me or I'd kill her. She'd probably tell me she "loves me so much", "you are the love of my life", "I want to have babies with you", etc. That would be nice. Then smash her skull in with the block - just once - to hear her agonal breathing and the blood fill her sinuses and poor into her lungs/stomach and out of her nose as she slowly passes

[Anonymous No.53760129]

>>53760104
It depends on what happened during the year it was closed I guess

[Anonymous No.53760135]

>>53760124

[Anonymous No.53760146]

>>53760124
Careful Timmy, you might cut yourself with all that EDGE

[Anonymous No.53760147]

Do not reply to that poster at all. Do not reply to bad actors.

[Anonymous No.53760150]

>>53760124
were you on /fit/ two weeks ago

[Anonymous No.53760156]

>>53760104
Wait I just remembered that chart with the German stock exchange before and during WW2 and they rugpulled after they froze the prices

[Anonymous No.53760162]

>>53760124

uhhh... based?

[Anonymous No.53760165]

>>53759612

[Anonymous No.53760170]

>>53760165
Are these girls South American? I do find them mildly attractive it’s just the dark eyes that put me off them I only really like blue/green eyed females

[Anonymous No.53760172]

>>53760165
Imagine this being on a remote Caribbean island and seeing these little whores making their tiktok video then following them when they leave, running up behind them, raising your machete above your head and bringing it down as hard as you can onto the short haired girl's head, splitting it into two, waiting a moment to get a good look at the long haired girl's horrified expression then punching her in the mouth, grabbing the back of her head, then ramming your fist over and over and over to her mouth until all of her front teeth are knocked out then throwing her onto the ground and kicking her as hard as you can in the stomach and just standing over her body, hard as a rock as her blood curdling screams echo off the sourounding buildings then prying open her friends skull, grabbing a handful of brain matter and stuffing it into the little whores mouth to shut her up. Id go grab another handful and rub it all over her face until shes gasping for air then untie her shirt and jam my machete into one of her tits, pull it out then ram it up her pussy and leave it there. If she bleeds out, so be it. If she lives, she will never make another one of these videos.

[Anonymous No.53760175]

>>53760170
They're half white half brazilian

[Anonymous No.53760176]

>>53760124
See this is why I won't be attending the annual /smg/ meet up.

[Anonymous No.53760178]

>>53760172
why would you want to slay the slop queen

[Anonymous No.53760190]

>>53759700
we like to have fun here. also not my problem

[Anonymous No.53760193]

>>53760175
I see, what’s the name of that Brazilian oil company that pays stupidly high dividends?

[Anonymous No.53760198]

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2H5uWRjFsGc

[Anonymous No.53760229]

>>53759919
I thought VTI > VOO ? Because of the mid and low caps

[Anonymous No.53760243]

>>53760172
ur spellin is turrible

[Anonymous No.53760249]

Could oil see $100 again or is it red crab from here on out?

[Anonymous No.53760256]

>>53760249

[Anonymous No.53760258]

>roku's basilisk
yeah i think i'm good, i have a fire tv

[Anonymous No.53760259]

Day nine of building a billion dollar company in under five years. Actuator prototyping has started. Tomorrow I will try to recruit more people.

>>53746317

[Anonymous No.53760260]

>>53759980
>Send 10 messages a day per app
bro this requires matching with 10 people a day

[Anonymous No.53760268]

>>53759700
>post schizo things in all caps
BBBY IS THE NEXT GME, JUST 2 MORE WEEKS!!!

[Anonymous No.53760274]

>>53760259
id like to apply for the position of cfo at your firm. i have lots of experiance posting lewd yet tastful anime girls on /smg/

[Anonymous No.53760276]

>>53760268
MUH SHROOM STOCKS

[Anonymous No.53760278]

>>53759856
>Chop chop

[Anonymous No.53760281]

>>53760278
what is the risk of just doing this?

[Anonymous No.53760286]

so does she?
brain hard?

[Anonymous No.53760289]

>>53760281
0 risk once the bear is over. Literally just DCA into TQQQ.

[Anonymous No.53760342]

>>53760278
volatility, high fees, buying when valuations are high .

[Anonymous No.53760357]

>>53760281
You could end up like Scoopsies who was down 100k in TQQQ

[Anonymous No.53760361]

>>53760249
Is slurping at 70 a high IQ move? I mean as long there's no Covid 23, how low can it really go?

[Anonymous No.53760367]

>>53760361
it's a *little bit* of chicken fried, that's way too much!

[Anonymous No.53760374]

My losses on crypto and stocks now amount to $20k. Someone cheer me up please.

[Anonymous No.53760376]

>>53760374
What did you buy

[Anonymous No.53760383]

This has been a weird week. Mostly crabbing.

I wonder how next week will turn out?

[Anonymous No.53760387]

>>53760376
Shitcoins and overleveraged shorts on Tesla, mostly.

[Anonymous No.53760390]

>>53760361
Fuck, I'm hungry for eggs now. Fried eggs with runny yolks are top tier. But I don't know what to make with them. Pancakes and bacon?

[Anonymous No.53760395]

>>53760281
All etfs have an Achilles' Heel where Proshares or Direxion can shut it down and liquidate your shares at any time if they choose to. They would be inclined to do this if there was significant outflow where the Assets Under Management falls too low because of people fleeing an extended bear market. Because with too low of an AUM it's not profitable to run the etf anymore.
/smg/ seems to think they're bound by a magical rule where the underlying index has to drop enough % in one day, but in reality they can close it whenever they want.

[Anonymous No.53760399]

>>53760387
Why do people short Tesla all it takes is some Reddit to pump it with retard strength like they have bitcoin recently and you will get finished

[Anonymous No.53760408]

>>53760387
For the shitcoins, everyone who gets into crypto gets scammed into one so it happens. At least you didn't let go of a shitcoin that reached ATHs in a bear market.
For Tesla, literally every rich dude who has tried shorting it has gotten burned. If they can't do it, you probably don't have a chance either

[Anonymous No.53760411]

>>53760399
Yeah, lesson learned.

[Anonymous No.53760429]

>>53759761
Leave them alone

:(

[Anonymous No.53760444]

>>53760429
i can see where they get it from

[Anonymous No.53760455]

>>53760124
cool it with the schizophrenia, patrick

[Anonymous No.53760472]

>>53760444
If the mom ages well then the kids do too. Past performance indicates future results.

[Anonymous No.53760494]

>>53760429
I find it hard to believe Brazil is even a real place

[Anonymous No.53760503]

>>53760429
>>53760178
glad we have men of great taste

[Anonymous No.53760504]

>>53760472
i meant the dad

[Anonymous No.53760512]

>>53760429
holy shit she literally has no titties

[Anonymous No.53760520]

>>53760512
have you ever sucked a flat boob, you get really close to the heart

[Anonymous No.53760526]

>>53760361
Thats what i think about natty gas.
I mean how low can it realistically go?
2$ should be the absolute minimum.

[Anonymous No.53760559]

>>53760526
This. I wish I'd sold puts instead of buying shares this last week though. Average is now around $6.10.

Pray for a nuclear missile to hit Moscow.

[Anonymous No.53760566]

>>53760429
Cringe.

[Anonymous No.53760569]

VIX is all about "implied" volatility and measures the market's expectations for volatility over the coming 30 days

[Anonymous No.53760571]

>>53760569
I thought it essentially just looks at how many people are buying put options.

[Anonymous No.53760593]

SOXL is a terrible investment. If you put your money into SOXL, you might as well just light it on fire. The stock is extremely volatile and the market is extremely unpredictable. You never know when the stock is going to take a dip or soar to new heights. The risks associated with investing in SOXL are just not worth it.

Investing in SOXL is like gambling. You might hit it big, but you are much more likely to lose all your money. If you are looking for a safe and stable investment, SOXL is not the stock for you. In fact, I would advise you to stay as far away from SOXL as possible.

[Anonymous No.53760605]

>>53760571
Same thing. Supply and demand of options influences IV.

[Anonymous No.53760609]

>>53760593
> SOXS is a terrible investment. If you put your money into SOXS, you might as well just light it on fire. The stock is extremely volatile and the market is extremely unpredictable. You never know when the stock is going to take a dip or soar to new heights. The risks associated with investing in SOXS are just not worth it.

> Investing in SOXS is like gambling. You might hit it big, but you are much more likely to lose all your money. If you are looking for a safe and stable investment, SOXS is not the stock for you. In fact, I would advise you to stay as far away from SOXS as possible.

ftfy
t. Soxs bag holder

[grim !!tqKNtpU7P6O No.53760610]

ODTEs are like crack

[Anonymous No.53760613]

>>53760571
It's calculated based on a strip of S&P500 options (calls & puts)

[Anonymous No.53760623]

>>53759700
damn, well i have no need to be in this thread any longer you summed it up

[Anonymous No.53760627]

Buy x100 Coinbase shares. Sell 1SD covered call for 30days out. Simple as.

[Anonymous No.53760652]

Pool's closed on monday why?

[Anonymous No.53760657]

>>53760652
Some dead crackas birthday.

[Anonymous No.53760758]

>>53760610
which broker and what collateral requirements do you have?

Personally i've been experimenting with selling 5 days or less, because i've been using kikenhood and the collateral requirements keep me from turning into a dopamine addict.

Are you using a particular pricing methodology or strategy?

>>53760657
Washington was born on the 22nd. Not sure why the date continually shifts

[Anonymous No.53760799]

>>53760512
must have had her genes altered or some shit

https://youtu.be/7S0JY0iIYg8

[Anonymous No.53760884]

>>53760429
Thought the mom was a sister. She's hotter than her daughter desu.

[Anonymous No.53760934]

I read Apple wants to move their manufacturing from China to Vietnam because China was angry about the conditions of the factoroes, is this bullish for stock and profits sound kind of deluded on Apples part.

[Anonymous No.53760944]

>>53760934

Apple probably doesn't want to stay under China's thumb any longer. If they move to another country, China will probably confiscate their factory.

[Anonymous No.53761002]

how bad of an idea is it for me to buy-to-open one (1) long call contract on a spy 0dte if my meme lines say it will go up that day

[Anonymous No.53761084]

Next week is going to be bright green

[Anonymous No.53761087]

>>53760934
Bullish they’re reducing risk

[Anonymous No.53761155]

The last couple of hours into market close yesterday was just options expiring right? And also an effort to keep form that rich jew from profiting off of the 4050? If it was just more opex then will next week open up with more stocks weakening and falling?

[Anonymous No.53761175]

What did JP Morgan mean by this?

[Anonymous No.53761189]

we are so back

[Anonymous No.53761204]

>>53761189
YOOOOOOOOOOO

[Anonymous No.53761245]

>>53761204
Lol - he will definitely die a virgin.

[Anonymous No.53761483]

>>53761175
Failing to see the problem here. How else are they going to get paid?

[Anonymous No.53761506]

>>53761189
It's weird how they've turned into a meme. I always walk by their headquarters, even since before they were popular or well known.

[Anonymous No.53761512]

Good morning /smg/! For those of you who have to work this weekend, my wife made a special youtube video for you

https://youtu.be/3jRmcCI1Q9g

[Anonymous No.53761520]

Yields....

[Anonymous No.53761567]

>>53761520
>1Y increased

Nani the fuck?

[Anonymous No.53761580]

>>53761567
yes it been going a tear all last month

[Anonymous No.53761596]

>>53761580
It’s a good thing right? Means all that money from the bond market needs to find somewhere to go

[Anonymous No.53761597]

>>53761567
People finally accepted that rate cuts simply aren't going to happen this year.
Still waiting on the eventual realization that inflation is just never coming back down.

[Anonymous No.53761612]

>>53761597
I reckon inflation will actually go up and keep increasing throughout 2023. 1980's had times when inflation went down only to shoot right the fuck up again iirc.

[Anonymous No.53761637]

>>53761597
That sounds like it would pump everyone's bags(while the dollar goes the way of Zimbabwe)

[Anonymous No.53761650]

>>53761512
Thank you miko

[Anonymous No.53761665]

ciovacco capitol says things could be looking up since price is consolidating over the major moving averages

[Anonymous No.53761704]

>>53761665
I don't disagree but how's his analysis?

[Anonymous No.53761708]

>>53761637
No. The exact opposite. I will educate you.
The #1 driver of currencies is interest rates. If an investor can get a higher yield, at lower risk (exchange rate risk, interest rate risk, geopolitical risk, etc) they will buy the bonds of that nation. In order to buy their bonds, they must sell their currency, and buy US currency.
In other words, if a Japanese investor wants to invest in US bonds, they will sell yen, buy dollars, use those dollars to buy bonds.
As yields rise, US bonds become more and more attractive, causing investors to sell their currency and buy the dollar. This strengthens the dollar - this is very bearish for stocks.
A stronger dollar means that US corporations goods and services are more expensive worldwide - demand for their goods and services fall the more expensive they are; not only are the goods and services sold impacted, the assets themselves - stocks, bonds, commodities, become more expensive
Think about it like this - I'm a Japanese investor, who wants to buy US stocks - I need to convert my yen to dollars to do so - the current exchange rate USD/JPY is 134.15
I convert my 1,000,000 yen to dollars --- 1,000,000 / 134.15 = receive $7,454.34
now let's say that the yen weakens against the dollar - the dollar becomes stronger - the exchange rate goes up to USD/JPY 150
1,000,000 / 150 = receive $6,666.66
Due to the exchange rate, I receive $787.68 less - I can buy less stocks overall with $6.66k than I could with $7.45k
As long as inflation is sticky / moves higher, the Fed will need to raise interest rates higher - interest rates need to be higher than the rate of inflation (real rates need to be positive) -- as they keep raising rates, the dollar becomes more attractive, dollar rises relative to other currencies
Higher interest rates are also very bearish beyond the currency effects. Growth and aggregate demand is based upon interest rates. People and businesses spend less, borrow less, expand less when rates are higher.

[Anonymous No.53761713]

Oh my god, the rest of the board has turned into actual pajeets. How fucking long have I been in /smg/??

[Anonymous No.53761763]

>>53761204
Dude is surprisingly nimble for all that fat

[Anonymous No.53761788]

>>53761763
That's what happens when you have literally zero muscle mass from consumption of soi products and no exercise

[Anonymous No.53761796]

>>53761708
This makes no sense because if people were buying bonds yields would be going down not up, people are selling bonds right now

[Anonymous No.53761823]

>>53761637
At some point we inevitably pump, yes. >>53761708 talks about the tightening process, but that's not the end state. It's like pushing down on a rubber band tied between two poles. Liquidity can be pushed down in the short tern but it'll pop back up in the longer term.
Eventually, a larger quantity of dollars means prices must rise, and a higher interest rate increases the speed that we reach a larger quantity of dollars. In the short term, rising real rates compete with equities, but eventually everyone knows the Fed is going back to negative rates, and that'll leave behind a lot of real dollars that must eventually be spent.

The question is how long this process takes to unravel. I think it'll resolve quicker than most expect. The 2% mandate will become a 4% inflation mandate, and life will move on.

[Anonymous No.53761828]

>>53761796
they are selling bonds (past 2 weeks) but it's all relative to the other currencies, other bonds
as long as US bonds are more attractive than other overseas bonds, US dollar will gain relative to the other currencies
it's also expectations for rates that move currencies

[Anonymous No.53761831]

DOLE is a great company

[Anonymous No.53761843]

>>53761823
>The 2% mandate will become a 4% inflation mandate, and life will move on.
this is never, and I mean NEVER, going to happen - the costs are too large, the instability too great, the effects on fixed income (the elderly, who vote) are too great. The 2% mandate changing would require Congressional action, which also would never happen

[Anonymous No.53761871]

I sold CC’s before the huge sell off. How low can we go?

[Anonymous No.53761880]

>>53761871
we will retest spy 390 at best

[Anonymous No.53761883]

>>53761843
I recall just a year ago, those in charge didn't even think inflation would be a real issue at all. Funny how quickly the narrative can change.
Those costs you mention are precisely why it MUST happen.

The sad truth is that we never had the capability of paying our elderly all the entitlements they think they deserve, and as younger generations reach voting age and stick to their 80% democrat bias (which is no longer shifting even with age), they'll simply outvote their elders and take the bailouts for themselves.

[Anonymous No.53761913]

>>53761871
when the financial crisis hits, $330
>anon, you're nuts, why would there be a financial crisis?
soon, within a year, we are going to have cascading delinquencies, charge offs, defaults on loans - from autos, credit cards, to houses
there will be a credit crisis that will blow out probably several banks, and require either bail outs or bail ins
>what happens when you have all time high debt going into a severe recession?
if you doubt what I am saying, google
"banks delinquencies prepare" "banks charge offs prepare" "banks defaults prepare" and set the time filter to the last several months

[Anonymous No.53761917]

>>53761708
>>53761828
I don’t think this is correct, given that raising rates wipes out so much paper wealth with long term bond secondary market value, and speaks literally 0 to the demand for the currency which is based off peoples need to borrow in said currency not lend in it.

[Anonymous No.53761935]

>>53761917
https://www.investopedia.com/trading/factors-influence-exchange-rates/
>Differentials in Interest Rates
Interest rates, inflation, and exchange rates are all highly correlated. By manipulating interest rates, central banks exert influence over both inflation and exchange rates, and changing interest rates impact inflation and currency values. Higher interest rates offer lenders in an economy a higher return relative to other countries. Therefore, higher interest rates attract foreign capital and cause the exchange rate to rise. The impact of higher interest rates is mitigated, however, if inflation in the country is much higher than in others, or if additional factors serve to drive the currency down. The opposite relationship exists for decreasing interest rates – that is, lower interest rates tend to decrease exchange rates.

Interest rates are the main driver - but not the only driver. Economic activity is also a driver, inflation too (but arguably inflation is under the same wing as interest rates as they are very linked)
If you still don't believe me / investopedia, google it yourself "what is the main driver for exchange rates"

[Anonymous No.53761969]

>>53761935
Ok but the link between interest rates and inflation is that it costs more borrow the currency which means that there’s no to negative profit to be had borrowing, which means the monetary supply shrinks as people destroy debt and don’t create more money, raising the exchange rate between other currencies. This has nothing to do with return on lending, there’s not an infinite vacuum of demand for currency eat high rates anon.

[Anonymous No.53761991]

>>53761969
please just google it.. this is like you arguing with me that the sky isn't blue or that the Earth is flat
this isn't theory, it's fact in currencies / exchange rates - I'm not pulling this shit out of my ass
exchange rates come from interest rates, specifically how much one nations interest rates are higher or lower than another nations
(in conjunction with other factors such as economic activity, inflation, and expectations for all 3)

[Anonymous No.53762012]

>>53761991
Ok I don’t disagree with that, I’m arguing with you that this mechanism is due to foreign lenders pushing up the exchange rate, it’s literally Macro 101 that lower rates encourage borrowing which increases money supply and increases inflation, and that higher rates discourage borrowing which lowers money supply and causes deflation. The mechanism behind currency strength is demand to borrow it, it’s why the entire banking system is setup the way it is.

[Anonymous No.53762025]

>>53761991
It is theory.

[Anonymous No.53762026]

Certificate of Deposit bros, high much higher can we go?

[Anonymous No.53762041]

>>53762012
>this mechanism is due to foreign lenders pushing up the exchange rate
yes.. exactly. US bonds are more attractive the higher the yield is. foreign lenders want to buy US bonds as the yield is very attractive, the higher it gets, the more they want to buy US bonds
in order to do so, they need to sell yen, buy dollars - they can't buy US bonds with yen --- the action of selling yen, buying dollars, makes the dollar appreciate in relative strength
>higher rates discourage borrowing
the higher that rates are, the more people want to lend, the more people want to buy bonds - we're not talking about an individual whose spending habits change due to higher rates. we're talking about bonds - a nation needs to fund itself, regardless of the interest rates it is doing so at. the higher the yields a nation offers, the more attractive their bonds are - the more attractive their currency is. you need their currency to buy their bonds. higher yields = higher currency demand (to use that currency to buy bonds)

[Anonymous No.53762043]

I hope you guys are prepared for the market fallout that is coming.

[Anonymous No.53762057]

>>53760934
Go look at what happened to Blizzard after they pulled out
Bugmen act like psycho ex-gfs the moment companies pull out and that’s what they really thought all along, smiling and sheeting is just an act to fool dumb whitey

[Anonymous No.53762064]

>>53762025
interest rates driving exchange rates being called 'a theory' is the same thing as the "theory of evolution" being called just 'a theory'
it is widely accepted fact - you would be hard to find even a single currency trader who did not agree

[Anonymous No.53762080]

>>53762043
>Join our website and you too could be like Warren Buffet

[Anonymous No.53762082]

I can't figure out food and restaurant stocks. There isn't anything unique about food or eating you have over competitors.

So you buy MCD... okay but why not QSR, YUM, SBUX, WEN, CMG?
So you buy PEP... okay but why not KO, MNST, NESN, HSY, LISN?

[Anonymous No.53762097]

>>53761520
Ahhhhhh I'm inverting!

[Anonymous No.53762107]

>>53761713
I go straight to smg nowadays via the URL, I don’t even bother looking at the catalog
It’s all Zoom Zooms regurgitating the same four memes (we have at least 10 here)
The only board in its fullness I frequent nowadays is /g/, doesn’t have Zoom Zooms because they don’t know how to use any tech that isn’t a black rectangle designed for retarded people to use

[Anonymous No.53762117]

>>53761506
It's not that weird. There's tons of Funko Pops for every franchise under the sun and the looks of the figures are extremely polarizing.

[Anonymous No.53762116]

>>53762064
George Soros made a lot of money trading currencies off a different theory. You can read about it in his book - Alchemy of Money.

Evolution as a general concept is provable, and the same concepts are now being used in AI generation techniques.
Economic theory, on the other hand, is mostly pseudo-scientific bullshit; widely accepted in the same way climate change is widely accepted.

[Anonymous No.53762121]

thoughts on gambling on COIN earnings on Tuesday?

[Anonymous No.53762136]

>>53762121
I'm out but I'm guessing pump on bad earnings

[Anonymous No.53762138]

>>53762082
MCD is the only one that matters. Free fries are the future.

[Anonymous No.53762143]

>>53762121
Calls I presume? I reckon their earnings are gonna be shit, but good forward guidance.

[Anonymous No.53762148]

>>53762041
Currency strength /=/ exchange rate, let’s cut that bullshit out right now, you can have a functionally rising exchange rate and a low currency strength by tightening your monetary supply lower than inflation

I’m aware foreign investors can sell their currency to buy US bonds, I’m not debating that, I’m debating the functionality of borrowing in a foreign currency to sell to a domestic currency to buy bonds, this is functionally an interest rate swap and raises the value of domestic bonds while lowering the value of foreign bonds, meaning this is capped by borrowers willing to keep borrowing domestically at high rates

>the higher rates are the more people want to lend
Who the fuck are going to lend to, demand drives prices up and down not lending. There is ZERO reason to buy a US bond if you believe currency strength will suffer relative to your own currency in the term of the trade and that it will impact bond yields. In this hypothetical situation of yours yields should be going down

This is a fundamental lack of understanding of the bond market anon, if you don’t believe me go buy Turkish bonds, they yield like 13% and I’m sure you’ll be rich in no time

The function of currency strength is always how many people are willing to BUY (borrow) it, if too many people want to SELL it (lend)

[Anonymous No.53762149]

>>53762121
I bought some OTM puts with March expiry. I expect them to bomb earnings, but knowing this market I'm prepared for a retarded stock buying frenzy in response to terrible earnings.

[Anonymous No.53762180]

>>53762121
>>53762136
>>53762149
Also, COIN is extremely high IV.

[Anonymous No.53762217]

>>53762116
do you mean Alchemy of Finance?
and are you talking about his theory of reflexivity?
even reflexivity support this - if enough people think that interest rates are moving higher / that inflation will go higher forcing interest rates higher, it will make the dollar appreciate - regardless of the fundamentals / technicals

>>53762148
>If you don’t believe me go buy Turkish bonds, they yield like 13% and I’m sure you’ll be rich in no time
>>53761708
>If an investor can get a higher yield, at lower risk (exchange rate risk, interest rate risk, geopolitical risk, etc)
No, because it would fail in regards to exchange rate risk, inflation risk, interest rate risk, geopolitical risk - as I already said at the initiation of this discussion
>The function of currency strength is always how many people are willing to BUY (borrow) it, if too many people want to SELL it (lend)
Yes. Interest rates drive demand. Higher interest rates = higher demand for that currency. And again, it isn't the only driver - you also have economic activity (someone needing to buy oil and needing to sell euro to buy dollars)
but interest rates are the main driver

[Anonymous No.53762261]

>>53761917
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=R3ZJKN_5M44

[Anonymous No.53762272]

>>53762217
>even reflexivity support this - if enough people think that interest rates are moving higher / that inflation will go higher forcing interest rates higher, it will make the dollar appreciate - regardless of the fundamentals / technicals
Yes, that's precisely what I'm talking about. I apologize for mistyping the name. But there's more to it than that. The reflexive trend creates a perception of real fundamentals, but eventually it must reconnect with reality. So when you talk about exchange rates moving higher, that's just a temporary state. In the long run, it will unwind.

When you look at DXY over the last 6-8 months, we've already seen all of this. There may be another wave, but it will again be temporary. I'm feeling pretty comfy with the yen I acquired at 150.

[Anonymous No.53762307]

i am just realizing i was basically a bear this entire time benefiting from increasing rate hikes when i was long JXN

got into jxn with value trap mentality, ans only understanding more how it benefits a lot from interest rate hikes, and how fucked i would be if cuts happen before my 2024 calls expire

[Anonymous No.53762337]

>>53762307
JXN doesn't actually benefit from rising rates. They're hedged. It's a recorded GAAP profit but not a real profit. They're just not actively marking down the other side of their books to match.
It's still pretty cheap though.

[Anonymous No.53762342]

>>53762217
>because it would fail in regards to inflation risk and geopolitical risk
Huh, weird, so the shittier a currency is and more likely it is to inflate, the higher it’s bond prices go, almost like demand for that currency decreased

>higher interest rates = higher demand for currency

See this is where you get slaughtered, you came out and said it but it’s provably the opposite, higher rates compared to previous destroy money, and lowers demand for it. The federal reserve lowers rates to stimulate borrowing, stimulating demand for the currency. It’s all on their website, here’s the IMF for you

https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/fandd/issues/Series/Back-to-Basics/Monetary-Policy

What you’re actually describing is a function of the money supply being lowered, foreign borrowers in USD need to pay back debts so the money supply decreases as they buy dollars to pay back debts since they can’t borrow more, decreasing money supply

[Anonymous No.53762349]

>>53762307
They aren’t going to be able to cut rates anytime soon considering we aren’t even restrictive yet. Real rates are still negative.
They could cut, but 100% inflation rebounds immediately unless the unemployment rate goes much higher.
Biden’s open border is also counterproductive to bringing down inflation.

[Anonymous No.53762373]

>>53762342
Sorry correction on that first point, the LOWER it’s bond prices go

[Anonymous No.53762385]

>>53762342
you're still not getting it. look at pic related - also from the IMF
it's about foreign investors increasing their demand for the foreign currency
I am not disagreeing with you that higher interest rates result in lower demand from consumers
What matters is that foreign investors increase their demand for dollars (relative to their currency) as interest rates go up, they decrease their demand (and supply) of their native currencies in order to buy dollars

[Anonymous No.53762437]

business idea: i stop losing money

[Anonymous No.53762440]

We had years of deflationary pressures now it’s going to be years of inflationary pressures that’s just how it is and ordinary people will complain but who cares all this doom and gloom aren’t warranted

[Anonymous No.53762454]

>>53762385
I think the IMF is wrong on this point then. We just went over examples of foreign bonds that go up in rates but the currency depreciates, we’ve seen it happen in Greece, Turkey, Italy. I think it shows a lack of understanding on the IMF’s part of the financialization of economies, every currency borrower is a consumer, even financial institutions who borrow more at lower rates to buy equities. Just because you can get a higher return does not mean you want a higher return, we saw it with the Asian currency crisis as well in ‘97. Apologies but I think your logic is fundamentally faulty, and does not show a holistic understanding of central banking, I think the IMF’s logic is faulty too and the decrease of the monetary supply due to higher rates is the main driver of currency appreciation under high rates regimes, and I think this blatantly obvious by our quest to cut rates for years now and remain the reserve currency.

[Anonymous No.53762469]

I heard some boomer in the store complainer earlier he said this loaf of bread has gone up 50% since Christmas. I felt like just laughing in his face

[Anonymous No.53762493]

>>53762454
>the IMF is wrong
lmao. I'm done. I've offered you multiple sources that explain in detail the dynamic of higher interest rates resulting in increased foreign demand for dollars. you can literally google it yourself and get 1,000,000 articles on it
I have engaged in you with this discussion that the Earth is flat for far too long
If you want to believe the Earth is flat, I won't stop you - I tried
again, it's not just "Is the nation's interest rate higher?" --- investors care about the exchange rate risk, inflation risk, geopolitical risk, interest rate risk, among many others - saying "Well, Turkey has high yields, and their currency blah!" is silly
>Apologies but I think your logic is fundamentally faulty
Anon. It is you who is insisting that the Earth is flat, in spite of investopedia + IMF (and a million other sources, accepted for 100 years in finance) telling you that it is round
I don't know what to tell you if you don't believe investopedia and the IMF - I'm obviously not going to convince you, so this discussion is going nowhere
>pic related, another source saying the same exact thing I have been saying this whole discussion
Please.. just google it
google "higher interest rates move currencies higher foreign investors"

[Anonymous No.53762514]

>>53762493
>>53762454
https://www.bound.co/blog/how-do-interest-rates-affect-exchange-rates
Interest Rates Help to Determine the Value of a Currency
Interest rates are a key factor in determining the value of a currency. If it were possible to remove all of the other elements that contribute to the value of a currency, an increase in the interest rate would cause the value of a currency to rise. Essentially, this is because higher interest rates in a particular currency offer investors (those who buy a currency) a higher return relative to other currencies.
In an idealised example, when interest rates rise, investors are attracted to a currency and invest in it more heavily. As more investors are attracted, demand for the currency increases, and its value goes up.
These flows of investment are known in economics as ‘hot money flows’.
The opposite relationship is true for decreasing interest rates. That is, lower interest rates tend to decrease the value of a currency.

[Anonymous No.53762525]

>>53762493
>the higher the rates, the more foreign investment they’re likely to attract
Yes, because South American shitholes have the strongest most liquid currencies

>please just google it
I don’t need to, I used my brain and deduced you and the IMF are both wrong

[Anonymous No.53762539]

NTDOY is very cyclic. Buying now would be suicidal because it dumps super hard on each odd console release and pumps super hard every even console release. The switch was the latest even release. It will dump until ~1y after the release of not the next console but the one after that.

[Anonymous No.53762544]

I hate everything and most of all myself

[Anonymous No.53762560]

>>53762539
Nintendo is never making another console. They are perfectly comfortable making graphically underwhelming tablet games and charging their customers for old games you can just download for free on PC. Current day Nintendo customers are as bad as apple customers. They'll buy whatever garbage they release without ever complaining.

[Anonymous No.53762565]

>>53762544
Just bee urself ;)

[Anonymous No.53762581]

>>53762560
Agreed partially. I predict the current boss will step down rather soon because he's doing a terrible job, and when that happens nintendo will go back to making consoles. In addition nintendo has the parks now, which could be a pretty big successful venture. Still, now is absolutely not the time to buy.

[Anonymous No.53762606]

>>53762454
>we’ve seen it happen in Greece, Turkey, Italy.
I think one factor you're missing here is expectations. When central banks come and announce rate hikes on a regular schedule, there are already embedded expectations preceding that meeting.

[Anonymous No.53762649]

>>53762606
I don’t think the rate increase schedule has much to do with it, I think it’s more that a country who is attempting to tamp down on wild inflation will get investments in their bonds over countries who do nothing to curb wild inflation. Vastly different investment conditions yes.

But, this sounds like copium from third world poors, if you had a stable currency with lots of foreign investment, you wouldn’t need high rates anyway and could have kept them down at 0 with the rest of the first world currency chads. I think it’s copium from anon and the IMF that high rates helps your currency strength, as seemingly the most important thing is to just draw the rest of the fucking owl and have a stable monetary supply

[Anonymous No.53762671]

>>53762649
>I think it’s copium from anon and the IMF
You're retarded. It is not just the IMF and me saying this. It is a million people, widely accepted as fact, for 100 years saying this. Again, if you would just google
"higher interest rates move currencies higher foreign investors" and read even 1 article, you would quickly see that you are wrong.
You're a special kind of retard, to where it blows my mind, where someone would even say
>I DON'T NEED TO GOOGLE IT, BECAUSE I KNOW I'M RIGHT BY LOGIC
You're retarded.

[Anonymous No.53762698]

>>53762581
Wrong, they don't "have" the parks. CMCSA (Comcast) has them. All NTDOY did was lease the IP out so CMCSA could make use of it. The winner in this case is CMCSA. The same exact setup as the whole Harry Potter themed stuff. So saying NTDOY owns the parks is laughable. CMCSA rakes in most of the profits and gives tiny fraction to NTDOY.

[Anonymous No.53762705]

>>53762671
I actually don’t need to google it though. Money is supply and demand, my final analysis is literally that you are a brainlet and that this is actual cope from the IMF telling poor countries that they can’t just have 0% rates and also have 20% inflation, that those numbers need to match if they want free gibs from investment banks. Like functionally yes I get how high rates can spur investment, but in a country like the US where the demand for your currency is entirely based on the rest of the world needing it, basing your rate hikes off how likely Japan is to reinvest in your bonds seems like fucking cope, they will buy it because they’ve borrowed x3 that amount in USD and need the dollars to pay that debt

[Anonymous No.53762752]

VIX up 10% in more than a day. Means there is a 85% chance we get a bounce on Tuesday. Interesting BTC already priced it in...

[Anonymous No.53762764]

I've found this rates/inflation topic to be one of the more insightful discussions I've had on /biz/ in a while, but it is starting to move in circles. There's no need to degrade to pure insults. There's nothing to be gained if you're too caught up in your own preconceptions.

[Anonymous No.53762793]

>>53762764
if someone actually says
>I DON'T NEED TO GOOGLE IT, BECAUSE I KNOW I'M RIGHT BY LOGIC
they deserve to be called a fucking retard
I offered 4+ sources corroborating my argument, stayed civil the entire discussion, until this was said
If someone is not willing to do a simple google search, that would instantly inform them how they are wrong, they're fucking retarded

[Anonymous No.53762806]

Did I miss the boat on self-storage REITs? PSA looks like a pretty easy trade back to 52 week highs if you have the patience for it.

Also, what is really concerning about the credit card “bubble” is that there isn’t really a path towards it popping that I can see. You have to be really fucked if you can’t even make your minimum payments on a card, maybe I just don’t understand credit cards but the people that are also getting blasted are the people with “Credit One” 30% apr cards and not people rocking a premium card. So this problem probably never goes away.

[Anonymous No.53762828]

>>53762793
Sorry, don’t need to google it. Listen to the IMF, eat the bugs, buy Brazilian debt for 40% because their currency is great

[Anonymous No.53762837]

>>53762437
Cuban: “BRILLIANT!”
O’Leary: “You have no business plan and I don’t see how this makes ME a return on investment”

[Anonymous No.53762888]

>>53762806
>there isn’t really a path towards it popping that I can see
https://www.cnbc.com/2023/02/16/consumer-debt-hits-record-16point9-trillion-as-delinquencies-rise-as-well.html
>FEB 16 2023
>Consumer debt hits record $16.9 trillion as delinquencies also rise
>“Although historically low unemployment has kept consumers’ financial footing generally strong, stubbornly high prices and climbing interest rates may be testing some borrowers’ ability to repay their debts,” he added.
https://youtu.be/Z1GHWzhZGlU
>inb4 attacking van metre instead of the data being discussed

[Anonymous No.53762902]

Why cant you borrow shares from yourself to short? You could be long in one account and short in another, be delta neutral and have no borrow costs, and be able to write options against either. Yet...

[Anonymous No.53762909]

I love this old man like you wouldnt believe.

[Anonymous No.53762946]

>>53762698
I doubt Nintendo has any idea how to run a park, so just collecting royalties sounds reasonable. Same with the upcoming Mario film someone else produced.

[Anonymous No.53762973]

>>53762514
>>53762525
High interest rates are a form of compensation for risk. The USD was basically risk free for decades. South Africa or whatever shithole has a 10 or 20% rate because of the risk involved

[Anonymous No.53763000]

>>53762307
>>53762337
How do you find out how a company is hedged? 10Ks?

[Anonymous No.53763032]

>>53762888
I’m just saying that with how credit cards are structured as a revolving line of credit, it is structurally hard for some sort of doomsday scenario versus auto and mortgages as the article points out.

>Mortgage loans considered in “serious delinquency” of 90 days or more rose to a rate of 0.57%, still low but nearly double where they were from the year prior. Auto loan debt delinquencies rose 0.6 percentage point to 2.2%, while credit card debt jumped 0.8 percentage point to 4%.

[Anonymous No.53763091]

>>53762909
For me its Soros

[Anonymous No.53763209]

I'm an alcohol.

[Anonymous No.53763212]

>>53762973
>high interest rates are a form of compensation for risk
Yes, and as the “risk free rate” the risk you are taking with them is inflation risk, which is derived from monetary supply

[Anonymous No.53763214]

Sigh relaxing day. Did my duty as a DIS shareholder and voted. Annual meeting docs arrived in my inbox. Gonna go see the new Ant man movie later today.

[Anonymous No.53763223]

>>53763032
the doomsday scenario is that we see a sharp rise in the unemployment rate
we're at all time high debt, at ~19% interest rates, the savings rate is in the absolute gutter
when the recession hits and causes a spike in unemployment, all of these people who have been putting themselves in massive debt buying groceries / gas will not be able to pay back their loans
it only takes a small number for it to cause a default crisis / put the banks underwater

[Anonymous No.53763239]

i just gained $30K because i decided i will NOT buy a new car, i will instead keep using my 2009 shitbox

at least until my portfolio becomes big enough that dividends far exceed car payments

[Anonymous No.53763264]

>>53763214
Who did you vote for?

[Anonymous No.53763302]

>>53763264
Well I voted no on all the shareholder proposals. Yes to everything else.

[Anonymous No.53763337]

>>53763239
Hey long as it runs and gets you around ok that's all that maters. Screw how it looks. Wife drives a 2001 Malibu. Car looks pretty decent still despite bring over 20 years old. Runs good to. She won't get rid of it. Hey works for me. I drive a 2014 Corolla. I plan to keep it till it dies. Which will be a long time. (under 75k miles on it)

[Anonymous No.53763413]

>>53759919
VOO? Isn't that the crab savings account I heard about? Okay.

[Anonymous No.53763419]

>>53763337
I'm zoomer brained and can't drive without 360 camera, backup camera, blind-spot detection, automatic cruise control, lane-keep assist, brake assist, digital speedometer, and Android Auto.

[Anonymous No.53763440]

>>53763419

[Anonymous No.53763465]

>>53763413
>average annual return of around 10%
>crabs
Holy fuck inflation is crazy

[Anonymous No.53763524]

>>53762437
How does this make me rich?

[Anonymous No.53763577]

>>53763465
I hope you’re right GOING FORWARD. My 401k is 100% VOO (whatever the 401k version is called) and I've got 33 shares in my tiny ROTH I’m 20 years behind on…

[Anonymous No.53763585]

How can I invest in this prime craze?

[Anonymous No.53763593]

>>53763337
i want a toyota gr86, i want to have fun while driving

if mazda had gone through with their plans for a mazda6 rwd i would have wanted that too since the gr86 stands out too much and i am getting older

[Anonymous No.53763597]

I dunno if I'll hike my 401k contributions anymore or just let it ride from here on till I have to take money out at age 72. Based on conservative return I'll be pulling down well over what I need a year to live from (even with inflation) and that would last me 40+ years. Which hey I'd be dead before it ran out. Then add my pension. Another year's worth of income from that alone. Which comes in till I die as well. So ho hum. Is there such a thing as to much green? I dunno but hey least I won't have to worry about anything.

[Anonymous No.53763626]

>>53760399
>>53760411
the top is in

[Anonymous No.53763651]

Well, I officially finished off the last of the cheap toilet paper that I bought by mistake last year. I will be shorting KR for not clearly labeling which of their store brand toilet paper is single ply and feels like sandpaper, and which is multi-ply and feels comfy

[Anonymous No.53763656]

>TSLA is the most manipulated stock
>but only when it goes down!
this is what Tesla bulls unironically believe.

[Anonymous No.53763659]

>dotcom bubble didnt bottom until after 911
>SP500 went up after 911 in bulltrap

Reminder that cash gang bobos are right and the exit pumps this year are bulltraps. Just wait for another 911 type event then wait 2 years for some big conflict to start.

>inb4 covid was 911 event and QE was the super bubble cope

[Anonymous No.53763675]

>>53763656
keep these screenshots coming

[Anonymous No.53763702]

>>53763577
Traditional 401k option is called VFIAX. Same thing as VOO. That's what 70% of mine is. 30% is the balanced fund (stocks & bonds). Stay away from anything with "Target" in the name. Your % gains will be puny, you'd give up more in fees in the long run compared to just VFIAX or anything really.

[Anonymous No.53763725]

>>53763702
Voya app shows this.

[Anonymous No.53763746]

bow down to the king of slop
i'm not even sure you can call it that because it's owned by based people and they use all natural ingredients

[Anonymous No.53763752]

>>53763746
Never seen them in Texas.

[Anonymous No.53763754]

>>53763746
Coal and oil are also natural

[Anonymous No.53763763]

>>53762698
Fucking really? What in the fuck. That downgrades NTDOY from a 'wait' to a 'short' as far as I'm concerned.

[Anonymous No.53763766]

>>53763593
I'm kinda scared of RWDs cause of how slippery they are in video games

[Anonymous No.53763771]

What’s with the DOLE shilling?

[Anonymous No.53763773]

>>53759964
this

[Anonymous No.53763790]

AI is fine. It's fine!

[Anonymous No.53763819]

>>53763771
>people talk about a good stock pick
>it goes up and is funny
>”w-what’s with t-the shilling????”

You guys are bananas. Total fruit cakes. Smg isn’t a doomer bear cult. We DO talk about stocks occasionally.

[Anonymous No.53763823]

>>53763746
>based people/Seattle
Don’t you risk getting shot by joggers on Capital Hill eating here?

[Anonymous No.53763825]

>>53763771
it's literally one guy shilling it who is here 24/7
his arguments for why he likes it is
>it has a 3% dividend

[Anonymous No.53763828]

>>53763766
yeah, you definitely have to be more careful due to shit like lift off oversteer

seems incredibly common for retard drivers on mustang to somehow oversteer and crash on a straight empty road

BRZ (and the miata as well) are RWD cars that are supposedly fun to drive under the speed limit, maybe i'd know for sure if car dealers start being desperate for buyers
cars have all been bought sight unseen in this shitty provicne for past few years, still months if not more than year wait time for some cars

[Anonymous No.53763832]

>>53763790
No, its not. AI must be destroyed.

[Anonymous No.53763837]

>>53763823
they expanded into the suburbs
and yes, based people. they're still family owned. sound transit wanted to put the nigger mover 5000 right through where they had just built a new restaurant and they forced them to reroute

[Anonymous No.53763845]

>>53763419
Other than blind-spot light and digital speedo, why the fuck would you want any of that bull shit in your car

>lane keep assist
hey here's a hot tip. learn to drive.

[Anonymous No.53763848]

>>53763763
imo it's never worth it to hold NTDOY purely because of foreign taxes on the dividends, it's also an income play with their divvy (thats what japanese ivnestors like) but because we're gaijin, our risk-reward is shittier

wanted NTDOY before until i realized the reward is shit for us, we have better options that arent gimped

[Anonymous No.53763887]

>>53763825
Don’t tell him about Telia.

[Anonymous No.53763930]

>>53763651
last year (different store) I bought a bunch of garbage bags because there was a two-for-one thing ON TOP of a sale price. I have about four years worth of trash bags in my cabinet.

[Anonymous No.53763932]

>>53763825
>it’s one guy
Kek.
You’re bananas. Plenty of us are in Dole and nobody cares about some shitty dividend.
You’re too schizophrenic to make money.

[Anonymous No.53763985]

>>53763932
>nobody cares about some shitty dividend.
>>53748838
>>53748786
>>53728866
>>53748981
uh huh.
>Plenty of us
then it's you, and the original shill - congrats

[Anonymous No.53763995]

Anyone (unironically) roleplaying theyre a degen in a successful startup and redirecting all the economically negative bear energy like its the 1980s all over again right before the next major legs up in technology that pushes the envelope on upper limits?
>Asset Bubble Deflation

Lets freaking going Millennials, its our time

https://youtu.be/17CwZmI8mUQ

[Anonymous No.53764012]

>>53763985
“T-then it’s you!
You are the shill”

I don’t know why I bother. You’ll miss you on DOLE just like you missed out on SKYT.

[Anonymous No.53764061]

>>53764012
>reading comprehension
you AND the original shill
>comparing a banana company to a semiconductor company
I will gladly miss out on DOLE; you and the original shill are very annoying with your shilling of DOLE - it is just shitty redd*t tier banana memes
if either of you were able to formulate why you are long DOLE, outside of "WAOOOW 3% dividend!" we're all ears

[Anonymous No.53764071]

What are we watching for movie night?

[Anonymous No.53764083]

>>53763848
It's a good play if you do the "every other console" cycle but with current poor management and the park situation, it doesn't look so hot anymore.

[Anonymous No.53764090]

Why is Heinz seemingly undervalued?

[Anonymous No.53764096]

>>53764071
George of the Jungle 8, George's Hysterectomy

[Anonymous No.53764101]

>>53764071
Beaches

[Anonymous No.53764125]

>>53764096
>>53764101
EXCUSE ME
This is a serious question requiring SERIOUS answers

[Anonymous No.53764126]

>>53764090
Buffet himself admitted he overpaid for Kraft and it came with too much debt. The Kraft Heinz merger was apparently a shit thing to do.

[Anonymous No.53764137]

>>53764090
in what way do you think it is undervalued?
genuinely curious
https://finviz.com/quote.ashx?t=KHC&ty=c&ta=1&p=d

[Anonymous No.53764142]

SEC to begin monitoring and database ALL stock trades in real time

https://reason.com/2023/02/17/the-sec-is-starting-a-massive-database-of-every-stock-trade/

[Anonymous No.53764166]

>>53764142
The IRS needs to stop making us file taxes. They already have all the information they need fuck.

[Anonymous No.53764171]

>>53764090
The ketchup market is untapped and ready to explode. Soon people will be having ketchup with every meal. Chicken, broccoli, fudge, and all the rest.

[Anonymous No.53764185]

>>53764166
They want to. But the entire "industry" of tax prep keeps blocking it.
And that industry is filled to bursting with middle management boomers.

[Anonymous No.53764193]

i don't know what's going to happen over the next year. this is financial advice

[Anonymous No.53764238]

>>53764125
How about “Blue Crush”?

[Anonymous No.53764279]

>>53764171
I don’t hate eating ketchup as much as I hate the thought of eating ketchup. It’s just something that poor people seem to enjoy over indulging in and perhaps it’s a reason they are poor. I avoid it as much as I can.

[Anonymous No.53764284]

>>53764137
The TTM PE is 20, they seem to be slowly paying off debt, revenues are stable.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=NASDAQ%3AKHC

Also book value per share is 40? Also muh DCF.

[Anonymous No.53764291]

>>53763771
Look out for their posts saying to meme the stock up. Or anything that references bananas. Reddit did it 2 years ago they think they can capitalize on the wave again. Rather sad.

[Anonymous No.53764295]

>>53764166
Yes - instead the approach is "you tell us what you owe, but if you fuck up prepare your bussy". Same in the UK.

[Anonymous No.53764296]

>>53764142
No more WSB short squeeze mania

Retail traders can only put money into the slot machine but get nothing back

[Anonymous No.53764304]

>>53764291
What was with the random gap up on 31st Jan?

[Anonymous No.53764326]

>>53764284
Seems like a solid stock that’s crabbing its way upwards. Nice dividend that isn’t killing the company like INTC.

>>53764291
>look out for any posts mentioning bananas
Fucken kek

[Anonymous No.53764325]

>>53764296
What pisses me off, is that the SEC nigger rules on day trading apply to me if I use a US broker, even though I'm not a burger. Sucks because TastyTrade is one of the best brokers for options. IBKR make you suck their dick to get permissions.

[Anonymous No.53764358]

>>53764142
isn't that just the order book?

[Anonymous No.53764367]

>>53764358
That doesn't have personnel information

[Anonymous No.53764369]

TESTING NIGGAS JUST TESTING

[Anonymous No.53764377]

>>53764071
hopefully something with hot babes

[Anonymous No.53764386]

>>53764326
Daaaaaaaay-oh
Daaaaaaaay-oh
Day light come and me won go home.

[Anonymous No.53764393]

I WOULD'VE WARNED YA'LL ABOUT THE MARKET TAKIN A SHIT BUT JANNIES AND TRANNIES BANNED ME MY NIGGAS, FUCK THEM NIGGAS FOR BEING JEALOUS

[Anonymous No.53764404]

>>53764142
So what they are saying is that soon (once that info is leaked/sold) any profitable trader will be profiled & have doppleganger algos frontrunning every single trade fucking them over.
>Get back in the cage wagies

[Anonymous No.53764412]

>>53764393
Maybe tone down the racisms a bit.

[Anonymous No.53764440]

>>53764412
FUCK NO NIGGA, IF THEM JANNIES AND TRANNIES HAD LOSSES BECAUSE THEY WANTED TO BAN ME AND NOT GET WARNINGS, THEN FUCK 'EM.

[Anonymous No.53764447]

>>53764412
>be me in school in the 90s
>principal makes a huge deal about unearthing a time capsule from the 50s that was buried at school
>it has a pack of 'Darkie toothpaste' with a minstrel on it

[Anonymous No.53764526]

BUT ANYWAYS, THANKS FOR BEING BAG HOLDERS YA'LL ARE GONNA MAKE IT.

[Anonymous No.53764529]

https://boards.4channel.org/biz/thread/5376452553764525
>>53764525
>>53764525
>>53764525

[Anonymous No.53764533]

>shorts are printing

[Anonymous No.53764541]

>>53764526
Are these day trades?

[Anonymous No.53764562]

>>53764541
YES NIGGA

[Anonymous No.53764595]

>>53764526

[Anonymous No.53764598]

>>53764526
>>53764541
>>53764562
stop shilling this shit nigga your giving away the secrets now. if they realize it's not a meme and works then it they will all do it and it will stop working