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2023-11: Warosu is now out of extended maintenance.

/biz/ - Business & Finance

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52954850 No.52954850 [Reply] [Original]

>Fed raising rates non stop
>About to experience record unemployment in 2023
>Duuurr this is the bottom slurp golden bullrun

Serious question are you a fucking retard or do you just want to fuck over fellow anons?

>> No.52954865

>>52954850
we're trying to save you from the fate of bobos in 2018

>> No.52954877

It’s going to get way way way fucking worse. Usually it takes a while for massive rate increases to have an impact. I’d say the crash will happen in February.

>> No.52955104

>>52954850
Philly fed lied about jobs and revised down 1.09 million jobs created. What makes you think the fed will keep raising?

>> No.52955137
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52955137

I didn't say it was the bottom you retard I said we're gonna have one last failed rally for christmas before things go way down again in january. That's why it's called a santa rally, because after the 25th, you throw the cake out.

>> No.52955188

>>52954850
>Fed raising rates non stop
unironically not true, there will be 0.5% more AT MOST

then we go to pivottown straight back to 0.1%

>> No.52955210

Im not sure. It seems like everyone now “knows” for sure that the final big crash is coming. Macro environment looks like shit but can change really quickly. I can see us just crabbing / going slightly lower through q1. Powells job is to keep talking tough on rates, and then he can always pivot in ‘23, citing that the data permits for it. I know I know he said he wouldnt until ‘24.

3 or 4 more reports showing cooled CPI and a few higher than expected unemployment reports could have us in a very different sentiment come q2 ‘23. I think a lot of people expecting a 2008 style crash are going to be disappointed.

>> No.52956313

>>52954850
It's crazy how behind the curve this board is

>> No.52956379

>>52955210
A reasonable take?

Gtfo of here

>> No.52956536

>>52954850
/biz/ bobos are going to perfectly time the market and so is everyone else waiting for 10k BTC and below. they will all get rewarded for being expert financial analysts with their ears on the heartbeat of our economy. Yes, this is exactly how it's going to play out.

>> No.52956544

>>52954850
>are you a fucking retard

yes, I am

>> No.52956552

>>52955137
what fucking rally?

>> No.52956563

>>52956552
>one week ago all the mumus saying only up until january
>now all the bobos saying only down until january
>me, saying there will be a rally and then a dump
You guys literally don't want to understand the market at all.

>> No.52956574

>>52955137
yea it looks bullish for the next two days and bearish from four to eight

>> No.52956666

>>52954850
>or do you just want to fuck over fellow anons?

It's this. /biz/ is a mess

>> No.52956688

>>52954850
We’re getting a bull run in February but it’s not gonna touch the ATH’s. The Fed will pause rate hikes and we’ll crack up. The market will eventually dump back lower than it’s at now, but don’t get too euphoric bobro

>> No.52956792

All of you fags are talking out of your ass.

>> No.52956832
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52956832

>>52954850
just keep tightening into the most inverted yield curve ever

>> No.52956862

>>52955104
The fact Jerome not only said he’s going to keep raising but he’s ‘not even going to think about thinking about cutting rates anytime soon’

>> No.52956888
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52956888

>everyone’s bull thesis ITT is muh pivot
Holy shit hahahahahshahahahaha

>> No.52956899
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52956899

>>52956888
they didn't look at the dot plot

>> No.52956929

>>52956688
>The market will eventually dump back lower than it’s at now
This is going to fuck so many people over if they sell to buy back lower and it just keeps going up. I can feel the seething now.

>> No.52956940

>>52956899
What happens when she kicks anyone with arms and they catch the first one?

>> No.52956952
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52956952

>>52956940
what about the second foot?

>> No.52956955

>>52956940
They grab her foot and suck her toes

>> No.52956968

>>52956952
>looks like HOГИ is back on the menu boys

>> No.52957137

>>52956862
That was before the jobs report was overstated by literally 110,000%

>> No.52957229

>>52957137
It’s not the only metric they’re basing decisions on

>> No.52957235

>>52955188
That's not the point. The point is Powell intends to keep high interest rates throughout minimum most of 2023. This leads to the Bullwhip effect - interest rate hikes don't destabilise the economy overnight.

>> No.52957370

>>52954850
Are you asking if there are jews and retards on /biz/? The answer is yes.

>> No.52957924

>>52954850
We’re closer to the bottom than you realize, but Powell will eventually stop raising rates and pause. That itself will cause a large market rally, and we’ll likely see uglier markets in Q3 2023 or later. The fed will only pivot once our economy is in shambles, not a moment before.

>> No.52958472

>>52954850
skill issue

>> No.52959081

>>52954850
Priced in
Also two more weeks