/smg/ - Stock Market General

[Anonymous No.52353821]

>Brokers
https://pastebin.com/F1yujtVq
https://brokerchooser.com/

>Stock market words:
https://pastebin.com/VtnpN5iJ

>Risk management:
https://pastebin.com/sqJUcbjp

>Financials podcasts/channels
https://www.youtube.com/c/CameronStewartCFA - Fundamendals analysis
https://www.youtube.com/user/BenzingaTV - Various themed livestreams
https://www.youtube.com/user/KitcoNews - Mainly PMs and crypto

>Live Streams:
http://www.livenewson.com/american/bloomberg-television-business.html
https://watchnewslive.tv/watch-cnbc-live-stream-free-24-7/

>Educational sites:
https://www.investopedia.com/
https://www.khanacademy.org/economics-finance-domain
https://www.thebalance.com/

>Free charts:
https://www.tradingview.com
https://www.finscreener.com/
https://www.koyfin.com/

>Screeners:
https://finviz.com/
https://www.tradingview.com/screener
https://etfdb.com/

>Pre-Market Data and Live data:
https://www.investing.com/indices/indices-futures
https://finance.yahoo.com/

>Bio-pharma Catalyst Calendar:
https://biopharmcatalyst.com

>Boomer Investing 101:
https://www.bogleheads.org/wiki/Getting_started

>Dividend Reinvestment (DRIP) calculator:
https://www.dividendchannel.com/drip-returns-calculator/

>List of hedge fund holdings:
https://fintel.io/

>Misc:
https://squeezemetrics.com/monitor
https://market24hclock.com/
https://tradingeconomics.com
https://wallmine.com/
https://tikr.com/

Previous:

>>52350926

[Anonymous No.52353835]

Pay tribute

Many Bobo souls were sacrificed to summon our God

[Anonymous No.52353859]

>>52353835
lmao I knew the bull was chosen for Moloch.

[Anonymous No.52353864]

>>52353821
Imagine not buying semis

[Anonymous No.52353872]

>pasts

[Anonymous No.52353876]

>futures

welp there it goes

https://youtube.com/shorts/W5pSNfkX_kU?feature=share

[Anonymous No.52353884]

>>52353864
my UMC printed big time, I knew the china taiwan thing was a nothingburger, those chinks don't even know which way to hold a rifle

[Anonymous No.52353916]

>futures

[Anonymous No.52353917]

>>52353821
THANK GOD FOR DEAD BEARS
ALL BEARS DESERVE MASS GRAVES

[Anonymous No.52353930]

I'm thinking of diversifying my portfolio to include physical beans and rice. Is now the time to buy or should I put it off so I can afford a big sack?

[Anonymous No.52353938]

>>52353884
I learned from getting fucked by soxl, tripled levered breakdown heavy on red days. Held my 60p soxs nov 18 puts from sept.
Lost a ton last week on QC0M. Making it back.

I took profits on soxl kinda early today but no sweat

[Anonymous No.52353958]

>>52353916
which animoo is this

[Anonymous No.52353964]

last thread I had a pink ID and it annoyed me. I need the retard rally to get SPY to 410

[Anonymous No.52353988]

>>52353876
I liked that enough to create a webm for you

[Anonymous No.52353995]

>>52353930
Now is a good time. Personally, I feel good about having two weeks of food and water should something happen.

[Anonymous No.52353999]

Blue line says all. This is a correction drop, not a recession drop.

[Anonymous No.52354000]

Arizona is moving slower than frozen dogshit.

[Anonymous No.52354012]

>>52353917
m-my dollars are with good mattresses
They Will Come Back

>>52353958
Akiba Maid War aka the AOTS

[Anonymous No.52354027]

>>52353999
in a normal market when it stretches fare above the line, it goes far below it. You should be concerned at how long it has been above the blue line and how high it went recently

[Anonymous No.52354045]

>>52354000
election fortification takes time, sweaty

[Anonymous No.52354047]

>futes

[Anonymous No.52354050]

lmao biden's plant to forgive loans got cancelled by a judge.

Bearish for stocks?

[Anonymous No.52354051]

>>52353999
Checked.

[Anonymous No.52354067]

>>52353988
thanks youtube downloader fucking sucks lately.

[Anonymous No.52354070]

>>52353999
>the absolute state of bulltards

[Anonymous No.52354076]

>>52354050
Should be good, the fed already said that more spending will lead to more rate hikes

[Anonymous No.52354087]

>>52353864
what are those? puts?

[Anonymous No.52354092]

>>52354050
I think it's the opposite. Means less money is gonna go around which will slow down inflation and we all saw how desperate this market is for good news

[Anonymous No.52354096]

>>52354070
you deserve to have your head chopped off for your crime of bearish sentiment

[Anonymous No.52354117]

I miss him bros...

[Anonymous No.52354123]

So are we gonna take an absolutely monstrous shit tomorrow? I don't think I've ever gone up 28% in a day before

[Anonymous No.52354141]

>>52354117
one of the best treasury secretaries of the last 70 years

[Anonymous No.52354148]

>>52354123
>We

[Anonymous No.52354151]

Tomorrow is going to be the most violent crabbing imaginable. Many will watch the charts all day, just for nothing to happen.

[Anonymous No.52354155]

>>52354123
Gaps like to get filled (ask your mom about that).
But could still go up after.

[Anonymous No.52354164]

>>52354123
No, we might have some profit taking after 2pm for the weekend though

[Anonymous No.52354166]

>>52354148
I'm calling it. Dump and retrace right up until CPI. Fuckin December 13th

[Anonymous No.52354179]

WHY THE FUCK DOES IT TAKE SO LONG

[Anonymous No.52354193]

>>52354012
this looks like possibly the worst show I've ever seen. Starting binge watch

[Anonymous No.52354205]

>>52354179
lol because they don't trust you
also
>CAD

[Anonymous No.52354207]

>>52354179
>CAD

[Anonymous No.52354213]

>>52354166
everyone, please forget that we pumped today and instruct all your friends and family to forget as well. if we all forget it pumped there can't be a correction :)

[Anonymous No.52354267]

>>52354179
>WHY THE FUCK DOES IT TAKE SO LONG

[Anonymous No.52354271]

>>52354070
People don't understand truly how parabolic 2020/2021 was. We went from clown levels of overvalued to more normal levels of overvalued today.

[Anonymous No.52354280]

>>52354166
It'll be earlier than that. Surely Jerome is going to say something to spook the markets between now and then. Always happens.

[Anonymous No.52354285]

>>52354050
>lmao biden's plant to forgive loans got cancelled by a judge.
On one hand it's nice to see justice prevail for once, and all these zoomers that thought they'd actually get 10-20k for free can now experience the same hardships that everyone older has already dealt with, and that everyone in school today will someday deal with. It's a rare victory for fairness and equality.
On the other hand, these fuckers have already gotten nearly 3 years interest free thanks to the covid pause, and I'm sure that'll just be extended. Considering nearly 20% inflation since covid lockdowns began, all of them have already gotten a massive bailout on their loans, but they're so fucking greedy they don't even see the handout they've been given. They still want more.
Get a fucking job. Repay your debts.

[Anonymous No.52354368]

>>52354285
How much free money did you get during COVID, anon? Don't talk about fairness and equality and bitch about zoomers when you've probably gobbled up government dollars like a nigger for the past 3 years.

[Anonymous No.52354390]

>>52354179
oof, the U.S. Automated Clearing House isn't any better

[Anonymous No.52354391]

>>52354000
safe and secure

[Anonymous No.52354411]

>>52354280
Retail investors absolutely will not listen to him. They're going to keep fueling these rallies and getting dumped on until they're broke and can't do it anymore; regardless of what Jerome says or does.

[Anonymous No.52354419]

>>52354285
Equality is evil, anon. It's neither true nor desirable.

[Anonymous No.52354453]

>>52354419
I fucking hate that word and all the mouth breathers that exhort it as a virtue. from the moment a man is born it is his purpose in life to make himself as unequal to his fellows as he morally can

[Anonymous No.52354467]

>>52353999
so far

[Anonymous No.52354473]

>>52354453
>morally

[Anonymous No.52354475]

>>52354368
I filed my taxes a month early like a responsible person. My previous year's returns would have entitled me to all those 'rona bux. Instead I got NOTHING. All those other responsible people that lived within their means and played by the books just get cheated and cheated and have to make up for all the schmucks that don't have their shit together and I HATE IT!

[Anonymous No.52354484]

>>52354419
Forcing equality of outcomes is bad.
Equality of inputs is good and fair. The strongest survive, and they obtain everything.

Cancelling loan debt is a (bad) attempt to create equality of outcomes - the outcome being that overleveraged student loan debtors are put on a more equal level with those who worked hard to pay off their debts.

[Anonymous No.52354486]

>>52354285
>On one hand it's nice to see justice prevail for once, and all these zoomers that thought they'd actually get 10-20k for free can now experience the same hardships that everyone older has already dealt with, and that everyone in school today will someday deal with. It's a rare victory for fairness and equality.
>On the other hand, these fuckers have already gotten nearly 3 years interest free thanks to the covid pause, and I'm sure that'll just be extended. Considering nearly 20% inflation since covid lockdowns began, all of them have already gotten a massive bailout on their loans, but they're so fucking greedy they don't even see the handout they've been given. They still want more.
>Get a fucking job. Repay your debts

[Anonymous No.52354498]

>>52354411

Everyone is so desperate for profits that retail is going to keep on strongarming this market into rallies until they run out of money.
This is the result of most people having a trading experience only in the buy the dip markets. Many don't genuinely know what a downturn even looks like.
Jerome could come out tomorrow and say
>Look here dipshits
>I'm going to keep on raising rates until we're at +8%
>This market cannot survive it
>I'm destroying this fucker with no survivors

And week later people would be talking about the upcoming santa rally.

[Anonymous No.52354519]

>>52354473
I mean violence and breaking the 10 commandments, not some nebulous concept of fairness

[Anonymous No.52354522]

When is Jpow's term up?

[Anonymous No.52354527]

>>52354498
SANTA RALLY WHOOOOO

[Anonymous No.52354530]

>>52354368
it's different when I do it, i'm based

[Anonymous No.52354535]

>>52354498
>santa rally
>santa always wears red

[Anonymous No.52354545]

>>52354498
FUCK YEAH SANTA RALLY

[Anonymous No.52354565]

>>52354519
uh huh,okay

[Anonymous No.52354587]

>>52353821
just admit it bobos

there is no legendary financial crisis right around the hecking corner

it was priced in too heavily by normie media and internet finance fags, it isnt happening.

[Anonymous No.52354601]

>>52354368
I received approximately $3400 from stimulus checks. I did complain about their existence at the time, but I'm not going to actively avoid it. I was more vocal about the enhanced unemployment shit that was paying some people more than their actually salaries.
As an individual, I strive to take advantage of any loophole to get ahead. That doesn't mean I support their existence.
There should not have been an income limit for the stimulus checks. In particular, Biden's $1400 (which was promised to be 2k) had a harsh income cap falloff between 75-80k level that essentially meant anyone at 75k income was receiving the same post-tax income as someone making 80k. That's pretty absurd.

[Anonymous No.52354614]

>>52354368
i got over 100k lol suck it losers

[Anonymous No.52354624]

what's prop trading like, would they fire me for having a -20% portfolio

[Anonymous No.52354628]

>>52354498
What? Who said Santa rally?

What calls do I buy??

[Anonymous No.52354638]

You’ll notice people stopped talking about UBI after the disaster that was the covid stimulus checks lol

[Anonymous No.52354656]

>>52354498
WAIT DID SOMEONE SAY SANTA RALLY? I SAW IT ON REDDIT AND IT GOT 10K UPVOTES

[Anonymous No.52354661]

>>52354587
You mumus are being blessed with the most slow-motion stock market crash in history. And you're somehow still going to let yourselves get crushed.

[Anonymous No.52354664]

>>52354638
The problem is society isnt setup for UBI though. If we had decent housing situation it would be fine, but we do not. Probably need some sort of state assigned feeding program too to plan food prices reliably. Like bugs lol.

[Anonymous No.52354686]

>>52354522
I think 2024 unless Biden makes him step down

[Anonymous No.52354700]

>>52354661
It's a recession with too much leverage. It's not a crisis. Accept you were wrong. I'm not saying buy, because this could still unwind further, but the whole burry-tier end of the world autism for the last fucking decade was retarded and wrong.

It ain't happening.

[Anonymous No.52354702]

>>52354686
>unless biden makes him step down
who would even replace powell though?

[Anonymous No.52354718]

>what are you buying when you make it?

[Anonymous No.52354721]

>SANTA CLAUS RALLY

[Anonymous No.52354729]

>>52354664
I don’t disagree, I’ve just noticed much less talk about a UBI system when it was so fucking popular for years after 3 measly checks crashed the global economy.

I think a UBI could work as is, I just think redditors are fucking retards that don’t realize what actual rock bottom income living would be like.

[Anonymous No.52354730]

when is bobo going to realize he missed the generational bottom again?

[Anonymous No.52354733]

>>52354702
Yellen? Idk it's just an (unlikely) scenario if Biden admits they can't get inflation under control and they need a scapegoat

[Anonymous No.52354736]

>>52354587
>spacing
opinion discarded

[Anonymous No.52354742]

>SANTA CLAUS DUMP

[Anonymous No.52354747]

>>52354664
>everyone has UBI bux
>no one goes to make anything
>no one goes to sell anything
>everything closes down
>everyone who doesn't grow their own food dies
based

[Anonymous No.52354749]

>>52354587
Back to back 5% inflation years has driven up the bottom line for a crash.

[Anonymous No.52354752]

feels a lot like 08 lately

[Anonymous No.52354753]

>>52354702

[Anonymous No.52354757]

>>52354729
>I think a UBI could work as is, I just think redditors are fucking retards that don’t realize what actual rock bottom income living would be like.

[Anonymous No.52354778]

>told you to buy China (FXI) and 21 is the absolute bottom
>probably no one here did
Why do you guys ignore free money even when someone offers you the knowledge to obtain it?

[Anonymous No.52354783]

>>52354736
>>52354749
>either zero argument or retarded priced in bullshit
hahahahah the bobocope is exquisite

[Anonymous No.52354791]

UBI is literally just a subsidy for low wage labour.
What makes it different from unemployment bennies is that you also get it whilst working.
Unemployment bennies compete with shitty jobs and help push wages/productivity up.
UBI subsidises shitty jobs and pushes wages down.

The end state of UBI is it getting inflated away until it's not enough to live on (because otherwise people wouldn't work) and people needing UBI + a low wage job to survive.
It's like those Walmart employees that need food stamps and housing benefits to survive, in the big picture the only winner is Walmart.

[Anonymous No.52354795]

>>52354729
UBI can't work until 10% of people are structurally unemployed by muh robots and food and other basic necessities that suffer from high inflation these days are absurdly cheap compared to normal incomes

and I can't ever see an economic paradigm where the plebs are allowed to own anything no matter what the profit margins are. just look at how real estate and stocks have pumped as a result of productivity gains over the last several decades. meanwhile food, housing, education, etc basically only go up

[Anonymous No.52354802]

>>52354778
lol

[Anonymous No.52354822]

>>52354791
yeah exactly
plebs cant win, if they could win they wouldn't be plebs
plebs will always be poor even if we automate virtually everything

[Anonymous No.52354830]

lol futures
>mega green historic tier
>after hours... uh, flat?
this bull gonna run a bit

[Anonymous No.52354841]

>futures

[Anonymous No.52354845]

>>52354730
If this isnt the local top for the next year then I’ll be practically out of money in my trading account in which case it is over for me and I will not invest in anything except boomer funds, precious metals, real estate and collectibles. This market has been impossible for me this last year.

Anyone that has gone green this year, my hat is off to you.

[Anonymous No.52354869]

FML. I have no path.

What are cool careers?

I just got fired from my job and i need some ideas for a career field because my job was like bullshit office/admin work it really didnt give me much of a of path towards something new.

What does everyone do that isnt some retail or amazon wagie? Anything goes really. As long as it includes decent pay and a stable career path.

[Anonymous No.52354879]

>The prospects for S&P 500 total returns have certainly improved since the beginning of the year, but they are still far from adequate. There are only two ways to make them adequate: either prices must decline further, or prices must stagnate for more than a decade while fundamentals catch up. My impression is that we’re likely to see a combination of both, resulting in what I’ve often called a “long, interesting trip to nowhere.” This outcome would mirror what investors experienced during 1929-1947, 1966-1985, and 2000-2013. In each case, the S&P 500 lagged Treasury bills for more than a decade. That’s 50 years out of 84. Starting valuations matter.

You niggers don’t listen to Hussman until he’s right, fucking retards

[Anonymous No.52354883]

>>52354869
My brother recently started climbing trees and cutting down excess branches. He likes it

[Anonymous No.52354886]

who out there is getting beclowned tomorrow

[Anonymous No.52354897]

>>52354869
drug dealer (early game) and rapper (end game)

[Anonymous No.52354907]

>>52354869
bro some people just buy a boat, catch fish and sell it at fish markets for a living. there's tons of simple and fulfilling things you can do if you don't like your job it doesn't have to be muh hyper productive heckin post industrial office job

[BUY PUTS FAGGOT No.52354912]

Europe CPI and crypto crash will derail the rally

[Anonymous No.52354921]

>>52354845
>This market has been impossible for me this last year.
this, though only since June of this year. Ever since june every trade I've made has been 100% wrong. The market is so fucking demonic at this point it legitimately would be +ev to slip into a coma until Y2025 or so. Unless you're a literal emotionless AI, there is no way to trade this shit that won't bring you to ruination in short order. Sideline and chill, the only alternative is literal death.

[Anonymous No.52354943]

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/features/2022-11-10/unity-u-software-chases-metaverse-dream-to-lift-stock

Another CEO is choosing to all-in on the metaverse. Last chance to board the train before institutions start slurping big time. Buy meta and unity and any metaverse ETF you can find. On margin.

[Anonymous No.52354949]

>>52354886
i get beclowned everyday

>>52354907
>commercial fisherman
>simple
kek
it is fulfilling tho
u better be a diesel mechanic and a welder also if you want that boat to produce

[Anonymous No.52354953]

>>52354638
UBI is not inherently bad, though it must be balanced around actual economic output. Not some magic $1k/month number or whatever. In effect its just a negative marginal tax rate.
The primary source of covid excess that lead to this current inflation was the combination of PPP loans and enhanced unemployment. Even more importantly, there was a breakdown in global shipping that lasted almost 2 years, and an oil shortage that truly had been inevitable for the past 5+ years as that's just the nature of a cyclical commodity. A 6 month period where there was literally not enough barrels (even floating on ships) to store oil kicked this cycle into overdrive and gutted global oil production temporarily. Biden and the modern democrats' outward opposition to oil/drilling hasn't helped, either. Nor have the refinery explosions of the past few years, which have pushed our domestic refining capacity below demand - particularly diesel.

The big problem with most welfare systems is that they're paying people not to work. You either work OR you get unemployment. You must keep your income below 30k or w/e if you want foodstamps and assisted housing. Therefore when you're on unemployment its an active dis-incentive to work hard. If UBI is high enough to actually not work, it'd certainly also cause issues. If less people work, there's less output, less taxes, and inflation spirals. Theoretically inflation should at some point balance itself by reducing the real purchasing power of the UBI money to a level low enough that the economy can support it. In reality though, inflation begets more inflation, and a hyperinflationary spiral would more likely be the end result. That's where we're heading now anyway though..

[Anonymous No.52354971]

>>52354949
sure, who the fuck can stop you? there's owners manuals and online resources to learn those kinds of things, my grandfather taught me how to solder and then weld and he dropped out of public school

[Anonymous No.52354991]

>>52354869
Depends how old are you?
If you're over 26 its over though

[Anonymous No.52354994]

>>52354912
How much money did you lose since last week

[Anonymous No.52355069]

>>52354841
He's not wrong though.
Those are big structural factors.

Globalisation, Chinese growth in particular caused structural goods deflation over the past two decades, this is unwinding now.
Immigration in the US suppressed wage growth over the same time period, creating a deflationary trend in the labour market as well, which post COVID has not continued.

Had these deflationary trends continued, the economy might have been better able to absorb the loose fiscal policy of the past years.

The only thing I would add is the structural changes to the energy industry; as a result of the increasing political shift towards carbon neutral sources of energy, traditional energy sources are increasingly undercapitalized.
Meanwhile the renewables where the CAPEX is going, are not yet productive enough to cover.
This is creating a structural weakness in energy that could last a decade or more.

[Anonymous No.52355093]

Looks like the bulls closed their calls, but bobos are bagholding 360 puts at every expiry

[Anonymous No.52355110]

>>52354869
I want a job where I can just drive and deliver shit but don't want to get a CDL and deal with handling 18 wheelers. Haven't found any places that just need someone to drive a van.

[Anonymous No.52355126]

How do I short dumbasses and roasties that think writing down goals in a journal is literal magic

[Anonymous No.52355128]

>>52354051

[Anonymous No.52355182]

when is natural gas going to go up to $12.
also buying natgas seems like an interesting hedge against europe

[Anonymous No.52355191]

The bottom is in

[Anonymous No.52355206]

>HO HO HO and merry pivot to all!
>Since you've all been such good boys, this Christmas I Jerome Powell will personally deliver the Santa rally!
>Permanent QE starts now!

[Anonymous No.52355217]

>>52355191
It's not.

[Anonymous No.52355219]

>>52354624
Yes

[Anonymous No.52355244]

>>52354879
too many people holding LETF for that to happen. the volatility is going to kill

[Anonymous No.52355252]

>>52355219
>GMP ZONE A
what did your ID mean by this?

[Anonymous No.52355276]

>>52355126
it's not a bad idea to keep track of your goals and your thoughts, if you mean like dream boards and self authoring yeah that's cringe

[Anonymous No.52355277]

>>52354879
Secular bear definitely makes sense.

[Anonymous No.52355291]

>>52355206
This is terrifying and I'm saving it.

[Anonymous No.52355310]

>>52355244
He did say valuations either need to carb for a decade or drop like a rock for positive returns to be justified. Panic selling is fun too, much better than having mini anxiety attacks selling covered calls for a decade

[Anonymous No.52355313]

>>52355291

The AI produces stuff between funny as fuck and absolute nightmare fuel.
Have another one for the santa rally that we're totally getting.

[Anonymous No.52355350]

>>52355313
You know, a Jerome Krampus might be in order too.

[Anonymous No.52355368]

>>52353821
The next bull market has begun. Prove me wrong.

[Anonymous No.52355369]

>>52355350

I'm trying to get it to produce angry santa Jeromes with bears.
I need one for either santa market possibility.

[Anonymous No.52355459]

>>52355206
>Christmas I Jerome Powell

[Anonymous No.52355462]

>>52354087
expiration date | strike | (C)all or (P)ut | 100 (=shares in contract)

I do have some SOXS (3x short SOXX) puts. Sold half

[Anonymous No.52355468]

>Made my monthly sales goal on Redbubble
Thank Christ. My gas and grocery bills won't pay themselves. Anyone else have any passive income projects?
>>52354883
Sounds comfy.

[Anonymous No.52355488]

>>52355313
this one is a mega bull save

[Anonymous No.52355492]

>>52354000
lmao It's fucking horseshit. I'm slowly getting less confident in my state. It sucks regardless with the heat, so if I'm going to live in a liberal shithole, I'd rather go where it has better weather.

[Anonymous No.52355537]

>>52354869
Just flip through this for a couple hours. Bound to find something: https://www.bls.gov/ooh/

[Anonymous No.52355548]

>>52355468
I went to program something and sell a license to some company, but I have no creative ideas to do that.

[Anonymous No.52355550]

>>52354050
bullish, less inflationary pressure. jpow avoided reporters asking him about, but you could tell he wasnt pleased with biden giving out so much money while he is tightening

[Anonymous No.52355551]

>>52355492
you really can't make this shit up

[Anonymous No.52355553]

>>52355110
Route Service Sales/Representative is the title of those jobs. They work you pretty hard unfortunately.

[Anonymous No.52355556]

>>52355492
other than the fact your ID spells puzzy you might be retarded if you think your senator has anything to do with local politics.

[Anonymous No.52355579]

tfw survived 2022 and going into santa rallly

[Anonymous No.52355605]

>>52355217
This, in my opinion, is more meaningful than an end to cheap lending. It means the Fed is done pumping markets. I’m thinking Mannarino was wrong and the Fed is still a functioning apparatus for the relative benefit of the American people at large.

[Anonymous No.52355629]

>>52355605
they still suck at their job though, should have done baby hikes all throughout 2021. 10bps.

[Anonymous No.52355648]

>the AI knows we can just print forever
Based. What should I ask them bros?

[Anonymous No.52355674]

Got Heemed by meta feels bad man

[Anonymous No.52355679]

>>52355648
ask them if vtubers might make the metaverse profitable

[Anonymous No.52355708]

I really need to get more money into SDIV, I’m already getting 100 dollars a month off it would be nice to get that up to 1000

[Anonymous No.52355711]

>>52355556
>Thinking the election itself is why I hate Arizona
Hey faggot, we're getting all of the California exiles, spics, and other lesser-thans because that state is failing and we're next on the chopping block. The election is just blatant banana republic crap.
Plus it's the fucking desert. Walk a mile in my boat shoes and see how there's nothing to do but indoor shit I've already done.

[Anonymous No.52355713]

>futures

[Anonymous No.52355719]

>jobless claims up
>cpi down
>midterms = gridlock = best outcome
>seasonality
>earnings not that bad
>no important economic prints until december
>50bps priced in
can't see any reason to not pump until EOY

[Anonymous No.52355723]

hyperinflationary fuckups are still on the horizon it looks like

[Anonymous No.52355727]

>>52355711
>we're getting all of the California exiles, spics, and other lesser-thans because that state is failing and we're next on the chopping block. The election is just blatant banana republic crap.
>Plus it's the fucking desert

oh I thought you were talking about Arizona, not Texas. Yeah I agree those Arizona faggots are whiney and ngmi

[Anonymous No.52355730]

>>52355679
vtubers only work because they are anime qts. Any virtual youtuber in the zuckerverse would just be a direct clone of some roastie. No character, no character design, no character acting. It'd be no different than your average youtube ho.

[Anonymous No.52355766]

>>52355730
no offense but youre retarded
even snapchat has anime filters that look good even with zero fine tuning

[Anonymous No.52355789]

>>52355679
I tried a 2nd time because they both went full schizo and started talking about a political anime kek

[Anonymous No.52355793]

Prepare for trouble!

[Anonymous No.52355803]

why didn't the fed just dump its entire balance sheet today

[Anonymous No.52355804]

Make it DOUBLES!

[Anonymous No.52355808]

me rn fr fr

[Anonymous No.52355811]

>omg i said the n-word
grow up

[BUY PUTS FAGGOT No.52355812]

>>52354994
16k, would have been more but I was long nasdaq. Down 38k since we hit the lows. But still up 65k since February

[Anonymous No.52355829]

>>52355766
Why are you using SNAP? Doing the Lynch "know what you own" maneuver? Why do you own SNAP then?

[Anonymous No.52355832]

>CHINA NHC: TO STILL IDENTIFY CLOSE CONTACTS FOR COVID BUT WILL NO LONGER DETERMINE SECONDARY CLOSE CONTACTS
CHINESE GOVERNMENT COVID PIVOT INCOMING BUY BUY BUY BUY

[Anonymous No.52355853]

>>52355789
It's METV, not METAV. Immersion ruined.

[Anonymous No.52355866]

>>52355832
covid finally coming to an end and they open up march 2023
>BUY BUY BUY BUY
this but unironically

[Anonymous No.52355878]

I regret only going 50 percent into SOXL 0DTE calls

[Anonymous No.52355896]

>>52355829
I own snap because I think it has a chance of making a lot of money like a lot of metaverse companies, what kind of question is that?
>>52355832
I have a bit in china, but the fact i dont actually own it and there's a brewing trader war makes me hesitant to invest even if I believe in their growth.

[Anonymous No.52355898]

>>52354883
Autism runs very strong in your family

[Anonymous No.52355904]

down 10k today on SQQQ
I fucking know as soon as I go cash we're gonna flash crash

[Anonymous No.52355922]

>>52355898

your mom runs very strong in your family. i bet she runs into lots penis.

[Anonymous No.52355937]

>>52355896
>Owns SNAP
>Calls other people retarded
May I ask how that position is faring? I will let you know I lost 2400 bucks on SNAP a little over a year ago.

[Anonymous No.52355954]

>>52355093
it would take a rally past 410 to start shaking out any intelligent shorts

[Anonymous No.52355957]

THE INVERSED MAN HAS CHOSEN HIS SIDE

[Anonymous No.52355968]

>>52355937
It's in a meta verse etf and within that ETF I'm down 5% since I bought a month or two ago, was down <=15% at some point. I see upside of 200-300% in 3-5 years.

[Anonymous No.52355971]

>>52355904
You need a drink

[Anonymous No.52355972]

>>52355853
I called him out and got a huge scoop.

[Anonymous No.52356008]

>>52355957
How does he manage to be so wrong so often? What was his record as a fund manager before he started doing media?

[Anonymous No.52356011]

Is the dxy finally rolling over?

[Anonymous No.52356015]

Holy fuck futures

We are melting up

[Anonymous No.52356023]

>>52356008
>How does he manage to be so wrong so often?
15 years of permabull QE market
>What was his record as a fund manager before he started doing media?
what do you think

[Anonymous No.52356034]

>>52356011
it might be tbqh desu fampai
but then again the BOJ and BOE are actively dumping USD so it's very manipulated

[Anonymous No.52356047]

>>52355972
https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/pressreleases/other20211021b.htm

[Anonymous No.52356141]

>>52355957
Guess we're going to 400 today

[Anonymous No.52356146]

Holy shit futures still pumping

[Anonymous No.52356162]

>>52355069
He's wrong and so are you. Those trends were inherently unstable and could never continue forever. Relying on them too much created a setup for rapid inflation when they inevitably started unwinding.

Handing economic power to China and trusting them like sheep guaranteed that they'd exploit that power against you. Over-dependence on them, and Russia in the case of Europe's energy, left the west vulnerable to inflation. The only way to defend against the inflationary actions of others is to decentralize production of necessities so people can survive even if someone somewhere else throws a fit.

As for immigration, unlimited population growth means more resource consumption, more environmental problems, more expensive housing, and as you pointed out lower wages. Wages fell below the cost of living. That produced inflation when the inevitable wage correction started. Wages need to keep up with costs of living all the time instead of being temporarily suppressed by labor arbitrage. In addition to domestic limits on immigration, that implies investing in foreign countries to make them more productive instead of the globalist system of keeping them poor and taking their laborers.

Also, Fink is a major pusher of the ESG that reduced investment in fossil fuels.

[Anonymous No.52356185]

>>52356146
MEGA. BULL.

[Anonymous No.52356186]

>>52356047
I remember this, it was the fucking peak before the markets started shitting

[Anonymous No.52356211]

>NOOO IT HAS TO DUMP LOWER LOOK AT LE HECKIN INFLATION
Why are bobos so delusional and never satisfied?

[Anonymous No.52356214]

who else
>I put 25% of my paycheck on $VTI
and redpilled in this thread?

[Anonymous No.52356253]

>>52356162
>that they'd exploit that power against you.

What evil things did they doto us, unironically?

[Anonymous No.52356286]

wow we are going to vaporize bobo yet again

[Anonymous No.52356302]

FUCK CARVANA

[Anonymous No.52356306]

i got approved to trade on the hong kong exchange. i can lose money at 1am. should i buy some baba or tencent and keep riding the wave?

[Anonymous No.52356320]

>>52356302
Sorry, buddy. With used car prices plummeting, CVNA is now 31% more valuable than it was 24 hours ago.

[Anonymous No.52356322]

Bobo here, closed all my shorts at 360 last dump, was pretty sure wed pump into and around elections and boy was i right. Cant wait to short the absolute fuck out of the market at 400/408
Dont even care if we go back higher, im buying 6 months out and closing my account

[Anonymous No.52356349]

>>52356162
Sure it wasn't sustainable, but it's still mechanistically part of the cause.
Another aspect that isn't sustainable is corporate profit growth since the 1980s, which thanks to declining interest rates and declining corporate tax rates, has grown consistently more than the US economy.
This will have to unwind now with financial repression.

If you want a schizo doomer take, I would say this mirrors the cycle of global trade and profitability that led to the first and second world war.
The new supply and value chains required for the carbon neutral economy will disrupt the geopolitical order and lead to earthshaking conflict.
Ukraine is just a prelude, largely the result of permanently shifting energy markets behind the scenes.
As the US and China decouple more and more, the disincentives that prevented conflict in the past shrink and shrink.
Just look at inflation; the Chinese economy roaring back to life would have the worst effect of anything on structural commodities inflation, the US is possibly perversely incentivised to cause conflict, just so it has an excuse to shut China out of global markets.

[Anonymous No.52356369]

>>52356349
China is going into nuclear heavily. 300 reactors. There's also no way to hedge against total financial collapse, so thinking about those types of things is ultimately pointless.

[Anonymous No.52356374]

>>52356286
Yes, they opened shorts at "the top" again

[Anonymous No.52356396]

>>52356374
>>52356286
NOOO IT WENT UP 5% IN ONE DAY. THATS NOT ALLOWED. IT HAS TO GO BACK DOWN NOW

[Anonymous No.52356454]

>>52356396
CAREFUL MUMU MY BROKER IS MARGIN CALLING ME I BET YOU'RE REALLY FEELING THE HEAT HUH READY TO SELL MUMU DEAR PLEASE SELL

[Anonymous No.52356458]

同志们,你好

[Anonymous No.52356464]

I accidentally bought DRIP today when I meant to buy GUSH and lost a hundred bucks

[Anonymous No.52356482]

>>52356464
nigga just call your female broker and get a refund ez

[Anonymous No.52356528]

>>52356306
>i can lose money at 1am
You could already do that with futures, forex, and now the globex session for SPX (with some brokers)

[Anonymous No.52356569]

>>52356458

[Anonymous No.52356599]

I bought December puts today before close. I wanna sell them around 380-385 SPY. There is no way this fake and gay pump has legs past 400

[Anonymous No.52356608]

>>52356599
uh sweaty we going to at least 410

[Anonymous No.52356612]

>>52356599
Biggst bull signal I have seen today

[Anonymous No.52356621]

>>52356608
I will close every long I have and go in with margin if we hit 410 on 7.7% inflation being bullish

[Anonymous No.52356624]

>>52356599
Its Joever for you

[Anonymous No.52356631]

>>52356253

...

[Anonymous No.52356634]

>>52356599
>being a bobo
>buying puts
>AFTER a 20% decline in SPY
>only 1 month out
>inversing the santa rally
>after the US mid-terms, brazilian elections, and Chinese CCP congress
>as inflation is falling
>after fed hikes to 4%

[Anonymous No.52356645]

>>52356396
Why do you think a 7.3% close (7.5% from low to high) in one day is the sign of a healthy market?

[Anonymous No.52356680]

>>52356621
>muh 7.7% inflation
it's about that inflation peaked and will likely go down more, the most lagging indicator (employment) is slowly showing weakness too in the prints

[Anonymous No.52356684]

CHECK YOUR HINDUSTAN TIMES HOROSCOPES MUMU BROTHERS

[Anonymous No.52356686]

>>52355811
>Letting words control you
Nigger.
Kike.
Tranny janny.

[Anonymous No.52356687]

>>52356645
It isn't, but never underestimate retard strength.

[Anonymous No.52356700]

>>52356608
this rally will have legs. mumus have been on their knees praying for a good CPI print all fucking year and we finally got one, month over month and year over year inflation was down. we have midterms seasonality with a split government. in addition, the fed is closer to the end of the tightening cycle. the market knows rates will be higher for longer. dont say we didnt warn you

[Anonymous No.52356716]

>>52356680
Oil and commodities are all mooning/have mooned for the last month. Pivot tards are going to get rugged again and be exit liquidity for jews the 100th time this year

[Scoopsicus, The Black !!DU22SQMj6dQ No.52356719]

Quick reminder that aint no niggas allowed on /smg/ or no nothin.

>buy soxl

[Anonymous No.52356752]

How long before the FTX Jew flees to Isreal?

[Anonymous No.52356754]

>>52356599
I think you're gonna get your wish but only after a giga pump

[Anonymous No.52356756]

>>52356349
B00kmarked

[Anonymous No.52356793]

>>52356754
We will see... I have no clue why hedge fund niggers wouldn't bag 20% gains, cash out and leave retail holding fucking bags again

[Anonymous No.52356806]

>>52356793
Also would like to remind people that the fed literally dumps balance sheet onto the market whenever we pump.. retail is literally going to baghold fed shit to reduce the balance sheet.. it's so hilariously honked that anyone would long this market

[Anonymous No.52356816]

Am I dumb?

[Anonymous No.52356831]

>>52356816
Dunno anything about Cameco but this looks ok to me

[Anonymous No.52356836]

>>52355206
>>52355313
exquisite..

[Anonymous No.52356842]

>>52356716
>the most volatile markets are mooning therefore we crash
this is your brain on daytrading

[Anonymous No.52356865]

>>52356831
All I know about stock market is how to trade shares
I dont know anything about options or futures. Makes my pea brain hurt

[Anonymous No.52356875]

>>52356806
they let bonds just run off. its not like theyre selling overpriced stocks

[Anonymous No.52356884]

>news-based sentiment rally
>the news is mostly due to statistical noise
>no more good news in the pipeline
Mumus still have too much liquidity which is how they could slurp so much. This doesn't help the Fed, their slurping is counter-productive.

[Anonymous No.52356900]

>>52356842
>"we beat inflation" says the increasingly euphoric retail pivot tard as oil moons to $90 in after-hours

[Anonymous No.52356902]

>>52356884
the only news that matters is the melt up is here, amen

[Anonymous No.52356911]

>>52356884
sorry bobo 7% rates are priced in
spy ATH by jan

[Anonymous No.52356912]

>>52356816
i am sure you will make it. your portfolio is small so you can take on more risk, however i would still recommend more diversification, a broad market index fund like VOO or VTI is a good way to spread risk out and gain exposure to market movements without overexposing yourself to idiosyncratic risk that comes from single stocks, single sectors, or single countries.

[Anonymous No.52356927]

>>52356902
news cycles are ephemeral

[Anonymous No.52356935]

>>52356927
t. bobo who expects bearish news from like, 2 weeks ago to matter now.

[Anonymous No.52356949]

priced out

[Anonymous No.52356968]

>>52356927
cpi coming in colder than expected is bigger than "news cycle". hot cpi news has been the cause of most of dumping this year. inflation is the only story that matters, no inflation, no fed rape hiking our asses into a recession. mumus have been hoping and praying for a cool cpi print all year and we got one.

[Anonymous No.52356969]

>>52356900
>market forward looking 6-12 months
>better inflation expectation than [current date]
>unemployment higher -> consoomer less spending -> prices down -> inflation down
you're opening puts for December with literally no catalyst for a crash while we didn't even had big earnings contractions. I'm not saying we don't crash but you're 4 months too early little bobo. post your underwater postions in Dec. please.

[Anonymous No.52356988]

Futebros. We're still green and climbing.

[Anonymous No.52357002]

>>52356884
But there's no more really bad news either. Next week is going to be really tame.

[Anonymous No.52357010]

>>52356968
>no inflation, no fed rape hiking our asses into a recession
Kek, this is really what retail bulls think

[Anonymous No.52357014]

>>52356935
You don't understand. News drive short-term movements, macro and policy drives longer term trends. Nothing has changed, you just got a bit too excited over a number thinking it means you're out of the inflation woods.

>>52356968
And it's less significant than you all think. It's also self-defeating if it makes everybody go on an asset buying spree, then the next CPI prints might not be so cold.

[Anonymous No.52357020]

>>52356912
Would it be bad to buy now? Considering they had a pump yesterday. Looks like I should wait for a pullback or buy regardless?

[Anonymous No.52357029]

>>52357002
News don't drive the market alone. You will not learn.

[Anonymous No.52357040]

>>52357014
You can wait 6-12 months for your puts to go in the green if you want but don't act like you're smart for doing so. Some of us don't work and just trade.

[Anonymous No.52357056]

>>52357002
thanks anon, will buy calls for next week

[Anonymous No.52357061]

>>52357020
That wholly depends on your trade time frame. If you're gonna do long term holds (years) then any time is a good buying time. If you're looking for a quick flip (weeks to months) then you gotta think more about this pump. Why did it happen? How much steam does it have left? What could cause a dump? VOO/VTI is more of a long play than a swinger so you might as well get it whenever.

[Anonymous No.52357070]

>>52357010
>>52357014
inflation seems to have peaked, and its cooling. markets are pricing the future. the bottom in stocks will come before the recession is at its worst.
>>52357020
these bobos up here ^ will eventually be right and we'll give up some of these gains and maybe make a new low, its impossible to time the market and no one knows where we're really going. in this environment i would have a decent cash position, and if youre comfortable, slowly drip feed into the market over the next 6 months. i also own Cameco and UEC and JPMorgan

[Anonymous No.52357080]

>>52357040
If you only care about next week, then slurp all the calls you want but remember, nothing has changed.

[Anonymous No.52357102]

>>52357080
nothing lasts forever bobo, those who adapt fare better than those who cling to a thesis that's almost a year old now.

[Anonymous No.52357112]

It's been over 2 years since i've had any narcotics or any alcohol. I swear I might be the luckiest person alive.

Listen to me you stupid dick suckers. If you have never tried crystal meth, don't EVER take that shit. It's garbage in a bag. It has actually been over 8 years since I've taken meth, and I'm still not 100% sane.

[Scoopsicus, The Black !!DU22SQMj6dQ No.52357175]

>>52357112
how about adderall?

[Anonymous No.52357177]

>>52357112
I railed a quarter gram of some real good ice for a couple days when I was 16. Ended up getting paranoid the cart cashier knew I was straight geeked and flushed it, never done it since. Staying up all night playing games on meth is fucking awesome though

[Anonymous No.52357184]

>>52357029
The problem is that in this volatile market, no news isn't the equivalent of going down. The stock market is still the best place to put money in this environment if there is nothing to stop it. You would need a black swan next week to do serious damage to the rally now.

[Scoopsicus, The Black !!DU22SQMj6dQ No.52357255]

>>52357112
>>52357177
hows comes aint no niggas be gettin no tickets to ride the crystal ice pony?
hows comes all th folks who be ridin the crystal ice pony be yt pipo?

[Anonymous No.52357259]

>>52357175

I wouldn't take adderall for anything other than a critical medical condition. I would have to be on fucking death's door to ever try Rx Amphetamines. Maybe if I had horrible narcolepsy or traumatic brain injury. Amphetamines drain all of your brain quickly.

>Drain your "quickness" and energy
>Drain your sex energy
>Drain your sanity

These can be returned after months or years of TOTAL ABSTENANCE from amphetamines. Amphetamines cause permanent brain damage quickly.

Cold turkey is the only way I know to kick stimulants

[Anonymous No.52357261]

final retard pump before catastrophe

[Anonymous No.52357276]

>futes

[Anonymous No.52357295]

>>52357102
futures put us at 400 spy almost. I doubt people will hold through.

[Anonymous No.52357304]

why is it pumping

[Anonymous No.52357309]

WTF is this shit even mean lol

[Anonymous No.52357316]

>>52357304
https://youtu.be/fDsO1SAj2ic

china relaxing covid policies

[Anonymous No.52357320]

>>52357014
Gotta say though, news moving the markets makes me second guess my long term plays sometimes. Its hard seeing a 5% move or a 20% swing on levered etf or an option with 2500%, but then seeing your bags down 20%

[Anonymous No.52357322]

>>52357112
>>52357259
whats so bad about it mentally speaking? could you not use its power for good?

[Anonymous No.52357338]

>>52357309
oh fuck it means the UK is insolvent everybody get your money out ASAP

[Anonymous No.52357353]

>>52357322

It's like taking steroids. Yes you can pick up strong objects and fuck hot women all night long. Your dick is constantly hard and you grow amazing muscles really fast.

You are now a super star. Feeling great. Etc etc.

2 years later you can't get an erection and your organs are probably shutting down. So do you think steroids are commonly used for good?

[Anonymous No.52357356]

>>52357309

British government states assets are fine, deploying more capital, steady lads.

[BUY PUTS FAGGOT No.52357364]

FTSE is my main short position

[Anonymous No.52357367]

>>52357353
just dont use it constantly. meth is psychoactive though isnt it, roids arent

[BUY PUTS FAGGOT No.52357376]

UK will default kek

[Anonymous No.52357385]

>>52357261
yup, definitely getting that 1929 pre-crash feeling right now. I'm just prepping for the depression next year.

[Anonymous No.52357386]

>>52357320
Remember, sentiment is a function of SPX minus its 200 SMA. The more it moves up, the more bulls there are, and the more you doubt your own bearish positions. But that's not a predictor.

[Anonymous No.52357387]

>>52357309
F

[Anonymous No.52357395]

>>52357367

you know what, nevermind. I think you need to go out and buy some meth if you aren't convinced on what i'm saying. Just be warned that the damage is permanent and will happen very quickly. Also, a small bag can get you thrown in prison for your first offense.

So yeah. go ahead and get thrown in prison for a small bag. I don't mean county jail. I mean prison for small amounts.

[Anonymous No.52357410]

The bear market over. Did you buy the #bottom?

[Anonymous No.52357452]

>>52357309
Means that UK will get fucked

[Anonymous No.52357461]

>>52357410
Soft landing achieved. Please note that the nearest exit may be behind you. As you close your bobo positions.

[Anonymous No.52357465]

>>52357395
i prefer mdma

[Anonymous No.52357488]

>>52357465

Well cheers mate. Make sure you use it responsibly.

[Anonymous No.52357489]

>>52357338
I just opened an $80 short on EURGBP

[Anonymous No.52357493]

Amazon has reportedly told employees of some unprofitable divisions to look for jobs elsewhere.

Earlier this week, Amazon became the first public company to lose over $1 trillion in market value.
Alexa division is reportedly operating at losses. How much lower will AMZN go even with that huge pump earlier?

[Anonymous No.52357509]

>>52357386
Does this work for other tickers as well? Might very well use this as an indicator with my other ones

[BUY PUTS FAGGOT No.52357524]

UK budget Nov 17. Expect spending cuts and tax rises. Both negative for FTSE

[BUY PUTS FAGGOT No.52357534]

>Media discussion of the government's tax and spending options ahead of the Autumn Statement has been dominated by talk of "black hole" in the public finances, put at anything from £35bn to £60bn, which, it is assumed, must urgently be "filled" with spending cuts or tax rises

[Anonymous No.52357537]

Yurope is pumping bobos lmao

[Anonymous No.52357543]

Yields....

While bonds went down today, they got more inverted.

The 3M is higher then the 3Y

[BUY PUTS FAGGOT No.52357546]

FTSE will fall 1000 points
t. Guy who predicted nasdaq would rally 2000 points

[Anonymous No.52357550]

>>52357509
Not sure, probably. The scaling is made to fit an actual sentiment survey.

>dev = 100*(spx-spx_sma200)/spx
>sentiment = dev*2.25+15

[Anonymous No.52357566]

>>52357543
Makes sense, Mumus think CPI will keep going down so short term they still expect highish inflation but they price in a deep fall of inflation over the coming years. They of course are wrong.

[Anonymous No.52357578]

>>52357543
I do not comprehend how someone can see the nasdaq gain 7% in one day, and prefer to just buy bonds at 4-5%. What is wrong with these people. Unless you have access to free leverage it seems stupid.

[Anonymous No.52357589]

>>52357543
She doesn't even fit under the curve anymore...
Total collapse is imminent

[Anonymous No.52357597]

>>52357566
Moomoo here. Inflation moves like waves. Next time it will be bad again. But until then, we're going to be rallying. Will just sell and go short before the next report.

[Anonymous No.52357611]

UP UP AND AWAYYYYYY

[Scoopsicus, The Black !!DU22SQMj6dQ No.52357614]

>>52357543
look how close the 1mo and 10yr are
wouldn’t it be pretty wild if those got inverted?

[Anonymous No.52357623]

>>52357597
Based, just remember that there is more than just the CPI print, like PPI next tuesday

[Anonymous No.52357630]

>>52357493
>Amazon has reportedly told employees of some unprofitable divisions to look for jobs elsewhere.
>Earlier this week, Amazon became the first public company to lose over $1 trillion in market value.
>Alexa division is reportedly operating at losses. How much lower will AMZN go even with that huge pump earlier?
This is ironically bullish for the market. When job creation cools down, that's the biggest signal to the fed to stop the hikes.

[Anonymous No.52357636]

>>52357623
>like PPI next tuesday
For sure. I think it's pretty likely that will follow suit with the CPI. Would be odd if not. Can't think of any variables that would cause that. But it's possible I suppose. Will just go with the probabilities on that one.

[Anonymous No.52357660]

>>52357623
Speaking of which, the next jobs report is dec. 2 I belief. But it will probably also reflect some slow down in job creation which will continue the rally. I don't think it will stop until the next CPI.

[Anonymous No.52357665]

>>52357578
bonds are such a joke, yields aside they're also supposed to be "safer" than stocks, except they carry all of the systemic risk

[Anonymous No.52357676]

>>52357630
perhaps its bullish but I don't think jpow will care to stop rate hikes anytime soon

[Anonymous No.52357678]

>>52357578
Because a nasdaq that can fall 7% can also go down 50% in a month and stay there for years You are probably too young to have experienced a recession.

[Anonymous No.52357682]

>>52357676
idk, there's less political capital to address inflation now that the elections are over. I don't expect them to pivot this year or even indicate they're thinking about it, of course. But by spring we might be there.

[Anonymous No.52357693]

>>52357636
>>52357660
The problem is that the market agrees with you, so if there are any surprises that make you or the market think "I was wrong..." the reaction could be strong.

[Anonymous No.52357712]

>>52357578
Is it easy to gain 7% by investing in the Nasdaq? Did you make positive gains in 2022 by putting your money in the Nasdaq? Bonds give you a sure thing if held to maturity, that's the difference.

[Anonymous No.52357718]

>>52357693
>The problem is that the market agrees with you, so if there are any surprises that make you or the market think "I was wrong..." the reaction could be strong.
yeah for sure. Always best to go with the probabilities tho. In the end, you win, even if you lose from time to time.

[Anonymous No.52357728]

>>52357712
>>52357678
You can't compare 1 year of bonds to 1 year of equities. It's basically a fact that if your time horizon is long equities are king.

Forgive me for snubbing bonds that had the same -30% low as US equities this year without having the 10 year +200% bull rally before.

[Anonymous No.52357760]

>7% a day is totally normal

[Anonymous No.52357769]

>>52357728
You are literally just taking the 20 - 30 year you have been alive and concluding that stocks must always beat bonds because this has also corresponded with the greatest growth of stock appreciation in human history. There are plenty of entry points where 30 year bonds crushed 30 year equities.

Bonds may not be good for individual investors looking to get rich over a lifetime but then are great at protecting generational wealth for rich families or companies.

[Anonymous No.52357770]

When does oil report come out?

[Anonymous No.52357777]

>>52357718
No, you need to be more right about probabilities than the market. A good bet isn't one that you have a high chance of winning, it's one where the actual odds are more in your favour than the odds implied by the pricing of the bets. For instance having a 90% chance of gaining 1.1x but a 10% of losing it all isn't a good bet, whereas a 20% chance of gaining 10x or losing all is an amazing opportunity.

[Anonymous No.52357802]

>>52357760
Now we get to crab for two weeks

[Anonymous No.52357820]

>>52357777
>No, you need to be more right about probabilities than the market.
Well I'll give you an example. Dumb money will be holding into the next CPI report. The market will still be up, but I will know to sell then. However, since I know the market will be going up until then, it is good to go along with it.

[Anonymous No.52357831]

>>52357777
Nice digits, so how to find those good bets?

[Anonymous No.52357835]

>>52357309
The gap should not be substantial. There should be a small gap.

[Anonymous No.52357836]

Remember the next CPI print is on DEC 13 and the next Fed meetings is the next day on the 14th

[Anonymous No.52357857]

Its gonna break 4000 today, isn't it?

[Anonymous No.52357876]

>>52357820
The market "knows" the same thing as you until the next CPI print, so until then (for the period that you plan on holding) you don't have an edge on the market, and you will feel any bump in the road as harshly as the market will. In other words optimism for that period is priced in and the asymmetry favour the downside. Or in more other words you bet that everything will be fine, it probably will and you will be rewarded modestly for that bet, but if things don't go smoothly you will lose a lot more than you stand to gain, which should make you wonder if that's a worthwhile bet. It might be but you should make sure you can take a 20% dump.

[Anonymous No.52357882]

>>52357872
>>52357872
>>52357872
>>52357872

[Anonymous No.52357908]

>>52357831
You have to be smarter than the average participant (keep in mind that it's skewed towards those with billions on the line), and to do that you need to understand what's going on in the world rather than just stare at SPY/QQQ/VIX charts trying to guess where the line will go next.

[Anonymous No.52357921]

>>52357376
> UK will default kek
B-b-but their pension system holds all those gilts

[Anonymous No.52357958]

>>52357760
Market was pricing in awful inflation.

[BUY FTSE PUTS NOW No.52359035]

Kek