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/biz/ - Business & Finance


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51321419 No.51321419 [Reply] [Original]

>> No.51321431

>>51321419
yeah because of GameStop lmao

>> No.51321447

>>51321419
let's chill it with the antisemitic remarks

>> No.51321460

>LE HEDGING
>I'M JUST HECKIN HEDGING, I'M 50% CASH 40% PUTS 10% FAGMAN STOCKS!
>AAAAA I'M HEDGING IT'S OVER

>> No.51321475
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51321475

>>51321419
Bear market is over. Hedge funds get it wrong all the time

>> No.51321511

Bobos are trying so hard.... If the market doesn't drop enough the rally will be biblical

>> No.51321530

>>51321475
lmao look at you. should be ashamed. axe it off. BITCH BASTARD DELUSE

>> No.51321533

>>51321475
imagine it going to the floor kek

>> No.51321540

>>51321419
Back to pol

>> No.51321551

>>51321475
>le line always go up
Boomers are going to get wiped, thanks for playing

>> No.51321581

>>51321419
It's hard to have a bear market in a bullmarket for fear. So probably no.

SPY at 330 should be the absolute bottom. Still a ways down, but should beanageable with the right hedges.

Personally, I have stocked quite a bit in VIXM.

>> No.51321584

>>51321475
lmao I hope that tweet is satire

>> No.51321612

>>51321530
>>51321551
>>51321533
Notice how the last time this happened in 2008, they bought puts AT THE BOTTOM.
Retards always go bust. Powell takes a break after this month = massive rally, inflation fears gone, strong labor market. Good luck

>> No.51321625

Use your head. Someone had to sell those puts. Assuming that Twitter screen shot is even accurate, who do you think is selling the puts? And why would they be doing that?

>> No.51321637

>>51321612
>they bought puts AT THE BOTTOM
You can't say that based on the chart.

>> No.51322161

>>51321419
Yes, it's going to crash. Every asset is overvalued.

>> No.51322298
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51322298

>>51321419
It's going to be a literal Great Depression scenario. We're due for another big depression, and all the indicators are there.
>The indicator for the last depression was in 1920
>Which was massive inflation and record levels of unemployment
>Who wants to take a guess what happened in 2020
>Massive inflation and record levels of unemployment, among other things
>Who wants to take a guess at how long the period is between large depressions
>It's 100 years.

This is only the beginning.

>> No.51322450

>>51321475
In statistics we call this over fitting. There’s a million of these little formulas that work perfectly when looking backwards, but have poor predictive capabilities

>> No.51322566

>>51321419
>Will crash?
Yeah, it will, but time, eventually. Probably not right now though. Extreme bearish fear in the market is actually a bullish sign, unironically. It means everyone that's going to has already sold.

>> No.51322666

>>51321419
well after the rally today they're negative quite a bit on the puts. 100 s&p points in the opposite direction of your puts is a sizable move. lets see if this is the rally to short or these puts get blown out

>> No.51322681

>>51322298
You pulled all of that out of your ass. There was deflation before the 1929 crash. Depressions were common before 1930 and happened about every 10-20 years.

>> No.51322733

>>51321419
Yes, but I would greatly appreciate it if the stock market could rally a bit more so I can accumulate some more SQQQ.

>> No.51322748

>>51321419
Too big to fail

>> No.51322762

>>51322298
We still had real money, not "massive inflation", back in 1920. I don't doubt we're headed for a similar event, except this time it will be much worse because of that.

>> No.51324895

>6%+ 30 year mortgages
>$500,000 for a fixer upper in lower middle class part of town
>Oil reserves at lows
>Supply chain is fucked
>2-3% raises for wagies after months of 7%+ inflation and the i bond paying 9.62%.
>massive hurricanes forming ready to completely fuck up elections and destroy coastal cities pushing supply chains to JUST
>homeless populations doubling or tripling post Covid with no slow down in sight
>crumbling infrastructure
>A demoralized workforce that is “quite quitting” or just going homeless getting hooked on drugs and ODing to clot shot SADS
>spacs crumbling because innovation has tank post Web 2.0 as the “garage start up prodigy” has become nonexistent and crypto was never understood by normies
>fiat and tax collectors still have never had to deal with cryptos full potential so now they’re just gonna shot your ass for having a monkey nft
>boomers crying about student loan forgiveness while USA sends another 6 gorillion to Israel and Ukraine
>There are still fat neck beards wearing MASKS

Yeah you know what biz you’re right looks bullish as fuck

>> No.51324910

>>51321419
No, it's going to collapse

>> No.51327102

>>51322450

>> No.51328382

There won't be a collapse, but the markets will likely drop 1/3 of where they are now, some more than 1/2.

The housing market for example will dip by 50%.

Some others will be closer to 1/3, some maybe even 3/4.

>> No.51328469

>>51321419
hedging with what?
Who are these institutional, kek?

>> No.51328486

>>51321475
what's adavancing volume?

>> No.51328505

>>51321475
This tweet allowed me to perfectly understand why people equate the stock market to astrology

>> No.51328513

>>51321419
im looking for a jobagain so probably not.

>> No.51328517

>>51322450
>In statistics we call this over fitting
nah bro..it doesn't work like that with real market,you need to account for psycologic factors too
You can overfit any other kind of chart but not a stock's chart because psycologic factor comes in

>> No.51328521

>>51322450
How can I overfit my tasks at work to make myself look extremely efficient?

>> No.51328562

>>51324895
OK, Doomer

go drink the half empty glass of______?

>> No.51329283

>>51328562
>go drink the half empty glass of______?
piss

>> No.51329592

>>51329283
I wish

>> No.51329669

>>51321637
its been posted here before but in 2008 and in 2020 the puts were mostly made right at the bottom, look it up your self
biz would be proud
it has been suggested that this inflation fight is about to be given up since everywhere that isnt the usa is going down in flames, the eu is already printing massive sizes of qe before the ecb even managed their rate hikes
and when powell flips and all this shit gets short squeezed watch out above

>> No.51331340

>>51329669
>the puts were mostly made right at the bottom, look it up your self
where?

>> No.51331362

>>51329669
>the eu is already printing massive sizes of qe before the ecb even managed their rate hikes
proof?

>> No.51331392

>>51321419
Absolutely. Just a matter of time.

>> No.51331402

>>51321540
>tranny brings up /pol/ out of nowhere

>> No.51331407

>>51321419
It should have crashed already. That shit that took 10 months to slowly bleed with the occasional but doomp wasn't the crash by any stretch. We're staring down the barrel of some of the worth financial problems in recent history and the Biden administration and the kikes on Wall Street want people to think everything is okay, so they're faking everything and trying to meme a healthy market into existence, which is only going to hurt people more when they can't afford food, but some faggot on CNN is saying
>what financial problems? The White house just showed that unemployment is done 600%! I'm not even worried about gas prices because of my electric car!

>> No.51331564

>>51321475
>Le heckin sp500 has NEVER gone down bigly during a year in which I have NOT had sex.
>I have NOT had sex this year
>Please follow me and subscribe to my substack

>> No.51331604
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51331604

>>51321540

>> No.51332024

Need AEVA to $50 first