/smg/ - Stock Market General

[Anonymous No.51203270]

Numbers edition

>Risk management:
https://pastebin.com/sqJUcbjp

>Educational sites:
https://www.investopedia.com/
https://www.khanacademy.org/economics-finance-domain

>Live Bloomberg stream:
https://www.livenewsnow.com/american/bloomberg-television-business.html

>Brokers:
https://pastebin.com/F1yujtVq

>Stock market dictonary:
https://pastebin.com/VtnpN5iJ

>Pre-Market Data and Live data:
https://www.tradingview.com
https://www.finscreener.com/
https://www.investing.com/indices/indices-futures

>Screeners:
https://finviz.com/
https://www.tradingview.com/screener
https://etfdb.com/
https://finance.yahoo.com/

>Boomer Investing 101:
https://www.bogleheads.org/wiki/Getting_started

>Misc:
https://market24hclock.com/
https://tradingeconomics.com

Previous:

>>51200845

[Anonymous No.51203285]

Lunc

[Anonymous No.51203288]

SOXS is going to 80

[Anonymous No.51203290]

AEVA

[Anonymous No.51203300]

premature baking nigger

[Anonymous No.51203303]

Who else is excited for the 30 year bear market after the fed bubble collapses? We /japan/ now.

[Anonymous No.51203305]

Every bull came out to celebrate buying the bottom just a few weeks ago, summer suckers rally

[Anonymous No.51203314]

I"m just so tired of all this shit bros. thought we might have been out of the worst of it for a bit but now it looks like we're headed straight towards $350 spy or lower now huh?

[Anonymous No.51203316]

>>51203300
Not my problem

[Anonymous No.51203319]

Why did uranium not go up today? lot of big news for it and yet nothing? is the capitulation happening TOMORROW? because that's the only reason I could think it not going higher
talking CCJ, UUUU, URA

[Anonymous No.51203325]

New U.S. license requirements imposed on $NVDA $AMD, for AI chip sales to #China. #Nvidia warning it could take a quarterly sales hit of as much as $400 mn

[Anonymous No.51203332]

Rate my protforlio

[߷ !SPIN6yJzoU No.51203337]

im not fucking selling
this is obviously just a temporary dip as we price in 'rate hikes' for the thousandth time

the market will be much higher in coming months
you need to be buying right now while all of /smg/ is bearish

[Anonymous No.51203338]

UUUU is the energy to run those globohomo EVs.
Just keep buying every payday

[Anonymous No.51203340]

>>51203325
Fucked up

[Anonymous No.51203358]

>>51203337
soon. fear is still building and about to pop

[Anonymous No.51203365]

>>51203337
>the market will be much higher in coming months

[Anonymous No.51203374]

>>51203303
Princes of the yen is free on YouTube and shows how central banks create bubbles and excess speculation for long periods of time and then "save" people from the collapse. Hence being depicted always as saviors of the people while being the ones who created the problem. Same with governments.

[Anonymous No.51203377]

>>51203325
Based

[Anonymous No.51203384]

Do i just buy svix and come back 10 years later a millionaire?

[Anonymous No.51203394]

thread theme

https://youtu.be/8bhYHwtEMJM

[Anonymous No.51203395]

Shemitah

[Anonymous No.51203406]

>>51203395
kind of funny we all expected it in mid september or so and then they hit us late august with this shit. we got blitzkrieg'd

[Anonymous No.51203411]

I'd say it was a good run, but it really wasn't.

[Anonymous No.51203416]

I'm never breaking even on SOXL, am I

[Anonymous No.51203415]

>>51203384
How would you explain an inverse volatility ETF as a financial instrument to the last guy of that Brazilian primitive tribe who died the other day

[Anonymous No.51203420]

>>51203374
There have been less recessions under central banks. Especially when there is no gold standard.

[Anonymous No.51203422]

kek baggies

[Anonymous No.51203427]

Sirs don’t look at the GBP…

[Anonymous No.51203432]

>>51203406
The goyim knew too much.

[Anonymous No.51203440]

>>51203406
>he thinks this is even 1% of how bad the crash will get
This is unironically the US's 1990 USSR moment. Shit is fucked.

[Anonymous No.51203461]

>>51203406
>This year is what's known as a shmita, or sabbatical year, which occurs every seventh year. Now, the Torah states for this year, all Jewish-owned land in Israel is not to be worked, to be left fallow. Anything that grows there should be given away. Also, at the end of the year, the shmita, all debts are to be forgiven.

thats right goyim we'll be forgiving those debts by dumping the bags

[Anonymous No.51203479]

>>51203440
No it's EU's USSR moment. US will get hit but nothing too bad in the long run

[Anonymous No.51203485]

>>51203303
It's time to rotate into emerging Asia anon. It's the only place that's going to see growth in the next 2 decades. That or Africa if it ever gets it together.

[Anonymous No.51203487]

anybody have that chart that is the election year comparison chart of average election years vs this year?

[Anonymous No.51203491]

>>51203420
Lmao. How many recessions happened in America from the early 1600s to the creation of the Fed? 1 or 2 in 300 years. There's been a recession every 7 years under the federal reserve.

[Anonymous No.51203494]

>>51203314
Spy should be trading about 2000 desu. Nasdaq less than 5000.

[Anonymous No.51203504]

>>51203422
Has China collapsed or started war with Taiwan?
No they have not retard.

[Anonymous No.51203525]

>>51203504
shutup retard

[Anonymous No.51203530]

>>51203504
Taiwan fired on Chinese drones for the first time yesterday.

[Anonymous No.51203533]

>>51203270
shill me party city

[Anonymous No.51203539]

hmmm fed now redeeming t bills
more 401ks finna get nuked especially 60/40

[Anonymous No.51203540]

uranium

[Anonymous No.51203544]

>>51203479
You may be right, but that still implies that it's going to be great depression tier in the US. Decades and decades of retarded policy fuckups all shitting the bed at the same time.

[Anonymous No.51203546]

>>51203540
What about it.

[Anonymous No.51203550]

I can't take the constant day after day stress anymore. The world has been collapsing for half a year now can't it happen any faster

[Anonymous No.51203553]

>>51203338
In 2050 every car will be an EV and they will all be powered by little nuclear reactors.

[Anonymous No.51203561]

>>51203539
sir do not redeem the coupon

[Anonymous No.51203563]

>>51203491
Look up on the history of panics in the 19th century. Very common actually.

[Anonymous No.51203571]

>>51203415
>to the last guy of that Brazilian primitive tribe who died the other day

I haven't been here in a couple weeks. What are you referencing?

Shorting vix futures is just betting that there won't be an apocalyptic scenario in the near future that would make vix sky rocket.
The average vix level should decrease as the market returns to normal.

[Anonymous No.51203572]

Why didn't Brandon make the student loan 10% off your total amount capped at 10k instead so people with 10k outstanding that dont need it dont get so much?

[Anonymous No.51203575]

>>51203504
That's why you rotate into Hang Seng anon. It's time

[Anonymous No.51203582]

>>51203550
I feel you man. I'm saving for my first house right now too and they're so expensive. I wish this shit would just go back to normal already. everything everywhere in general just keeps getting worse and worse. its scary

[Anonymous No.51203585]

>>51203550
ditto. Forme it's more the constant attention required of me. I can't just leave my money and walk away for a month at a time because shit is so volatile. All this attention is eating away at me. If it were straight up collapsing, or booming, it would be fine, but the back and forth is stopping me from focusing on everything else I would rather be doing with my life.

Just collapse already so I can ignore the markets again!

[Anonymous No.51203603]

>>51203394
This will be the theme of Morocco and Algeria shutting their pipelines off to Spain

https://youtu.be/zc6KUlXP--M

[Anonymous No.51203604]

>>51203582
The "normal" you want back can't exist anymore unless you Thanos snap.

[Anonymous No.51203605]

>>51203533
Party City to the moon. Expect a gamma squeeze so getting in right now is very early. Only 750k shares are left to short. fr this is going to be huge no cap we bussin.

[Anonymous No.51203614]

>greatest collapse of the US financial market beginning
>anon is buying Party City

lol
lmao

[Anonymous No.51203617]

What THE FUCK is going on I want some fucking answers now!

[Anonymous No.51203621]

>>51203504
both

Local banks already going bankrupt and commodity sellers getting liquidated. Taiwan fired at their drones too. Its only just getting started.

[Anonymous No.51203629]

>Bread pudding baking
>Portfolio hedged up
>Got money ready as well
>bot the bottom on both DRV and TMV shares
too bad my options are still shidding and farding because of liqudity.
>>51203539
does that mean the fed is more aggressively running off their balance sheet whenever the market gives it a chance?

[Baggie !!2wgod7RQeJh No.51203638]

How do I invest in transgender friendly sex toys? Donate to Democrats?

[Anonymous No.51203648]

>>51203614
Street takeovers will need the festivities

[Anonymous No.51203649]

>>51203617
brandon shidded and farded a little too hard and broke the country

[Anonymous No.51203656]

If this dip isn't a cocktease like the last couple days, I'm slurping HUT tomorrow. They're the only BTC miner that's going to survive.
>inb4 hurr durr BTC has no value
0 iq brainlet.

[Baggie !!2wgod7RQeJh No.51203666]

>>51203617
Everything is fucked until people lose their jobs and don't have money to buy basic shit Anon.

[Anonymous No.51203669]

OPEC gunna make OIL pop?

[Anonymous No.51203670]

>>51203649
Time to buy some balloons and silly string

[Anonymous No.51203672]

>>51203649
It happens when you elect A CORRUPT DEMENTIA RIDDLED RETARD!

[Anonymous No.51203675]

>>51203571
UVXY is quite the complicated sword to use.

[Anonymous No.51203687]

>>51203546
You tell me
this a test, so far you finna flunk

[Baggie !!2wgod7RQeJh No.51203701]

>>51203672
He wasn't actually elected. The election was stolen and the people who spoke against the corruption were put in jail.

[Anonymous No.51203714]

I have $200 December NVIDIA calls that are down 70%. Should I just salvage what I have left or hold? Seems hopeless.

[Anonymous No.51203726]

>>51203550
Walmart anon in /smg/?!?

[Anonymous No.51203742]

>>51203714

[Anonymous No.51203753]

>>51203714
Those are hopeless anon. There is no Fed pivot.

[Anonymous No.51203763]

>>51203614
CELEBRATE GOOD JOE BIDEN COME ON

[Anonymous No.51203776]

>yfw you were a data scientist on the team auditing the election results for fraud
>yfw the log share of votes going to Biden in contested states had high statistical correlation to metadata about how they were counted
>yfw this strongly implies the election workers were fucking with the results
>yfw Kushner fucked everything up and did his best to derail everything
>yfw everything is collapsing even though you tried to prevent it
>yfw no face

[Anonymous No.51203785]

just read the news on nvda, soxl trannies kek

[Anonymous No.51203790]

>>51203776
Probably like this.

[Anonymous No.51203797]

>>51203614
>not realizing hedge funds will move all their liquidity into safe havens like Party City in order to survive
shiggy diggy

[Anonymous No.51203803]

>>51203776
if its collapsing and you tried your hardest is it really worth saving? Trump was a decent figure, but he lacked the balls/energy to fight the system is corrupt to its core. There is not many that are ready to fight the beast. Republicans overall aren't any better than Democrats on average. Florida Man seems to have a sincere concern for the well being of Florida. Outside of that people need to go 19th century on politicians again.

[Anonymous No.51203821]

>>51203776
It was a stolen election. But Pmurt should’ve fought harder and shouldn’t have given free gibs to things that don’t even vote for him.

[Anonymous No.51203835]

>>51203776
do you have any insight why none of the court cases went anywhere? Were justices essentially pressured into dismissing them?

[Anonymous No.51203839]

>>51203726
I'm not him I just love that photo
>the mask
>the sense of isolation
>the angle that makes it feel like he's sliding down
>the gun on the hip and the expression that says he's one customer complaint away from using it on an innocent passerby
>the little can that implies this is actually him at his happiest moment in the day

[Anonymous No.51203840]

>futures

[Anonymous No.51203846]

>futures
https://twitter.com/coolcatsociety/status/1564832681686609920

[Anonymous No.51203847]

>>51203835
Pure incompetence, which I believe was due to internal sabotage.

[Anonymous No.51203850]

>>51203714
How badly would a 100% loss affect you? If it's not a big deal then you should just hold instead of bitching out. Cutting losses on a relatively small amount of money only makes sense if you're good enough of a trader to not prematurely exit before a recovery. There's some probability it comes back to where it's at least more salvageable than exiting now. And maybe you could sell calls against your calls on the next pump to lower the loss.

[Anonymous No.51203863]

Guys I'm looking at the chart from 2008 and it looks eerily similar to what's happening now. We still have a long way down. If it's anything like 2008/2009, we won't start to recover until summer 2023.

[Anonymous No.51203871]

>>51203479
Are you sure anon? With europe out of the picture, the USA's last major trading "partner" are the chinks.

[Anonymous No.51203879]

Is this why futures are bad? European countries are at double digit inflation. Possibly even higher since it might be under reported too.

https://twitter.com/WallStreetSilv/status/1565052919296454656

[Anonymous No.51203886]

>>51203863
>2023
Very optimistic

[Anonymous No.51203889]

>>51203776
Meds, now

[Anonymous No.51203908]

>>51203270
fuck's sake. I come to this thread to find out what just happened, and nobody's talking about whatever "it" was. Why did futures start tanking when they reopened at 6 (eastern)? What is going on? My ass just got bailed out on a trade and I want to know why.

[Anonymous No.51203909]

>>51203871
Then buy China like a great international investor would.

[Anonymous No.51203910]

>>51203714
At least wait for cpi report to come out.

[Anonymous No.51203922]

>>51203572
$10k is literally irrelevant. Most people that actually finished college have $50k+ debt

[Anonymous No.51203923]

>>51203889
back2reddit

[Anonymous No.51203924]

>>51203908
semis took a shit and futures with them

[Anonymous No.51203925]

>>51203863
>he thinks the past indicates future performance
>>51203879
>he doesn't know about NVDA. China. Clickety clack.

[Anonymous No.51203930]

>>51203910
judging by the estimates that have been reported it should be pretty good this time around too at least

[Anonymous No.51203944]

>NVDA under a dollar more than the June dip AH

[Anonymous No.51203945]

>>51203909
Relations don't seem that good though. Honestly don't know how this will all go down.

[Anonymous No.51203949]

Bitchcoin about to rug,again

[Anonymous No.51203953]

>futures

[Anonymous No.51203965]

bros I want, no I NEED the SOXS copy pasta
because face it, semiconductors are sand in all but name

[Anonymous No.51203966]

>>51203949
As 75% cash gang I can only hope, but most likely (((they))) are going to tease me again and leave me with blue balls.

[Anonymous No.51203968]

Y'all catch the CHALF poster last few days? Pretty sure he's from yahoo...kinda funny what's going on ther ngl

[Anonymous No.51203975]

>>51203945
There's no alternative for financiers so they'll keep the opportunity open. It's why they signed the audit agreement recently. It's a bullish sign for Asian financial markets.

[Anonymous No.51203980]

The 10 YR TREASURY went up 67 basis points from 2.54% on August 1st to 3.21% today. This is massive. In addition, they're starting heavy QT tomorrow, and the 10 YR treasury could be at 4% at the end of September.

If this happens, we're going below 3600 and getting heemed.

[Anonymous No.51203986]

>futures

Holy smokes

[Anonymous No.51203997]

PSTG shill, I'm thinking tomorrow bis going to be a good day for us

[Anonymous No.51204001]

>>51203986
wtf I was out doing errands and just looked now. Hectic.

[Anonymous No.51204005]

>>51203980
I hate the federal reserve so god damn much

[Anonymous No.51204008]

>>51203986
this is because i closed out a massive vix call spread position for 7% profit today
i would have been rich

[Anonymous No.51204017]

>Tech futures specifically

[Anonymous No.51204025]

>>51203925
What's the saying again? History doesn't repeat but it often does ryhme

[Anonymous No.51204033]

>>51204017
SHUT DOWN THE FUCKING MAINFRAME NOW THIS IS A CODE RED LEVEL 5

[Anonymous No.51204038]

>>51203997
kek

[Anonymous No.51204040]

Futures aren't even that bad, stop being such pussies

[Anonymous No.51204047]

>>51203337
but anon it's already been "just 2 more months" FOUR times

[Anonymous No.51204066]

>>51204047
I can't believe it's been 8 months of market pants shitting.

[Anonymous No.51204073]

>>51204040
See you at opening

[Anonymous No.51204081]

I think i've aged like two years in the last 8 months fucking hell

[Anonymous No.51204082]

>>51203533
Simulation ending. We're all gonna party harder then 1999, your welcome to join the beat the chainlink/SOXL holder pinatas.

[Anonymous No.51204090]

>>51204081
We are only 25% of the way through the bear anon

[Anonymous No.51204096]

>Biden we’re not in a recession
>also Biden: “yeah we’re gonna stop selling our most advanced chips to China”
>recession gets worse

[Anonymous No.51204110]

>>51204090
Which leg down of the bear market are we on right now?

[Anonymous No.51204111]

bet they rip the market in sept because historically its been the worst month and they will use it to claim their clown economy is recovering

but maybe thats to obvious

[Anonymous No.51204113]

semiconductors, lmao

[Anonymous No.51204120]

AAAAAAAAAAAAAAGHGHGHHH POOOOOWWWWWEELLLLLLLLL

[Anonymous No.51204122]

If SOXL goes to 5 is anybody going to attempt becoming the next SOXL_shill? Should be at least a 10x.

[Anonymous No.51204126]

>>51204081
You became a man, anon.

[Anonymous No.51204136]

The 10 YR TREASURY went up 67 basis points from 2.54 on August 1st to 3.21 today. This is massive. They're starting heavy QT tomorrow as well, and the 10 YR treasury could be at 4% at the end of September.

If this happens, we're going below 3600 and getting heemed.

[Anonymous No.51204137]

>>51204090
>25% of the way through the bear leaving his cave forever
>forever

[Anonymous No.51204139]

>>51204096
>no, no recession here!
>gives 100billion to ukrain

[Anonymous No.51204143]

>>51204038
Lmao! Stupid ass stocktwits users. They crushed earnings.

[Anonymous No.51204144]

>>51203629
It means the fed is committed to running off $65 billion a month, but if the natural expiry of their holdings is less than $65 billion in a given month they will actively sell their holdings to fill the gap.

[Anonymous No.51204145]

>>51204110
Denial. This was the relief rally

[Anonymous No.51204153]

It's literally over tomorrow isn't it bros
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VOJqRknAKVE

[Anonymous No.51204169]

>>51204139
And how are those poor ukrainians supposed to fend off those Russian orcs?
Also, a disgusting ukrainian refugee bumped into my wife and now I hate them all.

[Anonymous No.51204184]

>>51204143
I just did a little research on it. I think you will be fine Rocker. The chart looks primed. They look profitable and even raised guidance.

[Anonymous No.51204197]

>>51203925
The past does indicate future performance.

[Anonymous No.51204220]

>>51204144
HELL YEAH BROTHER MY BOND SHORTS ARE GOING TO GET PAID EVEN AFTER THEY TRIED TO SCAM ME WITH THE RALLY ON THEM
>>51204145
I meant like we're on the what? 4th leg down? Europe is still in the process of crashing.
>>51204136
I guess I need to buy more TMV then.

[Anonymous No.51204224]

>>51204005
You should only hate that they didn't do this a year ago

[Anonymous No.51204225]

Jerome Powell should be ashamed of what he’s done to America .. he has single handedly set us back 5-10 years over a fucking flu with a sub 1% mortality rate .. printed trillions of dollars to prop up the economy for 1-2 years… the myopia of politicians never fails to amaze me

[Anonymous No.51204227]

>>51203325
All the bitcoin miners have the biggest smug boners right now

[Anonymous No.51204229]

Yankee scum once again routed due to their Japanese allies' weakness.

[Anonymous No.51204238]

eh goddammit were capitulating tomorrow fuck I should've hedged the CCJ play oh well nice knowing uranium Chads and oil Barron's had some giggles made some money but it's game over till next week

[Anonymous No.51204244]

How do I short Credit Suisse Bank? I heard that they and Deutsche bank are going to get real fucked up because of their overexposure to the soon-to-be raped Chinese markets.

[Anonymous No.51204250]

>that big fat green candle on crude
wtfwt?

[Anonymous No.51204251]

>>51204225
Inb4 the resident fed boy ((shill)) pops in to pretend the fed can't cause inflation

[Anonymous No.51204266]

HEY GUYS
WE ARE FUCKED WE ARE TOTALLY FUCKED

MR. POWELL CHOSE THE WORST TIME IN THE PAST 10 YEARS TO RAISE RATES HOLY CRAP WHAT THE FUCK WHY COULDN'T HE HAVE DONE IT SOONER WHY DID HE WAIT FOR A GLOBAL ECONOMIC CRISIS

AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA

[Baggie !!2wgod7RQeJh No.51204270]

>>51204244
They trade under CS.

[Anonymous No.51204271]

>>51204220
1st leg down anon. Expect a 50% correction of the NASDAQ going into next year

[Anonymous No.51204277]

>>51203422
warren buffet is claiming the same thing and is holding massive amounts of cash

[Anonymous No.51204286]

>>51204266
oh you wanted him to raise interest rates in the middle of a deadly pandemic?? huh genius??

[Anonymous No.51204290]

My SPY put spreads are totally fucked

[Anonymous No.51204289]

>>51204266
the crisis was necessary to get the consent

[Anonymous No.51204287]

ummmm SPY will manage to hold this right?!??!!?

[Anonymous No.51204296]

>>51204197
Under that logic you could identify the same previous pattern on a chart and 100% of the time make money. Every double bottom would bounce because it did last time and every double top would reject downwards because it did last time. It doesn't work like that, but feel free to try.

[Anonymous No.51204298]

>>51204266
Fed was short the market learn the way the big niggas play the game bro they’ll but for pennies on the dollar at the bottom

[Anonymous No.51204300]

>>51204271
Isn't that rather extreme? Granted the market was irrationally too damn high of pandemic Fed inflation.

[Anonymous No.51204301]

>>51203539
Imagine going all in on tbills and not ibonds

[Anonymous No.51204304]

>>51204225
>>51204251
Geddes a hybrid private public institution. Powell's just the publicly appointed figure head and scapegoat. Find out who the private owners are and then you'll get to the real folks in charge.

[Anonymous No.51204308]

>>51203669
I'd say no chance above $95. Pretty good odds above $90. And holy fuck what the shit are you niggers doing why is oil in the $80s, you're going to get a 5mbpd supply cut next week.

[Anonymous No.51204312]

>>51204287
lol
lmao

[Anonymous No.51204316]

>>51204298
yea but wheres the bottom

[Anonymous No.51204319]

>>51204300
Extreme? lmao the global economy is collapsing.

[Anonymous No.51204326]

>>51204266
Just go all in Party City under 2.00

[Anonymous No.51204331]

>>51204301
>powell is giving up on a soft landing and is instead going for a "growth recession"
a fucking what now

[Anonymous No.51204332]

>>51204316
>bottom
lol, if only

[Anonymous No.51204335]

>>51204153
I wonder if there are actually any boomers returning from summer vacation tomorrow and going
>what in tarnation SELL SELL SELL IT ALL AAAAHA
thus dumping the market

[Anonymous No.51204338]

>>51204184
The shill said they beat earnings and went up 10% the last 4 quarters. I imagine this will be no different. If not oh well, I only bought one call because I was bored. Only have small positions in AIRT and BUD. With 4 calls for FLWR tomorrow because the Jews fear the telephone flower salesman.

[Anonymous No.51204353]

>>51204316
That’s something polite gentleman don’t need to discuss no reason to scare the children

[Anonymous No.51204354]

>>51204300
No, this is gonna be another 2008 size event. Global macroeconomic conditions are deteriorating with inflated asset prices means a sharp deflation. ID advise to rotate into commodities or Emerging Asian markets.

[Anonymous No.51204356]

>>51204304
who the fuck cares who's really in "charge"? the actions of the fed have started a global depression that could have been avoided if they wanted to take the smaller recession in 2020. what they have done is essentially dodged a dog in the road and hit the fucking tree on the side instead.

[Anonymous No.51204357]

>>51204304
Stop being cryptic we all know its Jewish bankers

[Anonymous No.51204362]

>>51204250
Someone not only saw this chart, but saw it with a zeroed Y axis.

[Anonymous No.51204370]

Guys, is it literally over? I've lost half my savings this year in the market. Should cash out what I have left? Go short (SQQQ) or just hold?

[Anonymous No.51204375]

>>51204300
>50% is extreme
>not even at preCorona levels
>fed still has over 8 trillion on balance sheet
to be honest 50% is generous assuming war doesn't happen or a legit insurrection and death of capitalism
if anyone is long a 401k or IRA I feel bad for you all the amount of stress and suffering you go through everyday must suck.
but thanks for making me laugh!

[Anonymous No.51204378]

>>51204308
Sorry bro, we are experiencing "recession fears" and "the saudis are full of shit, demand is actually weak"

[Anonymous No.51204379]

>>51204338
Based anon posting the *good* John Rocker.

[Anonymous No.51204381]

>>51204356
>implying 2 years would've made a difference

[Anonymous No.51204385]

TSM
yea or nay?

[Anonymous No.51204391]

>>51204379
That’s when men were men and woman didn’t have dicks

[Anonymous No.51204392]

>>51204375
The fuck do we do, max ibonds and CD's?

[Anonymous No.51204394]

>>51204136
It's still below the 3.5% it go to in June. The collapse of the 10Y from 3.5% down to 2.5% was laughable. The bull fed pivot narrative was comically optimistic as it was like pretending inflation was just going to melt away in the next 3 months and rates would be put back to 0% by Easter. Even so, with QT It will be very hard for the 10Y to get up to 4%. I can see it hovering at 3.5% for a long time. Many many global institutional investors will be buying 10Y if it goes up to 3.5%, especially if US labour market starts falling and It becomes finally obvious that a recession is actually occurring. You have to remember that a 3 -> 4% move in the 10Y is really a huge move in terms of the total market, It would cause another 10% fall in the price of 10Y bonds. Most ""financial analysts"" last year set their their 10Y yield target for Christmas 2022 at 3% . Of course reality pulled their pants down when the 10Y got to 3% before Summer even started. But getting to 4% will take a lot. Long run inflation expectations over the next 10Y are still quite low, even if inflation runs hot for another 2-3 years. 3.5% still represents an expected real return to bond investors. It would take persistent above expectation strength in labour markets and high inflation from this point on for us to get 4%. To be sure, this is what has occurred for the last 9 months, but eventually there will be a point where It finally tops and starts moderating. Even If the moderation is much slower than equity bulls are gambling on, that doesn't necessarily mean the bond market will change its expectations.

[Anonymous No.51204395]

>oil going down
uh oh

[Anonymous No.51204402]

>>51204378
You may be on to something. I called my broker and he told me this week's number for Chinese Data and...it's not good.

[Anonymous No.51204404]

>>51204385
all in bro make sure to put your house on it

[Anonymous No.51204406]

>>51204370
>Guys, is it literally over?
yes

[Anonymous No.51204408]

>>51204354
Emerging markets are a bad idea with the USD going through the roof.

[Anonymous No.51204409]

>>51204381
Are you stupid? 2 years would have absolutely made a difference. And they didn't need to print trillions of dollars to bail out every business known to mankind. Why are they giving million dollar loans to dive bar owners so that they can keep their doors open in the midst of a pandemic?

[Anonymous No.51204411]

>>51204357
Not all

[Anonymous No.51204417]

>>51204385
Massive yay
>consistently beating earnings
>hilariously low pe
>the most successful fab makers
>generation ahead

[Anonymous No.51204420]

>>51204385
You should totally buy semi conductor stocks right now. You know what Warren Buffet says about blood in the streets. Are you smarter than Warren Buffet? Pick up some Soxl too

[Anonymous No.51204427]

>>51204408
Imagine if we get a financial crisis and the EM makes a brics currency

[Anonymous No.51204428]

>>51204392
I rotated into Emerging Asia and Commodities. I might be early on commodities though

[Anonymous No.51204435]

>>51204370
>I've lost half my savings
>Go short (SQQQ)?
Bottom signal.

[Anonymous No.51204439]

>>51204394
I thought at 3.5% the government legit defaults on the debt it currently has. someone made some lengthy thread about how if powell pushes rates over 3.5% it'll cause the implosion of the US debt
>>51204392
shoulda sold when the fed sold they literally gave you the sign to sell your shit and fuck off to Costa Rica till next election

[Anonymous No.51204442]

>>51204319
Someones going to have to tongue my anus for the precious dollars though
>>51204354
2008 event was barely a 50% down though. Our current admin wouldn't allow that to happen. They have already spent 2 trillion this summer alone because they dont want to lose control over government. If they lose too much control that might happen I guess yeah
>>51204375
I was just arguing 50% of pretty extreme to say on this leg down. Nasdaq is down almost 25% currently from its high.

[Anonymous No.51204445]

>>51204428
Give me the best commodities etf

[Anonymous No.51204444]

I'm up 155,000 since shorting in February

this has been the greatest year of my life

[Anonymous No.51204447]

>>51204408
Good for exports no?

[Anonymous No.51204448]

>>51204435
Not a bottom signal anon. He hasn't sold yet and is still considering whether or not he should. Doesn't seem like capitulation to me

[Anonymous No.51204450]

>>51204375
why would anyone sweat about their retirement accounts? that's like 30 years away

[Anonymous No.51204452]

do we not do sluperinos any more whats up with that

[Anonymous No.51204454]

>>51204379
That was me posting that and I don't appreciate you implying I'm the bad one.

[Anonymous No.51204459]

>>51204444
nice digits, how are you shorting?

[Anonymous No.51204460]

>>51204444
Screenshot?

[Anonymous No.51204463]

We might actually see a shitload of civil unrest in Europe thru fall and winter time ala Sri Lanka style

https://twitter.com/WallStreetSilv/status/1565097099036729344

[Anonymous No.51204471]

>>51204447
fucking terrible for US exports
out shit is going to be even more expensive for the poors to buy

[Anonymous No.51204474]

>>51204442
>25% currently
>CURRENTLY
we haven't even had the bust yet, the bust is a limit down move then a bounce then the bear market back to who knows where but it certainly is under 9000 on the daq maybe lower

[Anonymous No.51204479]

>>51204444
Why does everyone short in February?

[Anonymous No.51204485]

>>51204445
That's like asking for the best equities ETF. What commodities specifically are you looking at?

Personally I'll shitpost and say BRKY. It's got lean hogs!

[Anonymous No.51204488]

>>51204463
I hope they are quadrupled jab and have permission to leave their units. That would be a very unsafe and unlawful demonstration

[Anonymous No.51204492]

>>51204471
Asian exporters anon.

[Anonymous No.51204497]

>>51204463
even the police is kinda like meh they deserve it
that's what people don't realize is the police aren't special they're paid just like every other mid wage worker in their countries and when the shit hits the fan they'll probably jsut go and shoot the politicians themselves

[Anonymous No.51204500]

>>51204454
Well, shit, the man himself. What's good?

[Anonymous No.51204504]

>>51204394
The labour market is still extremely tight with jobs only seeming to be bleeding in the extreme margin sectors. Feds got plenty of room to hike then?
>>51204474
How would we know its happening. Circuit breakers? Semis underlying indexs have had 7% loss days this year already.

[Anonymous No.51204506]

>>51204402
What kind of Chinese data? Any specifics?

[Anonymous No.51204509]

>>51204492
oh you mean the poors
good for whoever replaces china as our manufacturing base

[Anonymous No.51204520]

>>51204506
Chinese Data was expected to come in at 1. Instead it came in at -1.

[Anonymous No.51204522]

>>51204445
I'm interested in copper frankly. Look at battery companies(CATL) or semiconductors(AMD/TSMC) and what metals go into their construction. I might pick up Freeport (FCX) once spy or nasdaq bottoms.

[Anonymous No.51204525]

>>51204408
>USD going through the roof
Is it though? DXY isn't indicative of EM currencies, if you look at rupees, rmb, ruble, they're doing okay.

[Anonymous No.51204529]

>>51204485
I want a futures market for medications so I can go long on sissy pills, insulin, and heart pills.

[Anonymous No.51204530]

>>51204447
Emerging markets are indebted in USD. If Powell keeps pumping rates and juices up the dollar those countries will have a harder time paying off their interest and might default.

Half the world trades in USD.

[Anonymous No.51204535]

>>51204439
>I thought at 3.5% the government legit defaults on the debt it currently has. someone made some lengthy thread about how if powell pushes rates over 3.5% it'll cause the implosion of the US debt

That sounds like a Joe Biden, Nancy, Pelosi, and Chuck Schumer problem. They control the budget, they should probably do something about it before Republicans take Congress in November

[Anonymous No.51204543]

>>51204529
Sorry, best I can give you is the holdings list of the tragically defunct SLIM ETF. Some good ideas there to bet on fatties.

https://etfdb.com/etf/SLIM/#holdings

[Anonymous No.51204547]

>>51203753
>There is no Fed pivot.
wont they have to at some point? unless theyre trying to destroy developing nations and send the whole world back to the stone age

[Anonymous No.51204548]

>>51204530
Many emerging markets are already going bottom up. Egypt was at risk of default already and Cuba is begging roaches to supply them with power.

[Anonymous No.51204549]

>>51204439
Yes, above 3.5% would be extremely punishing to the government. For rates to actually get above that point, It would need to mean that the economy is so strong and inflation is so persistently high that the Gov is able to get more revenue than previously forecast, to afford higher rates. All else being equal, if rates just go up without any corresponding change in the underlying budget, 3.5% is around the point where interest payments start becoming unsustainable. Inflation is the best thing for Gov debt though. Real rates are STILL deeply negative because inflation has continued to go up at the same pace as short term interest rates. Inflation usually improves the budget bottom line over the median term without much extra gov work needed because a) tax revenue is usually progressively charged and there is bracket creep on income taxes b) accumulated losses and depreciation for businesses get inflated away and they have to start paying more corporate profits tax as their nominal revenue increases c) other sources of revenue are usually tied to inflation (sales/land) d) It's pretty easy for the Gov to cut real spending during inflationary periods. I mean you see the most recent federal budget forecast show the deficit has gone from like -$2 trillion to -$1 trillion. Not like Biden really did much to get that, it just happened. Most budget surpluses/deficit reductions in most countries, at least the last 30 years, have been achieved just through cyclical and inflationary increases in revenue without much policy change.

[Anonymous No.51204552]

>>51204522
copper is heading for2008 levels and staying there for a long time have you not seen the TREND?
>>51204504
you'll know because "they" will tell you. just like when the fed and politicians started dumping that was the cue to turn off the computer and start spending or doing something else with your money. Trust me when I say this, when the market busts everyone is going to know. everyone knew the covid crash and they'll know this one. only problem is this time they won't be printing to save it because they can't

[Anonymous No.51204560]

>>51204547
not our problem

[Anonymous No.51204561]

>>51204286
>deadly pandemic
Lol
They should have done it as soon as that "pandemic" was under control. Not waited until trade conditions were terrible, war had broken out in Europe, and a massive Energy crisis was taking place.

[Anonymous No.51204564]

>>51204520
Pmi came in over analyst's expectations. It was a contraction but still an acceleration. I'm bullish on China in the second half of the year and into 2023.

[Anonymous No.51204566]

>>51204439
>>51204549
Keep in mind that the government doesn't instantly refinance all its debt to the Fed funds rate overnight; it's a gradual process as auctions happen and existing debt is rolled over into new debt. They can also rejigger the maturities.

50 year bonds, anyone?

[Anonymous No.51204572]

Spy puts or UVXY calls?

[Anonymous No.51204582]

>>51204547
It’s called the great reset for a reason the debts are clownishly unplayable

[Anonymous No.51204583]

>>51204530
>and that's a good thing!

[Anonymous No.51204591]

>>51204500
Just making money and doing a lil shidding and farding. How about you?

[Anonymous No.51204593]

>>51204572
Me on the left

[Anonymous No.51204598]

>>51204572
QQQ puts AND UVXY calls

[Anonymous No.51204611]

>>51204591
based

[Anonymous No.51204613]

>>51204572
Uvxy = spreads to minimize exposure to IV or shares outright. Dont hold long though due to exposure risk of futures vs. Actual (contango?)
>>51204543
Pitching another option: OnlyWeebs. Focus on selling slutty vtubers and their GFEs. No 3d allowed.

[Anonymous No.51204620]

>>51204572
spy puts in the morning but mind your TICK count and don't be assuanged to sell on bounces with weak algos, if there's a strong positive though get some calls they could be bottoming it out tonight and ripping it in the AM for a Friday finish

[Anonymous No.51204621]

>>51204500
I figured he would have gathered the courage for suicide at this point

[Anonymous No.51204627]

>>51204582
wouldn't the better political option be hyperinflation compared to a deflationary death spiral? at least with hyperinflation, the markets soar and there isn't immediate risk of a sovereign debt default

[Anonymous No.51204628]

>>51204552
I look to buy in 2023. My guess summer

[Anonymous No.51204640]

>>51204591
Just watching my portfolio do the same.

[Anonymous No.51204641]

>>51204547

[Anonymous No.51204648]

So many scared faggots posting right now. Literally just buy Party City

[Anonymous No.51204655]

>>51204640
Can’t wait for a lil playoff Kekshaw

[Anonymous No.51204668]

>>51204613
>Pitching another option: OnlyWeebs. Focus on selling slutty vtubers and their GFEs. No 3d allowed.
There's one or two Jap companies that specialize in vtubers and their tech. Not sure if gaijin can buy shares though. Honestly might not be a terrible investment.

[Anonymous No.51204675]

>>51204572
You have to have a 200 IQ to really grasp volatility products, and options on a leveraged volatility futures etf is questionable. Why not VIX instead?
But if your thesis is simply "line go down" stick with index puts so there's less jew tricks.

[Anonymous No.51204679]

>>51204655
I'd post my archive of >Kershit webms, but I don't want to shit up the thread. Have the classic of all classics, however.

[Anonymous No.51204680]

do these dumbasses not realize the "BOOM, 3x 4x over night" already happened?

[Anonymous No.51204692]

>>51204679
Always brings a smile to my face kwab

[Anonymous No.51204715]

>>51204627
whose gonna collect on the debt? Jupiter? they're better off with a debt default because there's no real consequences and if there was then lol lmao cause crypto would rocket to the moon instantly and everyone could buy in at any point since those would be the new standard
hyperinflation and the government risks a literal LEGIT insurrection since now not even the upper middle class can afford bread
deflation is always the best course of action for problems like these but keynesians like Greesnspan, summers and powell saw to it that they would be able to avoid it
lot of good that's done

[Anonymous No.51204723]

So why are futures so red right now? I was told that the bear market was over and that we were entering a golden bull run.

[Anonymous No.51204727]

>monthly home supply 2008 peak, mortgage rate spreads gapping, money supply declining
>DXY spiking
>earnings hemorrhaging
>hawkish fed
I was initially saying stagflation but it's just over. everything matches crash conditions.
Don't speculate on them pivoting, wait until they actually pivot to buy back in.

[Anonymous No.51204731]

>>51204680
The squozzle has not been spoogled, comrade!

[Anonymous No.51204736]

>>51204680
but its been happening every quarter for almost 2 years pay attention

[Anonymous No.51204746]

>>51204668
Vshojo are full of whores already. I want to dial it up from a 3 to a ten though. Have it integrate with sex toys so your vtuber mommy dommy can shock collar you or reward you with onahole stimulation.

[Anonymous No.51204748]

>>51204715
>they're better off with a debt default because there's no real consequences
what? explain this please because i see a debt default as a massive fucking problem

[Anonymous No.51204752]

>>51204727
it gets even better with what bank of America is doingggggg

[Anonymous No.51204761]

>>51204727
Think I'll be able to buy a house at a reasonable price during this crash?

[Anonymous No.51204763]

>>51204723
Who told you this anon?

[Anonymous No.51204778]

>>51204748
why? why do you see a debt default as a massive problem? Is Greece still a country? are they still thriving? then obviously there's no consequences. The myth that a debt default would lead to some apocalyptic situation has been pushed since 2001 I think and since then it's been jsut that, a myth. Nothing will happen except the wizard behind the curtain finally dies

[Anonymous No.51204783]

>>51204727
>Don't speculate on them pivoting, wait until they actually pivot to buy back in
i suspect that they're going to use m.onkeypox as the reason for the pivot. they'll say that cases are going parabolic and more lockdowns are needed. this will cause the fed to pivot

[Anonymous No.51204794]

>>51204752
We've changed so much since 2008. Back then anyone with a pulse could get a house.
Now only those who can pay off a $30 utility bill can get them.
>>51204761
a year from now, yeah.

[Anonymous No.51204796]

>>51204727
Housing falling again would be spectacular. Generational opportunities
>buy ton of property for cheap but expensive debts
>refinance later when rates go back to zero
>take refinanced cash out

[Anonymous No.51204799]

So oil is back to pre-vatnik invasion prices and even lower. Does that signal that demand destruction is actually happening and that a recession is upon us? Also, Slava Ukraini

[Anonymous No.51204801]

>>51204761
yea but you're gonna need to wait for January for the best deals maybe March for the capitulation move. some areas see 40% off the home prices like Florida and Colorado

[Anonymous No.51204808]

>>51204752
how do i get a handful of these loans? i have a black nephew i'll bring him to the bank with me

[Anonymous No.51204811]

>>51204794
>Now only those who can pay off a $30 utility bill can get them.
In all seriousness, how solvent are most normies?

[Anonymous No.51204817]

>>51204783
Not a chance in hell.

[Anonymous No.51204820]

>>51204799
>slava ukrani

[Anonymous No.51204823]

>>51204763
The voices

[Anonymous No.51204824]

>>51204761
sorry chud, the housing "recession" is only going to flatten prices

[Anonymous No.51204840]

>>51204761
no, unless you're buying all cash. interest rates going up are going to cause your monthly mortgage payments to be sky high.

[Anonymous No.51204841]

>>51204778
i just think that the nation's "leading superpower" with the USD as the world reserve currency ultimately defaulting on its debt would lead to disaster domestically. wouldn't people's quality of life descend into the toilet very rapidly? with hyperinflation, there can be UBI (eventually CBDC UBI). and the markets hit new highs, so even though hyperinflation is making the gains obsolete, the optics of soaring markets help. maybe i'm completely wrong, please educate me if i am

[Anonymous No.51204848]

>>51204794
>Now only those who can pay off a $30 utility bill can get them.
That is surprisingly few people. Or rather, they choose not to; dey need dat zero down payment BMW, cuh

[Anonymous No.51204855]

>>51204811
the average American makes 35k a year, has a savings account of roughly 5k and a checking of about 8? I think but yea that's maybe a bit generous. Most people don't play with the market because it's too manipulated and they learned from 08 not to unless they have the cash to burn

[Anonymous No.51204856]

>>51204811
Right now they are surviving but its not looking good. Once market starts hemorrhaging jobs is another story.

[Anonymous No.51204857]

>>51204824
Only shitty manufactured homes in the middle of fucking no where are coming down in price. Stick homes are still going for 500k in washington

[Anonymous No.51204867]

vroom

[Anonymous No.51204869]

>>51204817
what makes you so confident? they're intentionally letting it spread and the DOD has contracts for the treatments from months ago. plus it would fit nicely with the whole book of revelations thing thats been going on

[Anonymous No.51204874]

>>51204855
Americans are massively underpaid for their productivity.

[Anonymous No.51204879]

>>51204841
hyperinflation is uncontrollable, it's a monster loom at the 3 trillion dollar bill Zimbabwe gives out that's very pretty colors. No government wants hyperinflation, the "consequences" of a default is far less than what would happen with hyperinflation. the Weimar is another example as well

[Anonymous No.51204881]

>>51204783
Dude, how far-fetched do your predictions need to become before you just fucking short some stocks instead? Seriously, for the love of christ, i really don't get what is wrong with bulls.

[Anonymous No.51204893]

>>51204811
The one + is most people are on fixed loans at 3%. However I think the extra wiggle room just moved to cars & basic expenses on credit cards.
A month ago CC companies released some data showing everyone was affording the price increases only on CC debt. I think this is why we're seeing earnings tank.

[Anonymous No.51204898]

>>51204857
pretty much. I had some hope a couple of months ago when I saw inventory rise, but the market is still hot and prices are still increasing here in central kentucky.

[Anonymous No.51204904]

>>51204855
>>51204856
I hear scary things about personal credit lines, too. Like >>51204893

[Anonymous No.51204905]

>>51204856
>Once market starts hemorrhaging jobs is another story.

I'm going to get a very big lol when absolutely abysmal job number eventually come out and the market rebounds like a whore who scored some more crack only to come down hard when reality eventually sets in.

[Anonymous No.51204906]

>>51204869
my dude, gaysex is just a day trading meme for rich hedge funds. nobody is getting monkeysex. and the ones that did it ain't going anywhere. have you met someone with monkpox? think about that

[Anonymous No.51204917]

>>51204824
>flattened prices are a recession
I hate bankers so much anon

[Anonymous No.51204919]

New

>>51204914
>>51204914

[Anonymous No.51204921]

I think we're in the last stage of the bear market before the big drop

[Anonymous No.51204925]

>>51204906
to be fair, i've never met anyone who had covid, either. and look what covid did

[Anonymous No.51204932]

>>51204869
What makes you think there is a chance in hell (((they))) will try to pull a pandemic with lockdowns for the second time in 3 years? They would lose more face with the goycattle doing that than they would just letting shit crash.

[Anonymous No.51204933]

>>51204869
Feds hiking until something breaks.
>>51204879
Hyperinflation is bad for the current gov, you can always adopt a different currency. You just lose control over being able to print away debt. US wins in that regard.

[Anonymous No.51204937]

>>51204917
lol, I know. had a good hate chuckle myself

[Anonymous No.51204947]

>>51204799
>Slava Ukraini
Unbelievably cringe. /CL will probably pop to 150 in the next 6 months.

[Anonymous No.51204955]

>>51204874
Yeah but we still have the highest wages in the world pretty much lol which is sad.

[Anonymous No.51204961]

>>51204925
I met them, I had it myself lol but I'm in medicine and my son goes to daycare but monksex? lmao I have more luck meeting someone with brucella and that's rare also

[Anonymous No.51204988]

>>51204820
>>51204947
Seethe more vatnik scum

[Anonymous No.51205000]

>>51204932
>What makes you think there is a chance in hell (((they))) will try to pull a pandemic with lockdowns for the second time in 3 years? They would lose more face with the goycattle
i'm not so sure. and people being skeptical doesn't matter. no one is going to do anything. i've started to think that they actually don't want people to believe their blatant lies. the cattle are just so depressed and downtrodden and struggling to stay afloat that they're not going to do anything to resist

[Anonymous No.51205036]

>>51204801
>my area in indiana is blue
crossing my fingers I get a good price on my first house soon

[Anonymous No.51205277]

In China, Shenzen, Guangzhou and Dalian are going more (((covid))) lockdowns again. How fucking bad do you think their economy will get as a result?

[fATBURG No.51205613]

>>51203285
nigger

[fATBURG No.51205635]

>>51203288
nigger>>51203290

[fATBURG No.51205649]

>>51203332
nigger tier

[fATBURG No.51205664]

>>51205613
>>51205635
nigger