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50643714 No.50643714 [Reply] [Original]

Seriously everyone i know is doing great the economy is the best it has ever been since ****p get kicked off the office. Are chuds and boomer over exaggerating? Fox news are fearmogging about the recession right now and that news outlet has the most disinformation than anyother news network combine. All signs point to a golden bull run. Don't be a chud just buy now if you want to make it.

>> No.50643803

>>50643714
It is a recession, but a mild one and it's mostly done. The US government has signed off a $260billion investment in semi-conductor production and research and are about to sign off on another $750 billion worth of investment in US infrastructure (before they lose power in nov). The money printer is well and truly back on and in truth the fed has pivoted regardless of their narrative. The US has to inflate away it's debts, it has no other choice so the bobo thesis of mass business closure, restriction of cheap capital and a move back to time where monteray policy has to be grounded in reality is just pure wrong. We are in peak clownworld and about to see a compounding amount of money printing and the inflation narrative will flipped to it being a good thing. Numbers will go up even if value does not.

>> No.50643819

>>50643803
Hyperinflation possible?

>> No.50643831

>>50643803
This doesn't mean things will get better for the masses. It's just the start of the death of the dollar and numbers will go mental for years to come until the world stops accepting dollar denominated debt.

>> No.50643833
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50643833

>>50643803
anon... thanks for this. Today you're a true fren to this uneducated Australian

>> No.50643854

>>50643819
no, not yet. but it's still coming, in the distant future.

>> No.50643855

>>50643819
Very probable. It could take a while for it to come. No one in history has really shown the ability to kick the can down the road like the US government has, and no one has had a military like the US has. Governments worldwide are kept at gunpoint to accept dollars regardless of the fundamentals.

>> No.50643898

>>50643833
Read Ray Dalio's (founder and manager of one of the worlds largest hedge funds) newest book "The changing of the world order". It will tell you everything you need to know about where the world currently stands and how rampant money printing has played out in the past along with his best guesses to what happen down the road. The TLDR of his thesis based on past money printing is that you need to buckle in and prepare for take off because what we have seen so far isn't shit. Also there is some tranny on youtube that regurgitates his shit and adds a little of his own take on his work; Lynn Alden, worth a watch.

>> No.50643914

>>50643833
An overview of it is found here if you don't want to fork out for the book. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xguam0TKMw8

>> No.50643929

>>50643819
And what would that mean? What's your take away? Then you get the crash you are hoping for? Is this the fucking mind numbing retarded level of Bobo?

>> No.50643931

>>50643803
that's great and all but how high will btc go by EOY?

>> No.50643990

>>50643898
sorry, I just can't take anyone that has trannies living rent free in their head seriously

>> No.50644000

>>50643931
No idea. But if you buy now you'll be looking back in a decade thanking your lucky stars you did. Even if it shits it another 50% because of market panic over X unforeseen thing all the printed money eventually ends up in assets, and there is a lot of printed money hitting the markets soon. Even without the extra trillion being printing over the next couple of years due to infrastructure bills the money that is sitting in cash due to the panic selling of the first 2 quarters will eventually trickle back into assets as holding dollars is a long term terrible play (as all it's value will be printed away by the government, which they will be forced to do to service 130% debt to gdp ratio).

>>50643990
Ok short clown world and rampant money printing and see how that goes for you. Even if your thesis is right, which it is long term, you are going to get fucking annihilated over the next couple of decades.

>> No.50644003

>>50643990
Go back

>> No.50644019

>>50643714
Zoom out
Money moves in waves
Weekly chart tells a lot

>> No.50644027

>>50643803
Jesus the bull cope on this board is strong, even arthur is coping although his caveat is that the pivot might not happen this year. August 10th, cpi data.

I’ll give you a tip, it’s not about the print, it’s about how traders are positioned going into it. When I say months it’s the releaze date not the month for the data.

So feb release there was bullish positioning, number came in hot, markets got blasted. Same with june release, people thought it would be low, they got btfo by the dump. Spy puts went 100x overnight.
Now the july cpi was the worst print yet, but we went up, because all the late bobo’s came in expecting pure chaos, print came in, and hell did not break loose. When people close their hedgies, they sell them back to the dealer, the dealer is delta neutral usually and has to go long to offset the puts they’ve bought back from hedgers.
If we’re going to have a rugpull, it’s august 10th but they might front run it aug 9z the rugpull is not because of the cpi print, it would be because dealers receive a bunch of calls, and so they’ll have to sell down to return to neutral.
Also, fed pivot is what the majority of the market wants, the majority of the market is long, vast majority, always long. What we are in now is a vacuum of fed speak and only the bull narrative remains. For the love of god, buy some puts going into the aug 10th print, like tuesday close or earlier if it gets frontran, most you lose is some premium and the bull trend continues.
Think about all the retards trapped in memecoins, memestocks, nfts, spacs, “blue chip” stocks, that they bought at mania prices in almost entirely 2021, much more than 2022. Holding junk and debt laden companies, the first time in ages the fed can tighten and the plebs are the ones holding the bag.
They are not going to end the fight against inflation this early.

>> No.50644042

>>50643714
Priced in after a 6 month long bear market.

>> No.50644044

>>50643803
> The US has to inflate away it's debts, it has no other choice so the bobo thesis of mass business closure,

also not true. This is an old bull cope, and I’m net long. Fed and treasury can do a song and dance where the pass the paper losses back and forth

>> No.50644048

>>50644000
>>50644003
see >>50643990

>> No.50644060

>>50644048
I don't even know what you're talking about this is a finance discussion. What ever you're butthurt about I couldn't care less. But you do not belong here and you certainly will never be a woman.

>> No.50644074

>>50643990
case in point >>50644060

>> No.50644083

>>50644044
>>50644027
It’s cute when zoomers pretend to know what they’re talking about

>> No.50644099

>>50644027
> more than 2022. Holding junk and debt laden companies, the first time in ages the fed can tighten and the plebs are the ones holding the bag.
Meant bought in 2021 more than 2020. The bagholding will be epic. The fed wants to deliver a soft landing, but both soft or hard landings are still in motion.
meant

>> No.50644213

>>50644027
The pivot has already happened. I kindly ask you to pay attention and to consider what the announcement of finding 1 trillion under the bed to pump into markets will do to asset prices. The US is now fully reliant on money printing to keep afloat and it is forced to do so. You will get rekt if you keep shorting this market, even if you win in the near term. These aren't free markets, they are heavily manipulated and those in power need number to go up to keep their position at the top of the food chain, consider that please.

>> No.50644278

>>50643714
Any talk of recession is a psyop. It sounds like you have finally woken up.

>> No.50644310

>>50643831
The dollar has never been stronger.

>> No.50644319
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50644319

Biden really is building back better... Conservatives will be on twitter with the hashtag IwasWrongAboutJoe

>> No.50644333

>>50644319
You’re not that jewess
You’re missing the trip

>> No.50644356

>>50643855
For all the incompetencies of the US government, the top brass sure are amazing at delaying dealing with issues. Then again, this is probably why Rome existed for a millennia

>> No.50644374

>>50644213
> The pivot has already happened. I kindly ask you to pay attention and to consider what the announcement of finding 1 trillion under the bed to pump into markets will do to asset prices.
that’s fiscal, the govt will keep spending, fiscal is expected. Monetary policy is what I am talking about. Government can spend what it wants, it doesn’t mean a damn thing about what the fed is going to do. If anything, the fed might have to become more hawkish to offset fiscal policy if they still find the inflation number to be too unsavory.
> number to go up to keep their position at the top of the food chain,
no they don’t, this is the time where number go up matters the least ever in years. The cashout last year was epic. All time high insider selling adjusted for inflation, smart funds cashing out, banks stacking cash. Only people who desperately need number go up in the next 6 months are retail bagholders for the most part. I’m in no rush to buy more is my part, too much recent pain and they are still holding.

>> No.50644383

>>50643714
Soooo should I invest in SIGA or Bavarian Nordic right now?

>> No.50645141

is a bull trap

>> No.50645176

>>50643898
dalio is shilling videos on youtube now, I wouldn't trust him anymore lol

>> No.50645186
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50645186

>>50643990
this is a pro tranny board!
we woke. TLM

>> No.50645206

number go down sometimes
but
number go up most times

>> No.50645292
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50645292

>>50643898
My good friend Lynn Alden is a biological woman, and today I will explain how you're a faggot in THREE FAST SIMPLE STEPS!

>STEP NUMBER ONE!
you suck dicks

>STEP NUMBER TWO!
you're gay

>STEP NUMBER THREE!
shut up faggot